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Sofadon vs Komotini Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 81-71
Projected total 152.0
Final 70-55
21-12 12-16 16-10 21-17
Position#7
Record3-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game74.0
Sofadon 🏆
Greece
Vs
79%
21%
■ SOFA 79%■ KOMO 21%
Pythia win probability
Komotini
Greece
Position#10
Record3-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game79.0
GreeceA2Round 7
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

The A2 clash on 6 November 2026 pits Sofadon against Komotini, with Sofadon the clear favourite as the model rates them 79% to win, reflecting their balanced 3-3 record and 76.5 points per game compared with Komotini's 75.2. Sofadon has a 2-1 home record, averaging 74.0 points and allowing 68.0, and they have won two of their last five games, including a 72-62 home win over Glafkos Esperos and a 96-85 away victory over Panerythraikos, while Komotini's road record is 1-2, with 74.7 points scored and 86.7 allowed, and they have also won two of five, notably a 83-71 home win over Chalkida. The teams have split their head-to-head encounters, the most recent being a 71-83 loss for Komotini to Lavrio. Pythia projects an 81-71 score, with Sofadon covering the -1.5 spread 77% of the time and the over on the 147.5 total 60% of the time, and a 4% chance of overtime. The game will likely see Sofadon maintain their modest edge, but Komotini's recent road struggles hint at a tighter contest than the numbers alone suggest.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sofadon winWon
79.2%fair 1.26
Best odds1.60
Implied61.1%
Edge+18.1pp
Komotini winLost
20.8%fair 4.81
Best odds2.39
Implied38.9%
Edge-18.1pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SofadonGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panerythraikos
#11
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A28/03
A2
Volos
#14
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H04/04
A2
Volos
#14
W
86-47
86
47
+39
H08/04
A2
Volos
#14
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A15/04
A2
Amyntas
#12
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H03/10
A2
Peiramatiko Machites
#5
L
91-92
91
92
-1
A12/10
A2
Psychikou
#6
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H17/10
A2
Panerythraikos
#9
W
96-85
96
85
+11
A22/10
A2
Glafkos Esperos
#15
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H25/10
A2
Proteas Voulas
#4
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A31/10
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
25-24
22-22
19-11
18-13
20-23
26-10
18-19
15-11
23-8
25-13
23-15
20-13
20-24
22-17
14-11
17-18
17-18
22-14
14-11
28-23
24-31
19-20
20-18
20-20
17-21
29-22
14-18
35-25
18-25
21-12
22-23
16-18
21-17
20-12
15-15
9-14
13-20
12-17
16-12
149.0Avg total
79.1Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.574.0150.5+2.550%
Season at home (3)74.068.0142.0+6.067%
Season away (3)79.080.0159.0-1.033%
Last 10 (10)79.169.9149.0+9.270%
Last 5 (5)77.876.6154.4+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.680.8152.4-9.220%
vs Similar (12)80.981.5162.4-0.642%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.169.7152.8+13.477%
This opponent (Komotini) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KomotiniGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amyntas
#14
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H30/09
Greek Cup
EFAO Zografou
#13
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A18/09
Greek Cup
Proteas Voulas
#4
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H03/10
A2
Panionios
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A10/10
A2
Anagennisi
#14
W
90-82 OT
90
82
+8
A17/10
A2
Papagou
#11
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H21/10
A2
Lavrio
#1
L
57-95
57
95
-38
A24/10
A2
Chalkida
#8
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H30/10
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-21
14-12
22-22
23-17
15-18
15-22
24-18
14-19
18-9
21-23
20-19
18-21
15-23
24-25
12-15
26-20
18-26
23-15
20-22
19-17
15-15
20-20
17-19
15-17
19-19
14-25
15-20
9-31
24-20
16-18
21-14
22-19
151.5Avg total
73.6Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.279.0154.2-3.850%
Season at home (3)75.771.3147.0+4.367%
Season away (3)74.786.7161.3-12.033%
Last 10 (8)73.677.9151.5-4.238%
Last 5 (5)74.880.4155.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)73.580.2153.8-6.850%
vs Similar (2)78.576.5155.0+2.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sofadon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 143Actual: Under 143
Over 143
70.8%
Under 143
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 148 · main lineActual: Under 148
Over 148
59.3%
@ 1.87+9.3pp
Under 148
40.7%
@ 1.87-9.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.77
Over/Under 153Actual: Under 153
Over 153
46.8%
Under 153
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Sofadon total 71.5Actual: Sofadon under 71.5
Over 71.5
81.8%
@ 1.36+17.2pp
Under 71.5
18.2%
@ 2.48-17.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.36
