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Siena W vs Brown Bears W Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Projected 64-69
Projected total 133.6
Final 82-71
24-20 23-12 16-23 19-16
Position#216
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Siena W 🏆
USA
Vs
33%
67%
■ SIEN 33%■ BROW 67%
Pythia win probability
Brown Bears W
USA
Position#282
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA Women
Women2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

The Siena Witches host the Brown Bears W on 2 November 2026 in the NCAA Women competition, with the model favouring Brown at 67% to win over Siena's 33%. Siena's last five games include a 50-59 loss to Iona W on 7 March 2026, a 67-57 victory over Marist W on 28 February 2026 and a 67-55 win against Rider Broncs on 26 February 2026, while Brown's recent five feature defeats to Princeton W (51-65) on 13 March 2026, Penn W (56-69) on 7 March 2026 and Columbia W (56-59) on 28 February 2026. The Pythia model projects a 64-69 final score with a total of 133.6 points and estimates a 5% chance of overtime. The projected spread is 5-point, with a 33% probability that Siena covers. Brown's 5-point lead in the projection suggests a close contest, and the game will be played at Siena's home venue.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siena W winWon
32.8%fair 3.05
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brown Bears W winLost
67.2%fair 1.49
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Siena WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius W
#353
W
69-65 OT
69
65
+4
H31/01
NCAA Women
St. Peters W
#341
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A06/02
NCAA Women
Manhattan W
#284
W
91-72
91
72
+19
A08/02
NCAA Women
Quinnipiac Bobcats W
#33
L
40-62
40
62
-22
A12/02
NCAA Women
Merrimack Warriors W
#144
L
60-79
60
79
-19
A14/02
NCAA Women
Iona W
#130
L
52-61
52
61
-9
H19/02
NCAA Women
Fairfield W
#18
L
51-81
51
81
-30
H21/02
NCAA Women
Rider Broncs W
#337
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A26/02
NCAA Women
Marist W
#285
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H28/02
NCAA Women
Iona W
#130
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A07/03
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-8
9-16
13-15
15-15
18-12
15-17
23-16
19-17
26-13
25-17
22-25
18-17
12-15
12-15
8-11
8-21
10-29
16-21
24-19
10-10
19-14
11-15
12-13
10-19
13-26
10-16
10-19
18-20
15-18
14-14
11-4
27-19
17-13
15-12
19-12
16-20
12-12
8-10
17-19
13-18
127.5Avg total
62.2Scored
65.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)62.265.3127.5-3.150%
Last 5 (5)57.462.6120.0-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)53.276.0129.2-22.80%
vs Similar (8)64.067.6131.6-3.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)70.461.4131.7+9.059%
This opponent (Brown Bears W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brown Bears WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dartmouth W
#267
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A30/01
NCAA Women
Harvard Crimson W
#125
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A01/02
NCAA Women
Yale Bulldogs W
#328
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H07/02
NCAA Women
Dartmouth W
#267
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H14/02
NCAA Women
Harvard Crimson W
#125
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H14/02
NCAA Women
Princeton W
#15
L
37-69
37
69
-32
A21/02
NCAA Women
Cornell W
#297
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H28/02
NCAA Women
Columbia W
#47
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H28/02
NCAA Women
Penn W
#123
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A07/03
NCAA Women
Princeton W
#15
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A13/03
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
10-11
11-5
17-13
8-18
23-19
16-4
11-20
10-14
14-7
15-12
27-19
17-20
16-8
12-10
13-13
18-14
16-14
13-14
21-20
10-16
8-15
15-15
4-23
15-9
14-9
22-11
11-18
13-16
16-14
15-11
12-18
12-8
17-26
14-18
13-17
6-23
8-13
22-17
15-12
114.3Avg total
56.7Scored
57.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)56.757.6114.3-0.950%
Last 5 (5)52.461.8114.2-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)51.964.0115.9-12.112%
vs Similar (7)64.962.1127.0+2.757%
vs Weaker (14)60.450.9111.3+9.686%
This opponent (Siena W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 126Actual: Over 126
Over 126
67.8%
Under 126
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 131Actual: Over 131
Over 131
55.8%
Under 131
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 136Actual: Over 136
Over 136
43.4%
Under 136
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Siena W total 66.5Actual: Siena W over 66.5
Over 66.5
41.1%
Under 66.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siena W total 70.5Actual: Siena W over 70.5
Over 70.5
27.1%
Under 70.5
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siena W total 74.5Actual: Siena W over 74.5
Over 74.5
16.1%
Under 74.5
83.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brown Bears W total 56.5Actual: Brown Bears W over 56.5
Over 56.5
89.6%
Under 56.5
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brown Bears W total 60.5Actual: Brown Bears W over 60.5
Over 60.5
80.7%
Under 60.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brown Bears W total 64.5Actual: Brown Bears W over 64.5
Over 64.5
68.3%
Under 64.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Siena W -3Actual: Siena W -3
SIEN -3
24.8%
BROW +3
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
SIEN
No market prices yet.
