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Sodertalje W vs Malbas Malmo W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 86-59
27-11 19-14 19-9 21-25
Position#6
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game86.0
Sodertalje W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Malbas Malmo W
Sweden
Position#8
Record0-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game90.0
SwedenBasketligan W· Taljehallen
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sodertalje W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Malbas Malmo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sodertalje WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#7
L
64-69
64
69
-5
60avg 73
A01/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
86-69
86
69
+17
84avg 73
H08/03
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
77-60
77
60
+17
76avg 73
A16/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
61-69
61
69
-8
55avg 73
A22/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
82-68
82
68
+14
86avg 73
A27/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
73-59
73
59
+14
69avg 73
H30/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
62-95
62
95
-33
52avg 73
A07/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
72-92
72
92
-20
61avg 73
H09/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
58-89
58
89
-31
54avg 73
A11/04
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
72avg 73
H28/09
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
21-16
13-15
18-15
24-18
23-13
17-20
22-18
20-18
19-9
15-11
23-22
17-16
11-15
20-17
13-21
26-13
16-16
20-21
20-18
19-19
19-10
22-19
13-11
22-22
8-27
17-25
15-21
12-26
20-28
18-20
22-18
14-23
5-25
13-18
26-23
15-18
25-14
12-26
26-20
148.2Avg total
72.6Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)91.086.0177.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)91.086.0177.0+5.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.675.6148.2-3.050%
Last 5 (5)71.284.2155.4-13.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)65.187.1152.2-22.00%
vs Similar (1)91.086.0177.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)81.164.9146.0+16.290%
This opponent (Malbas Malmo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Malbas Malmo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Onsala W
#8
W
66-55
66
55
+11
52avg 70
H01/02
Basketettan W
IK Eos Utveckling W
#9
W
93-46
93
46
+47
80avg 70
A13/02
Basketettan W
Norrkoping 2 W
#14
W
70-46
70
46
+24
58avg 70
A23/02
Basketettan W
KFUM Kalmar W
#19
W
90-37
90
37
+53
75avg 70
H01/03
Basketettan W
Team4Q W
#25
W
120-57
120
57
+63
110avg 70
H02/03
Basketettan W
Kvarnby Lions W
#6
W
59-52
59
52
+7
46avg 70
H16/03
Basketettan W
Lobas W
#22
W
94-46
94
46
+48
78avg 70
A26/03
Basketettan W
Team4Q W
#25
W
118-44
118
44
+74
107avg 70
A02/04
Basketettan W
Brahe W
#2
L
46-52
46
52
-6
35avg 70
H13/04
Basketettan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
71avg 70
H28/09
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
13-11
21-15
7-15
24-13
32-0
16-19
21-14
26-16
19-16
15-11
10-3
17-10
27-12
16-2
30-13
30-17
35-13
26-14
29-13
19-12
12-16
6-11
22-13
25-3
23-20
23-13
23-10
28-11
28-11
26-12
36-10
7-11
10-12
16-13
13-16
21-25
27-21
13-17
17-27
135.9Avg total
83.4Scored
52.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.090.0168.0-12.00%
Season at home (1)78.090.0168.0-12.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.452.5135.9+30.980%
Last 5 (5)79.056.8135.8+22.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)78.090.0168.0-12.00%
vs Similar (2)58.564.0122.5-5.50%
vs Weaker (27)80.450.7131.2+29.793%
This opponent (Sodertalje W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +9.0+9.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +9.4+9.4Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +7.4+7.4
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +9.0+9.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +9.4+9.4Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +7.4+7.4
Sodertalje WMalbas Malmo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sodertalje WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#7
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A01/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H08/03
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A16/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A22/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A27/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H30/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A07/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H09/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
19-48
19
48
-29
A11/04
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H28/09
Basketligan W
71.7Avg total
