Strumica vs Gostivar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 72-79

13-28 23-22 17-15 19-14

Position#12

Record2-14

FormLLLLL

Points / game80.1

Allowed / game95.9

Strumica

Gostivar 🏆

Position#3

Record10-6

FormWLLLW

Points / game84.6

Allowed / game83.9

Prva LigaRound 17

Other2022-23

Meetings · Strumica v Gostivar

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Strumica winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gostivar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Strumica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rabotnicki

84-92

-8

H27/11

Prva Liga

FMP Akademija

#10

80-89

-9

A04/12

Prva Liga

TFT Skopje

84-111

111

-27

H10/12

Prva Liga

Kumanovo

#11

90-85

H17/12

Prva Liga

Cair 2030

92-97

-5

A24/12

Prva Liga

Tikvesh

72-89

-17

A21/01

Prva Liga

Kozuv

53-104

104

-51

H29/01

Prva Liga

Feniks 2010

71-85

-14

A05/02

Prva Liga

Pelister

77-101

101

-24

H11/02

Prva Liga

MZT Skopje

63-88

-25

H06/03

Prva Liga

20-21

27-21

23-29

14-21

19-19

22-19

21-26

18-25

17-29

21-26

25-32

21-24

25-23

20-25

19-18

26-19

15-24

24-27

30-20

23-26

20-28

17-20

17-21

18-20

17-31

13-14

8-31

15-28

11-30

21-15

19-23

20-17

15-19

17-24

23-30

22-28

17-25

22-21

10-20

14-22

170.7Avg total

76.6Scored

94.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	80.1	95.9	175.9	-15.8	12%
Season at home (9)	77.7	96.7	174.3	-19.0	22%
Season away (7)	83.1	94.9	178.0	-11.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.6	94.1	170.7	-17.5	10%
Last 5 (5)	67.2	93.4	160.6	-26.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)	76.2	93.5	169.7	-17.2	10%
vs Similar (1)	90.0	85.0	175.0	+5.0	100%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Gostivar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gostivar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cair 2030

86-68

+18

H03/12

Prva Liga

Tikvesh

86-92 OT

-6

A11/12

Prva Liga

Kozuv

100-83

100

+17

H17/12

Prva Liga

Feniks 2010

66-84

-18

A25/12

Prva Liga

Pelister

87-117

117

-30

A19/01

Prva Liga

MZT Skopje

88-69

+19

H25/01

Prva Liga

TFT Skopje

77-91

-14

A04/02

Prva Liga

Rabotnicki

63-98

-35

A11/02

Prva Liga

Feniks 2010

70-72

-2

H16/02

Macedonian Cup

FMP Akademija

#10

87-79

H04/03

Prva Liga

22-24

20-13

17-13

27-18

16-26

24-20

18-18

20-14

16-17

27-13

29-24

28-29

17-30

10-28

19-12

20-14

21-33

21-32

27-31

18-21

16-20

24-20

20-15

28-14

18-22

19-26

16-27

24-16

12-23

12-28

15-22

24-25

19-23

12-12

20-17

19-20

26-19

21-19

27-21

13-20

166.3Avg total

81.0Scored

85.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	84.6	83.9	168.5	+0.6	62%
Season at home (8)	91.4	77.1	168.5	+14.2	100%
Season away (8)	77.8	90.8	168.5	-13.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	81.0	85.3	166.3	-4.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	81.8	158.8	-4.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	76.6	83.7	160.4	-7.1	45%
vs Similar (10)	81.1	83.9	165.0	-2.8	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	82.1	74.9	157.0	+7.2	75%

This opponent (Strumica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

StrumicaGostivar

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.5	24.7	44.2	-5.1	21%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	23.7	42.9	-4.5	20%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	25.7	45.6	-5.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	24.9	42.5	-7.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	26.6	42.6	-10.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	19.3	24.7	44.0	-5.4	18%	-
vs Similar (1)	25.0	23.0	48.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.3	40.9	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	20.1	41.1	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	22.4	40.7	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	23.7	42.0	-5.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.4	39.6	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.6	22.0	40.6	-3.4	18%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.7	20.9	39.6	-2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	22.2	20.5	42.8	+1.8	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	21.0	39.9	-2.0	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	21.3	39.9	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	20.6	39.9	-1.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	18.9	20.8	39.8	-1.9	36%	-
vs Similar (1)	20.0	25.0	45.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.6	40.1	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	18.7	39.9	+2.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.5	40.4	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.1	40.1	-2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.3	21.1	41.4	-0.8	45%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.3	21.0	41.3	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	22.2	16.8	39.0	+5.5	88%	-

StrumicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rabotnicki

47-42

H27/11

Prva Liga

FMP Akademija

#10

41-38

A04/12

Prva Liga

TFT Skopje

38-55

-17

H10/12

Prva Liga

Kumanovo

#11

45-48

-3

H17/12

Prva Liga

Cair 2030

39-51

-12

A24/12

Prva Liga

Tikvesh

37-48

-11

A21/01

Prva Liga

Kozuv

30-45

-15

H29/01

Prva Liga

Feniks 2010

32-45

-13

A05/02

Prva Liga

Pelister

32-43

-11

H11/02

Prva Liga

MZT Skopje

39-46

-7

H06/03

Prva Liga

84.1Avg total

38.0Scored

46.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.5	45.6	84.1	-7.1	21%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.8	45.0	82.8	-7.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.2	46.3	85.5	-7.1	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	46.1	84.1	-8.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	45.4	79.4	-11.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	38.2	45.5	83.8	-7.3	21%	-
vs Similar (1)	45.0	48.0	93.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Gostivar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GostivarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cair 2030