BROW
No market prices yet.
Spread Siena W 0Actual: Siena W 0
SIEN 0
32.8%
BROW 0
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
SIEN
No market prices yet.
BROW
No market prices yet.
Spread Siena W +3Actual: Siena W +3
SIEN +3
41.1%
BROW -3
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
SIEN
No market prices yet.
BROW
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -2.9-2.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -2.9-2.9
Siena WBrown Bears W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Siena WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius W
#353
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H31/01
NCAA Women
St. Peters W
#341
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A06/02
NCAA Women
Manhattan W
#284
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A08/02
NCAA Women
Quinnipiac Bobcats W
#33
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A12/02
NCAA Women
Merrimack Warriors W
#144
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A14/02
NCAA Women
Iona W
#130
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H19/02
NCAA Women
Fairfield W
#18
L
23-42
23
42
-19
H21/02
NCAA Women
Rider Broncs W
#337
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A26/02
NCAA Women
Marist W
#285
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H28/02
NCAA Women
Iona W
#130
L
20-22
20
22
-2
A07/03
NCAA Women
60.7Avg total
29.4Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.032.863.8-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.528.860.3+2.662%-
Last 30 away (17)30.735.866.5-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)29.431.360.7-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)26.830.056.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)24.640.865.4-16.20%-
vs Similar (8)31.033.464.4-2.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)32.930.163.1+2.853%-
This opponent (Brown Bears W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brown Bears WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dartmouth W
#267
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A30/01
NCAA Women
Harvard Crimson W
#125
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A01/02
NCAA Women
Yale Bulldogs W
#328
W
24-21
24
21
+3
H07/02
NCAA Women
Dartmouth W
#267
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H14/02
NCAA Women
Harvard Crimson W
#125
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H14/02
NCAA Women
Princeton W
#15
L
18-31
18
31
-13
A21/02
NCAA Women
Cornell W
#297
W
29-18
29
18
+11
H28/02
NCAA Women
Columbia W
#47
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H28/02
NCAA Women
Penn W
#123
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A07/03
NCAA Women
Princeton W
#15
L
14-36
14
36
-22
A13/03
NCAA Women
55.4Avg total
26.8Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.126.855.8+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (11)30.323.754.0+6.573%-
Last 30 away (19)28.428.556.9-0.258%-
Last 10 (10)26.828.655.4-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)23.829.853.6-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)23.430.854.1-7.412%-
vs Similar (7)33.329.162.4+4.186%-
vs Weaker (14)29.424.453.8+4.979%-
This opponent (Siena W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Siena W wins
0
Brown Bears W wins
No previous meetings.
Siena Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26AIona W50-59
28/02/26HMarist W67-57
26/02/26ARider Broncs W67-55
21/02/26HFairfield W51-81
19/02/26HIona W52-61
14/02/26AMerrimack Warriors W60-79
12/02/26AQuinnipiac Bobcats W40-62
08/02/26AManhattan W91-72
06/02/26ASt. Peters W75-62
31/01/26HCanisius W69-65 OT
Brown Bears Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26APrinceton W51-65
07/03/26APenn W56-69
28/02/26HColumbia W56-59
28/02/26HCornell W62-47
21/02/26APrinceton W37-69
14/02/26HHarvard Crimson W68-62
14/02/26HDartmouth W58-51
07/02/26HYale Bulldogs W66-52
01/02/26AHarvard Crimson W58-61
30/01/26ADartmouth W55-41

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siena W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Brown Bears W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMKC W110100%120.040.0+80.0
