St. John's (N.Y.) hosts Iona on 8 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names the Red Storm the clear favourite, rating them 98% to win, a reflection of their 1-0 season record, 78.0 points scored per game and 63.0 allowed, and a league position of 113. Iona, undefeated at 2-0, averages 64.0 points scored and 52.0 allowed, and sits at 123 in the standings. St. John's has won all five of its recent games, including a 78-63 victory over Monmouth at home, while Iona has also won four of its last five, with wins over NJIT and Vermont but a 80-91 loss to Sacred Heart. In their only meeting, St. John's prevailed 91-64 on 13 December 2025. The model projects a 86-60 score for the game, a total of 146.4 points, and a 56% chance the total will exceed the 144.0 line. With a 98% probability of a home win, St. John's is expected to cover the spread, and the overtime probability is 0%. The final game will see St. John's (N.Y.) maintain its winning streak against Iona.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
St. John's (N.Y.) winWon
98.3%fair 1.02
Best odds1.01
Implied94.8%
Edge+3.5pp
Iona winLost
1.7%fair 57.97
Best odds50.00
Implied5.2%
Edge-3.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 07 Nov 07:12 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (St. John's (N.Y.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 139Actual: Over 139
Over 139
68.2%
Under 139
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 144 · main lineActual: Over 144
Over 144
56.1%
@ 1.86+3.3pp
Under 144
43.9%
@ 3.05-3.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.86
Marathon Be
1.66
Bet365
1.34
Under
Bet365
3.05
1xBet
1.86
Marathon Be
1.86
Over/Under 149Actual: Over 149
Over 149
43.4%
@ 1.67-11.2pp
Under 149
56.6%
@ 2.12+11.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.67
Bet365
1.64
Under
Bet365
2.12
Marathon Be
1.87
📊 3. Team Totals
St. John's (N.Y.) total 82.5Actual: St. John's (N.Y.) over 82.5
Over 82.5
64.2%
@ 1.23-11.1pp
Under 82.5
35.8%
@ 3.75+11.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.23
Under
Bet365
3.75
St. John's (N.Y.) total 86.5 · main lineActual: St. John's (N.Y.) over 86.5
Over 86.5
48.3%
@ 1.85-8.4pp
Under 86.5
51.7%
@ 2.55+8.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.45
Under
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.42
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.85
St. John's (N.Y.) total 90.5Actual: St. John's (N.Y.) over 90.5
Over 90.5
32.7%
@ 2.00-14.4pp
Under 90.5
67.3%
@ 1.83+14.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.00
BetVictor
1.95
Betano
1.91
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.87
Under
Marathon Be
1.83
Betano
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
Bet365
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Iona total 56Actual: Iona over 56
Over 56
67.4%
Under 56
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iona total 60 · main lineActual: Iona over 60
Over 60
51.3%
@ 1.85+1.3pp
Under 60
48.7%
@ 1.85-1.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
Iona total 64Actual: Iona over 64
Over 64
34.9%
Under 64
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread St. John's (N.Y.) -27.5Actual: St. John's (N.Y.) -27.5
ST. -27.5
no forecast
@ 1.76
IONA +27.5
no forecast
@ 2.06
Best 5 market prices
ST.
Pinnacle
1.76
Betano
1.75
Marathon Be
1.73
Bet365
1.71
IONA
Pinnacle
2.06
Betano
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Marathon Be
1.77
Spread St. John's (N.Y.) -24.5 · main lineActual: St. John's (N.Y.) -24.5
ST. -24.5
54.3%
@ 1.83-8.2pp
IONA +24.5
45.7%
@ 2.50+8.2pp
Best 5 market prices
ST.
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.64
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
IONA
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.45
1xBet
1.83
Spread St. John's (N.Y.) -21.5Actual: St. John's (N.Y.) -21.5
ST. -21.5
64.7%
@ 1.32-6.1pp
IONA +21.5
35.3%
@ 3.25+6.1pp
Best 5 market prices
ST.
