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Tabiat vs Esteghlal BC Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 70-80
21-26 18-8 12-22 19-24
Position#4
Record7-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game73.8
Tabiat
Iran
vs
Esteghlal BC 🏆
Iran
Position#1
Record10-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game68.7
IranSuper LeagueRound 10
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tabiat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esteghlal BC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TabiatIranLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTabiat
Date
Competition
Golnoor Isfahan
#6
W
73-66
73
66
+7
no box
H02/10
Super League
Petro Novin Mahshahr
#11
W
77-47
77
47
+30
76avg 78
A09/10
Super League
Kalleh
#3
L
85-104
85
104
-19
74avg 78
H16/10
Super League
Pas Kordestan
#8
W
92-64
92
64
+28
97avg 78
A20/10
Super League
Shahrdari Gorgan
#2
L
66-75
66
75
-9
48avg 78
H23/10
Super League
Payesh Part Shahrod
#12
W
90-81
90
81
+9
89avg 78
A27/10
Super League
Palayesh Naft Abadan
#5
W
83-77 OT
83
77
+6
84avg 78
H30/10
Super League
Naft Zagros Jonoubi
#7
L
89-93
89
93
-4
78avg 78
A03/11
Super League
Mahgol Alborz
#9
W
86-75
86
75
+11
85avg 78
H06/11
Super League
Raad Padafan Isfahan
#10
W
96-56
96
56
+40
no box
A07/12
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
23-15
16-20
16-12
23-18
18-14
19-9
17-6
23-23
26-23
13-29
23-29
26-13
23-14
21-18
22-19
11-19
20-14
15-24
20-18
25-21
26-25
22-16
17-19
19-29
24-16
14-14
13-11
28-13
11-33
21-15
29-32
26-22
24-17
13-28
23-8
28-14
26-9
17-20
25-13
157.5Avg total
83.7Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.773.8157.5+9.970%
Season at home (5)78.679.4158.0-0.860%
Season away (5)88.868.2157.0+20.680%
Last 10 (10)83.773.8157.5+9.970%
Last 5 (5)88.876.4165.2+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)82.296.3178.5-14.20%
vs Similar (14)84.482.7167.1+1.771%
vs Weaker (10)85.269.0154.2+16.280%
This opponent (Esteghlal BC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Esteghlal BCIranLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBC
Date
Competition
Kalleh
#3
W
74-64
74
64
+10
no box
A02/10
Super League
Shahrdari Gorgan
#2
W
85-83
85
83
+2
83avg 82
H09/10
Super League
Palayesh Naft Abadan
#5
W
86-83
86
83
+3
80avg 82
A16/10
Super League
Mahgol Alborz
#9
W
92-75
92
75
+17
103avg 82
H20/10
Super League
Raad Padafan Isfahan
#10
W
79-58
79
58
+21
81avg 82
A23/10
Super League
Petro Novin Mahshahr
#11
W
79-50
79
50
+29
81avg 82
H27/10
Super League
Pas Kordestan
#8
W
75-66
75
66
+9
74avg 82
A30/10
Super League
Payesh Part Shahrod
#12
W
81-58
81
58
+23
82avg 82
H03/11
Super League
Naft Zagros Jonoubi
#7
W
86-84
86
84
+2
79avg 82
A06/11
Super League
Golnoor Isfahan
#6
W
76-66
76
66
+10
71avg 82
H08/12
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-10
11-19
24-19
20-16
25-22
23-23
21-23
16-15
25-22
26-28
19-17
16-16
24-13
26-24
24-13
18-25
17-17
25-13
19-20
18-8
19-9
19-10
26-14
15-17
20-21
25-9
18-19
12-17
20-12
27-11
20-16
14-19
13-24
30-24
15-23
28-13
15-19
13-13
26-15
22-19
150.0Avg total
81.3Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.368.7150.0+12.6100%
Season at home (5)82.666.4149.0+16.2100%
Season away (5)80.071.0151.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.368.7150.0+12.6100%
Last 5 (5)79.464.8144.2+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)81.776.7158.3+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)81.165.3146.4+15.9100%
This opponent (Tabiat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
TabiatEsteghlal BC
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TabiatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golnoor Isfahan
#6
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H02/10
Super League
Petro Novin Mahshahr
#11
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A09/10
Super League
Kalleh
#3
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H16/10
Super League
Pas Kordestan
#8
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A20/10
Super League
Shahrdari Gorgan
#2
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H23/10
Super League
Payesh Part Shahrod
#12
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A27/10
Super League
Palayesh Naft Abadan
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H30/10
Super League
Naft Zagros Jonoubi
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A03/11
Super League
Mahgol Alborz
#9
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H06/11
Super League
Raad Padafan Isfahan
#10
W
54-23
54
23
+31
A07/12
Super League
81.9Avg total
44.8Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.640.183.7+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.539.382.8+4.173%-
Last 30 away (15)43.740.984.7+2.847%-
Last 10 (10)44.837.181.9+7.770%-
Last 5 (5)47.439.887.2+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)41.847.088.8-5.217%-
vs Similar (14)43.941.185.0+2.764%-
vs Weaker (10)44.334.678.9+9.780%-
