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Spirou Basket W vs Mechelen W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 42-79
16-17 13-17 11-26 2-19
Position#9
Record2-2
FormWLLW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game72.2
Spirou Basket W
Belgium
vs
Mechelen W 🏆
Belgium
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game51.5
BelgiumTop Division Women· Salle Pierre de Coubertin
Women2025-26
Meetings · Spirou Basket W v Mechelen W
05 Feb 2027
SPIR v MECH
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
SPIR42
MECH79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spirou Basket W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Spirou Basket WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lummen W
#12
W
74-59
74
59
+15
64avg 59
H12/09
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
43-84
43
84
-41
27avg 59
A20/09
Top Division Women
Donza W
#5
L
78-83 OT
78
83
-5
71avg 59
H27/09
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#10
W
77-63
77
63
+14
75avg 59
A04/10
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-6
17-19
18-24
16-10
10-30
15-25
14-17
4-12
17-14
15-22
18-22
21-13
19-16
23-15
24-18
11-14
140.2Avg total
68.0Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.072.2140.2-4.250%
Season at home (2)76.071.0147.0+5.050%
Season away (2)60.073.5133.5-13.550%
Last 10 (4)68.072.2140.2-4.250%
Last 5 (4)68.072.2140.2-4.250%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)60.583.5144.0-23.00%
vs Similar (1)77.063.0140.0+14.0100%
vs Weaker (1)74.059.0133.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mechelen WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Namur W
#3
W
82-67
82
67
+15
77avg 81
A11/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
77-69
77
69
+8
66avg 81
H13/04
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
W
77-69
77
69
+8
69avg 81
H18/04
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
L
77-82 OT
77
82
-5
63avg 81
A20/04
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
60avg 81
A22/04
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#10
W
90-58
90
58
+32
86avg 81
A13/09
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#11
W
96-48
96
48
+48
98avg 81
H21/09
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#6
W
78-51
78
51
+27
64avg 81
A27/09
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#12
W
110-49
110
49
+61
113avg 81
H05/10
Top Division Women
Sepsi SIC W
#43
W
91-55
91
55
+36
98avg 81
H09/10
EuroCup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
24-15
23-14
12-22
22-22
16-17
17-26
22-4
19-17
13-15
24-14
21-23
16-12
14-23
21-21
18-13
21-17
19-22
11-20
18-22
20-19
26-11
18-12
26-16
27-13
21-9
23-11
25-15
16-9
14-17
29-14
19-11
34-17
35-13
22-10
19-9
22-18
20-15
31-12
18-10
147.6Avg total
84.7Scored
62.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.551.5145.0+42.0100%
Season at home (2)103.048.5151.5+54.5100%
Season away (2)84.054.5138.5+29.5100%
Last 10 (10)84.762.9147.6+21.880%
Last 5 (5)93.052.2145.2+40.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.064.0124.0-4.00%
vs Similar (5)70.672.4143.0-1.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)91.556.6148.0+34.9100%
This opponent (Spirou Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +5.3+5.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +5.3+5.3
Spirou Basket WMechelen W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Spirou Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lummen W
#12
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H12/09
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
25-55
25
55
-30
A20/09
Top Division Women
Donza W
#5
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H27/09
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#10
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A04/10
Top Division Women
71.5Avg total
34.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)34.836.871.5-2.050%-
Last 30 at home (2)36.030.566.5+5.550%-
Last 30 away (2)33.543.076.5-9.550%-
Last 10 (4)34.836.871.5-2.050%-
Last 5 (4)34.836.871.5-2.050%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)28.545.574.0-17.00%-
vs Similar (1)42.031.073.0+11.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)40.025.065.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mechelen WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Namur W
#3
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A11/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H13/04
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H18/04
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A20/04
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A22/04
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#10
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A13/09
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#11
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H21/09
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#6
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A27/09
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#12
W
69-30
69
30
+39
H05/10
Top Division Women
Sepsi SIC W
#43
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H09/10
EuroCup Women
73.9Avg total
42.2Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.729.874.4+14.980%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.827.876.6+21.079%-
Last 30 away (16)41.131.572.6+9.681%-
Last 10 (10)42.231.773.9+10.570%-
Last 5 (5)47.028.275.2+18.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.037.065.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (5)32.435.668.0-3.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)47.928.276.2+19.796%-
This opponent (Spirou Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spirou Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spirou Basket W: 67.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.8 points a game
57%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.219.5
47.3%
46.2%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.05.2
35.0%
28.7%15.8
🏀 Free throws20.212.8
63.0%
68.5%12.8
They take 56.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelen Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen W: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.8 points a game
57%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.323.5
48.7%
46.2%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.16.3
31.3%
28.7%18.9
🏀 Free throws24.418.3
75.0%
68.5%18.3
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spirou Basket W
WLLW
Mechelen W
WWWWWLLWWW
#9
League position
#1
-5.3
Net rating
+27.2
84.4
Offensive rating
105.8
89.7
Defensive rating
78.7
48.7%
Effective FG%
48.2%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
39.8%
27.4%
Turnover %
19.6%
20.9%
Off. rebound %
37.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.0%
3-point %
31.3%
63.6%
Assist %
51.7%
50%
Form (last 4/10)
80%

Profile

Offence84.4 · 105.8Defence89.7 · 78.7Shooting48.7% · 48.2%3-point %35.0% · 31.3%Ball care27.4% · 19.6%Off. rebounds20.9% · 37.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 4/10)50% · 80%
■ Spirou Basket W   ■ Mechelen W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Spirou Basket W wins
0
Mechelen W wins
No previous meetings.
Spirou Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25AJeugd Gentson W77-63
27/09/25HDonza W78-83 OT
20/09/25ANamur W43-84
12/09/25HLummen W74-59
Mechelen Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/25HSepsi SIC W91-55
05/10/25HLummen W110-49
27/09/25APhantoms W78-51
21/09/25HCharleroi W96-48
13/09/25AJeugd Gentson W90-58
22/04/25ABraine W69-81
20/04/25ABraine W77-82 OT
18/04/25HBraine W77-69
13/04/25HNamur W77-69
11/04/25ANamur W82-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spirou Basket W
Top Division Women 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game68.076.060.0
Allowed / game72.271.073.5
Point differential-4.2+5.0-13.5
Avg total140.2147.0133.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
Mechelen W
Top Division Women 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.5103.084.0
Allowed / game51.548.554.5
Point differential+42.0+54.5+29.5
Avg total145.0151.5138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen W440100%93.551.5+42.0
2 Braine W550100%87.646.2+41.4
3 Kortrijk W54180%76.864.0+12.8
4 Namur W43175%79.855.2+24.5
5 Donza W43175%79.070.5+8.5
6 Spirou Basket W42250%68.072.2-4.2
7 Phantoms W52340%68.072.6-4.6
8 Liege W52340%65.871.6-5.8
9 Jeugd Gentson W52340%60.873.6-12.8
10 Waregem W51420%56.477.4-21.0
11 Charleroi W5050%57.686.4-28.8
12 Lummen W5050%54.692.4-37.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Spirou Basket W161311242
Mechelen W1717261979
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