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Targu Mures W vs Arad W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 56-81
17-19 18-13 10-31 11-18
Position#8
Record1-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game56.0
Allowed / game82.8
Targu Mures W
Romania
vs
Arad W 🏆
Romania
Position#3
Record10-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game65.3
RomaniaLiga National WRound 14· Sala Sporturilor Târgu Mure
Women2023-24
Meetings · Targu Mures W v Arad W
28 Feb 2024
TARG56
ARAD81
11 Mar 2023
TARG52
ARAD78
31 Mar 2022
TARG56
ARAD80
22 Jan 2022
TARG62
ARAD79
05 Dec 2019
TARG38
ARAD80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Targu Mures W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arad W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Targu Mures WRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Phoenix Constanta W
#1
L
61-82
61
82
-21
47avg 42
H16/11
Liga National W
Municipal Targoviste W
#5
L
54-91
54
91
-37
41avg 42
A25/11
Liga National W
Olimpia Brasov W
#7
L
72-79
72
79
-7
70avg 42
H09/12
Liga National W
Arad W
#3
L
43-90
43
90
-47
29avg 42
A21/12
Liga National W
Sepsi SIC W
#2
L
52-108
52
108
-56
47avg 42
A06/01
Liga National W
Cluj Napoca W
#4
L
60-74
60
74
-14
50avg 42
A11/01
Liga National W
Rapid Bucuresti W
#6
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
no box
H20/01
Liga National W
Phoenix Constanta W
#1
L
24-66
24
66
-42
10avg 42
A28/01
Liga National W
Municipal Targoviste W
#5
L
47-74
47
74
-27
35avg 42
H08/02
Liga National W
Olimpia Brasov W
#7
L
53-66
53
66
-13
41avg 42
A24/02
Liga National W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
18-21
11-22
18-14
14-28
16-20
10-30
14-13
18-20
21-21
12-18
21-20
9-29
13-21
15-16
6-24
14-25
15-32
10-27
13-24
12-21
13-16
15-19
20-18
12-19
15-11
22-25
20-14
6-20
4-16
5-14
9-16
7-24
14-23
17-18
9-9
11-17
17-19
12-22
13-8
137.0Avg total
55.6Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)56.082.8138.8-26.88%
Season at home (6)63.785.7149.3-22.017%
Season away (7)49.480.3129.7-30.90%
Last 10 (10)55.681.4137.0-25.810%
Last 5 (5)54.872.8127.6-18.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)59.281.7140.9-22.414%
vs Similar (1)73.050.0123.0+23.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Arad W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arad WRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Olimpia Brasov W
#7
W
78-72
78
72
+6
59avg 62
A25/11
Liga National W
Phoenix Constanta W
#1
L
79-87
79
87
-8
65avg 62
A04/12
Liga National W
Sepsi SIC W
#2
L
74-82
74
82
-8
56avg 62
A09/12
Liga National W
Targu Mures W
#8
W
90-43
90
43
+47
87avg 62
H21/12
Liga National W
Cluj Napoca W
#4
W
65-48
65
48
+17
52avg 62
H06/01
Liga National W
Rapid Bucuresti W
#6
W
81-64
81
64
+17
76avg 62
A13/01
Liga National W
Phoenix Constanta W
#1
L
62-78
62
78
-16
49avg 62
H20/01
Liga National W
Municipal Targoviste W
#5
W
62-59
62
59
+3
55avg 62
A27/01
Liga National W
Olimpia Brasov W
#7
W
84-74
84
74
+10
79avg 62
H17/02
Liga National W
Sepsi SIC W
#2
W
63-47
63
47
+16
61avg 62
H21/02
Liga National W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
25-12
18-25
14-16
15-22
16-19
22-24
26-22
22-13
9-20
22-21
21-28
29-9
21-13
16-15
24-6
19-18
15-13
16-11
15-6
23-22
20-7
19-17
19-18
22-18
13-30
15-14
12-16
19-14
16-9
8-25
19-11
18-23
28-15
21-22
17-14
13-7
23-8
16-9
11-23
139.2Avg total
73.8Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)72.865.3138.1+7.577%
Season at home (7)71.659.7131.3+11.986%
Season away (6)74.271.8146.0+2.367%
Last 10 (10)73.865.4139.2+8.470%
Last 5 (5)70.464.4134.8+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.980.2150.1-10.322%
vs Similar (5)65.067.2132.2-2.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)77.459.6137.0+17.894%
This opponent (Targu Mures W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -11.1-11.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -8.2-8.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.8+1.8
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -11.1-11.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -8.2-8.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.8+1.8
Targu Mures WArad W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Targu Mures WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Constanta W
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H16/11
Liga National W
Municipal Targoviste W
#5
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A25/11
Liga National W
Olimpia Brasov W
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H09/12
Liga National W
Arad W
#3
L
22-50
22
50
-28
A21/12
Liga National W
Sepsi SIC W
#2
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A06/01
Liga National W
Cluj Napoca W
#4
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A11/01
Liga National W
Rapid Bucuresti W
#6
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H20/01
Liga National W
Phoenix Constanta W
#1
L
10-36
10
36
-26
A28/01
Liga National W
Municipal Targoviste W
#5
L
21-47
21
47
-26
H08/02
Liga National W
Olimpia Brasov W
#7
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A24/02
Liga National W
69.1Avg total
26.3Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.841.670.4-12.713%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.141.773.8-9.615%-
Last 30 away (17)26.441.567.8-15.112%-
