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Sloga vs Hercegovac Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Projected 88-85
Projected total 172.8
Final 73-82
26-27 14-15 12-17 21-23
Position#14
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game94.0
Vs
62%
38%
■ SLOG 62%■ HERC 38%
Pythia win probability
Position#10
Record1-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game79.8
SerbiaFirst LeagueRound 5· Nova hala sportova
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sloga v Hercegovac
31 Oct 2026
SLOG73
HERC82
04 Oct 2025
SLOG84
HERC80
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Sloga host Hercegovac in the First League. Pythia makes Sloga the favourite at 62% and projects 88-85, about 173 points in all (over 171: 53%). On the market's main spread (Sloga -5.5) Pythia gives Sloga 44% to cover. Overtime chance: 5%. Sloga are 2-2 this season (92.0 scored, 94.0 allowed a game), form WLWWL; Hercegovac are 1-3 this season (76.8 scored, 79.8 allowed a game), form WLLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sloga winLost
62.1%fair 1.61
Best odds1.65
Implied55.9%
Edge+6.2pp
Hercegovac winWon
37.9%fair 2.64
Best odds2.20
Implied44.1%
Edge-6.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SlogaSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSloga
Date
Competition
Tamis
#11
W
82-80
82
80
+2
75avg 84
H21/03
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
69avg 84
A28/03
First League
Zlatibor
#1
L
77-87
77
87
-10
67avg 84
H03/04
First League
Mladost Zemun
#14
W
104-84
104
84
+20
109avg 84
A11/04
First League
Cacak 94
#12
W
104-91
104
91
+13
102avg 84
A17/04
First League
Borac Zemun
#8
W
96-89
96
89
+7
93avg 84
H25/04
First League
Sloboda Uzice
#1
L
81-101
81
101
-20
70avg 84
A04/10
First League
Tamis
#11
W
99-95
99
95
+4
92avg 84
H12/10
First League
Borac Zemun
#12
W
99-87
99
87
+12
99avg 84
A18/10
First League
Cacak 94
#6
L
89-93
89
93
-4
74avg 84
A24/10
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
15-16
21-25
24-22
17-22
17-24
29-24
16-13
22-21
18-21
24-23
13-22
18-16
34-21
30-29
22-18
29-25
29-27
25-18
21-21
27-18
25-28
25-19
19-24
14-19
25-25
27-21
15-36
27-22
21-23
26-26
25-24
21-9
20-26
29-27
29-25
21-24
26-28
26-16
16-25
180.0Avg total
91.0Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.094.0186.0-2.050%
Season at home (1)99.095.0194.0+4.0100%
Season away (3)89.793.7183.3-4.033%
Last 10 (10)91.089.0180.0+2.060%
Last 5 (5)92.893.0185.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.089.0172.0-6.025%
vs Similar ◀ (4)85.887.5173.2-1.825%
vs Weaker (22)90.882.0172.9+8.877%
This opponent (Hercegovac) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HercegovacSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHercegovac
Date
Competition
Radnicki
#9
L
85-98
85
98
-13
66avg 84
A28/03
First League
Vrsac
#15
W
91-88
91
88
+3
81avg 84
H04/04
First League
Tamis
#11
W
99-86
99
86
+13
101avg 84
A11/04
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
85-80
85
80
+5
76avg 84
H18/04
First League
Zlatibor
#1
L
92-97
92
97
-5
91avg 84
A24/04
First League
KK Nis
#5
W
75-65
75
65
+10
no box
A03/10
First League
Sloboda Uzice
#1
L
70-77
70
77
-7
66avg 84
H10/10
First League
Tamis
#11
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
A18/10
First League
Podgorica
#15
W
76-64
76
64
+12
70avg 84
H22/10
ABA League 2
Borac Zemun
#12
L
71-85
71
85
-14
63avg 84
H25/10
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-35
19-27
19-18
15-18
22-17
24-29
27-18
18-24
23-32
19-20
32-11
25-23
21-21
24-14
19-19
21-26
17-23
24-19
23-27
28-28
18-8
16-26
25-9
16-22
20-12
15-23
18-20
17-22
25-29
20-19
21-20
14-12
18-21
19-16
14-15
25-12
23-19
18-27
15-18
15-21
166.7Avg total
83.5Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.879.8156.5-3.025%
Season at home (2)70.581.0151.5-10.50%
Season away (2)83.078.5161.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)83.583.2166.7+0.350%
Last 5 (5)76.676.6153.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.791.7171.3-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)76.077.7153.7-1.733%
vs Weaker (21)93.284.1177.3+9.181%
This opponent (Sloga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 166Actual: Under 166
Over 166
65.5%
@ 1.64+9.7pp
Under 166
34.5%
@ 2.07-9.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.64
Under
Pinnacle
2.07
Over/Under 171 · main lineActual: Under 171
Over 171
53.5%
@ 1.83+3.5pp
Under 171
46.5%
@ 1.83-3.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.83
SBO
1.83
1xBet
1.71
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
SBO
1.83
1xBet
1.78
Over/Under 176Actual: Under 176
Over 176
41.3%
Under 176
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Sloga total 82.5Actual: Sloga under 82.5
Over 82.5
