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SPU Nitra vs BKM Lucenec Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 87-91
25-20 17-23 17-23 28-25
Position#12
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game98.3
vs
Position#10
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game84.0
SlovakiaExtraligaRound 4· Mestska hala Nitra
Other2024-25
Meetings · SPU Nitra v BKM Lucenec
02 Oct 2024
SPU 87
BKM 91
13 Jan 2024
SPU 98
BKM 90
11 Oct 2023
SPU 75
BKM 85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SPU Nitra winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BKM Lucenec winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SPU NitraSlovakiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNitra
Date
Competition
Inter Bratislava
#7
L
71-99
71
99
-28
no box
A01/03
Extraliga
Iskra Svit
#4
L
90-102
90
102
-12
no box
H09/03
Extraliga
BKM Lucenec
#8
L
63-93
63
93
-30
no box
A16/03
Extraliga
Spisski Rytieri
#6
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
H20/03
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
71-84
71
84
-13
no box
H30/03
Extraliga
MBK Handlova
#5
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
H03/04
Extraliga
BC Prievidza
#2
L
68-106
68
106
-38
no box
A06/04
Extraliga
Nitra Blue Wings
#7
L
70-94
70
94
-24
54avg 62
A21/09
Extraliga
Iskra Svit
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
70avg 62
H25/09
Extraliga
Inter Bratislava
#1
L
75-110
75
110
-35
63avg 62
A28/09
Extraliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
14-31
15-22
18-21
25-31
19-27
23-30
23-14
17-20
20-28
13-21
13-24
18-24
25-23
22-11
26-21
14-20
20-28
16-16
21-20
15-24
12-20
22-21
15-22
8-27
28-29
17-31
15-19
11-29
23-25
24-27
12-13
22-28
20-28
24-17
18-18
21-23
21-29
16-26
17-32
169.2Avg total
74.7Scored
94.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.398.3174.7-22.00%
Season at home (1)84.091.0175.0-7.00%
Season away (2)72.5102.0174.5-29.50%
Last 10 (10)74.794.5169.2-19.810%
Last 5 (5)72.297.6169.8-25.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)73.192.9166.0-19.810%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BKM Lucenec) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BKM LucenecSlovakiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLucenec
Date
Competition
Iskra Svit
#4
L
66-81
66
81
-15
56avg 70
A13/03
Extraliga
SPU Nitra
#9
W
93-63
93
63
+30
89avg 70
H16/03
Extraliga
MBK Handlova
#5
W
89-85
89
85
+4
81avg 70
H20/03
Extraliga
Spisski Rytieri
#6
L
69-101
69
101
-32
54avg 70
A23/03
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 70
A06/04
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
78-104
78
104
-26
66avg 70
A12/04
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
57-88
57
88
-31
40avg 70
H17/04
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
69avg 70
A20/04
Extraliga
MBK Handlova
#5
L
53-78
53
78
-25
38avg 70
H25/09
Extraliga
Iskra Svit
#11
L
88-90
88
90
-2
77avg 70
A28/09
Extraliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
21-16
15-16
13-22
20-17
28-20
21-13
24-13
15-19
19-21
28-24
27-21
12-20
25-30
13-31
19-20
19-24
14-20
24-27
19-11
19-23
24-20
15-39
20-22
12-22
18-20
18-22
9-24
22-22
25-23
21-31
11-18
9-17
11-15
14-22
19-24
28-30
20-21
18-25
22-14
161.4Avg total
74.8Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.584.0154.5-13.50%
Season at home (1)53.078.0131.0-25.00%
Season away (1)88.090.0178.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)74.886.6161.4-11.820%
Last 5 (5)71.090.8161.8-19.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)81.291.5172.7-10.327%
vs Similar (1)88.090.0178.0-2.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)92.778.0170.7+14.767%
This opponent (SPU Nitra) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.6-7.6Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.6-7.6Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
SPU NitraBKM Lucenec
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SPU NitraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inter Bratislava
#7
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A01/03
Extraliga
Iskra Svit
#4
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H09/03
Extraliga
BKM Lucenec
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A16/03
Extraliga
Spisski Rytieri
#6
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H20/03
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H30/03
Extraliga
MBK Handlova
#5
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H03/04
Extraliga
BC Prievidza
#2
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A06/04
Extraliga
Nitra Blue Wings
#7
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A21/09
Extraliga
Iskra Svit
#11
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H25/09
Extraliga
Inter Bratislava
#1
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A28/09
Extraliga
89.6Avg total
