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Szombathely vs Alba Fehervar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 94-78
Projected total 171.7
Final 87-76
27-14 17-24 23-11 20-27
Position#2
Record7-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game95.1
Allowed / game70.3
Szombathely 🏆
Hungary
Vs
91%
■ SZO 91%■ AFE 9%
Pythia win probability
Alba Fehervar
Hungary
Position#4
Record6-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game80.0
HungaryNB I ARound 9· Arena Savaria
Other2026-27
Meetings · Szombathely v Alba Fehervar
11 Nov 2026
SZO87
AFE76
23 Dec 2025
SZO93
AFE73
25 Apr 2025
SZO110
AFE74
19 Apr 2025
SZO101
AFE76
05 Apr 2025
SZO103
AFE83
24 Jan 2024
SZO95
AFE73
29 Nov 2023
SZO108
AFE75
28 May 2023
SZO84
AFE68
23 May 2023
SZO84
AFE78
17 May 2023
SZO82
AFE70
05 Apr 2023
SZO79
AFE75
14 Dec 2022
SZO90
AFE77
07 Jun 2022
SZO83
AFE85
01 Jun 2022
SZO88
AFE78
30 Apr 2022
SZO96
AFE72
30 Dec 2021
SZO91
AFE93
26 Jan 2021
SZO95
AFE84
08 Feb 2020
SZO89
AFE63
06 Dec 2018
SZO72
AFE70
07 Jun 2018
SZO76
AFE69
03 Jun 2018
SZO86
AFE82
28 May 2018
SZO90
AFE88
05 May 2018
SZO82
AFE72
07 Oct 2017
SZO94
AFE66
16 Jun 2017
SZO82
AFE69
10 Jun 2017
SZO65
AFE75
06 Apr 2017
SZO69
AFE62
28 Jan 2017
SZO89
AFE61
12 Mar 2016
SZO73
AFE71
18 Mar 2015
SZO100
AFE96
18 Dec 2014
SZO77
AFE62
01 Nov 2013
SZO79
AFE82
02 Mar 2013
SZO72
AFE77
27 Oct 2011
SZO84
AFE82
18 Apr 2011
SZO105
AFE87
12 Apr 2011
SZO79
AFE63
12 Jan 2011
SZO81
AFE85
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Szombathely hosts Alba Fehervar on 11 November 2026 in the NB I A, and the Pythia model names Szombathely the favourite with a 92% chance of winning, reflecting their perfect 6-0 record, 97.3 points per game and only 72.7 allowed, the best in the league. Szombathely's home form is flawless, 3-0 at home with 91.7 points per game and 68.3 allowed, and they have won four of their last five games, though they suffered a 66-72 loss to AEK Athens at home on 4 November. Alba Fehervar, 5-2 overall, averages 89.1 points and concedes 80.9, but their road record is 1-2, 81.0 points per game and 86.0 allowed, and they have lost two of their last five, including a 67-79 defeat to Phoenix-MT Fot on 24 October. In previous encounters the teams have met ten times, Szombathely winning seven; the last meeting on 21 March 2026 saw Alba Fehervar win 91-80. Pythia projects a 96-80 scoreline, 175.6 total points, and a 2% chance of overtime, with the home team covering the spread. The game will conclude with Szombathely's 96 points.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Szombathely winWon
91.3%fair 1.09
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Fehervar winLost
8.7%fair 11.56
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 18:25 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SzombathelyHungaryLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSzombathely
Date
Competition
Phoenix-MT Fot
#6
W
94-75
94
75
+19
90avg 85
H26/09
NB I A
OSE Lions
#10
W
98-74
98
74
+24
95avg 85
A03/10
NB I A
Antwerp Giants
#12
L
93-99
93
99
-6
84avg 85
A07/10
Champions League
Szedeak
#9
W
96-65
96
65
+31
94avg 85
H10/10
NB I A
NKA Pecs
#13
W
106-78
106
78
+28
104avg 85
A16/10
NB I A
Salon Vilpas
#15
W
85-72
85
72
+13
73avg 85
H20/10
Champions League
KTE-Duna
#14
W
85-65
85
65
+20
81avg 85
H24/10
NB I A
Kormend
#11
W
105-79
105
79
+26
108avg 85
A28/10
NB I A
AEK Athens
#17
L
66-72
66
72
-6
no box
H04/11
Champions League
Soproni KC
#8
W
82-56
82
56
+26
no box
A07/11
NB I A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-13
24-20
19-19
19-23
26-16
20-30
25-17
27-11
23-34
22-20
26-22
22-23
21-17
28-17