Under
1xBet
2.48
Sofadon total 75.5 · main lineActual: Sofadon under 75.5
Over 75.5
69.5%
@ 1.88+19.4pp
Under 75.5
30.5%
@ 1.85-19.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.88
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.68
Under
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.76
Sofadon total 79.5Actual: Sofadon under 79.5
Over 79.5
54.4%
@ 2.32+16.8pp
Under 79.5
45.6%
@ 1.40-16.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.32
Under
1xBet
1.40
Komotini total 68.5Actual: Komotini under 68.5
Over 68.5
60.5%
@ 1.38-2.8pp
Under 68.5
39.5%
@ 2.38+2.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
Under
1xBet
2.38
Komotini total 72.5 · main lineActual: Komotini under 72.5
Over 72.5
45.0%
@ 1.87-4.8pp
Under 72.5
55.0%
@ 1.88+4.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.74
Under
BetVictor
1.88
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.71
Komotini total 76.5Actual: Komotini under 76.5
Over 76.5
30.4%
@ 2.42-5.7pp
Under 76.5
69.6%
@ 1.37+5.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.42
Under
1xBet
1.37

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Sofadon -6.5Actual: Sofadon -6.5
SOFA -6.5
60.1%
@ 2.20+19.9pp
KOMO +6.5
39.9%
@ 1.48-19.9pp
Best 5 market prices
SOFA
1xBet
2.20
KOMO
1xBet
1.48
Spread Sofadon -3.5 · main lineActual: Sofadon -3.5
SOFA -3.5
70.8%
@ 1.91+19.7pp
KOMO +3.5
29.2%
@ 1.91-19.7pp
Best 5 market prices
SOFA
Betfair
1.91
BetVictor
1.88
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.78
KOMO
Pinnacle
1.91
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Spread Sofadon -0.5Actual: Sofadon -0.5
SOFA -0.5
79.2%
KOMO +0.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
SOFA
No market prices yet.
KOMO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.9-1.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.9-1.9
SofadonKomotini
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SofadonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panerythraikos
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/03
A2
Volos
#14
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H04/04
A2
Volos
#14
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H08/04
A2
Volos
#14
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A15/04
A2
Amyntas
#12
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H03/10
A2
Peiramatiko Machites
#5
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A12/10
A2
Psychikou
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H17/10
A2
Panerythraikos
#9
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A22/10
A2
Glafkos Esperos
#15
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H25/10
A2
Proteas Voulas
#4
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A31/10
A2
78.5Avg total
39.8Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 73.5
Last 30 (30)41.638.680.2+3.060%67%
Last 30 at home (15)40.835.976.7+4.967%53%
Last 30 away (15)42.441.483.8+1.053%80%
Last 10 (10)39.838.778.5+1.160%60%
Last 5 (5)40.242.883.0-2.640%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.441.279.6-2.820%80%
vs Similar (12)42.540.282.7+2.358%67%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.036.278.2+5.877%62%
This opponent (Komotini) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KomotiniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amyntas
#14
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H30/09
Greek Cup
EFAO Zografou
#13
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A18/09
Greek Cup
Proteas Voulas
#4
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H03/10
A2
Panionios
#2
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A10/10
A2
Anagennisi
#14
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A17/10
A2
Papagou
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H21/10
A2
Lavrio
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A24/10
A2
Chalkida
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H30/10
A2
74.1Avg total
35.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 73.5
Last 30 (8)35.238.974.1-3.625%50%
Last 30 at home (4)34.834.569.2+0.250%25%
Last 30 away (4)35.843.279.0-7.50%75%
Last 10 (8)35.238.974.1-3.625%50%
Last 5 (5)37.641.278.8-3.620%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)37.840.578.2-2.850%75%
vs Similar (2)38.038.076.0+0.00%50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sofadon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Sofadon win
SOFA win
no forecast
@ 1.64
KOMO win
no forecast
@ 2.15
1st half Spread Sofadon -1.5 · main lineActual: Sofadon -1.5
SOFA -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
KOMO +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 73.5 · main lineActual: Under 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.84
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Sofadon 1st half total 37 · main lineActual: Sofadon under 37
Over
no forecast
@ 1.71
Under
no forecast
@ 1.73
Komotini 1st half total 35.5 · main lineActual: Komotini under 35.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half: SOFA + total 73.5
SOFA & over
