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SMU Mustangs vs Arizona State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 57-75
33-28 24-47
Position#327
Record3-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Position#90
Record8-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game60.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arizona State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#22
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H17/03
NIT
Washington State
#3
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H20/03
NIT
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H08/11
NCAA
Dayton
#85
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A12/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
63-84
63
84
-21
H16/11
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H19/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
72-76 OT
72
76
-4
H23/11
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
75-50
75
50
+25
H27/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A01/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H03/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
35-26
0-0
33-32
0-0
20-39
0-0
43-36
0-0
31-27
0-0
46-33
0-0
24-29
0-0
38-45
0-0
32-45
0-0
31-39
0-0
17-21
0-0
38-26
0-0
34-30
0-0
33-37
0-0
38-23
0-0
37-27
0-0
36-45
0-0
28-38
0-0
28-30
0-0
40-39
134.3Avg total
66.7Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)67.067.9134.9-0.938%
Season at home (6)68.364.3132.7+4.050%
Season away (2)63.078.5141.5-15.50%
Last 10 (10)66.767.6134.3-0.940%
Last 5 (5)66.865.0131.8+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)67.178.6145.7-11.414%
vs Similar (8)70.264.5134.8+5.862%
vs Weaker (14)72.363.1135.4+9.286%
This opponent (Arizona State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#202
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H09/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H08/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H11/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#273
L
66-67 OT
66
67
-1
A13/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A17/11
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
87-62
87
62
+25
H18/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#49
W
80-49
80
49
+31
H23/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#131
W
76-54
76
54
+22
H27/11
NCAA
Colorado
#192
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A02/12
NCAA
Stanford
#260
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H05/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-27
39-44
32-29
30-30
47-22
37-46
28-24
29-33
28-35
35-24
46-28
41-34
34-17
46-32
32-23
44-31
23-38
37-21
32-21
36-43
132.8Avg total
71.6Scored
61.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.860.1131.9+11.789%
Season at home (6)76.259.3135.5+16.8100%
Season away (3)63.061.7124.7+1.367%
Last 10 (10)71.661.2132.8+10.480%
Last 5 (5)74.257.6131.8+16.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)65.267.5132.7-2.446%
vs Similar (13)67.763.6131.3+4.169%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)74.860.5135.2+14.275%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +3.6+3.6
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +3.6+3.6
SMU MustangsArizona State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#22
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H17/03
NIT
Washington State
#3
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H20/03
NIT
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H08/11
NCAA
Dayton
#85
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A12/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H16/11
NCAA
Evansville
#365
L
17-21
17
21
-4
H19/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H23/11
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H27/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A01/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H03/12
NCAA
61.0Avg total
29.5Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.832.464.2-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.632.063.6-0.456%-
Last 30 away (12)32.233.065.2-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)29.531.561.0-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)30.629.860.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)29.739.469.1-9.714%-
vs Similar (8)30.930.461.2+0.550%-
vs Weaker (14)33.230.563.7+2.771%-
This opponent (Arizona State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#202
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H09/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H08/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
47-22
47
22
+25
H11/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#273
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A13/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A17/11
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H18/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#49
W
34-17
34
17
+17
H23/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#131
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H27/11
NCAA
Colorado
#192
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A02/12
NCAA
Stanford
#260
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H05/12
NCAA
59.7Avg total
33.3Scored
26.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.630.662.2+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.228.462.5+5.865%-
Last 30 away (13)28.233.561.7-5.423%-
Last 10 (10)33.326.459.7+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)33.425.458.8+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)30.232.362.5-2.123%-
vs Similar (13)31.230.861.9+0.454%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)37.224.561.8+12.8100%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
SMU Mustangs wins
0
Arizona State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/22HJackson State68-69
01/12/22ATexas A&M64-83
27/11/22HLamar75-50
23/11/22HLouisiana Lafayette72-76 OT
19/11/22HEvansville55-47
16/11/22HNew Mexico63-84
12/11/22ADayton62-74
08/11/22HTX A&M Commerce77-60
20/03/22HWashington State63-75
17/03/22HNicholls State68-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/22HStanford68-64
02/12/22AColorado60-59
27/11/22HAlcorn State76-54
23/11/22HGrambling St.80-49
18/11/22HMichigan87-62
17/11/22AVCU Rams63-59
13/11/22ATexas Southern66-67 OT
11/11/22HNorthern Arizona84-68
08/11/22HTarleton62-59
09/03/22HStanford70-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %38%50%0%
Points / game67.068.363.0
Allowed / game67.964.378.5
Point differential-0.9+4.0-15.5
Avg total134.9132.7141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %12%17%0%
Arizona State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %89%100%67%
Points / game71.876.263.0
Allowed / game60.159.361.7
Point differential+11.7+16.8+1.3
Avg total131.9135.5124.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %11%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia880100%72.157.9+14.2
2 Virginia Tech109190%77.163.5+13.6
3 Duke119282%72.459.0+13.4
4 NC State108280%81.866.3+15.5
5 Clemson97278%75.965.6+10.3
6 Wake Forest97278%78.670.1+8.4
7 Notre Dame97278%73.367.8+5.6
8 Pittsburgh96367%72.766.4+6.2
9 Georgia Tech96367%72.167.1+5.0
10 Miami (FL)1812667%76.171.3+4.7
11 North Carolina95456%79.475.9+3.6
12 Syracuse95456%72.268.9+3.3
13 Boston College105550%64.767.2-2.5
14 SMU Mustangs83538%67.067.9-0.9
15 Stanford93633%66.265.7+0.6
16 Florida State101910%65.574.4-8.9
17 California9090%58.767.6-8.9
18 Louisville8080%57.473.9-16.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston990100%74.947.3+27.6
2 Kansas98189%77.765.4+12.2
3 Arizona State98189%71.860.1+11.7
4 Kansas State98189%73.262.1+11.1
5 Iowa State87188%71.856.8+15.0
6 Arizona87188%91.577.6+13.9
7 TCU87188%74.961.1+13.8
8 West Virginia97278%80.464.9+15.6
9 Baylor97278%84.669.1+15.4
10 Utah Utes97278%71.858.7+13.1
11 Texas Tech86275%72.561.0+11.5
12 UCF Knights86275%71.261.8+9.5
13 Cincinnati96367%79.469.0+10.4
14 Oklahoma State96367%72.862.3+10.4
15 Brigham Young95456%75.771.8+3.9
16 Colorado94544%71.368.8+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs332457
Arizona State284775
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