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South Florida vs Colorado State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 68-83
29-33 39-50
Position#40
Record4-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#90
Record5-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game71.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Florida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Colorado State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#162
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H02/03
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A08/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A13/03
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
102-67
102
67
+35
H04/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
95-99
95
99
-4
A08/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
100-50
100
50
+50
H13/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
108-89
108
89
+19
A16/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
95-103
95
103
-8
A20/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H26/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
97-91 OT
97
91
+6
H27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-34
38-35
35-35
33-49
28-38
40-35
47-33
55-34
40-44
55-55
49-23
51-27
56-41
52-48
45-44
50-59
33-36
33-42
40-50
44-34
166.5Avg total
86.2Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.782.4177.1+12.357%
Season at home (4)91.271.5162.8+19.875%
Season away (3)99.397.0196.3+2.333%
Last 10 (10)86.280.3166.5+5.940%
Last 5 (5)93.282.2175.4+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.780.9150.6-11.10%
vs Similar (16)72.974.8147.6-1.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)98.377.0175.3+21.383%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#55
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H15/03
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A21/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A23/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
98-64
98
64
+34
H04/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
97-74
97
74
+23
H09/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H13/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A16/11
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H22/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H26/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-22
37-34
31-36
47-34
37-30
34-42
41-27
57-37
48-38
49-36
47-37
46-42
33-21
47-46
33-41
48-42
26-33
38-33
47-30
29-40
150.8Avg total
80.7Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.171.9156.0+12.371%
Season at home (5)86.673.2159.8+13.460%
Season away (2)78.068.5146.5+9.5100%
Last 10 (10)80.770.1150.8+10.670%
Last 5 (5)78.873.0151.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)71.072.0143.0-1.00%
vs Similar (14)74.670.9145.6+3.771%
vs Weaker (15)82.163.0145.1+19.193%
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +4.6+4.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +4.6+4.6
South FloridaColorado State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#162
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H02/03
NCAA
Memphis
#15
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A08/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A13/03
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H04/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A08/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H13/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A16/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A20/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H26/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H27/11
NCAA
77.6Avg total
39.8Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.536.272.7+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.634.269.8+1.444%-
Last 30 away (14)37.438.676.0-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)39.837.877.6+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)44.638.883.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.440.371.7-8.914%-
vs Similar (16)33.435.168.5-1.831%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)47.736.283.8+11.583%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#55
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H15/03
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A21/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A23/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H04/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H09/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H13/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A16/11
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H22/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H26/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A28/11
NCAA
69.0Avg total
37.5Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.830.367.1+6.473%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.630.570.1+9.282%-
Last 30 away (13)33.030.263.2+2.862%-
Last 10 (10)37.531.569.0+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)37.232.469.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)37.030.067.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (14)35.432.167.5+3.250%-
vs Weaker (15)38.128.766.7+9.493%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
South Florida wins
0
Colorado State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25HWestern Kentucky97-91 OT
26/11/25HVCU Rams66-78
20/11/25AOklahoma State95-103
16/11/25AKennesaw State108-89
13/11/25HCoppin State100-50
08/11/25AGeorge Washington95-99
04/11/25HFlorida A&M102-67
13/03/25AWichita State68-73
08/03/25AMemphis68-84
02/03/25HFlorida Atlantic63-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25AWichita State76-70
26/11/25HVirginia Tech64-66
22/11/25HDenver81-83
16/11/25ALoyola Chicago80-67
13/11/25HCal Poly93-79
09/11/25HNebraska O.97-74
04/11/25HIncarnate Word98-64
23/03/25AMaryland71-72
21/03/25AMemphis78-70
15/03/25HBoise State69-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Florida
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game94.791.299.3
Allowed / game82.471.597.0
Point differential+12.3+19.8+2.3
Avg total177.1162.8196.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
Colorado State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW71%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%60%100%
Points / game84.186.678.0
Allowed / game71.973.268.5
Point differential+12.3+13.4+9.5
Avg total156.0159.8146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa76186%83.068.4+14.6
2 UAB86275%86.170.0+16.1
3 Florida Atlantic75271%80.072.0+8.0
4 North Texas75271%71.163.1+8.0
5 Tulane75271%77.678.3-0.7
6 South Florida74357%94.782.4+12.3
7 Wichita State74357%77.765.7+12.0
8 UTSA Roadrunners74357%77.165.9+11.3
9 Temple74357%79.376.6+2.7
10 Charlotte83538%71.872.6-0.9
11 Rice93633%75.673.3+2.2
12 Memphis62433%74.075.3-1.3
13 East Carolina72529%67.780.6-12.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State660100%89.765.0+24.7
2 Wyoming76186%87.068.9+18.1
3 Fresno State86275%78.167.4+10.8
4 Colorado State75271%84.171.9+12.3
5 New Mexico75271%77.971.9+6.0
6 Boise State85362%78.470.6+7.8
7 Nevada85362%77.474.1+3.2
8 Grand Canyon74357%74.669.6+5.0
9 San Diego State63350%81.579.2+2.3
10 San Jose State73443%73.371.7+1.6
11 UNLV83538%84.286.1-1.9
12 Air Force83538%68.073.5-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
South Florida293968
Colorado State335083
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