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SP Basket vs Chomutov Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 60-72
12-20 19-18 7-13 22-21
Position#17
Record1-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game61.6
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#15
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game88.0
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 8· Sokol Prazsky
Other2023-24
Meetings · SP Basket v Chomutov
03 Nov 2023
SP B60
CHOM72
18 Nov 2022
SP B86
CHOM79
03 Dec 2021
SP B79
CHOM73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SP Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chomutov winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SP BasketCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Prostejov
#18
W
84-65
84
65
+19
no box
A19/03
1. Liga
Jihlava
#20
W
103-67
103
67
+36
no box
H24/03
1. Liga
Snakes Ostrava
#17
W
98-94
98
94
+4
no box
H31/03
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#6
L
57-61
57
61
-4
no box
H15/09
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
L
66-105
66
105
-39
no box
A24/09
1. Liga
Litomerice
#4
L
51-66
51
66
-15
no box
H29/09
1. Liga
Radotin
#12
L
69-75
69
75
-6
no box
A08/10
1. Liga
Polabi
#14
W
81-73
81
73
+8
68avg 47
H13/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#13
L
54-68
54
68
-14
37avg 47
H20/10
1. Liga
Plzen
#8
L
53-92
53
92
-39
35avg 47
A27/10
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-15
26-24
13-7
15-19
26-11
29-19
24-13
24-24
29-28
24-25
20-15
25-26
21-12
17-20
7-16
12-13
20-37
18-24
7-16
21-28
17-22
14-13
7-11
13-20
13-10
17-18
15-20
24-27
21-26
20-15
22-14
18-18
14-17
15-18
18-11
7-22
8-26
13-19
15-28
17-19
148.2Avg total
71.6Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)61.677.1138.7-15.614%
Season at home (4)60.867.0127.8-6.225%
Season away (3)62.790.7153.3-28.00%
Last 10 (10)71.676.6148.2-5.040%
Last 5 (5)61.674.8136.4-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)65.988.6154.6-22.711%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.378.7157.0-0.443%
vs Weaker (4)80.862.0142.8+18.875%
This opponent (Chomutov) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChomutovCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChomutov
Date
Competition
Jihlava
#20
W
100-74
100
74
+26
no box
H17/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#13
L
84-88
84
88
-4
no box
H26/03
1. Liga
Prostejov
#18
W
103-79
103
79
+24
no box
H02/04
1. Liga
Plzen
#8
L
90-103
90
103
-13
no box
A15/09
1. Liga
Polabi
#14
W
94-84
94
84
+10
no box
A24/09
1. Liga
Liberecko
#10
L
62-79
62
79
-17
no box
H29/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#6
L
68-87
68
87
-19
no box
A06/10
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
68avg 57
H13/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#4
L
64-88
64
88
-24
46avg 57
A20/10
1. Liga
Radotin
#12
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
no box
H27/10
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
22-17
23-21
25-19
29-26
14-20
17-21
24-21
36-16
22-27
21-19
24-17
21-20
24-26
30-24
15-33
18-17
23-10
31-20
22-37
18-22
9-15
20-22
15-20
14-22
12-25
28-18
14-22
28-19
17-18
23-20
15-34
14-29
18-15
20-26
12-18
15-33
24-18
18-9
18-15
168.4Avg total
82.7Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.188.0165.1-10.914%
Season at home (3)74.784.7159.3-10.00%
Season away (4)79.090.5169.5-11.525%
Last 10 (10)82.785.7168.4-3.030%
Last 5 (5)71.285.8157.0-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)78.094.9172.9-16.918%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.981.9159.8-4.022%
vs Weaker (4)73.253.2126.5+20.0100%
This opponent (SP Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -5.2-5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -5.2-5.2
SP BasketChomutov
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SP BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prostejov
#18
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A19/03
1. Liga
Jihlava
#20
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H24/03
1. Liga
Snakes Ostrava
#17
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H31/03
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#6
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H15/09
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
L
38-61
38
61
-23
A24/09
1. Liga
Litomerice
#4
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H29/09
1. Liga
Radotin
#12
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A08/10
1. Liga
Polabi
#14
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H13/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#13
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H20/10
1. Liga
Plzen
#8
L
21-45
21
45
-24
A27/10
1. Liga
79.1Avg total
39.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.243.780.8-6.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.742.881.4-4.138%-
Last 30 away (14)35.444.780.1-9.329%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.979.1-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)30.436.867.2-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)33.446.780.2-13.36%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.938.980.7+3.086%-