2 Yale Bulldogs W110100%111.038.0+73.0
3 Louisville W110100%119.047.0+72.0
4 Oakland W110100%104.032.0+72.0
5 South Carolina State W110100%112.042.0+70.0
6 Longwood W110100%96.027.0+69.0
7 Utah Tech W110100%107.039.0+68.0
8 UConn W110100%100.035.0+65.0
9 Detroit Titans W110100%94.030.0+64.0
10 George Washington W110100%84.023.0+61.0
11 Samford Bulldogs W110100%102.042.0+60.0
12 Vanderbilt W110100%112.053.0+59.0
13 St. John's (N.Y.) W110100%95.037.0+58.0
14 Morgan State W110100%103.047.0+56.0
15 Tulane Green Wave W110100%92.038.0+54.0
16 Bryant University W110100%75.025.0+50.0
17 Charleston W110100%92.043.0+49.0
18 Montana State W110100%82.038.0+44.0
19 Ole Miss W110100%80.038.0+42.0
20 East Texas A&M Lions W110100%81.040.0+41.0
21 William & Mary W110100%89.048.0+41.0
22 Georgia W110100%92.053.0+39.0
23 Butler W110100%108.071.0+37.0
24 Boise State W110100%84.048.0+36.0
25 Stony Brook W110100%73.039.0+34.0
26 USC Trojans W110100%100.068.0+32.0
27 Kennesaw State W110100%72.042.0+30.0
28 NC State W110100%80.050.0+30.0
29 Nebraska Cornhuskers W110100%81.054.0+27.0
30 South Florida W110100%80.054.0+26.0
31 Southern Mississippi W110100%85.059.0+26.0
32 Idaho Vandals W110100%71.047.0+24.0
33 Notre Dame W110100%99.075.0+24.0
34 UMass Lowell W110100%77.053.0+24.0
35 Iona W110100%76.054.0+22.0
36 Clemson W110100%68.047.0+21.0
37 UCLA W110100%73.053.0+20.0
38 Washington W110100%79.063.0+16.0
39 Georgia Tech W110100%80.065.0+15.0
40 Stanford Cardinal W110100%84.069.0+15.0
41 Coastal Carolina W110100%68.054.0+14.0
42 Mcneese State W110100%65.053.0+12.0
43 Oklahoma Sooners W110100%91.079.0+12.0
44 Houston Cougars W110100%73.065.0+8.0
45 South Carolina W110100%101.093.0+8.0
46 Wake Forest W110100%65.058.0+7.0
47 Columbia W110100%71.065.0+6.0
48 Old Dominion W110100%62.058.0+4.0
49 Cleveland State W110100%62.061.0+1.0
50 Seattle U Redhawks W110100%63.062.0+1.0
51 Virginia State W110100%63.062.0+1.0
52 New Mexico W1010%62.063.0-1.0
53 Norfolk State W1010%62.063.0-1.0
54 Penn State W1010%61.062.0-1.0
55 Central Michigan W1010%58.062.0-4.0
56 Davidson W1010%65.071.0-6.0
57 South Carolina Upstate W1010%58.065.0-7.0
58 Hampton W1010%65.073.0-8.0
59 Maryland W1010%93.0101.0-8.0
60 North Carolina W1010%79.091.0-12.0
61 Texas A&M-Kingsville W1010%53.065.0-12.0
62 Western Michigan W1010%54.068.0-14.0
63 Arizona Wildcats W1010%69.084.0-15.0
64 Hofstra W1010%65.080.0-15.0
65 UC San Diego Tritons W1010%63.079.0-16.0
66 Lehigh W1010%53.073.0-20.0
67 Radford W1010%47.068.0-21.0
68 Dominican Chargers W1010%54.076.0-22.0
69 St. Anselm Hawks W1010%53.077.0-24.0
70 St. Martin's W1010%47.071.0-24.0
71 Villanova W1010%75.099.0-24.0
72 Furman Paladins W1010%54.080.0-26.0
73 Mississippi Christian W1010%59.085.0-26.0
74 San Jose State W1010%54.081.0-27.0
75 Shorter W1010%42.072.0-30.0
76 Wofford W1010%50.080.0-30.0
77 UNLV Lady Rebels W1010%68.0100.0-32.0
78 Molloy W1010%39.073.0-34.0
79 Bushnell W1010%48.084.0-36.0
80 Tennessee Tech W1010%71.0108.0-37.0
81 West Georgia W1010%53.092.0-39.0
82 Chowan W1010%48.089.0-41.0
83 Oklahoma Christian W1010%40.081.0-41.0
84 Alcorn State W1010%38.080.0-42.0
85 Black Hills W1010%38.082.0-44.0
86 Berry Vikings W1010%43.092.0-49.0
87 MIT Engineers W1010%25.075.0-50.0
88 Texas W1010%38.092.0-54.0
89 Washington Adventist W1010%47.0103.0-56.0
90 Lafayette W1010%37.095.0-58.0
91 Lipscomb Bisons W1010%53.0112.0-59.0
92 Montevallo Falcons W1010%42.0102.0-60.0
93 District of Columbia W1010%23.084.0-61.0
94 Michigan-Dearborn W1010%30.094.0-64.0
95 Cornell W1010%35.0100.0-65.0
96 Life Pacific W1010%39.0107.0-68.0
97 Apprentice Builders W1010%27.096.0-69.0
98 Trinity College of Jacksonville W1010%42.0112.0-70.0
99 Bellarmine W1010%47.0119.0-72.0
100 Cleary University W1010%32.0104.0-72.0
101 Elms College W1010%38.0111.0-73.0
102 Baker Wildcats W1010%40.0120.0-80.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 102 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Siena W2423161982
Brown Bears W2012231671
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