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South Alabama vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 69-62
28-32 41-30
Position#108
Record8-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game59.7
vs
Position#235
Record3-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game61.6
Allowed / game63.9
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spring Hill
#526
W
102-41
102
41
+61
H10/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#179
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A13/11
NCAA
Alabama
#147
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A17/11
NCAA
Mobile
#494
W
78-45
78
45
+33
H20/11
NCAA
William Carey
#462
W
96-53
96
53
+43
H23/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A25/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#151
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A26/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#103
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H30/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#346
W
85-55
85
55
+30
H02/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#73
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A05/12
NCAA
1H
2H
52-17
50-24
32-32
26-32
34-31
34-42
37-20
41-25
47-27
49-26
31-38
37-29
33-35
39-34
25-32
44-34
45-24
40-31
28-27
46-37
136.7Avg total
77.0Scored
59.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.059.7136.7+17.380%
Season at home (5)86.052.0138.0+34.0100%
Season away (5)68.067.4135.4+0.660%
Last 10 (10)77.059.7136.7+17.380%
Last 5 (5)73.664.2137.8+9.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.375.0146.3-3.743%
vs Similar (11)68.766.0134.7+2.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)77.364.4141.6+12.973%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#202
L
50-62
50
62
-12
A10/11
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
62-88
62
88
-26
A13/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#179
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A17/11
NCAA
Paul Quinn
#445
W
69-42
69
42
+27
H20/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A23/11
NCAA
Michigan
#159
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A25/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A30/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#350
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H06/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#516
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H08/12
NCAA
SAGU
#574
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-24
24-38
31-39
31-49
22-29
29-36
42-21
27-21
26-23
27-31
22-31
32-34
25-26
30-38
28-30
29-29
46-36
38-29
46-28
35-47
125.5Avg total
61.6Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)61.663.9125.5-2.330%
Season at home (4)72.860.2133.0+12.575%
Season away (6)54.266.3120.5-12.20%
Last 10 (10)61.663.9125.5-2.330%
Last 5 (5)66.265.6131.8+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)59.671.9131.4-12.30%
vs Similar (9)60.665.1125.7-4.633%
vs Weaker (12)75.959.8135.7+16.267%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: +9.2+9.22nd half: -5.0-5.0
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: +9.2+9.22nd half: -5.0-5.0
South AlabamaTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spring Hill
#526
W
52-17
52
17
+35
H10/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#179
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A13/11
NCAA
Alabama
#147
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A17/11
NCAA
Mobile
#494
W
37-20
37
20
+17
H20/11
NCAA
William Carey
#462
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H23/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A25/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#151
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A26/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#103
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H30/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#346
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H02/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#73
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A05/12
NCAA
64.7Avg total
36.4Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.631.966.5+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.230.968.1+6.360%-
Last 30 away (15)31.933.064.9-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)36.428.364.7+8.160%-
Last 5 (5)32.431.263.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.136.970.0-3.743%-
vs Similar (11)32.630.663.3+2.055%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)37.231.268.4+6.045%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#202
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A10/11
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A13/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#179
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A17/11
NCAA
Paul Quinn
#445
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H20/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A23/11
NCAA
Michigan
#159
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A25/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A30/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#350
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H06/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#516
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H08/12
NCAA
SAGU
#574
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H09/12
NCAA
60.1Avg total
31.4Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)33.529.563.0+4.050%-
Last 30 at home (11)39.528.067.5+11.564%-
Last 30 away (17)29.630.460.0-0.841%-
Last 10 (10)31.428.760.1+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)33.430.263.6+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.131.161.3-1.029%-
vs Similar (9)28.831.360.1-2.633%-
vs Weaker (12)39.027.166.1+11.975%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
South Alabama wins
0
Tarleton wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/21AJacksonville State74-64
02/12/21HSouthern Miss85-55
30/11/21HTexas A&M-CC69-66
26/11/21AHawaii72-69
25/11/21ASan Diego Toreros68-67
23/11/21HWilliam Carey96-53
20/11/21HMobile78-45
17/11/21AAlabama68-73
13/11/21AWichita State58-64
10/11/21HSpring Hill102-41
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/21HSAGU81-75
08/12/21HDallas Christian84-65
06/12/21HCharleston Southern57-59
30/11/21AGonzaga55-64
25/11/21AMichigan54-65
23/11/21ANorth Dakota St53-54
20/11/21HPaul Quinn69-42
17/11/21AWichita State51-65
13/11/21AKansas62-88
10/11/21AStanford50-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Alabama
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%100%60%
Points / game77.086.068.0
Allowed / game59.752.067.4
Point differential+17.3+34.0+0.6
Avg total136.7138.0135.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tarleton
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW30%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%75%0%
Points / game61.672.854.2
Allowed / game63.960.266.3
Point differential-2.3+12.5-12.2
Avg total125.5133.0120.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison119282%76.763.4+13.4
2 South Alabama108280%77.059.7+17.3
3 Texas State97278%78.265.2+13.0
4 Arkansas State97278%74.970.2+4.7
5 Marshall107370%83.173.3+9.8
6 Troy117464%72.966.3+6.6
7 Georgia State85362%78.168.5+9.6
8 Coastal Carolina85362%71.466.4+5.0
9 Louisiana Monroe106460%81.476.4+5.0
10 Georgia Southern95456%71.059.9+11.1
11 Louisiana Lafayette95456%72.969.0+3.9
12 Appalachian State116555%69.758.0+11.7
13 Old Dominion115645%63.264.1-0.9
14 Southern Miss94544%61.470.8-9.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 California Baptist108280%73.663.3+10.3
2 Abilene Christian86275%84.063.6+20.4
3 Southern Utah107370%81.672.8+8.8
4 Utah Valley State107370%73.265.1+8.1
5 Utah Tech105550%80.277.7+2.5
6 UT Arlington83538%63.170.5-7.4
7 Tarleton103730%61.663.9-2.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
South Alabama284169
Tarleton323062
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