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Spojnia Stargard vs Inowroclaw Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#6
Record4-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game78.0
Poland1 LigaRound 25· Hala Miejska
Other2026-27
Meetings · Spojnia Stargard v Inowroclaw
06 Mar 2027
SPOJ v INOW
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
SPOJ81
INOW67
29 Oct 2016
SPOJ102
INOW97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spojnia Stargard win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Inowroclaw win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Spojnia StargardPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
L
71-107
71
107
-36
H03/05
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
85-101
85
101
-16
A08/05
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
102-94
102
94
+8
A16/05
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H23/05
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#12
W
83-81
83
81
+2
A19/09
1 Liga
Bytom
#11
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H26/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
W
99-94
99
94
+5
A04/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#15
W
105-79
105
79
+26
H10/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#13
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A18/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
92-99
92
99
-7
A24/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-32
14-22
16-27
23-26
20-31
25-29
22-24
18-17
13-24
34-23
19-19
36-28
16-25
28-26
19-13
15-15
19-14
18-28
20-21
26-18
21-12
23-22
20-19
24-26
17-31
26-18
27-13
29-32
27-24
24-24
32-11
22-20
13-22
20-16
23-18
21-16
21-34
22-20
25-25
24-20
176.5Avg total
88.0Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.784.0174.7+6.783%
Season at home (2)96.579.0175.5+17.5100%
Season away (4)87.886.5174.2+1.275%
Last 10 (10)88.088.5176.5-0.560%
Last 5 (5)92.284.6176.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.090.2165.2-15.220%
vs Similar (13)87.281.2168.5+6.069%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.377.4164.8+9.983%
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
InowroclawPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
95-71
95
71
+24
H25/03
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A28/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A08/04
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#4
W
80-66
80
66
+14
A18/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H26/09
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#8
L
87-90
87
90
-3
A04/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H11/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#12
L
77-96
77
96
-19
A17/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#11
W
79-74 OT
79
74
+5
H24/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
18-15
26-22
29-12
13-25
20-9
24-18
22-18
11-15
20-29
14-15
23-20
20-13
12-20
20-19
15-29
15-13
20-19
20-15
25-19
16-19
20-12
18-18
21-13
12-17
25-23
25-29
25-21
22-27
24-18
20-11
19-24
20-20
27-21
13-32
17-23
21-13
20-26
16-15
13-16
156.1Avg total
79.2Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.578.0158.5+2.567%
Season at home (3)79.772.0151.7+7.7100%
Season away (3)81.384.0165.3-2.733%
Last 10 (10)79.276.9156.1+2.360%
Last 5 (5)80.680.4161.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.985.7165.6-5.836%
vs Similar (13)79.877.1156.9+2.846%
vs Weaker (6)80.580.5161.0+0.050%
This opponent (Spojnia Stargard) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.4-6.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
Spojnia StargardInowroclaw
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Spojnia StargardLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H03/05
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A08/05
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A16/05
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H23/05
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A19/09
1 Liga
Bytom
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H26/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A04/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#15
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H10/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#13
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A18/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A24/10
1 Liga
89.6Avg total
41.9Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.381.5-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.340.781.1-0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)40.141.981.9-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)41.947.789.6-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.687.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.846.284.0-8.420%-
vs Similar (13)41.240.181.3+1.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.140.680.7-0.550%-
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
InowroclawLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H25/03
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A28/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A08/04
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#4
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A18/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H26/09
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#8
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A04/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H11/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#12
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A17/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H24/10
1 Liga
75.4Avg total
37.8Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.380.4-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.240.382.5+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)38.140.278.3-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)37.837.675.4+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.439.280.6+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.941.879.7-3.927%-
vs Similar (13)41.538.980.5+2.654%-
vs Weaker (6)41.240.381.5+0.867%-
This opponent (Spojnia Stargard) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spojnia Stargardtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spojnia Stargard: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.3
55.5%
53.5%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.9
31.1%
33.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.217.9
71.0%
70.3%17.9
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Inowroclawtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Inowroclaw: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.818.8
48.5%
53.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.9
33.0%
33.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.714.9
65.6%
70.3%14.9
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spojnia Stargard
LWWWWWLWLL
Inowroclaw
WLWLWWLLWW
#3
League position
#6
-4.6
Net rating
+2.6
94.3
Offensive rating
90.2
98.9
Defensive rating
87.5
52.0%
Effective FG%
48.9%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
16.0%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.1%
3-point %
33.0%
61.0%
Assist %
61.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.3 · 90.2Defence98.9 · 87.5Shooting52.0% · 48.9%3-point %31.1% · 33.0%Ball care16.0% · 14.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Spojnia Stargard   ■ Inowroclaw
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Spojnia Stargard wins
0
Inowroclaw wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26APelplin92-99
18/10/26AKrosno77-72
10/10/26HPoli. Opolska105-79
04/10/26APoznan99-94
26/09/26HBytom88-79
19/09/26AGKS Tychy83-81
23/05/26HStarogard Gdanski78-79
16/05/26AStarogard Gdanski102-94
08/05/26ALKS Lodz85-101
03/05/26HLKS Lodz71-107
Inowroclawlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HBytom79-74 OT
17/10/26AGKS Tychy77-96
11/10/26HStarogard Gdanski85-80
04/10/26APolonia Warszawa87-90
26/09/26HR. Rzeszow75-62
18/09/26AWKK Wroclaw80-66
15/04/26ASpojnia Stargard67-81
08/04/26AWKK Wroclaw68-79
28/03/26APelplin79-70
25/03/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg95-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spojnia Stargard
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game90.796.587.8
Allowed / game84.079.086.5
Point differential+6.7+17.5+1.2
Avg total174.7175.5174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Inowroclaw
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game80.579.781.3
Allowed / game78.072.084.0
Point differential+2.5+7.7-2.7
Avg total158.5151.7165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leszno660100%91.073.0+18.0
2 LKS Lodz65183%86.773.8+12.8
3 Spojnia Stargard65183%90.784.0+6.7
4 WKK Wroclaw64267%86.279.8+6.3
5 Poznan64267%92.787.0+5.7
6 Inowroclaw64267%80.578.0+2.5
7 Pelplin64267%90.389.0+1.3
8 Polonia Warszawa64267%87.790.8-3.2
9 Lancut63350%88.283.5+4.7
10 Kotwica Kolobrzeg62433%89.892.5-2.7
11 Bytom62433%82.385.5-3.2
12 GKS Tychy62433%74.882.0-7.2
13 Krosno61517%84.289.5-5.3
14 Starogard Gdanski61517%85.793.8-8.2
15 Poli. Opolska61517%81.294.8-13.7
16 R. Rzeszow6060%76.391.0-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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