St. Bonaventure will host Cornell on 11 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model designating St. Bonaventure as the favourite at 83% to win versus Cornell's 17%. St. Bonaventure's season record stands at 1-1, averaging 79.5 points scored and allowing 64.0 per game, while Cornell is 2-1, averaging 83.0 points scored and conceding 71.7. In recent form, St. Bonaventure has won 3 of its last 5 games, including a 88-49 victory over Canisius away, but also suffered a 71-79 home loss to Youngstown State and a 63-68 away defeat to Dayton; Cornell has also won 3 of its last 5, with a 99-59 home win over Keuka, a 64-71 away loss to Lehigh, and a 86-85 home win over Pepperdine. The projected score is 86-75, with a total of 160.7 points. The home line is -8.0, and the model assigns a 60% chance that St. Bonaventure will cover it, while the over/under line is 155.0 with a 63% probability of the over. The overtime probability is 3%. The next game will see St.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
St. Bonaventure winWon
82.8%fair 1.21
Best odds1.27
Implied76.0%
Edge+6.7pp
Cornell winLost
17.2%fair 5.80
Best odds4.20
Implied24.0%
Edge-6.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (St. Bonaventure) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 151.5Actual: Over 151.5
Over 151.5
71.0%
@ 1.47+8.0pp
Under 151.5
29.0%
@ 2.55-8.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.45
Over/Under 156.5 · main lineActual: Under 156.5
Over 156.5
59.6%
@ 1.90+9.6pp
Under 156.5
40.4%
@ 1.90-9.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
SBO
1.88
Marathon Be
1.86
Over/Under 161.5Actual: Under 161.5
Over 161.5
47.5%
@ 2.55+10.0pp
Under 161.5
52.5%
@ 1.50-10.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.40
Under
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47
📊 3. Team Totals
St. Bonaventure total 77Actual: St. Bonaventure over 77
Over 77
81.7%
Under 77
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Bonaventure total 81 · main lineActual: St. Bonaventure over 81
Over 81
68.9%
@ 1.85+18.6pp
Under 81
31.1%
@ 1.87-18.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
St. Bonaventure total 85Actual: St. Bonaventure over 85
Over 85
53.0%
Under 85
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cornell total 69Actual: Cornell under 69
Over 69
72.5%
Under 69
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cornell total 73 · main lineActual: Cornell under 73
Over 73
57.4%
@ 1.85+7.4pp
Under 73
42.6%
@ 1.85-7.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Cornell total 77Actual: Cornell under 77
Over 77
41.2%
Under 77
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread St. Bonaventure -11.5Actual: St. Bonaventure -11.5
ST. -11.5
47.2%
@ 2.40+6.6pp
CORN +11.5
52.8%
@ 1.67-6.6pp
Best 5 market prices
ST.
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.07
CORN
1xBet
1.67
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.52
Spread St. Bonaventure -8.5 · main lineActual: St. Bonaventure -8.5
ST. -8.5
58.1%
@ 1.89+7.4pp
CORN +8.5
41.9%
@ 2.00-7.4pp
Best 5 market prices
ST.
Pinnacle
1.89
SBO
1.88
Bet365
1.87
Betano
1.87
Marathon Be
1.85
CORN
1xBet
2.00
Bet365
1.94
Pinnacle
1.94
Betano
1.90
Marathon Be
1.88
Spread St. Bonaventure -5.5Actual: St. Bonaventure -5.5
ST. -5.5
68.6%
@ 1.67+8.9pp
CORN +5.5
31.4%
@ 2.32-8.9pp
Best 5 market prices
ST.
1xBet
1.67
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.53
CORN
Betano
2.32
Bet365
2.30
1xBet
2.07
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
St. BonaventureCornell
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (St. Bonaventure) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: St. Bonaventure win
ST. win
no forecast
@ 1.47
CORN win
no forecast
@ 2.70
2nd half Spread St. Bonaventure -3.5 · main lineActual: St. Bonaventure -3.5
ST. -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
CORN +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
2nd half Over/Under 80.5 · main lineActual: Under 80.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: St. Bonaventure (regulation)
ST.