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
IONA
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.10
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
St. John's (N.Y.)Iona
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (St. John's (N.Y.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: St. John's (N.Y.) win
ST. win
no forecast
@ 1.07
IONA win
no forecast
@ 8.75
2nd half Spread St. John's (N.Y.) -13.5 · main lineActual: Iona +13.5
ST. -13.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
IONA +13.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
2nd half Over/Under 80.5 · main lineActual: Over 80.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: St. John's (N.Y.) (regulation)
ST.
no forecast
@ 1.08
Draw
no forecast
@ 28.00
IONA
no forecast
@ 8.25
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
St. John's (N.Y.) under 93.5
77.4%
1.45
Betano
1.45
-
-
-
-
+15.0pp
Lost
St. John's (N.Y.) under 92.5
74.2%
1.54
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.53
-
-
-
+14.9pp
Lost
St. John's (N.Y.) under 91.5
70.9%
1.67
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.67
-
-
-
+14.8pp
Lost
St. John's (N.Y.) under 94.5
80.3%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
-
-
-
+14.6pp
Lost
St. John's (N.Y.) under 95.5
82.9%
1.32
Betano
1.32
-
-
-
-
+14.4pp
Lost
St. John's (N.Y.) under 96.5
85.4%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+12.3pp
Lost
St. John's (N.Y.) under 99.5
91.2%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+10.7pp
Lost
St. John's (N.Y.) under 98.5
89.5%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
+10.6pp
Lost
Under 155
70.8%
1.54
Bet365
1.54
-
-
-
-
+10.4pp
Lost
Under 155.5
71.5%
1.52
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
+10.2pp
Lost
Under 156.5
73.5%
1.46
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
-
-
-
+10.0pp
Lost
Under 157.5
75.5%
1.40
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
+9.6pp
Lost
St. John's (N.Y.) under 100.5
92.7%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+9.6pp
Lost
Under 156
73.0%
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
-
+9.5pp
Lost
Under 157
75.0%
1.41
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
-
+9.3pp
Lost
Under 158.5
77.4%
1.35
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+9.0pp
Lost
Under 158
77.0%
1.36
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
-
+8.9pp
Lost
Under 159
78.9%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+8.4pp
Lost
St. John's (N.Y.) under 102.5
95.0%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+7.9pp
Lost
Under 159.5
79.3%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+7.4pp
Lost
Under 161.5
82.6%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Lost
St. John's (N.Y.) (regulation)
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.3pp
Won
Under 171.5
94.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+4.4pp
Won
Under 176.5
96.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.1pp
Won
Under 166.5
89.4%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+3.9pp
Lost
St. John's (N.Y.) win
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Iona under 66.5
73.3%
1.30
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Won
Iona under 76.5
94.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Won
Iona under 74.5
92.1%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+1.7pp
Won
St. John's (N.Y.) -8.5
93.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.8pp
Won
Iona under 68.5
79.5%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
+0.6pp
Won
Iona under 72.5
88.9%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+0.6pp
Won
Iona under 70.5
84.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+0.3pp
Won
Iona under 71.5
86.9%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+0.3pp
Won
St. John's (N.Y.) over 73.5
89.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-0.9pp
Won
St. John's (N.Y.) over 74.5
87.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-1.7pp
Won
Iona over 48.5
88.3%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-2.0pp
Won
St. John's (N.Y.) over 75.5
85.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-3.2pp
Won
St. John's (N.Y.) -13.5
85.7%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-3.3pp
Won
Over 126.5
89.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.5pp
Won
Iona over 50.5
83.8%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-4.1pp
Won
St. John's (N.Y.) over 76.5
83.4%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-4.6pp
Won
Iona over 51.5
81.3%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-4.8pp
Won
Iona over 52.5
78.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-5.4pp
Won
St. John's (N.Y.) -18.5
73.9%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
-5.6pp
Won
Iona over 54.5
72.1%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
-5.7pp
Won
St. John's (N.Y.) over 77.5
80.8%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-6.4pp
Won
St. John's (N.Y.) over 78.5
77.9%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-7.2pp
Won
Over 131.5
82.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-7.3pp
Won
St. John's (N.Y.) over 79.5
74.7%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
-7.5pp
Won
St. John's (N.Y.) over 80.5
71.4%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
-9.1pp
Won
Over 136.5
73.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-11.9pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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