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St. Marys (CA) vs New Mexico State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 81-68
35-26 46-42
Position#32
Record8-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game56.4
vs
Position#333
Record5-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game64.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · St. Marys (CA) v New Mexico State
09 Dec 2026
ST. v NEW
upcoming
14 Dec 2022
ST. 81
NEW 68
15 Mar 2016
ST. 58
NEW 56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Marys (CA) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#68
W
79-53
79
53
+26
H11/11
NCAA
North Texas
#19
W
63-33
63
33
+30
H14/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#228
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H17/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#48
W
76-48
76
48
+28
H20/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A24/11
NCAA
Washington
#212
L
64-68 OT
64
68
-4
H25/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H01/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A04/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H08/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-24
44-29
34-12
29-21
35-27
37-27
34-18
42-30
35-27
40-38
22-28
36-30
23-27
42-42
20-31
28-22
26-21
40-25
35-35
33-26
122.6Avg total
67.6Scored
55.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)68.556.4124.9+12.273%
Season at home (9)70.155.8125.9+14.378%
Season away (2)61.559.0120.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)67.655.0122.6+12.670%
Last 5 (5)62.259.4121.6+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.566.5127.0-6.025%
vs Similar (13)67.662.8130.5+4.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)74.755.8130.5+18.892%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#62
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A17/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A20/03
NCAA
New Mexico Cowboys
#615
W
101-52
101
52
+49
H08/11
NCAA
UTEP
#250
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A13/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#298
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H26/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
68-85
68
85
-17
H27/11
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
95-70
95
70
+25
H01/12
NCAA
Simon Fraser
#576
W
77-35
77
35
+42
H06/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#53
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A08/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-22
38-41
17-26
31-27
47-26
54-26
31-39
33-28
41-25
49-52
30-48
38-37
44-31
51-39
36-13
41-22
36-33
29-33
35-27
38-33
137.9Avg total
75.1Scored
62.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.164.0143.1+15.162%
Season at home (5)86.263.8150.0+22.480%
Season away (3)67.364.3131.7+3.033%
Last 10 (10)75.162.8137.9+12.360%
Last 5 (5)75.663.2138.8+12.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)68.770.3139.0-1.733%
vs Similar (17)70.863.6134.4+7.271%
vs Weaker (7)73.663.1136.7+10.486%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +8.1+8.12nd half: +6.4+6.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +8.1+8.12nd half: +6.4+6.4
St. Marys (CA)New Mexico State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#68
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H11/11
NCAA
North Texas
#19
W
34-12
34
12
+22
H14/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#228
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H17/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#48
W
34-18
34
18
+16
H20/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A24/11
NCAA
Washington
#212
L
22-28
22
28
-6
H25/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H01/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
20-31
20
31
-11
A04/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
26-21
26
21
+5
H08/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H10/12
NCAA
54.9Avg total
29.9Scored
25.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.128.261.3+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.326.261.5+9.283%-
Last 30 away (12)29.731.361.0-1.742%-
Last 10 (10)29.925.054.9+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)25.228.453.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)26.831.558.2-4.825%-
vs Similar (13)32.629.862.5+2.854%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)35.525.661.1+9.892%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#62
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A17/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
17-26
17
26
-9
A20/03
NCAA
New Mexico Cowboys
#615
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H08/11
NCAA
UTEP
#250
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A13/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#298
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H26/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H27/11
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H01/12
NCAA
Simon Fraser
#576
W
36-13
36
13
+23
H06/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#53
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A08/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A11/12
NCAA
63.9Avg total
34.9Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.729.162.8+4.677%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.327.963.2+7.488%-
Last 30 away (13)31.630.862.4+0.862%-
Last 10 (10)34.929.063.9+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)36.230.466.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)33.736.069.7-2.367%-
vs Similar (17)32.428.360.7+4.176%-
vs Weaker (7)33.730.664.3+3.171%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
St. Marys (CA) wins
0
New Mexico State wins
DateGameScore
16/03/16St. Marys (CA) v New Mexico State58-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/22HSan Diego State68-61
08/12/22HMissouri State66-46
04/12/22AHouston48-53
01/12/22HNew Mexico65-69
25/11/22HWashington64-68 OT
24/11/22AVanderbilt75-65
20/11/22HHofstra76-48
17/11/22HSouthern Univ.72-54
14/11/22HNorth Texas63-33
11/11/22HVermont79-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/22ADuquesne73-60
08/12/22ASanta Clara65-66
06/12/22HSimon Fraser77-35
01/12/22HUTEP95-70
27/11/22HUC Irvine68-85
26/11/22HSan Diego Toreros90-77
13/11/22AUTEP64-67
08/11/22HNew Mexico Cowboys101-52
20/03/22AArkansas48-53
17/03/22AUconn70-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW73%
HomeWLLWW78%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %73%78%50%
Points / game68.570.161.5
Allowed / game56.455.859.0
Point differential+12.2+14.3+2.5
Avg total124.9125.9120.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%56%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %9%11%0%
New Mexico State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game79.186.267.3
Allowed / game64.063.864.3
Point differential+15.1+22.4+3.0
Avg total143.1150.0131.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Seattle76186%78.968.6+10.3
2 Santa Clara129375%72.870.0+2.8
3 St. Marys (CA)118373%68.556.4+12.2
4 Gonzaga118373%80.672.2+8.5
5 San Francisco118373%74.067.7+6.3
6 Loyola Marymount128467%76.770.6+6.1
7 Portland138562%82.271.5+10.7
8 Pepperdine95456%78.773.2+5.4
9 San Diego Toreros116555%79.574.1+5.4
10 Washington State94544%71.663.8+7.8
11 Oregon State104640%65.467.6-2.2
12 Pacific135838%76.975.4+1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sam Houston St.108280%79.054.4+24.6
2 Western Kentucky108280%77.566.6+10.9
3 Middle Tenn. St.107370%70.862.9+7.9
4 UTEP96367%73.769.6+4.1
5 New Mexico State85362%79.164.0+15.1
6 Liberty106460%75.162.7+12.4
7 Louisiana Tech106460%76.870.6+6.2
8 Kennesaw State106460%73.368.0+5.3
9 Delaware106460%71.869.9+1.9
10 Jacksonville State105550%75.373.1+2.2
11 Florida International94544%77.376.9+0.4
12 Missouri State104640%62.860.3+2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Marys (CA)354681
New Mexico State264268
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