70.7%
@ 1.36+6.3pp
Under 82.5
29.3%
@ 2.46-6.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.36
Under
1xBet
2.46
Sloga total 86.5 · main lineActual: Sloga under 86.5
Over 86.5
56.2%
@ 1.85+6.4pp
Under 86.5
43.8%
@ 1.83-6.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.68
Under
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.77
Sloga total 90.5Actual: Sloga under 90.5
Over 90.5
40.7%
@ 2.28+2.5pp
Under 90.5
59.3%
@ 1.41-2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.28
Under
1xBet
1.41
Hercegovac total 80.5Actual: Hercegovac over 80.5
Over 80.5
65.1%
@ 1.38+1.9pp
Under 80.5
34.9%
@ 2.37-1.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
Under
1xBet
2.37
Hercegovac total 84.5 · main lineActual: Hercegovac under 84.5
Over 84.5
50.1%
@ 1.83+0.1pp
Under 84.5
49.9%
@ 1.85-0.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.72
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.72
Hercegovac total 88.5Actual: Hercegovac under 88.5
Over 88.5
35.2%
@ 2.35-2.0pp
Under 88.5
64.8%
@ 1.39+2.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.35
Under
1xBet
1.39

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Sloga -8.5Actual: Hercegovac +8.5
SLOG -8.5
33.1%
HERC +8.5
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
SLOG
No market prices yet.
HERC
No market prices yet.
Spread Sloga -5.5 · main lineActual: Hercegovac +5.5
SLOG -5.5
43.8%
@ 2.20-1.3pp
HERC +5.5
56.2%
@ 1.83+1.3pp
Best 5 market prices
SLOG
1xBet
2.20
Bet365
1.83
HERC
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.48
Spread Sloga -2.5Actual: Hercegovac +2.5
SLOG -2.5
54.9%
@ 1.85+4.8pp
HERC +2.5
45.1%
@ 1.85-4.8pp
Best 5 market prices
SLOG
BetVictor
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.83
Betfair
1.83
SBO
1.83
HERC
BetVictor
1.85
SBO
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.83

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
SlogaHercegovac
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SlogaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tamis
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H21/03
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A28/03
First League
Zlatibor
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H03/04
First League
Mladost Zemun
#14
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A11/04
First League
Cacak 94
#12
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A17/04
First League
Borac Zemun
#8
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H25/04
First League
Sloboda Uzice
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A04/10
First League
Tamis
#11
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H12/10
First League
Borac Zemun
#12
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A18/10
First League
Cacak 94
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A24/10
First League
88.0Avg total
44.8Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 85.5
Last 30 (30)44.842.887.6+2.060%53%
Last 30 at home (14)47.441.188.5+6.286%57%
Last 30 away (16)42.644.386.9-1.838%50%
Last 10 (10)44.843.288.0+1.660%50%
Last 5 (5)45.444.489.8+1.060%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.239.577.8-1.225%0%
vs Similar ◀ (4)43.246.890.0-3.525%75%
vs Weaker (22)46.342.789.0+3.573%59%
This opponent (Hercegovac) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HercegovacLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radnicki
#9
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A28/03
First League
Vrsac
#15
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H04/04
First League
Tamis
#11
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A11/04
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H18/04
First League
Zlatibor
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A24/04
First League
KK Nis
#5
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A03/10
First League
Sloboda Uzice
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H10/10
First League
Tamis
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A18/10
First League
Podgorica
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/10
ABA League 2
Borac Zemun
#12
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H25/10
First League
85.4Avg total
41.7Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 85.5
Last 30 (30)43.342.886.1+0.640%53%
Last 30 at home (16)42.840.483.2+2.344%44%
Last 30 away (14)44.045.489.4-1.436%64%
Last 10 (10)41.743.785.4-2.010%50%
Last 5 (5)38.440.078.4-1.60%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.741.379.0-3.70%0%
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.341.580.8-2.217%67%
vs Weaker (21)45.343.388.6+2.052%57%
This opponent (Sloga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Hercegovac win
SLOG win
no forecast
