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SMU Mustangs vs North Texas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 71-68
30-34 41-34
Position#99
Record16-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game64.4
vs
Position#159
Record13-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game60.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Texas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#116
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H03/01
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A07/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
W
75-64
75
64
+11
A13/01
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H17/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
103-70
103
70
+33
H20/01
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A26/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A28/01
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H02/02
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H04/02
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
95-69
95
69
+26
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-24
34-30
36-24
23-38
37-28
38-36
30-28
47-36
52-33
51-37
32-33
34-35
41-37
31-40
38-32
42-44
32-27
40-42
40-37
55-32
143.8Avg total
76.5Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.464.4140.9+12.070%
Season at home (13)78.962.8141.8+16.185%
Season away (10)73.266.5139.7+6.750%
Last 10 (10)76.567.3143.8+9.270%
Last 5 (5)77.071.8148.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.282.7153.8-11.50%
vs Similar ◀ (6)68.866.8135.7+2.033%
vs Weaker (18)79.563.9143.4+15.683%
This opponent (North Texas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North TexasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#255
W
74-62
74
62
+12
A05/01
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
70-56
70
56
+14
H06/01
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
69-51
69
51
+18
H13/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A18/01
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A20/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H26/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A28/01
NCAA
UAB
#77
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
H01/02
NCAA
South Florida
#20
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H03/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-30
32-32
38-28
32-28
32-22
37-29
30-26
30-33
22-27
22-29
33-32
35-34
28-26
35-40
35-26
37-46
31-26
24-34
35-24
33-31
126.3Avg total
65.0Scored
61.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)67.360.0127.3+7.359%
Season at home (13)71.259.7130.9+11.569%
Season away (9)61.660.4122.0+1.144%
Last 10 (10)65.061.3126.3+3.760%
Last 5 (5)66.665.8132.4+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)64.863.8128.5+1.038%
vs Weaker (14)68.154.9122.9+13.286%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.7+6.71st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: -1.9-1.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.7+6.71st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: -1.9-1.9
SMU MustangsNorth Texas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#116
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H03/01
NCAA
Memphis
#57
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A07/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A13/01
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H17/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H20/01
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A26/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H02/02
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H04/02
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A08/02
NCAA
67.3Avg total
37.0Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.631.568.1+5.177%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.130.667.7+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)36.032.668.6+3.479%-
Last 10 (10)37.030.367.3+6.790%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.269.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.539.374.8-3.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)33.827.261.0+6.783%-
vs Weaker (18)37.930.468.3+7.583%-
This opponent (North Texas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North TexasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#255
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A05/01
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H06/01
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H13/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A18/01
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
L
22-27
22
27
-5
A20/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H26/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A28/01
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H01/02
NCAA
South Florida
#20
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H03/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A08/02
NCAA
59.3Avg total
32.6Scored
26.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.826.660.4+7.277%-
Last 30 at home (20)34.926.461.3+8.485%-
Last 30 away (10)31.626.958.5+4.760%-
Last 10 (10)32.626.759.3+5.990%-
Last 5 (5)32.426.859.2+5.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.128.360.4+3.862%-
vs Weaker (14)35.225.460.6+9.886%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
SMU Mustangs wins
1
North Texas wins
DateGameScore
26/01/24North Texas v SMU Mustangs68-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24ARice95-69
04/02/24HUAB72-69
02/02/24HTulane80-76
28/01/24AWichita State72-77
26/01/24ANorth Texas66-68
20/01/24HTulsa103-70
17/01/24HTemple77-64
13/01/24AEast Carolina75-64
07/01/24AMemphis59-62
03/01/24HCharlotte66-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24ATulsa68-55
03/02/24HSouth Florida55-60
01/02/24HUAB79-82 OT
28/01/24AFlorida Atlantic63-66
26/01/24HSMU Mustangs68-66
20/01/24ACharlotte44-56
18/01/24AEast Carolina60-59
13/01/24HTemple69-51
06/01/24HTulane70-56
05/01/24AWichita State74-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW70%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %70%85%50%
Points / game76.478.973.2
Allowed / game64.462.866.5
Point differential+12.0+16.1+6.7
Avg total140.9141.8139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%69%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Texas
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW59%
HomeWWWLL69%
AwayWWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %59%69%44%
Points / game67.371.261.6
Allowed / game60.059.760.4
Point differential+7.3+11.5+1.1
Avg total127.3130.9122.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%54%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)20% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %9%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina2419579%82.570.4+12.0
2 Virginia2419579%65.857.7+8.0
3 Duke2318578%80.767.6+13.0
4 SMU Mustangs2316770%76.464.4+12.0
5 Wake Forest2316770%80.870.4+10.4
6 Clemson2316770%79.072.2+6.7
7 Pittsburgh2315865%75.366.7+8.6
8 NC State2415962%75.470.6+4.8
9 Syracuse2415962%75.674.5+1.1
10 Miami (FL)25151060%78.171.8+6.2
11 Virginia Tech23131057%74.069.4+4.5
12 Boston College23131057%75.372.4+2.8
13 Florida State23131057%76.674.3+2.3
14 Stanford23121152%78.875.8+3.0
15 California24101442%75.075.9-0.9
16 Georgia Tech24101442%71.876.3-4.5
17 Notre Dame2481633%62.065.8-3.7
18 Louisville2481633%73.978.2-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic2419579%83.572.2+11.2
2 South Florida2217577%75.168.9+6.2
3 Memphis2317674%80.475.2+5.2
4 UAB2315865%77.375.6+1.8
5 Charlotte2214864%69.264.5+4.7
6 North Texas2213959%67.360.0+7.3
7 Tulane2213959%85.179.3+5.8
8 Tulsa22121055%76.773.3+3.4
9 East Carolina24121250%69.568.3+1.2
10 Wichita State24101442%73.373.9-0.6
11 Rice2491538%72.976.0-3.2
12 Temple2381535%70.973.8-3.0
13 UTSA Roadrunners2481633%79.283.6-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs304171
North Texas343468
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