vs Weaker (4)47.233.080.2+14.275%-
This opponent (Chomutov) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChomutovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jihlava
#20
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H17/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#13
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H26/03
1. Liga
Prostejov
#18
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H02/04
1. Liga
Plzen
#8
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A15/09
1. Liga
Polabi
#14
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A24/09
1. Liga
Liberecko
#10
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H29/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#6
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A06/10
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H13/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#4
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A20/10
1. Liga
Radotin
#12
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H27/10
1. Liga
82.0Avg total
40.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.246.086.2-5.831%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.846.591.2-1.746%-
Last 30 away (16)36.545.682.1-9.119%-
Last 10 (10)40.841.282.0-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.843.277.0-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)40.248.188.4-7.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.845.484.2-6.722%-
vs Weaker (3)44.335.379.7+9.067%-
This opponent (SP Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
SP Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

SP Basket: 62.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.019.0
44.2%
50.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.74.7
17.5%
29.9%14.0
🏀 Free throws19.710.7
54.2%
64.9%10.7
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chomutovtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chomutov: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.521.0
48.3%
50.8%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.06.5
24.1%
29.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.511.0
59.5%
64.9%11.0
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/2 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
SP Basket
LLWLLLLWWW
Chomutov
LLLLLWLWLW
#17
League position
#15
-17.0
Net rating
-18.4
77.9
Offensive rating
83.4
94.9
Defensive rating
101.8
37.3%
Effective FG%
43.6%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
24.3%
Turnover %
25.4%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
17.5%
3-point %
24.1%
42.3%
Assist %
38.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence77.9 · 83.4Defence94.9 · 101.8Shooting37.3% · 43.6%3-point %17.5% · 24.1%Ball care24.3% · 25.4%Off. rebounds34.5% · 30.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ SP Basket   ■ Chomutov
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
SP Basket wins
2
Chomutov wins
DateGameScore
18/11/22SP Basket v Chomutov86-79
18/09/22Chomutov v SP Basket70-59
03/12/21SP Basket v Chomutov79-73
01/10/21Chomutov v SP Basket80-71
SP Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23APlzen53-92
20/10/23HUSK Prague B54-68
13/10/23HPolabi81-73
08/10/23ARadotin69-75
29/09/23HLitomerice51-66
24/09/23AJindrichuv Hradec66-105
15/09/23HSokol Prazsky57-61
31/03/23HSnakes Ostrava98-94
24/03/23HJihlava103-67
19/03/23AProstejov84-65
Chomutovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23HRadotin79-84 OT
20/10/23ALitomerice64-88
13/10/23HJindrichuv Hradec83-91
06/10/23ASokol Prazsky68-87
29/09/23HLiberecko62-79
24/09/23APolabi94-84
15/09/23APlzen90-103
02/04/23HProstejov103-79
26/03/23HPardubice 284-88
17/03/23HJihlava100-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SP Basket
1. Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game61.660.862.7
Allowed / game77.167.090.7
Point differential-15.6-6.2-28.0
Avg total138.7127.8153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chomutov
1. Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%0%25%
Points / game77.174.779.0
Allowed / game88.084.790.5
Point differential-10.9-10.0-11.5
Avg total165.1159.3169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Opava 2770100%94.076.1+17.9
2 Sokol Prazsky87188%84.277.9+6.4
3 Jindrichuv Hradec76186%94.775.9+18.9
4 Hradec Kralove86275%94.673.9+20.8
5 Litomerice86275%81.467.9+13.5
6 Brno U2375271%82.468.6+13.9
7 Svitavy64267%87.377.8+9.5
8 Plzen74357%79.975.1+4.7
9 Liberecko74357%79.682.0-2.4
10 Pardubice 284450%82.582.6-0.1
11 Snakes Ostrava63350%79.783.8-4.2
12 USK Prague B73443%74.072.0+2.0
13 Radotin73443%69.781.4-11.7
14 Novy Jicin83538%77.581.5-4.0
15 Zlin72529%81.391.7-10.4
16 Polabi71614%83.491.1-7.7
17 Chomutov71614%77.188.0-10.9
18 SP Basket71614%61.677.1-15.6
19 Basketbal Olomouc71614%72.795.6-22.9
20 Prostejov81712%75.895.0-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
SP Basket121972260
Chomutov2018132172
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