This opponent (Esteghlal BC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Esteghlal BCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kalleh
#3
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A02/10
Super League
Shahrdari Gorgan
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H09/10
Super League
Palayesh Naft Abadan
#5
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A16/10
Super League
Mahgol Alborz
#9
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H20/10
Super League
Raad Padafan Isfahan
#10
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A23/10
Super League
Petro Novin Mahshahr
#11
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H27/10
Super League
Pas Kordestan
#8
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A30/10
Super League
Payesh Part Shahrod
#12
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H03/11
Super League
Naft Zagros Jonoubi
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A06/11
Super League
Golnoor Isfahan
#6
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H08/12
Super League
76.5Avg total
42.2Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)42.234.376.5+7.980%-
Last 30 at home (5)42.231.273.4+11.080%-
Last 30 away (5)42.237.479.6+4.880%-
Last 10 (10)42.234.376.5+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)40.230.470.6+9.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)43.041.384.3+1.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.931.373.1+10.671%-
This opponent (Tabiat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tabiattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tabiat: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
48%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.9
55.1%
50.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.1
32.0%
31.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.315.1
78.2%
67.7%15.1
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esteghlal BCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esteghlal BC: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
48%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.2
55.2%
50.9%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.5
36.0%
31.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.813.1
69.7%
67.7%13.1
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tabiat
WWLWWLWLWW
Esteghlal BC
WWWWWWWWWW
#4
League position
#1
+9.7
Net rating
+18.3
108.6
Offensive rating
111.4
98.9
Defensive rating
93.1
52.3%
Effective FG%
54.8%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
44.3%
19.1%
Turnover %
18.9%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.0%
3-point %
36.0%
57.3%
Assist %
65.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 111.4Defence98.9 · 93.1Shooting52.3% · 54.8%3-point %32.0% · 36.0%Ball care19.1% · 18.9%Off. rebounds29.9% · 33.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 100%
■ Tabiat   ■ Esteghlal BC
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tabiat wins
0
Esteghlal BC wins
No previous meetings.
Tabiatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25ARaad Padafan Isfahan96-56
06/11/25HMahgol Alborz86-75
03/11/25ANaft Zagros Jonoubi89-93
30/10/25HPalayesh Naft Abadan83-77 OT
27/10/25APayesh Part Shahrod90-81
23/10/25HShahrdari Gorgan66-75
20/10/25APas Kordestan92-64
16/10/25HKalleh85-104
09/10/25APetro Novin Mahshahr77-47
02/10/25HGolnoor Isfahan73-66
Esteghlal BClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/25HGolnoor Isfahan76-66
06/11/25ANaft Zagros Jonoubi86-84
03/11/25HPayesh Part Shahrod81-58
30/10/25APas Kordestan75-66
27/10/25HPetro Novin Mahshahr79-50
23/10/25ARaad Padafan Isfahan79-58
20/10/25HMahgol Alborz92-75
16/10/25APalayesh Naft Abadan86-83
09/10/25HShahrdari Gorgan85-83
02/10/25AKalleh74-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tabiat
Super League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%60%80%
Points / game83.778.688.8
Allowed / game73.879.468.2
Point differential+9.9-0.8+20.6
Avg total157.5158.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%20%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Esteghlal BC
Super League 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.382.680.0
Allowed / game68.766.471.0
Point differential+12.6+16.2+9.0
Avg total150.0149.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%80%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esteghlal BC10100100%81.368.7+12.6
2 Shahrdari Gorgan98189%83.769.6+14.1
3 Kalleh108280%82.974.9+8.0
4 Tabiat107370%83.773.8+9.9
5 Palayesh Naft Abadan116555%87.774.9+12.8
6 Naft Zagros Jonoubi116555%87.381.8+5.5
7 Golnoor Isfahan115645%70.472.7-2.4
8 Petro Novin Mahshahr103730%62.675.7-13.1
9 Mahgol Alborz113827%79.286.3-7.1
10 Raad Padafan Isfahan113827%71.883.1-11.3
11 Pas Kordestan113827%68.180.2-12.1
12 Payesh Part Shahrod9090%69.685.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tabiat2118121970
Esteghlal BC268222480
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