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St. Marys (CA) vs Gonzaga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 70-59
0-0 29-36 0-0 41-23
Position#16
Record26-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game64.4
St. Marys (CA) 🏆
USA
vs
Gonzaga
USA
Position#9
Record28-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game66.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · St. Marys (CA) v Gonzaga
28 Feb 2026
ST. 70
GONZ59
11 Mar 2025
ST. 51
GONZ58
01 Feb 2025
ST. 62
GONZ58
12 Mar 2024
ST. 69
GONZ60
02 Mar 2024
ST. 57
GONZ70
07 Mar 2023
ST. 51
GONZ77
04 Feb 2023
ST. 78
GONZ70
26 Feb 2022
ST. 67
GONZ57
16 Jan 2021
ST. 59
GONZ73
08 Feb 2020
ST. 60
GONZ90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Marys (CA) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gonzaga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#195
W
81-51
81
51
+30
H22/01
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A25/01
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A01/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
87-60
87
60
+27
H05/02
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
79-54
79
54
+25
H08/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
88-60
88
60
+28
H12/02
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
72-61
72
61
+11
A15/02
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A19/02
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
83-67
83
67
+16
A22/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H26/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
36-25
0-0
45-26
0-0
38-34
0-0
37-35
0-0
38-34
0-0
27-39
0-0
44-25
0-0
43-35
0-0
40-29
0-0
39-25
0-0
48-29
0-0
40-31
0-0
28-30
0-0
44-31
0-0
35-28
0-0
37-42
0-0
40-39
0-0
43-28
0-0
42-36
0-0
44-31
142.0Avg total
78.8Scored
63.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.764.4143.1+14.387%
Season at home (17)84.161.9146.1+22.2100%
Season away (13)71.667.5139.2+4.169%
Last 10 (10)78.863.2142.0+15.690%
Last 5 (5)80.265.0145.2+15.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)65.073.0138.0-8.00%
vs Similar (4)73.870.8144.5+3.050%
vs Weaker (24)79.463.9143.2+15.596%
This opponent (Gonzaga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GonzagaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pepperdine
#347
W
84-60
84
60
+24
H22/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H25/01
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A05/02
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
81-61
81
61
+20
A07/02
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
83-53
83
53
+30
H11/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
94-86
94
86
+8
A15/02
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
80-59
80
59
+21
A19/02
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H22/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
89-48
89
48
+41
H26/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
47-29
0-0
37-31
0-0
36-25
0-0
32-41
0-0
34-38
0-0
39-27
0-0
33-39
0-0
47-48
0-0
38-34
0-0
43-27
0-0
48-21
0-0
35-32
0-0
44-39
0-0
50-47
0-0
41-29
0-0
39-30
0-0
29-29
0-0
42-33
0-0
36-21
0-0
53-27
145.0Avg total
80.3Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)86.966.1153.0+20.793%
Season at home (17)88.360.9149.2+27.4100%
Season away (13)85.073.0158.0+12.085%
Last 10 (10)80.364.7145.0+15.690%
Last 5 (5)83.461.6145.0+21.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)61.0101.0162.0-40.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)87.864.9152.7+22.897%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +8.0+8.0Q2: +8.2+8.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +7.6+7.6Q4: +7.4+7.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +8.0+8.0Q2: +8.2+8.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +7.6+7.6Q4: +7.4+7.4
St. Marys (CA)Gonzaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#195
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H22/01
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A25/01
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A01/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H05/02
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H08/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H12/02
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A15/02
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A19/02
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H26/02
NCAA
69.8Avg total
38.9Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.030.868.7+7.280%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.229.270.4+11.994%-
Last 30 away (13)33.832.866.5+1.062%-
Last 10 (10)38.930.969.8+8.090%-
Last 5 (5)38.632.471.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)38.034.072.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (4)34.036.070.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker (24)38.530.068.5+8.683%-
This opponent (Gonzaga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GonzagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pepperdine
#347
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H25/01
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H01/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A05/02
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A07/02
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H11/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A15/02
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A19/02
NCAA
Pacific
#165
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H26/02
NCAA
69.0Avg total
38.6Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.832.073.8+9.880%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.830.273.0+12.576%-
Last 30 away (13)40.534.474.9+6.285%-
Last 10 (10)38.630.469.0+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.627.867.4+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)29.053.082.0-24.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)42.231.373.6+10.983%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
St. Marys (CA) wins
5
Gonzaga wins
DateGameScore
01/02/26Gonzaga v St. Marys (CA)73-65
12/03/25St. Marys (CA) v Gonzaga51-58
23/02/25Gonzaga v St. Marys (CA)67-74
02/02/25St. Marys (CA) v Gonzaga62-58
13/03/24St. Marys (CA) v Gonzaga69-60
03/03/24St. Marys (CA) v Gonzaga57-70
04/02/24Gonzaga v St. Marys (CA)62-64
08/03/23St. Marys (CA) v Gonzaga51-77
26/02/23Gonzaga v St. Marys (CA)77-68
05/02/23St. Marys (CA) v Gonzaga78-70 OT
St. Marys (CA)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26HSanta Clara86-67
22/02/26AWashington State83-67
19/02/26ASeattle72-70
15/02/26APacific72-61
12/02/26HPepperdine88-60
08/02/26HSan Francisco79-54
05/02/26HSan Diego Toreros87-60
01/02/26AGonzaga65-73
25/01/26APortland75-69
22/01/26HOregon State81-51
Gonzagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26HPortland89-48
22/02/26HPacific71-62
19/02/26ASan Francisco80-59
15/02/26ASanta Clara94-86
11/02/26HWashington State83-53
07/02/26AOregon State81-61
05/02/26APortland80-87
01/02/26HSt. Marys (CA)73-65
25/01/26HSan Francisco68-66
22/01/26HPepperdine84-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %87%100%69%
Points / game78.784.171.6
Allowed / game64.461.967.5
Point differential+14.3+22.2+4.1
Avg total143.1146.1139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%88%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gonzaga
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %93%100%85%
Points / game86.988.385.0
Allowed / game66.160.973.0
Point differential+20.7+27.4+12.0
Avg total153.0149.2158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%76%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gonzaga3028293%86.966.1+20.7
2 St. Marys (CA)3026487%78.764.4+14.3
3 Santa Clara3124777%83.872.4+11.4
4 Seattle31191261%72.867.5+5.3
5 Pacific31171455%73.268.9+4.3
6 San Francisco31161552%74.473.3+1.1
7 Oregon State31161552%71.474.4-3.0
8 Loyola Marymount31151648%74.672.3+2.4
9 Portland31131842%74.679.1-4.4
10 Washington State31121939%76.477.6-1.3
11 San Diego Toreros31112035%75.479.0-3.7
12 Pepperdine3192229%72.479.6-7.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
St. Marys (CA)02904170
Gonzaga03602359
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