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Sloboda Uzice vs KK Metalac Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 88-77
Projected total 165.6
Final 89-83
20-24 32-23 22-17 15-19
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game77.0
Vs
83%
17%
■ SLOB 83%■ MET 17%
Pythia win probability
Position#13
Record3-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game78.0
SerbiaFirst LeagueRound 7· Veliki Park Sports Hall
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Sloboda Uzice will host KK Metalac in the First League on 14 November 2026, with the Pythia model designating Sloboda Uzice as the favourite at 83% versus 17% for Metalac, a reflection of Sloboda's undefeated 6-0 season record, 88.0 points scored per game and 77.0 points allowed per game, and their first place league position. Metalac, meanwhile, sits 11th with a 3-3 record, 77.5 points per game and 78.0 points allowed per game, and has gone 2-0 on the road with 85.5 points per game and 75.0 allowed. In the last five games Sloboda has won four and lost one, highlighted by a 81-77 away victory over Mladost Zemun and a 81-68 home win over Kolubara, while Metalac's recent five include two road wins, one of which was a 85-80 victory over Radnicki. The projected score is 88-77 for Sloboda, with a total of 165.6 points; the home line is -10.5 with a 52% chance of covering, and the total line is 161.0 with a 61% probability of the over, while the chance of overtime stands at 3%. The next meeting between the two sides will be this Saturday, with Sloboda's strong home form suggesting a decisive win.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sloboda Uzice winWon
83.5%fair 1.20
Best odds1.19
Implied80.8%
Edge+2.7pp
KK Metalac winLost
16.5%fair 6.05
Best odds5.50
Implied19.2%
Edge-2.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sloboda UziceSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUzice
Date
Competition
Sloga
#14
W
101-81
101
81
+20
94avg 80
H04/10
First League
Hercegovac
#10
W
77-70
77
70
+7
56avg 80
A10/10
First League
Zlatibor
#8
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
90avg 80
H17/10
First League
OKK Beograd
#15
W
95-75
95
75
+20
no box
A26/10
First League
Kolubara
#4
W
81-68
81
68
+13
no box
H30/10
First League
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
L
76-78
76
78
-2
no box
A03/11
ABA League 2
Mladost Zemun
#9
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
A07/11
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
25-25
21-27
36-15
12-20
23-15
20-18
22-17
22-19
29-26
22-28
11-11
18-20
23-16
33-17
21-22
20-11
24-28
20-11
17-18
20-20
15-27
17-16
24-15
16-24
22-22
21-14
22-17
163.4Avg total
86.3Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.077.0165.0+11.0100%
Season at home (3)91.780.0171.7+11.7100%
Season away (3)84.374.0158.3+10.3100%
Last 10 (7)86.377.1163.4+9.186%
Last 5 (5)85.277.8163.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)93.091.0184.0+2.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)87.074.2161.2+12.8100%
This opponent (KK Metalac) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK MetalacSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMetalac
Date
Competition
Dynamic
#13
L
105-106 OT
105
106
-1
101avg 80
A04/04
First League
Sombor BC
#16
W
112-93
112
93
+19
102avg 80
H11/04
First League
Mladost Zemun
#14
W
101-95
101
95
+6
90avg 80
H18/04
First League
BKK Radnicki
#6
L
75-87
75
87
-12
67avg 80
A25/04
First League
Cacak 94
#6
L
78-82
78
82
-4
72avg 80
H06/10
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
73-81
73
81
-8
no box
H11/10
First League
BKK Radnicki
#16
W
86-70
86
70
+16
80avg 80
A18/10
First League
Dynamic
#3
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
H26/10
First League
Radnicki
#7
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
A31/10
First League
KK Nis
#5
L
64-78
64
78
-14
no box
H07/11
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
22-23
24-27
26-25
32-27
24-22
27-23
29-21
31-25
28-20
20-24
22-26
17-26
17-21
28-12
13-28
18-12
23-20
21-22
16-28
13-25
18-19
24-19
18-18
29-12
18-24
18-19
21-15
21-23
19-21
19-17
20-16
19-17
30-26
18-19
18-18
14-18
22-20
15-20
13-20
170.7Avg total
85.8Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.578.0155.5-0.550%
Season at home (4)73.579.5153.0-6.025%
Season away (2)85.575.0160.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.884.9170.7+0.950%
Last 5 (5)77.477.2154.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)82.290.5172.8-8.212%
vs Similar (19)88.589.2177.7-0.753%
vs Weaker (3)93.077.0170.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Sloboda Uzice) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 155Actual: Over 155
Over 155
74.3%
Under 155
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 160 · main lineActual: Over 160
Over 160
63.3%
@ 1.87+13.3pp
Under 160
36.7%
@ 1.87-13.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.83
SBO
1.83
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.83
SBO
1.83
Marathon Be
1.83
Over/Under 165Actual: Over 165
Over 165
51.0%
@ 2.04+6.1pp
Under 165
49.0%
@ 1.66-6.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.04
Under
Pinnacle
1.66

📊 3. Team Totals

Sloboda Uzice total 83.5Actual: Sloboda Uzice over 83.5
Over 83.5
68.7%
@ 1.57+13.7pp
Under 83.5
31.3%
@ 1.92-13.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.57
Under
1xBet
1.92
Sloboda Uzice total 87.5 · main lineActual: Sloboda Uzice over 87.5
