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St. Marys (CA) vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 31 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 63-45
36-22 27-23
Position#113
Record8-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game62.0
St. Marys (CA) 🏆
USA
vs
Sacramento State
USA
Position#251
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game56.3
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Marys (CA) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#73
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A25/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H26/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#60
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H27/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#51
W
73-50
73
50
+23
H02/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#85
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H04/12
NCAA
UTEP
#182
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H09/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
96-61
96
61
+35
H12/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#76
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H16/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#29
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H20/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
49-74
49
74
-25
A23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-43
30-30
31-39
35-25
38-24
34-35
39-25
34-25
39-35
43-35
38-29
35-32
57-27
39-34
37-40
43-35
33-17
20-16
20-40
29-34
132.0Avg total
70.0Scored
62.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)70.062.0132.0+8.080%
Season at home (8)74.459.1133.5+15.2100%
Season away (2)52.573.5126.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)70.062.0132.0+8.080%
Last 5 (5)70.260.8131.0+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)66.371.7138.0-5.545%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.064.3139.3+10.789%
vs Weaker (10)78.165.1143.2+13.090%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#27
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H16/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#25
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A21/02
NCAA
Idaho
#335
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A22/02
NCAA
Montana State
#219
W
81-52
81
52
+29
H28/02
NCAA
Montana
#98
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H01/03
NCAA
Portland State
#111
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A08/03
NCAA
Weber State
#270
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A11/03
NCAA
Bethesda
#457
W
101-57
101
57
+44
H26/11
NCAA
Idaho
#355
W
77-55
77
55
+22
H04/12
NCAA
Idaho
#355
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H05/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-37
34-31
26-39
50-38
28-19
39-37
36-19
45-33
28-36
43-43
35-39
37-37
30-26
32-28
54-27
47-30
35-36
42-19
30-21
43-36
137.6Avg total
74.5Scored
63.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.756.3140.0+27.3100%
Season at home (3)83.756.3140.0+27.3100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.563.1137.6+11.460%
Last 5 (5)77.059.8136.8+17.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)58.766.1124.9-7.414%
vs Similar ◀ (13)64.863.0127.8+1.846%
vs Weaker (9)69.057.2126.2+11.889%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +8.0+8.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +8.0+8.0
St. Marys (CA)Sacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#73
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A25/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H26/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#60
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H27/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#51
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H02/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#85
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H04/12
NCAA
UTEP
#182
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H09/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
57-27
57
27
+30
H12/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#76
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H16/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#29
W
33-17
33
17
+16
H20/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
20-40
20
40
-20
A23/12
NCAA
67.7Avg total
35.8Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.531.767.2+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.031.268.2+5.872%-
Last 30 away (12)33.232.565.7+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)35.831.967.7+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.030.667.6+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.236.068.2-3.827%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.028.863.8+6.278%-
vs Weaker (10)39.529.769.2+9.890%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#27
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H16/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#25
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A21/02
NCAA
Idaho
#335
W
28-19
28
19
+9
A22/02
NCAA
Montana State
#219
W
36-19
36
19
+17
H28/02
NCAA
Montana
#98
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H01/03
NCAA
Portland State
#111
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A08/03
NCAA
Weber State
#270
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A11/03
NCAA
Bethesda
#457
W
54-27
54
27
+27
H26/11
NCAA
Idaho
#355
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H04/12
NCAA
Idaho
#355
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H05/12
NCAA
63.2Avg total
33.3Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.528.358.8+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.926.560.4+7.573%-
Last 30 away (15)27.030.157.1-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)33.329.963.2+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.829.866.6+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)26.631.157.7-4.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)30.528.959.5+1.654%-
vs Weaker (9)32.926.459.3+6.478%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
St. Marys (CA) wins
0
Sacramento State wins
No previous meetings.
St. Marys (CA)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/20ASan Diego State49-74
20/12/20HColorado State53-33
16/12/20HEast. Washington80-75
12/12/20HSan Jose State96-61
09/12/20HUTEP73-61
04/12/20HTexas Southern82-70
02/12/20HNicholls State73-50
27/11/20HSouth Dakota St.72-59
26/11/20HNorthern Iowa66-64
25/11/20AMemphis56-73
Sacramento Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/20HIdaho73-57
04/12/20HIdaho77-55
26/11/20HBethesda101-57
11/03/20AWeber State62-54
08/03/20APortland State72-76
01/03/20HMontana71-79
28/02/20HMontana State81-52
22/02/20AIdaho67-56
21/02/20AEast. Washington76-77
16/02/20HNorthern Colorado65-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %80%100%0%
Points / game70.074.452.5
Allowed / game62.059.173.5
Point differential+8.0+15.2-21.0
Avg total132.0133.5126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.783.7-
Allowed / game56.356.3-
Point differential+27.3+27.3-
Avg total140.0140.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gonzaga880100%96.473.0+23.4
2 Washington State880100%68.857.6+11.1
3 St. Marys (CA)108280%70.062.0+8.0
4 Pacific43175%72.566.0+6.5
5 Santa Clara86275%67.263.2+4.0
6 Portland96367%73.475.8-2.3
7 San Francisco106460%76.168.1+8.0
8 Oregon State74357%77.064.3+12.7
9 Seattle116555%70.364.5+5.8
10 Pepperdine94544%77.973.6+4.3
11 San Diego Toreros41325%62.877.0-14.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sacramento State330100%83.756.3+27.3
2 Northern Colorado64267%71.770.2+1.5
3 Weber State63350%79.571.7+7.8
4 Montana State52340%77.674.0+3.6
5 Montana83538%69.962.4+7.5
6 Idaho State83538%66.463.0+3.4
7 East. Washington62433%70.368.3+2.0
8 Portland State62433%70.572.7-2.2
9 Northern Arizona71614%58.680.6-22.0
10 Idaho5050%55.473.2-17.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Marys (CA)362763
Sacramento State222345
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