@ 1.73
HERC win
no forecast
@ 2.02
1st half Spread Sloga -2.5 · main lineActual: Hercegovac +2.5
SLOG -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
HERC +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 85.5 · main lineActual: Under 85.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Sloga 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Sloga under 42.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Hercegovac 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Hercegovac over 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Spread Sloga -1.5Actual: Hercegovac +1.5
SLOG -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
HERC +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Under 83.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Hercegovac (regulation)
SLOG
no forecast
@ 1.78
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.00
HERC
no forecast
@ 2.10

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
SLOG win + total 171.5
🔒 Pro
HERC win + total 171.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: SLOG leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Sloga +370.6%1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
----+15.5ppLost
Sloga +473.8%1.56
Pinnacle
1.56
----+15.5ppLost
Sloga +3.571.5%1.60
1xBet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.60
---+14.7ppLost
Sloga over 82.570.7%1.36
1xBet
1.36
----+6.3ppLost
Overtime: no94.8%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+3.6ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Slogatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sloga: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.321.3
58.7%
55.7%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.3
36.3%
31.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws25.017.5
70.0%
70.0%17.5
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hercegovactheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hercegovac: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.521.9
60.0%
55.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.7
31.8%
31.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.016.9
73.5%
70.0%16.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sloga
LWWLWWWLLW
Hercegovac
LWLLWLWWWL
#14
League position
#10
+2.3
Net rating
+2.2
103.5
Offensive rating
99.8
101.2
Defensive rating
97.6
56.8%
Effective FG%
54.7%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
13.8%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.3%
3-point %
31.8%
60.4%
Assist %
57.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 99.8Defence101.2 · 97.6Shooting56.8% · 54.7%3-point %36.3% · 31.8%Ball care13.8% · 14.6%Free throws0.39 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Sloga   ■ Hercegovac
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sloga wins
1
Hercegovac wins
DateGameScore
16/01/26Hercegovac v Sloga79-78
04/10/25Sloga v Hercegovac84-80
Slogalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ACacak 9489-93
18/10/26ABorac Zemun99-87
12/10/26HTamis99-95
04/10/26ASloboda Uzice81-101
25/04/26HBorac Zemun96-89
17/04/26ACacak 94104-91
11/04/26AMladost Zemun104-84
03/04/26HZlatibor77-87
28/03/26AVojvodina Novi Sad79-83
21/03/26HTamis82-80
Hercegovaclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HBorac Zemun71-85
22/10/26HPodgorica76-64
18/10/26ATamis91-92 OT
10/10/26HSloboda Uzice70-77
03/10/26AKK Nis75-65
24/04/26AZlatibor92-97
18/04/26HVojvodina Novi Sad85-80
11/04/26ATamis99-86
04/04/26HVrsac91-88
28/03/26ARadnicki85-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sloga
First League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game92.099.089.7
Allowed / game94.095.093.7
Point differential-2.0+4.0-4.0
Avg total186.0194.0183.3
Over 171100%100%100%
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hercegovac
First League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game76.870.583.0
Allowed / game79.881.078.5
Point differential-3.0-10.5+4.5
Avg total156.5151.5161.5
Over 17125%0%50%
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sloboda Uzice550100%89.477.0+12.4
2 Vojvodina Novi Sad440100%81.071.5+9.5
3 Cacak 9454180%88.284.2+4.0
4 Radnicki43175%89.290.0-0.8
5 Mladost Zemun53260%81.678.0+3.6
6 KK Nis53260%79.680.0-0.4
7 Borac Zemun42250%84.881.0+3.8
8 KK Metalac42250%79.077.5+1.5
9 Sloga42250%92.094.0-2.0
10 Tamis42250%88.091.0-3.0
11 Kolubara52340%78.278.2+0.0
12 Zlatibor41325%91.086.5+4.5
13 Hercegovac41325%76.879.8-3.0
14 Dynamic41325%75.582.0-6.5
15 OKK Beograd4040%81.894.2-12.5
16 BKK Radnicki5050%70.683.4-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sloga2614122173
Hercegovac2715172382
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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