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SMU Mustangs vs Minnesota Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Apr 2014
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 63-65
0-0 27-30 0-0 36-35
Position#2
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game61.2
vs
Position#1
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game68.2
USANITNIT - Final
Other2014
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#16
W
64-57 OT
64
57
+7
H17/03
CIT
Jacksonville
#10
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H19/03
CIT
Northern Iowa
#7
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A22/03
CIT
Santa Clara
#1
L
55-72
55
72
-17
H26/03
CIT
UC Irvine
#30
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H20/03
NIT
LSU
#16
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H25/03
NIT
California
#5
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H27/03
NIT
Clemson
#4
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H01/04
NIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
24-22
0-0
28-30
0-0
36-22
0-0
27-40
0-0
31-23
0-0
26-27
0-0
30-32
0-0
25-40
0-0
29-30
0-0
39-24
0-0
35-40
0-0
45-27
0-0
32-29
0-0
35-36
0-0
26-38
0-0
39-21
125.6Avg total
64.9Scored
60.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.061.2131.2+8.8100%
Season at home (4)70.061.2131.2+8.8100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (8)64.960.8125.6+4.188%
Last 5 (5)67.063.4130.4+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)56.061.0117.0-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (3)65.062.0127.0+3.0100%
vs Weaker (1)80.067.0147.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Salle
#24
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A14/03
NIT
Miami (FL)
#14
W
78-60
78
60
+18
A20/03
NIT
Middle Tenn. St.
#7
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A21/03
NIT
Washington
#3
W
68-67 OT
68
67
+1
A28/03
NIT
Stanford
#1
L
51-75
51
75
-24
A29/03
NIT
High Point
#20
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H19/03
NIT
St. Marys (CA)
#10
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H23/03
NIT
Southern Miss
#7
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H26/03
NIT
Florida State
#3
W
67-64 OT
67
64
+3
H02/04
NIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
40-37
0-0
30-24
0-0
35-23
0-0
43-37
0-0
28-32
0-0
50-40
0-0
38-26
0-0
23-35
0-0
25-31
0-0
26-44
0-0
38-29
0-0
50-52
0-0
22-26
0-0
41-29
0-0
44-40
0-0
37-33
0-0
30-20
0-0
30-40
139.1Avg total
71.6Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.868.2143.0+6.5100%
Season at home (4)74.868.2143.0+6.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (9)71.667.6139.1+4.089%
Last 5 (5)70.069.6139.6+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)59.571.0130.5-11.550%
vs Similar ◀ (5)73.464.8138.2+8.6100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
SMU MustangsMinnesota
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#16
W
24-22
24
22
+2
H17/03
CIT
Jacksonville
#10
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H19/03
CIT
Northern Iowa
#7
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A22/03
CIT
Santa Clara
#1
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H26/03
CIT
UC Irvine
#30
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H20/03
NIT
LSU
#16
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H25/03
NIT
California
#5
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H27/03
NIT
Clemson
#4
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H01/04
NIT
59.9Avg total
30.4Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)30.429.559.9+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (7)30.330.460.7-0.143%-
Last 30 away (1)31.023.054.0+8.0100%-
Last 10 (8)30.429.559.9+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)30.433.864.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.527.558.0+3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)31.329.761.0+1.767%-
vs Weaker (1)35.040.075.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Salle
#24
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/03
NIT
Miami (FL)
#14
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A20/03
NIT
Middle Tenn. St.
#7
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A21/03
NIT
Washington
#3
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A28/03
NIT
Stanford
#1
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A29/03
NIT
High Point
#20
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H19/03
NIT
St. Marys (CA)
#10
L
22-26
22
26
-4
H23/03
NIT
Southern Miss
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H26/03
NIT
Florida State
#3
W
30-20
30
20
+10
H02/04
NIT
62.7Avg total
33.3Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)33.329.362.7+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (4)33.528.862.2+4.875%-
Last 30 away (5)33.229.863.0+3.460%-
Last 10 (9)33.329.362.7+4.067%-
Last 5 (5)31.829.261.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.528.560.0+3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)31.828.260.0+3.660%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
SMU Mustangs wins
0
Minnesota wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/14HClemson65-59
27/03/14HCalifornia67-65
25/03/14HLSU80-67
20/03/14HUC Irvine68-54
26/03/11HSanta Clara55-72
22/03/11ANorthern Iowa57-50
19/03/11HJacksonville63-62
17/03/11HOral Roberts64-57 OT
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/14HFlorida State67-64 OT
26/03/14HSouthern Miss81-73
23/03/14HSt. Marys (CA)63-55
19/03/14HHigh Point88-81
29/03/12AStanford51-75
28/03/12AWashington68-67 OT
21/03/12AMiddle Tenn. St.78-72
20/03/12AMiami (FL)78-60
14/03/12ALa Salle70-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NIT 2014
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game70.070.0-
Allowed / game61.261.2-
Point differential+8.8+8.8-
Avg total131.2131.2-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Minnesota
NIT 2014
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game74.874.8-
Allowed / game68.268.2-
Point differential+6.5+6.5-
Avg total143.0143.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%25%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 SMU Mustangs440100%70.061.2+8.8
2 Minnesota440100%74.868.2+6.5
3 Florida State43175%75.271.2+4.0
4 Clemson43175%65.062.0+3.0
5 California32167%72.365.0+7.3
6 Belmont32167%76.769.7+7.0
7 Southern Miss32167%70.067.7+2.3
8 Louisiana Tech32167%81.079.0+2.0
9 Arkansas21150%77.573.0+4.5
10 St. Marys (CA)21150%62.560.5+2.0
11 Illinois21150%57.556.0+1.5
12 Georgetown21150%83.583.0+0.5
13 Missouri21150%74.074.0+0.0
14 Robert Morris21150%80.080.0+0.0
15 Georgia21150%67.067.5-0.5
16 LSU21150%69.071.5-2.5
17 Iona1010%88.089.0-1.0
18 Boston University1010%62.066.0-4.0
19 Florida Gulf Coast1010%53.058.0-5.0
20 High Point1010%81.088.0-7.0
21 Toledo1010%59.066.0-7.0
22 Vermont1010%56.063.0-7.0
23 Davidson1010%77.085.0-8.0
24 San Francisco1010%63.071.0-8.0
25 St. John's (N.Y.)1010%78.089.0-11.0
26 Georgia State1010%66.078.0-12.0
27 Utah Utes1010%58.070.0-12.0
28 West Virginia1010%65.077.0-12.0
29 Utah Valley State1010%64.077.0-13.0
30 UC Irvine1010%54.068.0-14.0
31 Wisc. Green Bay1010%65.080.0-15.0
32 Indiana State1010%71.091.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
SMU Mustangs02703663
Minnesota03003565
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