no forecast
@ 3.50
SOFA & under
no forecast
@ 3.25
1st half: Draw + total 73.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 26.00
1st half: KOMO + total 73.5
KOMO & over
no forecast
@ 4.25
KOMO & under
no forecast
@ 4.00
1st half Over/Under 72.25Actual: Under 72.25
Over
no forecast
@ 1.72
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Spread Sofadon -2.5Actual: Sofadon -2.5
SOFA -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.92
KOMO +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.64
1st half Spread Sofadon -3.5Actual: Sofadon -3.5
SOFA -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.08
KOMO +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.54
1st half Spread Sofadon -4.5Actual: Sofadon -4.5
SOFA -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
KOMO +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.45
1st half Spread Sofadon +1.5Actual: Sofadon +1.5
SOFA +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
KOMO -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.23
1st half Spread Sofadon -5.5Actual: Komotini +5.5
SOFA -5.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
KOMO +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.38
1st half Spread Sofadon +2.5Actual: Sofadon +2.5
SOFA +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.39
KOMO -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.45
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Sofadon (regulation)
SOFA
no forecast
@ 1.74
Draw
no forecast
@ 16.00
KOMO
no forecast
@ 2.25

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
SOFA win + total 147.5
🔒 Pro
KOMO win + total 147.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: SOFA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: KOMO leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Sofadon -372.8%1.76
Pinnacle
1.76		----+19.7ppWon
Sofadon -3.570.8%1.84
Betfair
1.91
BetVictor
1.88
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.78		+19.7ppWon
Sofadon -276.2%1.64
Pinnacle
1.64		----+19.6ppWon
Sofadon (regulation)77.0%1.55
1xBet
1.55		----+19.5ppWon
Sofadon -178.8%1.56
Pinnacle
1.56		----+19.5ppWon
Sofadon over 7571.9%1.64
1xBet
1.64		----+19.3ppLost
Sofadon -1.577.1%1.59
1xBet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.59		---+18.8ppWon
Sofadon -2.573.6%1.68
Bet365
1.74
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.62		--+18.5ppWon
Sofadon over 74.572.9%1.58
1xBet
1.58		----+18.3ppLost
Sofadon over 73.576.1%1.50
1xBet
1.50		----+18.2ppLost
Sofadon win79.2%1.55
WilliamHill
1.60
BetVictor
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.55
1xBet
1.54		+18.1ppWon
Sofadon over 69.586.5%1.29
1xBet
1.29		----+17.8ppWon
Sofadon over 72.579.0%1.42
1xBet
1.42		----+17.7ppLost
Sofadon over 71.581.8%1.36
1xBet
1.36		----+17.2ppLost
Sofadon over 70.584.3%1.30
1xBet
1.30		----+16.4ppLost
Sofadon +3.585.5%1.28
1xBet
1.28		----+15.9ppWon
Sofadon +1.581.1%1.36
1xBet
1.36		----+15.9ppWon
Sofadon +2.583.7%1.30
1xBet
1.30		----+15.2ppWon
Komotini under 77.572.9%1.32
1xBet
1.32		----+5.9ppWon
Komotini under 78.575.9%1.27
1xBet
1.27		----+5.9ppWon
Overtime: no96.2%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+4.7pp-
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sofadon wins
0
Komotini wins
No previous meetings.
Sofadonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AProteas Voulas50-63
25/10/26HGlafkos Esperos72-62
22/10/26APanerythraikos96-85
17/10/26HPsychikou80-81
12/10/26APeiramatiko Machites91-92
03/10/26HAmyntas70-61
15/04/26AVolos76-65
08/04/26HVolos86-47
04/04/26HVolos82-65
28/03/26APanerythraikos88-78
Komotinilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HChalkida83-71
24/10/26ALavrio57-95
21/10/26HPapagou67-71
17/10/26AAnagennisi90-82 OT
10/10/26APanionios77-83
03/10/26HProteas Voulas77-72
18/09/24AEFAO Zografou68-77
30/09/23HAmyntas70-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sofadon
A2 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game76.574.079.0
Allowed / game74.068.080.0
Point differential+2.5+6.0-1.0
Avg total150.5142.0159.0
Over 14850%33%67%
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Komotini
A2 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game75.275.774.7
Allowed / game79.071.386.7
Point differential-3.8+4.3-12.0
Avg total154.2147.0161.3
Over 14883%67%100%
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lavrio660100%85.868.7+17.2
2 Panionios660100%84.371.8+12.5
3 NE Megaridas64267%78.270.0+8.2
4 Proteas Voulas64267%74.069.7+4.3
5 Peiramatiko Machites64267%82.379.0+3.3
6 Psychikou64267%74.774.7+0.0
7 Sofadon63350%76.574.0+2.5
8 Chalkida63350%81.882.0-0.2
9 Panerythraikos63350%89.590.8-1.3
10 Komotini63350%75.279.0-3.8
11 Papagou62433%76.580.7-4.2
12 Amyntas62433%64.777.7-13.0
13 Kronos Agiou Dimitriou61517%72.875.3-2.5
14 Anagennisi61517%74.880.7-5.8
15 Glafkos Esperos61517%73.882.3-8.5
16 Koroivos61517%76.785.3-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sofadon2112162170
Komotini1216101755
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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