37.7Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.548.884.3-13.33%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.147.985.0-10.77%-
Last 30 away (15)33.949.783.6-15.90%-
Last 10 (10)37.751.989.6-14.20%-
Last 5 (5)36.252.488.6-16.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)35.548.884.3-13.33%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BKM Lucenec) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BKM LucenecLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iskra Svit
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A13/03
Extraliga
SPU Nitra
#9
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H16/03
Extraliga
MBK Handlova
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H20/03
Extraliga
Spisski Rytieri
#6
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A23/03
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A06/04
Extraliga
Levice
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A12/04
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H17/04
Extraliga
Levice
#1
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A20/04
Extraliga
MBK Handlova
#5
L
20-32
20
32
-12
H25/09
Extraliga
Iskra Svit
#11
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A28/09
Extraliga
80.5Avg total
37.8Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.444.485.8-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.542.381.9-2.847%-
Last 30 away (15)43.246.589.7-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)37.842.780.5-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)37.642.680.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)40.644.384.9-3.735%-
vs Similar (1)48.051.099.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)45.743.389.0+2.367%-
This opponent (SPU Nitra) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
SPU Nitratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

SPU Nitra: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.7 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.319.3
45.7%
52.9%38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.0
29.6%
32.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.015.3
80.7%
72.7%15.3
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BKM Lucenectheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BKM Lucenec: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.220.2
47.9%
52.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.3
30.2%
32.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws12.49.0
72.6%
72.7%9.0
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
SPU Nitra
LLLLLLWLLL
BKM Lucenec
LLLLLLLWWL
#12
League position
#10
-29.3
Net rating
-24.8
96.9
Offensive rating
94.7
126.2
Defensive rating
119.5
45.2%
Effective FG%
46.9%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
58.4%
19.1%
Turnover %
19.1%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.19
29.6%
3-point %
30.2%
40.5%
Assist %
49.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 94.7Defence126.2 · 119.5Shooting45.2% · 46.9%3-point %29.6% · 30.2%Ball care19.1% · 19.1%Off. rebounds30.3% · 28.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ SPU Nitra   ■ BKM Lucenec
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
SPU Nitra wins
3
BKM Lucenec wins
DateGameScore
16/03/24BKM Lucenec v SPU Nitra93-63
13/01/24SPU Nitra v BKM Lucenec98-90
29/11/23BKM Lucenec v SPU Nitra95-73
11/10/23SPU Nitra v BKM Lucenec75-85
SPU Nitralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/24AInter Bratislava75-110
25/09/24HIskra Svit84-91
21/09/24ANitra Blue Wings70-94
06/04/24ABC Prievidza68-106
03/04/24HMBK Handlova64-87
30/03/24HLevice71-84
20/03/24HSpisski Rytieri91-79
16/03/24ABKM Lucenec63-93
09/03/24HIskra Svit90-102
01/03/24AInter Bratislava71-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/24AIskra Svit88-90
25/09/24HMBK Handlova53-78
20/04/24ALevice79-94
17/04/24HLevice57-88
12/04/24ALevice78-104
06/04/24ALevice76-82
23/03/24ASpisski Rytieri69-101
20/03/24HMBK Handlova89-85
16/03/24HSPU Nitra93-63
13/03/24AIskra Svit66-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SPU Nitra
Extraliga 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.384.072.5
Allowed / game98.391.0102.0
Point differential-22.0-7.0-29.5
Avg total174.7175.0174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
BKM Lucenec
Extraliga 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.553.088.0
Allowed / game84.078.090.0
Point differential-13.5-25.0-2.0
Avg total154.5131.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Levice110100%84.061.0+23.0
2 MBK Handlova330100%84.061.0+23.0
3 Inter Bratislava330100%95.077.7+17.3
4 Spisski Rytieri220100%95.085.5+9.5
5 Iskra Svit32167%78.379.7-1.3
6 Nitra Blue Wings31233%83.778.7+5.0
7 BKM Lucenec2020%70.584.0-13.5
8 BC Prievidza1010%85.099.0-14.0
9 SPU Nitra3030%76.398.3-22.0
10 BC Komarno3030%74.797.0-22.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
SPU Nitra2517172887
BKM Lucenec2023232591
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