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Suduva-Mantinga vs Kedainiai BC Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 98-64
27-9 26-23 23-14 22-18
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game80.4
Vs
93%
■ SUDU 93%■ KEDA 7%
Pythia win probability
Projected 90-73
Projected total 163.3
Position#13
Record4-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game82.2
LithuaniaNKLRound 10· Marijampoles zaidimu sporto mokyklos sale
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Suduva-Mantinga host Kedainiai BC in the NKL. Pythia makes Suduva-Mantinga the favourite at 93% and projects 90-73, about 163 points in all. Overtime chance: 2%. Suduva-Mantinga are 5-2 this season (93.4 scored, 80.4 allowed a game), form WLLWW; Kedainiai BC are 4-5 this season (78.2 scored, 82.2 allowed a game), form WLWLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Suduva-Mantinga winWon
93.1%fair 1.07
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kedainiai BC winLost
6.9%fair 14.44
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Suduva-MantingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuduva-Mantinga
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
W
67-65
67
65
+2
63avg 85
H02/05
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
71-79
71
79
-8
64avg 85
A07/05
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
76-68
76
68
+8
66avg 85
H09/05
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
W
87-80 OT
87
80
+7
69avg 85
A08/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
W
106-94
106
94
+12
71avg 85
A10/10
NKL
Kretinga
#15
W
88-83
88
83
+5
66avg 85
A15/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#7
L
82-87
82
87
-5
70avg 85
H17/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
69-71
69
71
-2
55avg 85
H24/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#18
W
113-63
113
63
+50
120avg 85
H27/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#16
W
109-85
109
85
+24
114avg 85
A29/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
18-20
15-12
18-18
23-25
17-12
14-21
17-21
14-18
18-19
24-14
20-17
22-21
24-14
11-12
19-29
21-20
25-29
34-25
26-20
31-18
21-24
15-23
21-18
23-21
21-27
12-26
26-13
13-21
14-22
22-14
20-14
32-9
33-26
28-12
20-16
28-13
26-22
35-26
20-24
164.3Avg total
86.8Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)93.480.4173.9+13.071%
Season at home (3)88.073.7161.7+14.333%
Season away (4)97.585.5183.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.877.5164.3+9.370%
Last 5 (5)92.277.8170.0+14.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)90.375.9166.2+14.479%
This opponent (Kedainiai BC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kedainiai BCLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBC
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#7
L
89-127
89
127
-38
83avg 73
A30/09
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
75-94
75
94
-19
57avg 73
H03/10
NKL
Silute
#5
W
73-60
73
60
+13
60avg 73
A08/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
61-73
61
73
-12
55avg 73
H10/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#16
W
92-85
92
85
+7
88avg 73
H15/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
72-81
72
81
-9
65avg 73
A17/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#17
W
83-69
83
69
+14
81avg 73
H22/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#8
L
62-75
62
75
-13
71avg 73
H24/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
W
97-76
97
76
+21
100avg 73
H29/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
23-31
20-26
24-38
21-32
16-15
12-21
26-26
24-17
14-9
17-16
18-18
24-19
14-17
13-22
10-15
21-16
25-21
28-25
18-23
13-16
17-19
23-20
19-26
20-20
14-16
23-12
26-21
12-16
15-19
15-18
20-22
32-20
27-14
20-19
18-23
160.4Avg total
78.2Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.282.2160.4-4.044%
Season at home (6)78.378.7157.0-0.350%
Season away (3)78.089.3167.3-11.333%
Last 10 (9)78.282.2160.4-4.044%
Last 5 (5)81.277.2158.4+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.085.0157.0-13.017%
vs Similar (2)94.580.5175.0+14.0100%
vs Weaker (1)83.069.0152.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Suduva-Mantinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 160.5Actual: Over 160.5
Over 160.5
56.6%
Under 160.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165.5Actual: Under 165.5
Over 165.5
44.4%
Under 165.5
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170.5Actual: Under 170.5
Over 170.5
32.6%
Under 170.5
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Suduva-Mantinga total 79.5Actual: Suduva-Mantinga over 79.5
Over 79.5
86.2%
Under 79.5
13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduva-Mantinga total 83.5Actual: Suduva-Mantinga over 83.5
Over 83.5
75.3%
Under 83.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduva-Mantinga total 87.5Actual: Suduva-Mantinga over 87.5
Over 87.5
61.0%
Under 87.5
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kedainiai BC total 77.5Actual: Kedainiai BC under 77.5
Over 77.5
32.5%
Under 77.5
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kedainiai BC total 81.5Actual: Kedainiai BC under 81.5
Over 81.5
19.9%
Under 81.5
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kedainiai BC total 85.5Actual: Kedainiai BC under 85.5
Over 85.5
11.0%
Under 85.5
89.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Suduva-Mantinga -3Actual: Suduva-Mantinga -3
SUDU -3
90.3%
KEDA +3
9.7%
Best 5 market prices
SUDU
No market prices yet.
KEDA
No market prices yet.