42-37

H03/12

Prva Liga

Tikvesh

40-46

-6

A11/12

Prva Liga

Kozuv

43-30

+13

H17/12

Prva Liga

Feniks 2010

27-58

-31

A25/12

Prva Liga

Pelister

42-65

-23

A19/01

Prva Liga

MZT Skopje

40-40

H25/01

Prva Liga

TFT Skopje

37-48

-11

A04/02

Prva Liga

Rabotnicki

24-51

-27

A11/02

Prva Liga

Feniks 2010

31-35

-4

H16/02

Macedonian Cup

FMP Akademija

#10

47-38

H04/03

Prva Liga

82.1Avg total

37.3Scored

44.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	40.9	81.0	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	38.9	81.0	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.2	42.9	81.1	-4.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	44.8	82.1	-7.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	42.4	78.2	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	38.9	43.1	82.0	-4.2	27%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.0	41.9	80.9	-2.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	44.5	37.2	81.8	+7.2	88%	-

This opponent (Strumica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.9	25.1	43.0	-7.2	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	24.2	42.1	-6.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	26.0	43.9	-8.1	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	25.0	44.5	-5.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	25.0	40.4	-9.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	17.9	25.3	43.2	-7.5	14%	-
vs Similar (1)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.1	37.1	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.7	37.7	+2.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.0	20.5	36.5	-4.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.5	19.6	36.2	-3.1	27%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	17.5	17.1	34.6	+0.4	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.9	22.1	41.9	-2.2	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	22.3	41.3	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	23.0	42.1	-3.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	23.0	40.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	19.6	22.2	41.8	-2.5	29%	-
vs Similar (1)	26.0	19.0	45.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.1	41.2	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.0	40.6	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	27%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.4	20.3	41.7	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	38%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.8	47.1	84.9	-9.4	21%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.9	46.5	83.4	-9.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.7	47.8	86.5	-9.1	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	48.0	86.6	-9.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	48.0	81.2	-14.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	37.5	47.5	85.0	-10.0	18%	-
vs Similar (1)	45.0	37.0	82.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	39.3	77.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	38.2	79.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.2	40.4	76.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	39.1	82.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	39.4	80.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	37.7	40.6	78.4	-2.9	27%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.3	40.6	81.9	+0.7	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	36.5	36.1	72.6	+0.4	25%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Strumica wins

Gostivar wins

Date	Game	Score
19/11/22	Gostivar v Strumica	102-80
24/03/18	Gostivar v Strumica	94-49
17/12/17	Strumica v Gostivar	60-92

Strumicalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/03/23	H	MZT Skopje	63-88
11/02/23	H	Pelister	77-101
05/02/23	A	Feniks 2010	71-85
29/01/23	H	Kozuv	53-104
21/01/23	A	Tikvesh	72-89
24/12/22	A	Cair 2030	92-97
17/12/22	H	Kumanovo	90-85
10/12/22	H	TFT Skopje	84-111
04/12/22	A	FMP Akademija	80-89
27/11/22	H	Rabotnicki	84-92

Gostivarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/23	H	FMP Akademija	87-79
16/02/23	H	Feniks 2010	70-72
11/02/23	A	Rabotnicki	63-98
04/02/23	A	TFT Skopje	77-91
25/01/23	H	MZT Skopje	88-69
19/01/23	A	Pelister	87-117
25/12/22	A	Feniks 2010	66-84
17/12/22	H	Kozuv	100-83
11/12/22	A	Tikvesh	86-92 OT
03/12/22	H	Cair 2030	86-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Strumica

Prva Liga 2022-23

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	12%
Home	LWLLL	22%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	12%	22%	0%
Points / game	80.1	77.7	83.1
Allowed / game	95.9	96.7	94.9
Point differential	-15.8	-19.0	-11.7
Avg total	175.9	174.3	178.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	100% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Gostivar

Prva Liga 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	62%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	62%	100%	25%
Points / game	84.6	91.4	77.8
Allowed / game	83.9	77.1	90.8
Point differential	+0.6	+14.2	-13.0
Avg total	168.5	168.5	168.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	75%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	MZT Skopje	16	14	2	88%	85.1	70.3	+14.8
2	Pelister	16	13	3	81%	89.9	78.2	+11.6
3	TFT Skopje	16	11	5	69%	87.5	79.9	+7.6
4	Feniks 2010	16	10	6	62%	81.6	76.2	+5.4
5	Tikvesh	16	10	6	62%	79.1	74.1	+5.0
6	Gostivar	16	10	6	62%	84.6	83.9	+0.6
7	Rabotnicki	16	8	8	50%	83.8	78.1	+5.6
8	Kozuv	16	7	9	44%	85.9	87.1	-1.1
9	Cair 2030	16	4	12	25%	72.8	83.3	-10.5
10	Kumanovo	16	4	12	25%	76.4	87.0	-10.6
11	FMP Akademija	16	3	13	19%	78.2	90.8	-12.6
12	Strumica	16	2	14	12%	80.1	95.9	-15.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Strumica	13	23	17	19	72
Gostivar	28	22	15	14	79

← all games of the day

Strumica vs Gostivar Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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