Over 87.5
53.4%
@ 2.10+7.7pp
Under 87.5
46.6%
@ 1.82-7.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.10
Betano
1.82
Under
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.48
Sloboda Uzice total 91.5Actual: Sloboda Uzice under 91.5
Over 91.5
37.6%
@ 2.97+7.6pp
Under 91.5
62.4%
@ 1.27-7.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.97
Under
1xBet
1.27
KK Metalac total 71.5Actual: KK Metalac over 71.5
Over 71.5
71.0%
@ 1.42+9.5pp
Under 71.5
29.0%
@ 2.27-9.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.42
Under
1xBet
2.27
KK Metalac total 75.5 · main lineActual: KK Metalac over 75.5
Over 75.5
56.3%
@ 1.85+7.0pp
Under 75.5
43.7%
@ 1.83-7.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.80
Under
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.65
KK Metalac total 79.5Actual: KK Metalac over 79.5
Over 79.5
40.7%
@ 2.54+6.0pp
Under 79.5
59.3%
@ 1.35-6.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.54
Under
1xBet
1.35

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Sloboda Uzice -13Actual: KK Metalac +13
SLOB -13
42.7%
MET +13
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
SLOB
No market prices yet.
MET
No market prices yet.
Spread Sloboda Uzice -10 · main lineActual: KK Metalac +10
SLOB -10
53.9%
@ 1.84+3.1pp
MET +10
46.1%
@ 1.90-3.1pp
Best 5 market prices
SLOB
Pinnacle
1.84
SBO
1.82
Marathon Be
1.82
1xBet
1.82
MET
Pinnacle
1.90
SBO
1.88
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Spread Sloboda Uzice -7Actual: KK Metalac +7
SLOB -7
65.0%
MET +7
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
SLOB
No market prices yet.
MET
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
Sloboda UziceKK Metalac
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sloboda UziceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sloga
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H04/10
First League
Hercegovac
#10
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A10/10
First League
Zlatibor
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H17/10
First League
OKK Beograd
#15
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A26/10
First League
Kolubara
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H30/10
First League
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A03/11
ABA League 2
Mladost Zemun
#9
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A07/11
First League
82.1Avg total
41.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 79.5
Last 30 (7)41.141.082.1+0.157%71%
Last 30 at home (3)46.341.087.3+5.3100%100%
Last 30 away (4)37.241.078.2-3.825%50%
Last 10 (7)41.141.082.1+0.157%71%
Last 5 (5)41.842.684.4-0.860%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)51.045.096.0+6.0100%100%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.439.079.4+1.460%60%
This opponent (KK Metalac) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK MetalacLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dynamic
#13
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A04/04
First League
Sombor BC
#16
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H11/04
First League
Mladost Zemun
#14
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H18/04
First League
BKK Radnicki
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A25/04
First League
Cacak 94
#6
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H06/10
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H11/10
First League
BKK Radnicki
#16
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A18/10
First League
Dynamic
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H26/10
First League
Radnicki
#7
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A31/10
First League
KK Nis
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H07/11
First League
85.7Avg total
43.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 79.5
Last 30 (30)43.244.988.2-1.747%77%
Last 30 at home (16)43.944.188.0-0.250%69%
Last 30 away (14)42.545.988.4-3.443%86%
Last 10 (10)43.742.085.7+1.760%70%
Last 5 (5)40.641.081.6-0.440%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.944.683.5-5.825%62%
vs Similar (19)44.846.190.9-1.347%84%
vs Weaker (3)45.038.383.3+6.7100%67%
This opponent (Sloboda Uzice) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Sloboda Uzice win
SLOB win
no forecast
@ 1.35
MET win
no forecast
@ 3.40
1st half Spread Sloboda Uzice -5.5 · main lineActual: KK Metalac +5.5
SLOB -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
MET +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 79.5 · main lineActual: Over 79.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Sloboda Uzice 1st half total 42 · main lineActual: Sloboda Uzice over 42
Over
no forecast
@ 1.70
Under
no forecast
@ 1.74
KK Metalac 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: KK Metalac over 37.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Spread Sloboda Uzice -6.5Actual: KK Metalac +6.5
SLOB -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.98
MET +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Spread Sloboda Uzice -4.5Actual: Sloboda Uzice -4.5
SLOB -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
MET +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Over 81.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Spread Sloboda Uzice -7.5Actual: KK Metalac +7.5
SLOB -7.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
MET +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half Spread Sloboda Uzice -3.5Actual: Sloboda Uzice -3.5