21-21
26-10
30-23
20-22
25-12
31-21
23-21
23-21
16-14
23-16
25-18
25-23
14-13
21-11
24-20
31-18
28-25
22-16
17-18
10-20
21-16
18-18
26-11
20-22
23-12
13-11
164.5Avg total
91.0Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)95.170.3165.4+24.9100%
Season at home (3)91.768.3160.0+23.3100%
Season away (4)97.871.8169.5+26.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.073.5164.5+17.580%
Last 5 (5)84.668.8153.4+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)87.397.3184.7-10.00%
vs Similar (9)84.179.2163.3+4.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)90.778.0168.7+12.783%
This opponent (Alba Fehervar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba FehervarHungaryLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFehervar
Date
Competition
Budapesti Honved Se
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
64avg 85
A13/05
NB I A
Budapesti Honved Se
#6
L
90-98
90
98
-8
87avg 85
H15/05
NB I A
Kormend
#11
W
96-77
96
77
+19
92avg 85
H25/09
NB I A
Soproni KC
#8
W
98-82
98
82
+16
94avg 85
H30/09
NB I A
Budapesti Honved Se
#7
L
88-95
88
95
-7
79avg 85
A11/10
NB I A
Kaposvari
#5
W
94-85
94
85
+9
92avg 85
H17/10
NB I A
Phoenix-MT Fot
#6
L
67-79
67
79
-12
58avg 85
A24/10
NB I A
Szedeak
#9
W
93-64
93
64
+29
90avg 85
H28/10
NB I A
KTE-Duna
#14
W
88-84
88
84
+4
81avg 85
A31/10
NB I A
DEAC
#12
W
93-74
93
74
+19
no box
H06/11
NB I A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
19-22
19-26
17-14
28-17
25-28
17-29
20-24
23-20
20-17
24-18
29-22
29-14
16-24
29-22
24-22
27-20
20-13
23-31
18-31
21-29
32-16
23-22
18-18
19-25
19-18
17-12
12-24
23-25
22-10
27-16
21-13
25-19
23-20
12-19
28-26
23-10
23-23
19-23
28-18
169.7Avg total
88.0Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.680.0169.6+9.675%
Season at home (5)94.876.4171.2+18.4100%
Season away (3)81.086.0167.0-5.033%
Last 10 (10)88.081.7169.7+6.360%
Last 5 (5)87.077.2164.2+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)79.693.4173.0-13.929%
vs Similar (6)90.584.8175.3+5.750%
vs Weaker (17)92.884.1176.9+8.665%
This opponent (Szombathely) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 165.5Actual: Under 165.5
Over 165.5
64.5%
Under 165.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170.5Actual: Under 170.5
Over 170.5
52.5%
Under 170.5
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 175.5Actual: Under 175.5
Over 175.5
40.3%
Under 175.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Szombathely total 84.5Actual: Szombathely over 84.5
Over 84.5
82.4%
Under 84.5
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szombathely total 88.5Actual: Szombathely under 88.5
Over 88.5
70.1%
Under 88.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szombathely total 92.5Actual: Szombathely under 92.5
Over 92.5
54.8%
Under 92.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alba Fehervar total 78Actual: Alba Fehervar under 78
Over 78
49.3%
Under 78
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alba Fehervar total 82Actual: Alba Fehervar under 82
Over 82
33.4%
Under 82
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alba Fehervar total 86Actual: Alba Fehervar under 86
Over 86
20.3%
Under 86
79.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Szombathely -3Actual: Szombathely -3
SZO -3
88.0%
AFE +3
12.0%
Best 5 market prices
SZO
No market prices yet.
AFE
No market prices yet.
Spread Szombathely 0Actual: Szombathely 0
SZO 0
91.3%
AFE 0
8.7%
Best 5 market prices
SZO
No market prices yet.
AFE
No market prices yet.
Spread Szombathely +3Actual: Szombathely +3
SZO +3
94.3%
AFE -3
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
SZO
No market prices yet.
