The 1. Liga clash on 8 November 2026 pits Svitavy against Pardubice 2, with the Pythia model clearly favouring the home side at 83% probability of victory, a reflection of Svitavy's 5-2 record, 92.3 points per game and 86.1 allowed per game, and their unbeaten 4-0 home run. Pardubice 2, in contrast, sits 15th with a 2-4 record, 73.3 points per game and 79.7 allowed per game, and has struggled on the road, going 1-3 with 72.8 points per game and 84.2 allowed. Svitavy's last five games were 3-2, including a 117-98 home win over Novy Jicin, while Pardubice 2's recent five were 2-3, highlighted by a narrow 84-83 away win over Zlin. Historically, Svitavy has dominated the rivalry, winning 9 of 10 meetings and most recently 108-78 on 14 December 2025. The model projects a 91-80 score, 171 total points, with a 33% chance the home side will cover the -15.5 spread and a 69% probability of the over on the 162.5 line, and a 3% chance of overtime. The game will likely see Svitavy extend its home advantage.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 92.3 | 86.1 | 178.4 | +6.1 | 71% |
| Season at home (4) | 99.0 | 85.0 | 184.0 | +14.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 83.3 | 87.7 | 171.0 | -4.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.6 | 84.6 | 171.2 | +2.0 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 90.4 | 87.0 | 177.4 | +3.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 87.2 | 87.1 | 174.2 | +0.1 | 58% |
| vs Similar (7) | 92.1 | 84.9 | 177.0 | +7.3 | 71% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 88.9 | 82.2 | 171.1 | +6.7 | 73% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 73.3 | 79.7 | 153.0 | -6.3 | 33% |
| Season at home (2) | 74.5 | 70.5 | 145.0 | +4.0 | 50% |
| Season away (4) | 72.8 | 84.2 | 157.0 | -11.5 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 74.1 | 82.1 | 156.2 | -8.0 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.0 | 81.6 | 157.6 | -5.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 76.1 | 79.6 | 155.7 | -3.5 | 36% |
| vs Similar (10) | 72.9 | 78.6 | 151.5 | -5.7 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 83.0 | 73.6 | 156.6 | +9.4 | 78% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 86.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.5 | 41.0 | 85.5 | +3.6 | 60% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 47.3 | 39.3 | 86.5 | +8.0 | 80% | 60% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 41.8 | 42.7 | 84.5 | -0.9 | 40% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.5 | 41.8 | 84.3 | +0.7 | 40% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.6 | 44.8 | 88.4 | -1.2 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 44.5 | 41.6 | 86.1 | +2.9 | 50% | 50% |
| vs Similar (7) | 46.0 | 41.0 | 87.0 | +5.0 | 71% | 71% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 43.6 | 40.3 | 83.9 | +3.4 | 64% | 55% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 86.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.8 | 39.7 | 78.5 | -0.8 | 40% | 20% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 39.9 | 37.9 | 77.8 | +1.9 | 43% | 21% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 37.9 | 41.2 | 79.1 | -3.2 | 38% | 19% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.3 | 40.3 | 80.6 | +0.0 | 50% | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.8 | 40.8 | 80.6 | -1.0 | 40% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 39.7 | 39.9 | 79.6 | -0.2 | 36% | 27% |
| vs Similar (10) | 37.7 | 40.5 | 78.2 | -2.8 | 40% | 20% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 39.0 | 38.4 | 77.4 | +0.6 | 44% | 11% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 161.5 | 71.4% | 1.71 | 1.71 | - | - | - | - | +19.1pp | Won |
| Pardubice 2 over 74.5 | 70.6% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +14.9pp | Won |
| Pardubice 2 over 73.5 | 73.9% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +14.9pp | Won |
| Pardubice 2 over 72.5 | 77.1% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +14.6pp | Won |
| Pardubice 2 over 71.5 | 80.0% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +14.2pp | Won |
| Pardubice 2 over 70.5 | 82.6% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +13.7pp | Won |
| Pardubice 2 +16.5 | 70.1% | 1.56 | 1.56 | - | - | - | - | +13.6pp | Won |
| Pardubice 2 +17.5 | 73.1% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +13.0pp | Won |
| Pardubice 2 +18.5 | 75.9% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +12.4pp | Won |
| Pardubice 2 +19.5 | 78.5% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +11.6pp | Won |
| Pardubice 2 +20.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +10.2pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 96.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | - |
| Svitavy under 96.5 | 71.6% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Svitavy over 85.5 | 70.2% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Svitavy (regulation) | 80.5% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +1.7pp | Won |
| Svitavy win | 82.5% | 1.07 | 1.11 | 1.08 | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.06 | -3.4pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.4 | 19.9 | 51.4% | 39.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 33.9 | 10.8 | 27.7% | 32.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.7 | 14.4 | 61.5% | 14.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.3 | 19.3 | 51.4% | 38.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.5 | 6.4 | 27.7% | 19.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.7 | 15.0 | 61.5% | 15.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14/12/25 | Svitavy v Pardubice 2 | 108-78 |
| 10/10/25 | Pardubice 2 v Svitavy | 82-60 |
| 15/12/24 | Svitavy v Pardubice 2 | 87-75 |
| 11/10/24 | Pardubice 2 v Svitavy | 86-108 |
| 25/01/24 | Pardubice 2 v Svitavy | 74-86 |
| 12/11/23 | Svitavy v Pardubice 2 | 94-76 |
| 11/12/22 | Svitavy v Pardubice 2 | 95-45 |
| 07/10/22 | Pardubice 2 v Svitavy | 71-98 |
| 28/01/22 | Pardubice 2 v Svitavy | 55-85 |
| 14/11/21 | Svitavy v Pardubice 2 | 104-63 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | A | Zlin | 74-97 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Novy Jicin | 117-98 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Vysoka | 80-92 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Opava 2 | 85-74 |
| 02/10/26 | A | SK Zabovresky | 96-74 |
| 27/09/26 | H | MS Academy | 101-79 |
| 20/09/26 | H | Brno U23 | 93-89 |
| 22/04/26 | A | Zlin | 71-86 |
| 19/04/26 | H | Zlin | 82-67 |
| 17/04/26 | A | Zlin | 67-90 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/26 | A | Brno U23 | 82-108 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Zlin | 84-83 OT |
| 09/10/26 | H | Novy Jicin | 73-74 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Vysoka | 65-76 |
| 25/09/26 | H | Opava 2 | 76-67 |
| 18/09/26 | A | SK Zabovresky | 60-70 |
| 29/03/26 | A | Valecnici Decin | 65-85 |
| 27/03/26 | H | Valecnici Decin | 74-94 |
| 20/03/26 | H | Plzen | 82-87 |
| 12/03/26 | A | Litomerice | 80-77 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWL | 71% |
| Home | WWWW | 100% |
| Away | WLL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 71% | 100% | 33% |
| Points / game | 92.3 | 99.0 | 83.3 |
| Allowed / game | 86.1 | 85.0 | 87.7 |
| Point differential | +6.1 | +14.0 | -4.3 |
| Avg total | 178.4 | 184.0 | 171.0 |
| Over 162.5 | 86% | 75% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWL | 33% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | LLWL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Win % | 33% | 50% | 25% |
| Points / game | 73.3 | 74.5 | 72.8 |
| Allowed / game | 79.7 | 70.5 | 84.2 |
| Point differential | -6.3 | +4.0 | -11.5 |
| Avg total | 153.0 | 145.0 | 157.0 |
| Over 162.5 | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 0% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 17% | 0% | 25% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 84.2 | 71.5 | +12.7 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 84.6 | 70.0 | +14.6 | |
| 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 86.8 | 74.8 | +12.0 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 87.1 | 68.2 | +18.9 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 92.3 | 86.1 | +6.1 | |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 80.9 | 76.3 | +4.6 | |
| 7 | CZ.ACADEMY | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 85.0 | 77.2 | +7.8 |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 85.1 | 80.2 | +4.9 | |
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 84.9 | 86.0 | -1.1 | |
| 10 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 72.1 | 73.6 | -1.5 | |
| 11 | SK Zabovresky | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 73.1 | 76.8 | -3.6 |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 70.0 | 83.2 | -13.2 | |
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 75.1 | 76.4 | -1.2 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 80.7 | 84.3 | -3.7 | |
| 15 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 73.3 | 79.7 | -6.3 | |
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 82.8 | 84.4 | -1.6 | |
| 17 | MS Academy | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 76.5 | 87.4 | -10.9 |
| 18 | Radotin | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 73.1 | 86.1 | -13.0 |
| 19 | Slavia Prague Tygri | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 78.4 | 85.6 | -7.1 |
| 20 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 65.1 | 87.0 | -21.9 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 13 | 21 | 26 | 94 | |
| 19 | 13 | 27 | 24 | 83 |
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