SLOB -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
MET +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.97
1st half Spread Sloboda Uzice -8.5Actual: KK Metalac +8.5
SLOB -8.5
no forecast
@ 2.35
MET +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
1st half Spread Sloboda Uzice -2.5Actual: Sloboda Uzice -2.5
SLOB -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.51
MET +2.5
no forecast
@ 2.14
1st half Spread Sloboda Uzice -9.5Actual: KK Metalac +9.5
SLOB -9.5
no forecast
@ 2.58
MET +9.5
no forecast
@ 1.35
1st half Spread Sloboda Uzice -1.5Actual: Sloboda Uzice -1.5
SLOB -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
MET +1.5
no forecast
@ 2.34
1st half Spread Sloboda Uzice -10.5Actual: KK Metalac +10.5
SLOB -10.5
no forecast
@ 2.87
MET +10.5
no forecast
@ 1.29
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Sloboda Uzice (regulation)
SLOB
no forecast
@ 1.37
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.00
MET
no forecast
@ 3.40

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
SLOB win + total 159.5
🔒 Pro
MET win + total 159.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: SLOB leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Sloboda Uzice over 82.572.1%1.49
1xBet
1.49
----+13.9ppWon
Sloboda Uzice over 81.575.4%1.41
1xBet
1.41
----+13.7ppWon
Sloboda Uzice over 80.578.4%1.35
1xBet
1.35
----+13.5ppWon
Sloboda Uzice over 79.581.2%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+13.1ppWon
KK Metalac over 71.571.0%1.42
1xBet
1.42
----+9.5ppWon
KK Metalac over 70.574.4%1.35
1xBet
1.35
----+9.3ppWon
KK Metalac over 69.577.5%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+9.3ppWon
Sloboda Uzice (regulation)81.5%1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marathon Bet
1.18
---+6.1ppWon
Overtime: no96.8%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+4.7ppWon
Sloboda Uzice -4.572.9%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+3.6ppWon
Sloboda Uzice win83.5%1.16
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Marathon Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.14
+2.7ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sloboda Uzicetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sloboda Uzice: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.3 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.7
54.6%
55.7%43.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.311.3
34.0%
31.3%34.0
🏀 Free throws17.313.0
75.0%
70.0%13.0
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KK Metalactheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Metalac: 92.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.423.5
56.8%
55.7%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.9
35.2%
31.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.215.8
74.5%
70.0%15.8
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sloboda Uzice
WLWWWWW
KK Metalac
LWWWLLLWWL
#1
League position
#13
+10.8
Net rating
-2.6
101.1
Offensive rating
101.2
90.3
Defensive rating
103.8
53.0%
Effective FG%
55.2%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
12.0%
Turnover %
13.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.0%
3-point %
35.2%
52.5%
Assist %
55.1%
86%
Form (last 7/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 101.2Defence90.3 · 103.8Shooting53.0% · 55.2%3-point %34.0% · 35.2%Ball care12.0% · 13.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 7/10)86% · 50%
■ Sloboda Uzice   ■ KK Metalac
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sloboda Uzice wins
0
KK Metalac wins
No previous meetings.
Sloboda Uzicelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AMladost Zemun81-77
03/11/26AKK Triglav Kranj76-78
30/10/26HKolubara81-68
26/10/26AOKK Beograd95-75
17/10/26HZlatibor93-91 OT
10/10/26AHercegovac77-70
04/10/26HSloga101-81
KK Metalaclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HKK Nis64-78
31/10/26ARadnicki85-80
26/10/26HDynamic79-77
18/10/26ABKK Radnicki86-70
11/10/26HVojvodina Novi Sad73-81
06/10/26HCacak 9478-82
25/04/26ABKK Radnicki75-87
18/04/26HMladost Zemun101-95
11/04/26HSombor BC112-93
04/04/26ADynamic105-106 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sloboda Uzice
First League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.091.784.3
Allowed / game77.080.074.0
Point differential+11.0+11.7+10.3
Avg total165.0171.7158.3
Over 16050%67%33%
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
KK Metalac
First League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%25%100%
Points / game77.573.585.5
Allowed / game78.079.575.0
Point differential-0.5-6.0+10.5
Avg total155.5153.0160.5
Over 16017%0%50%
Win by 10+17%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sloboda Uzice660100%88.077.0+11.0
2 Vojvodina Novi Sad76186%80.771.1+9.6
3 Dynamic74357%80.175.1+5.0
4 Kolubara74357%81.480.4+1.0
5 KK Nis74357%76.977.1-0.3
6 Cacak 9474357%87.688.3-0.7
7 Radnicki74357%86.189.4-3.3
8 Zlatibor63350%93.586.3+7.2
9 Mladost Zemun63350%80.878.5+2.3
10 Hercegovac63350%80.780.2+0.5
11 KK Metalac63350%77.578.0-0.5
12 Tamis63350%93.795.5-1.8
13 Borac Zemun73443%85.983.7+2.1
14 Sloga62433%88.293.5-5.3
15 OKK Beograd6060%87.598.8-11.3
16 BKK Radnicki7070%69.184.3-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sloboda Uzice2032221589
KK Metalac2423171983
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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