AFE
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +6.2+6.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +6.2+6.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
SzombathelyAlba Fehervar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SzombathelyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix-MT Fot
#6
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H26/09
NB I A
OSE Lions
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A03/10
NB I A
Antwerp Giants
#12
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A07/10
Champions League
Szedeak
#9
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H10/10
NB I A
NKA Pecs
#13
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A16/10
NB I A
Salon Vilpas
#15
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H20/10
Champions League
KTE-Duna
#14
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H24/10
NB I A
Kormend
#11
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A28/10
NB I A
AEK Athens
#17
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H04/11
Champions League
Soproni KC
#8
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A07/11
NB I A
87.4Avg total
47.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.341.586.8+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.240.186.3+6.275%-
Last 30 away (14)44.143.187.3+1.043%-
Last 10 (10)47.040.487.4+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.483.2+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.052.794.7-10.70%-
vs Similar (9)43.742.185.8+1.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.639.385.9+7.378%-
This opponent (Alba Fehervar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba FehervarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Budapesti Honved Se
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A13/05
NB I A
Budapesti Honved Se
#6
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H15/05
NB I A
Kormend
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H25/09
NB I A
Soproni KC
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H30/09
NB I A
Budapesti Honved Se
#7
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A11/10
NB I A
Kaposvari
#5
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H17/10
NB I A
Phoenix-MT Fot
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A24/10
NB I A
Szedeak
#9
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H28/10
NB I A
KTE-Duna
#14
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A31/10
NB I A
DEAC
#12
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H06/11
NB I A
84.2Avg total
45.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.343.489.7+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.740.587.2+6.269%-
Last 30 away (14)45.946.892.6-0.957%-
Last 10 (10)45.538.784.2+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)46.039.085.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)42.649.792.3-7.143%-
vs Similar (6)47.544.391.8+3.267%-
vs Weaker (17)47.440.587.9+6.971%-
This opponent (Szombathely) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Szombathelytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Szombathely: 95.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
50%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.622.4
55.2%
55.1%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.0
36.9%
32.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws25.220.2
80.2%
73.6%20.2
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Fehervartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Fehervar: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
50%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.0
55.4%
55.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.5
34.1%
32.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.416.9
75.4%
73.6%16.9
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Szombathely
WLWWWWWLWW
Alba Fehervar
WWWLWLWWLL
#2
League position
#4
+24.2
Net rating
+6.0
112.5
Offensive rating
101.3
88.3
Defensive rating
95.3
55.2%
Effective FG%
53.6%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
9.3%
Turnover %
13.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.9%
3-point %
34.1%
54.9%
Assist %
64.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 101.3Defence88.3 · 95.3Shooting55.2% · 53.6%3-point %36.9% · 34.1%Ball care9.3% · 13.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Szombathely   ■ Alba Fehervar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Szombathely wins
3
Alba Fehervar wins
DateGameScore
21/03/26Alba Fehervar v Szombathely91-80
23/12/25Szombathely v Alba Fehervar93-73
28/04/25Alba Fehervar v Szombathely95-102
25/04/25Szombathely v Alba Fehervar110-74
22/04/25Alba Fehervar v Szombathely120-112 OT
19/04/25Szombathely v Alba Fehervar101-76
05/04/25Szombathely v Alba Fehervar103-83
14/12/24Alba Fehervar v Szombathely73-100
30/03/24Alba Fehervar v Szombathely93-80
24/01/24Szombathely v Alba Fehervar95-73
Szombathelylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ASoproni KC82-56
04/11/26HAEK Athens66-72
28/10/26AKormend105-79
24/10/26HKTE-Duna85-65
20/10/26HSalon Vilpas85-72
16/10/26ANKA Pecs106-78
10/10/26HSzedeak96-65
07/10/26AAntwerp Giants93-99
03/10/26AOSE Lions98-74
26/09/26HPhoenix-MT Fot94-75
Alba Fehervarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HDEAC93-74
31/10/26AKTE-Duna88-84
28/10/26HSzedeak93-64
24/10/26APhoenix-MT Fot67-79
17/10/26HKaposvari94-85
11/10/26ABudapesti Honved Se88-95
30/09/26HSoproni KC98-82
25/09/26HKormend96-77
15/05/26HBudapesti Honved Se90-98
13/05/26ABudapesti Honved Se73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Szombathely
NB I A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.191.797.8
Allowed / game70.368.371.8
Point differential+24.9+23.3+26.0
Avg total165.4160.0169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Fehervar
NB I A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%100%33%
Points / game89.694.881.0
Allowed / game80.076.486.0
Point differential+9.6+18.4-5.0
Avg total169.6171.2167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Atomeromu Paks880100%103.977.2+26.6
2 Szombathely770100%95.170.3+24.9
3 Alba Fehervar86275%89.680.0+9.6
4 Szolnoki Olaj86275%87.279.5+7.8
5 Kaposvari86275%92.090.9+1.1
6 Budapesti Honved Se85362%92.592.5+0.0
7 Phoenix-MT Fot84450%79.278.8+0.5
8 Soproni KC83538%79.982.2-2.4
9 OSE Lions83538%86.692.2-5.6
10 Szedeak83538%78.686.2-7.6
11 Kormend82625%80.692.1-11.5
12 DEAC71614%83.390.9-7.6
13 NKA Pecs81712%80.593.1-12.6
14 KTE-Duna8080%70.091.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Szombathely2717232087
Alba Fehervar1424112776
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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