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St. Chamond vs Rouen Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Projected 86-83
Projected total 169.1
Final 84-81
17-18 23-32 15-17 29-14
Position#15
Record3-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game86.1
St. Chamond 🏆
France
Vs
59%
41%
■ ST. 59%■ ROU 41%
Pythia win probability
Rouen
France
Position#18
Record2-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game88.9
FrancePro BRound 8· Arena Saint-Étienne Métropole
Other2026-27
Meetings · St. Chamond v Rouen
06 Nov 2026
ST. 84
ROU81
27 Dec 2025
ST. 86
ROU89
13 Dec 2024
ST. 70
ROU88
08 Mar 2024
ST. 93
ROU79
25 Mar 2022
ST. 91
ROU69
09 Apr 2021
ST. 69
ROU87
27 Mar 2020
ST. v ROU
upcoming
12 Oct 2018
ST. 76
ROU70
27 Apr 2018
ST. 81
ROU80
20 Jan 2017
ST. 76
ROU84
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

St. Chamond hosts Rouen in the Pro B on 6 November 2026, with the model favouring the home side at 59% versus 41% for the visitors; the projected score is 86-83 and the total 168.9 points. St. Chamond finished the season 3-4, averaging 83.9 points and conceding 86.1, while Rouen is 2-5, 83.7 points for and 88.9 against. At home St. Chamond is 1-2, 92.7 points for and 94.0 against, and on the road Rouen is 0-3, 79.3 points for and 87.7 against. In the last five games St. Chamond won three, losing two, including a 63-74 loss to Fos-sur-Mer away, a 78-81 loss to Chalons-Reims at home and an 85-76 win over ASA away; Rouen won two of its last five, losing three, with a 90-105 loss to Hyeres-Toulon at home, an 86-89 loss to Aix Maurienne away and a 76-75 win over La Rochelle at home. Their head-to-head record is even 5-5, with the most recent meeting on 17 February 2026 ending 88-79 in favour of St. Chamond, and the game carries a 5% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Chamond winWon
59.1%fair 1.69
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rouen winLost
40.9%fair 2.44
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. ChamondFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChamond
Date
Competition
Orleans
#3
L
88-96 OT
88
96
-8
90avg 75
A05/05
Pro B
Roanne
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
74avg 75
H08/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
64avg 75
A15/05
Pro B
Le Havre
#16
L
77-90
77
90
-13
71avg 75
A25/09
Pro B
Caen
#12
L
111-115 OT
111
115
-4
106avg 75
H02/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#17
W
84-81
84
81
+3
81avg 75
A09/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
W
89-86 OT
89
86
+3
87avg 75
H16/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
W
85-76
85
76
+9
84avg 75
A20/10
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#5
L
78-81
78
81
-3
74avg 75
H23/10
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
L
63-74
63
74
-11
56avg 75
A30/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
22-18
15-17
22-27
24-16
16-24
23-28
16-25
21-12
13-27
18-22
24-26
15-15
17-20
27-24
18-31
18-22
25-22
21-20
28-28
30-23
18-21
22-22
14-15
16-16
16-25
27-17
20-21
21-28
16-15
25-17
23-16
24-18
15-15
21-17
18-31
18-21
17-14
14-22
14-17
170.9Avg total
83.0Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.986.1170.0-2.343%
Season at home (3)92.794.0186.7-1.333%
Season away (4)77.280.2157.5-3.050%
Last 10 (10)83.087.9170.9-4.930%
Last 5 (5)79.879.6159.4+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.885.6162.4-8.820%
vs Similar ◀ (20)79.782.4162.1-2.735%
vs Weaker (5)88.277.4165.6+10.880%
This opponent (Rouen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RouenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRouen
Date
Competition
Denain-Voltaire
#9
W
93-78
93
78
+15
88avg 76
A30/04
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
84-72
84
72
+12
82avg 76
A09/05
Pro B
Challans
#21
W
98-77
98
77
+21
100avg 76
H15/05
Pro B
Vichy
#13
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
86avg 76
H25/09
Pro B
Orleans
#2
L
74-91
74
91
-17
61avg 76
A03/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#7
W
85-78
85
78
+7
77avg 76
H09/10
Pro B
Nantes
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
70avg 76
A16/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#17
W
76-75
76
75
+1
64avg 76
H20/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
L
86-89
86
89
-3
70avg 76
A23/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
L
90-105
90
105
-15
79avg 76
H30/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
28-14
21-23
26-18
22-19
25-18
26-22
11-13
28-22
30-21
17-15
23-19
19-20
28-20
20-27
21-21
18-31
18-14
24-28
14-18
16-15
28-21
28-26
13-16
21-21
18-21
17-18
22-23
24-25
25-22
20-7
7-21
18-22
13-19
26-22
29-26
22-29
22-17
21-30
25-29
171.0Avg total
86.1Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.788.9172.6-5.129%
Season at home (4)87.089.8176.8-2.850%
Season away (3)79.387.7167.0-8.30%
Last 10 (10)86.184.9171.0+1.250%
Last 5 (5)83.086.0169.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.489.1171.6-6.733%
vs Similar ◀ (18)84.585.3169.8-0.850%
vs Weaker (3)88.074.7162.7+13.367%
This opponent (St. Chamond) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 161.5Actual: Over 161.5
Over 161.5
66.9%
Under 161.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166.5Actual: Under 166.5
Over 166.5
55.2%
Under 166.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171.5Actual: Under 171.5
Over 171.5
43.3%
Under 171.5
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

