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SMU Mustangs vs Uconn Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-75
38-32 41-43
Position#126
Record12-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game69.9
vs
Position#109
Record11-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game63.9
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Uconn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#313
W
92-81 OT
92
81
+11
A05/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#187
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H09/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#276
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A11/01
NCAA
Houston
#31
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A16/01
NCAA
Temple
#262
W
68-52
68
52
+16
H19/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#276
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H23/01
NCAA
Memphis
#83
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A25/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#69
L
43-65
43
65
-22
A29/01
NCAA
Tulane
#285
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H02/02
NCAA
Temple
#262
L
90-97 OT
90
97
-7
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-40
37-37
35-29
46-45
38-27
30-44
20-31
42-40
25-27
43-25
40-26
44-38
32-41
42-29
19-33
24-32
28-31
54-36
48-31
32-49
145.6Avg total
74.4Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.669.9146.5+6.767%
Season at home (10)79.364.8144.1+14.590%
Season away (8)73.276.2149.5-3.038%
Last 10 (10)74.471.2145.6+3.260%
Last 5 (5)74.672.6147.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.061.0122.0+0.050%
vs Similar ◀ (12)70.567.5138.0+3.075%
vs Weaker (9)82.171.6153.7+10.667%
This opponent (Uconn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UconnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#220
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A04/01
NCAA
Tulane
#285
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H09/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#51
L
86-89 OT
86
89
-3
H12/01
NCAA
Villanova
#26
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A18/01
NCAA
Houston
#31
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A24/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#82
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
H26/01
NCAA
Temple
#262
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H30/01
NCAA
Memphis
#83
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A01/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#82
W
72-56
72
56
+16
A07/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#69
W
72-71 OT
72
71
+1
H09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-39
28-36
36-29
31-32
30-35
39-34
21-27
34-34
30-25
29-38
23-28
38-33
36-21
42-42
31-30
32-40
31-29
41-27
34-30
33-37
137.5Avg total
68.7Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)69.663.9133.4+5.755%
Season at home (14)73.763.2136.9+10.571%
Season away (6)60.065.3125.3-5.317%
Last 10 (10)68.768.8137.5-0.140%
Last 5 (5)72.067.8139.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.063.0122.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)67.568.6136.1-1.138%
vs Weaker (11)72.160.5132.5+11.673%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: -0.6-0.6
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: -0.6-0.6
SMU MustangsUconn
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#313
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A05/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#187
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H09/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#276
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A11/01
NCAA
Houston
#31
L
20-31
20
31
-11
A16/01
NCAA
Temple
#262
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H19/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#276
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H23/01
NCAA
Memphis
#83
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A25/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#69
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A29/01
NCAA
Tulane
#285
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H02/02
NCAA
Temple
#262
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A08/02
NCAA
64.1Avg total
32.5Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)32.630.062.6+2.656%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.629.462.0+3.156%-
Last 30 away (9)32.731.063.7+1.756%-
Last 10 (10)32.531.664.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)33.432.465.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.027.855.8+0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.331.363.7+1.058%-
vs Weaker (9)36.330.066.3+6.356%-
This opponent (Uconn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UconnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#220
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/01
NCAA
Tulane
#285
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H09/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#51
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H12/01
NCAA
Villanova
#26
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A18/01
NCAA
Houston
#31
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#82
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H26/01
NCAA
Temple
#262
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H30/01
NCAA
Memphis
#83
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A01/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#82
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A07/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#69
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H09/02
NCAA
59.7Avg total
30.4Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)30.929.960.8+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.329.561.9+2.860%-
Last 30 away (6)27.330.858.2-3.550%-
Last 10 (10)30.429.359.7+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)31.027.658.6+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.025.055.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)28.629.558.1-0.950%-
vs Weaker (11)33.330.063.3+3.364%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
SMU Mustangs wins
0
Uconn wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/20ATemple90-97 OT
02/02/20HTulane82-67
29/01/20ACincinnati43-65
25/01/20AMemphis74-70
23/01/20HEast Carolina84-64
19/01/20HTemple68-52
16/01/20AHouston62-71
11/01/20AEast Carolina68-71
09/01/20HUCF Knights81-74
05/01/20AVanderbilt92-81 OT
Uconnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HCincinnati72-71 OT
07/02/20ATulsa72-56
01/02/20AMemphis63-70
30/01/20HTemple78-63
26/01/20HTulsa75-79 OT
24/01/20AHouston59-63
18/01/20AVillanova55-61
12/01/20HWichita State86-89 OT
09/01/20HTulane67-61
04/01/20ASouth Florida60-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %67%90%38%
Points / game76.679.373.2
Allowed / game69.964.876.2
Point differential+6.7+14.5-3.0
Avg total146.5144.1149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%70%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %17%0%38%
Uconn
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20146
Win %55%71%17%
Points / game69.673.760.0
Allowed / game63.963.265.3
Point differential+5.8+10.5-5.3
Avg total133.4136.9125.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%57%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)20% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %20%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2017385%82.367.3+14.9
2 Florida State2017385%75.566.0+9.5
3 Louisville1916384%74.064.3+9.7
4 SMU Mustangs1812667%76.669.9+6.7
5 Pittsburgh1912763%67.563.7+3.7
6 NC State1912763%71.468.8+2.6
7 Virginia1912763%56.153.8+2.3
8 Stanford1811761%68.661.4+7.2
9 Notre Dame1911858%75.269.7+5.5
10 Syracuse2011955%75.570.9+4.6
11 Virginia Tech1991047%67.467.4+0.0
12 Wake Forest2091145%71.572.3-0.8
13 Georgia Tech2191243%67.266.9+0.3
14 Clemson1981142%63.564.7-1.2
15 Boston College1981142%62.668.9-6.3
16 Miami (FL)1871139%70.277.4-7.3
17 California1961332%59.968.6-8.7
18 North Carolina2061430%70.373.7-3.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Creighton2217577%77.770.0+7.7
2 Marquette2015575%79.270.9+8.3
3 Seton Hall2015575%72.866.0+6.7
4 Villanova1914574%72.067.8+4.2
5 Butler2115671%67.462.5+4.9
6 Uconn2011955%69.663.9+5.8
7 Georgetown2011955%75.872.3+3.5
8 Xavier22121055%70.768.9+1.8
9 St. John's (N.Y.)1991047%72.671.9+0.7
10 Providence1991047%67.268.4-1.2
11 DePaul1981142%71.371.4-0.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs384179
Uconn324375
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