no forecast
@ 1.52
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.50
CORN
no forecast
@ 2.75
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
St. Bonaventure over 79.5
73.4%
1.59
Pinnacle
1.71
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
+18.5pp
Won
St. Bonaventure over 76.5
82.2%
1.35
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.33
-
-
-
+14.0pp
Won
St. Bonaventure over 78.5
76.5%
1.46
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.39
-
-
-
+13.5pp
Won
St. Bonaventure over 74.5
86.9%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+12.1pp
Won
Over 148
78.4%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+11.4pp
Won
St. Bonaventure over 77.5
79.5%
1.32
Betano
1.32
-
-
-
-
+11.1pp
Won
Over 147
80.2%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+10.7pp
Won
Over 147.5
78.8%
1.36
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+10.7pp
Won
St. Bonaventure (regulation)
80.7%
1.28
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.27
Marathon Bet
1.26
-
-
+9.8pp
Won
St. Bonaventure -5
71.0%
1.52
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
-
+9.8pp
Won
St. Bonaventure -3
77.1%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+9.6pp
Won
St. Bonaventure -4
74.3%
1.43
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
-
+9.4pp
Won
St. Bonaventure -2
80.2%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+9.3pp
Won
St. Bonaventure -4.5
71.9%
1.48
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.45
-
-
-
+9.0pp
Won
St. Bonaventure -1.5
80.9%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
Betano
1.28
-
-
-
+8.9pp
Won
St. Bonaventure -3.5
75.1%
1.39
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.38
-
-
-
+8.7pp
Won
St. Bonaventure -2.5
77.7%
1.34
Bet365
1.35
Betano
1.33
-
-
-
+8.6pp
Won
Over 144.5
83.8%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+8.5pp
Won
St. Bonaventure over 70.5
93.5%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+8.4pp
Won
St. Bonaventure -1
82.4%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+8.3pp
Won
St. Bonaventure over 73.5
88.8%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+8.3pp
Won
Over 151.5
71.0%
1.47
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
+8.0pp
Won
Over 150.5
73.0%
1.42
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+7.8pp
Won
Over 152
70.3%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+7.8pp
Push
Over 148.5
76.9%
1.34
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
+7.7pp
Won
Over 150
74.5%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+7.5pp
Won
St. Bonaventure over 72.5
90.6%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+7.5pp
Won
Over 151
72.5%
1.43
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
-
+7.5pp
Won
Over 149.5
75.0%
1.37
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+7.3pp
Won
St. Bonaventure win
82.8%
1.24
Pinnacle
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Marathon Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.23
+6.7pp
Won
St. Bonaventure over 71.5
92.1%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+6.6pp
Won
St. Bonaventure +1.5
84.4%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+6.6pp
Won
Over 149
76.5%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Won
Over 139.5
90.2%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
St. Bonaventure +11.5
96.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.5pp
Won
Over 146.5
80.5%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+5.2pp
Won
Over 134.5
94.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+5.2pp
Won
Overtime: no
96.7%
1.02
WilliamHill
1.03
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+5.0pp
Won
Over 129.5
97.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.0pp
Won
St. Bonaventure +6.5
92.5%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+5.0pp
Won
Cornell over 68.5
73.4%
1.33
Bet365
1.35
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
+4.2pp
Lost
Over 131.5
96.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.1pp
Won
Cornell over 69.5
70.0%
1.37
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
-
+4.0pp
Lost
Cornell over 56.5
96.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.7pp
Won
Over 136.5
93.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.7pp
Won
Cornell over 58.5
94.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.6pp
Won
Over 141.5
87.9%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Cornell over 57.5
95.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Cornell over 66.5
79.5%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Lost
Cornell over 60.5
92.2%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+3.2pp
Won
Cornell over 59.5
93.6%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+3.1pp
Won
Cornell over 65.5
82.2%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+2.7pp
Lost
Cornell over 63.5
86.9%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
Cornell over 64.5
84.7%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Lost
Cornell over 61.5
90.7%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Won
Cornell over 62.5
88.9%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+2.3pp
Won
Cornell over 67.5
76.6%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+1.8pp
Lost
St. Bonaventure under 100.5
93.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Won
St. Bonaventure under 98.5
90.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-1.2pp
Won
Cornell +23.5
86.8%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-1.5pp
Lost
Under 181.5
89.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-1.5pp
Won
St. Bonaventure under 96.5
86.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-3.6pp
Won
Cornell +18.5
75.6%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
-3.9pp
Lost
Under 179.5
87.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-4.1pp
Won
Cornell under 80.5
71.0%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-5.2pp
Won
St. Bonaventure under 92.5
75.2%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
-5.3pp
Won
Under 176.5
83.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-5.4pp
Won
St. Bonaventure under 94.5
81.1%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-6.9pp
Won
Under 171.5
74.8%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-8.2pp
Won
Under 174.5
80.2%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-8.5pp
Won
Under 169.5
70.8%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-13.0pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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