Spread Suduva-Mantinga 0Actual: Suduva-Mantinga 0
SUDU 0
93.1%
KEDA 0
6.9%
Best 5 market prices
SUDU
No market prices yet.
KEDA
No market prices yet.
Spread Suduva-Mantinga +3Actual: Suduva-Mantinga +3
SUDU +3
95.5%
KEDA -3
4.5%
Best 5 market prices
SUDU
No market prices yet.
KEDA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -3.7-3.7
Suduva-MantingaKedainiai BC
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Suduva-MantingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H02/05
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A07/05
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H09/05
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A08/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A10/10
NKL
Kretinga
#15
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A15/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#7
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H17/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H24/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#18
W
65-35
65
35
+30
H27/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#16
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A29/10
NKL
83.6Avg total
44.0Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.736.482.1+9.370%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.635.783.3+11.969%-
Last 30 away (14)43.537.180.6+6.471%-
Last 10 (10)44.039.683.6+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)48.440.689.0+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)27.043.070.0-16.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)46.336.182.5+10.272%-
This opponent (Kedainiai BC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kedainiai BCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#7
L
45-63
45
63
-18
A30/09
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H03/10
NKL
Silute
#5
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A08/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H10/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#16
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H15/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A17/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#17
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H22/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#8
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H24/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H29/10
NKL
78.1Avg total
39.3Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)39.338.878.1+0.644%-
Last 30 at home (6)40.237.577.7+2.750%-
Last 30 away (3)37.741.379.0-3.733%-
Last 10 (9)39.338.878.1+0.644%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.474.6+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.840.376.2-4.533%-
vs Similar (2)52.535.588.0+17.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)34.036.070.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Suduva-Mantinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Suduva-Mantingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Suduva-Mantinga: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.9
54.0%
54.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.411.0
34.0%
31.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.513.3
61.9%
67.3%13.3
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kedainiai BCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kedainiai BC: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.9 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.4
55.9%
54.5%42.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.16.9
27.4%
31.2%20.7
🏀 Free throws23.214.3
61.7%
67.3%14.3
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Suduva-Mantinga
WWLLWWWWLW
Kedainiai BC
WLWLWLWLL
#4
League position
#13
+7.6
Net rating
-3.2
96.5
Offensive rating
85.3
89.0
Defensive rating
88.5
52.5%
Effective FG%
50.1%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
12.5%
Turnover %
16.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.0%
3-point %
27.4%
62.9%
Assist %
69.0%
70%
Form (last 10/9)
44%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 85.3Defence89.0 · 88.5Shooting52.5% · 50.1%3-point %34.0% · 27.4%Ball care12.5% · 16.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/9)70% · 44%
■ Suduva-Mantinga   ■ Kedainiai BC
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Suduva-Mantinga wins
0
Kedainiai BC wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AMazeikiai109-85
27/10/26HKauno Atletas113-63
24/10/26HTelsiai69-71
17/10/26HOmega-Tauras82-87
15/10/26AKretinga88-83
10/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas 2106-94
08/10/26AAlytaus Patriotai87-80 OT
09/05/26HNeptunas 276-68
07/05/26ANeptunas 271-79
02/05/26HNeptunas 267-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HUkmerges Stekas97-76
24/10/26HPlunges Olimpas62-75
22/10/26HRytas 283-69
17/10/26AJurbarkas72-81
15/10/26HMazeikiai92-85
10/10/26HTelsiai61-73
08/10/26ASilute73-60
03/10/26HBC Olimpas Palanga75-94
30/09/26AOmega-Tauras89-127

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Suduva-Mantinga
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW71%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%33%100%
Points / game93.488.097.5
Allowed / game80.473.785.5
Point differential+13.0+14.3+12.0
Avg total173.9161.7183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Kedainiai BC
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW44%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %44%50%33%
Points / game78.278.378.0
Allowed / game82.278.789.3
Point differential-4.0-0.3-11.3
Avg total160.4157.0167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas880100%90.173.5+16.6
2 Telsiai10100100%88.272.5+15.7
3 BC Olimpas Palanga108280%93.080.6+12.4
4 Suduva-Mantinga75271%93.480.4+13.0
5 Silute75271%84.078.1+5.9
6 Omega-Tauras96367%88.783.2+5.4
7 Neptunas 296367%77.074.2+2.8
8 Vytis VDU74357%94.092.6+1.4
9 Plunges Olimpas95456%80.378.7+1.7
10 Vilkaviskis84450%82.583.9-1.4
11 Alytaus Patriotai94544%84.487.9-3.4
12 Kedainiai BC94544%78.282.2-4.0
13 Zalgiris Kaunas 2104640%95.797.1-1.4
14 Ukmerges Stekas93633%81.990.8-8.9
15 Kretinga91811%80.289.9-9.7
16 Mazeikiai91811%74.286.3-12.1
17 Rytas 29090%73.385.8-12.4
18 Kauno Atletas8080%76.096.6-20.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Suduva-Mantinga2726232298
Kedainiai BC923141864
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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