St. Chamond total 80.5Actual: St. Chamond over 80.5
Over 80.5
69.6%
Under 80.5
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Chamond total 84.5Actual: St. Chamond under 84.5
Over 84.5
54.9%
Under 84.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Chamond total 88.5Actual: St. Chamond under 88.5
Over 88.5
39.5%
Under 88.5
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen total 78Actual: Rouen over 78
Over 78
69.6%
Under 78
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen total 82Actual: Rouen under 82
Over 82
54.4%
Under 82
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen total 86Actual: Rouen under 86
Over 86
38.7%
Under 86
61.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread St. Chamond -3Push
ST. -3
50.1%
ROU +3
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
ST.
No market prices yet.
ROU
No market prices yet.
Spread St. Chamond 0Actual: St. Chamond 0
ST. 0
59.1%
ROU 0
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
ST.
No market prices yet.
ROU
No market prices yet.
Spread St. Chamond +3Actual: St. Chamond +3
ST. +3
67.9%
ROU -3
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
ST.
No market prices yet.
ROU
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
St. ChamondRouen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
St. ChamondLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orleans
#3
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A05/05
Pro B
Roanne
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H08/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/05
Pro B
Le Havre
#16
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A25/09
Pro B
Caen
#12
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H02/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#17
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A09/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H16/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A20/10
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H23/10
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A30/10
Pro B
77.7Avg total
38.5Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.340.978.2-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.139.179.2+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)34.942.477.4-7.512%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.277.7-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.277.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.640.874.4-7.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)38.040.378.2-2.335%-
vs Weaker (5)38.643.482.0-4.840%-
This opponent (Rouen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RouenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denain-Voltaire
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A30/04
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A09/05
Pro B
Challans
#21
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H15/05
Pro B
Vichy
#13
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H25/09
Pro B
Orleans
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A03/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H09/10
Pro B
Nantes
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A16/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#17
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H20/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A23/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H30/10
Pro B
85.5Avg total
44.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.784.9-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.444.086.4-1.644%-
Last 30 away (14)41.941.183.1+0.843%-
Last 10 (10)44.141.485.5+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.483.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.844.685.3-3.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.642.685.2+0.039%-
vs Weaker (3)44.037.381.3+6.7100%-
This opponent (St. Chamond) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
St. Chamondtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

St. Chamond: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.2
49.0%
53.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.0
36.3%
33.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.517.6
71.8%
74.0%17.6
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rouentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rouen: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.2
55.4%
53.9%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.0
30.1%
33.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws26.819.9
74.3%
74.0%19.9
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
St. Chamond
LLWWWLLLLL
Rouen
LLWLWLLWWW
#15
League position
#18
-5.3
Net rating
+1.5
90.0
Offensive rating
95.1
95.4
Defensive rating
93.5
51.1%
Effective FG%
51.2%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
19.2%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.41
36.3%
3-point %
30.1%
74.8%
Assist %
66.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence90.0 · 95.1Defence95.4 · 93.5Shooting51.1% · 51.2%3-point %36.3% · 30.1%Ball care19.2% · 14.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ St. Chamond   ■ Rouen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
St. Chamond wins
5
Rouen wins
DateGameScore
17/02/26Rouen v St. Chamond79-88
27/12/25St. Chamond v Rouen86-89
01/02/25Rouen v St. Chamond97-89
13/12/24St. Chamond v Rouen70-88
08/03/24St. Chamond v Rouen93-79
24/11/23Rouen v St. Chamond98-92
25/03/22St. Chamond v Rouen91-69
05/11/21Rouen v St. Chamond72-96
13/06/21Rouen v St. Chamond70-78
09/04/21St. Chamond v Rouen69-87
St. Chamondlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AFos-sur-Mer63-74
23/10/26HChalons-Reims78-81
20/10/26AASA85-76
16/10/26HEvreux89-86 OT
09/10/26ALa Rochelle84-81
02/10/26HCaen111-115 OT
25/09/26ALe Havre77-90
15/05/26ALa Rochelle76-87
08/05/26HRoanne79-93
05/05/26AOrleans88-96 OT
Rouenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HHyeres-Toulon90-105
23/10/26AAix Maurienne86-89
20/10/26HLa Rochelle76-75
16/10/26ANantes78-83
09/10/26HAda Blois85-78
03/10/26AOrleans74-91
25/09/26HVichy97-101 OT
15/05/26HChallans98-77
09/05/26AOrleans84-72
30/04/26ADenain-Voltaire93-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Chamond
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game83.992.777.2
Allowed / game86.194.080.2
Point differential-2.3-1.3-3.0
Avg total170.0186.7157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %29%67%0%
Rouen
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL29%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game83.787.079.3
Allowed / game88.989.887.7
Point differential-5.1-2.8-8.3
Avg total172.6176.8167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denain-Voltaire86275%86.877.8+9.0
2 Antibes86275%87.682.8+4.9
3 Poitiers96367%88.182.3+5.8
4 Orleans85362%88.482.9+5.5
5 Evreux85362%86.282.9+3.4
6 Chalons-Reims85362%79.181.6-2.5
7 Ada Blois74357%92.786.4+6.3
8 Quimper74357%78.176.1+2.0
9 Nantes84450%80.981.8-0.9
10 Hyeres-Toulon84450%84.987.6-2.8
11 Vichy84450%84.186.9-2.8
12 Aix Maurienne84450%83.287.5-4.2
13 St. Chamond73443%83.986.1-2.3
14 Le Havre83538%90.988.1+2.8
15 ASA83538%83.085.9-2.9
16 Caen83538%85.588.5-3.0
17 Levallois83538%82.286.6-4.4
18 Rouen72529%83.788.9-5.1
19 Fos-sur-Mer72529%71.680.3-8.7
20 La Rochelle82625%85.887.5-1.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
St. Chamond1723152984
Rouen1832171481
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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