34.8Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.337.275.5+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.036.277.2+4.860%-
Last 30 away (15)35.538.373.8-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)34.836.971.7-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)31.842.474.2-10.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.648.279.8-16.70%-
vs Similar (1)40.032.072.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)41.232.573.8+8.765%-
This opponent (Malbas Malmo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Malbas Malmo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Onsala W
#8
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H01/02
Basketettan W
IK Eos Utveckling W
#9
W
56-13
56
13
+43
A13/02
Basketettan W
Norrkoping 2 W
#14
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A23/02
Basketettan W
KFUM Kalmar W
#19
W
44-22
44
22
+22
H01/03
Basketettan W
Team4Q W
#25
W
65-30
65
30
+35
H02/03
Basketettan W
Kvarnby Lions W
#6
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H16/03
Basketettan W
Lobas W
#22
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A26/03
Basketettan W
Team4Q W
#25
W
56-22
56
22
+34
A02/04
Basketettan W
Brahe W
#2
L
17-23
17
23
-6
H13/04
Basketettan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H28/09
Basketligan W
71.2Avg total
44.8Scored
26.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.025.966.9+15.087%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.527.166.6+12.380%-
Last 30 away (15)42.524.767.2+17.793%-
Last 10 (10)44.826.471.2+18.490%-
Last 5 (5)40.028.468.4+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)48.046.094.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (2)28.524.052.5+4.550%-
vs Weaker (27)41.625.367.0+16.389%-
This opponent (Sodertalje W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sodertalje Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sodertalje W: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.219.4
47.1%
46.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.7
31.2%
31.2%20.1
🏀 Free throws17.712.5
70.6%
72.5%12.5
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malbas Malmo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas Malmo W: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.119.0
47.4%
46.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.311.2
30.0%
31.2%33.6
🏀 Free throws15.911.1
69.8%
72.5%11.1
They take 77.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sodertalje W
WLLLWWLWWL
Malbas Malmo W
LLWWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#8
-4.5
Net rating
+35.8
94.8
Offensive rating
101.1
99.3
Defensive rating
65.3
47.0%
Effective FG%
46.3%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
39.3%
22.2%
Turnover %
16.3%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.21
31.2%
3-point %
30.0%
60.2%
Assist %
60.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence94.8 · 101.1Defence99.3 · 65.3Shooting47.0% · 46.3%3-point %31.2% · 30.0%Ball care22.2% · 16.3%Off. rebounds31.5% · 32.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Sodertalje W   ■ Malbas Malmo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sodertalje W wins
0
Malbas Malmo W wins
No previous meetings.
Sodertalje Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25HHogsbo W91-86 OT
11/04/25ALulea W58-89
09/04/25HLulea W72-92
07/04/25ALulea W62-95
30/03/25HAlvik W73-59
27/03/25AAlvik W82-68
22/03/25AAlvik W61-69
16/03/25AMarkSjuharad W77-60
08/03/25HUppsala W86-69
01/03/25AAIK Basket W64-69
Malbas Malmo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25HUppsala W78-90
13/04/25HBrahe W46-52
02/04/25ATeam4Q W118-44
26/03/25ALobas W94-46
16/03/25HKvarnby Lions W59-52
02/03/25HTeam4Q W120-57
01/03/25HKFUM Kalmar W90-37
23/02/25ANorrkoping 2 W70-46
13/02/25AIK Eos Utveckling W93-46
01/02/25HOnsala W66-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sodertalje W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game91.091.0-
Allowed / game86.086.0-
Point differential+5.0+5.0-
Avg total177.0177.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %100%100%-
Malbas Malmo W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game78.078.0-
Allowed / game90.090.0-
Point differential-12.0-12.0-
Avg total168.0168.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket W110100%94.052.0+42.0
2 Lulea W110100%90.063.0+27.0
3 Uppsala W220100%89.076.5+12.5
4 Sodertalje W110100%91.086.0+5.0
5 Norrkoping W21150%84.567.5+17.0
6 Hogsbo W1010%86.091.0-5.0
7 Malbas Malmo W1010%78.090.0-12.0
8 Lund W1010%75.088.0-13.0
9 Brahe W1010%52.094.0-42.0
10 RIG Lulea W1010%45.0106.0-61.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sodertalje W2719192186
Malbas Malmo W111492559
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