Last 10 (10)26.342.869.1-16.50%-
Last 5 (5)22.237.259.4-15.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)28.742.170.8-13.510%-
vs Similar (1)34.025.059.0+9.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Arad W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arad WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Brasov W
#7
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A25/11
Liga National W
Phoenix Constanta W
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A04/12
Liga National W
Sepsi SIC W
#2
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A09/12
Liga National W
Targu Mures W
#8
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H21/12
Liga National W
Cluj Napoca W
#4
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H06/01
Liga National W
Rapid Bucuresti W
#6
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A13/01
Liga National W
Phoenix Constanta W
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H20/01
Liga National W
Municipal Targoviste W
#5
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A27/01
Liga National W
Olimpia Brasov W
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H17/02
Liga National W
Sepsi SIC W
#2
W
36-15
36
15
+21
H21/02
Liga National W
69.8Avg total
38.7Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.033.270.2+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.433.571.9+4.973%-
Last 30 away (15)35.632.868.4+2.860%-
Last 10 (10)38.731.169.8+7.670%-
Last 5 (5)39.030.669.6+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.840.073.8-6.222%-
vs Similar (5)33.229.662.8+3.680%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.030.470.4+9.688%-
This opponent (Targu Mures W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Targu Mures Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Targu Mures W: 51.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws5.0 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
55%
29%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.013.6
37.8%
46.0%27.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.4
26.2%
29.7%19.2
🏀 Free throws8.95.0
56.2%
70.8%5.0
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Arad Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arad W: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.4 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
55%
29%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.119.0
45.1%
46.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.0
32.5%
29.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws11.88.4
71.2%
70.8%8.4
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Targu Mures W
LLLWLLLLLL
Arad W
WWWLWWWLLW
#8
League position
#3
-38.4
Net rating
+11.3
68.9
Offensive rating
99.0
107.3
Defensive rating
87.7
38.4%
Effective FG%
46.6%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.4%
27.0%
Turnover %
17.1%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.15
Free-throw rate
0.17
26.2%
3-point %
32.5%
67.5%
Assist %
57.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence68.9 · 99.0Defence107.3 · 87.7Shooting38.4% · 46.6%3-point %26.2% · 32.5%Ball care27.0% · 17.1%Off. rebounds23.4% · 31.7%Free throws0.15 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Targu Mures W   ■ Arad W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Targu Mures W wins
9
Arad W wins
DateGameScore
21/12/23Arad W v Targu Mures W90-43
11/03/23Targu Mures W v Arad W52-78
23/12/22Arad W v Targu Mures W79-44
31/03/22Targu Mures W v Arad W56-80
28/03/22Arad W v Targu Mures W84-48
22/01/22Targu Mures W v Arad W62-79
15/12/21Arad W v Targu Mures W74-54
05/12/19Targu Mures W v Arad W38-80
12/10/19Arad W v Targu Mures W76-34
Targu Mures Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24AOlimpia Brasov W53-66
08/02/24HMunicipal Targoviste W47-74
28/01/24APhoenix Constanta W24-66
20/01/24HRapid Bucuresti W90-84 OT
11/01/24ACluj Napoca W60-74
06/01/24ASepsi SIC W52-108
21/12/23AArad W43-90
09/12/23HOlimpia Brasov W72-79
25/11/23AMunicipal Targoviste W54-91
16/11/23HPhoenix Constanta W61-82
Arad Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/24HSepsi SIC W63-47
17/02/24HOlimpia Brasov W84-74
27/01/24AMunicipal Targoviste W62-59
20/01/24HPhoenix Constanta W62-78
13/01/24ARapid Bucuresti W81-64
06/01/24HCluj Napoca W65-48
21/12/23HTargu Mures W90-43
09/12/23ASepsi SIC W74-82
04/12/23APhoenix Constanta W79-87
25/11/23AOlimpia Brasov W78-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Targu Mures W
Liga National W 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL8%
HomeLLLWL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %8%17%0%
Points / game56.063.749.4
Allowed / game82.885.780.3
Point differential-26.8-22.0-30.9
Avg total138.8149.3129.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %8%17%0%
Arad W
Liga National W 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW77%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %77%86%67%
Points / game72.871.674.2
Allowed / game65.359.771.8
Point differential+7.5+11.9+2.3
Avg total138.1131.3146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Constanta W13130100%80.662.7+17.9
2 Sepsi SIC W1311285%93.357.1+36.2
3 Arad W1310377%72.865.3+7.5
4 Municipal Targoviste W136746%69.163.0+6.1
5 Cluj Napoca W136746%63.569.9-6.5
6 Rapid Bucuresti W1331023%62.583.2-20.6
7 Olimpia Brasov W1321115%66.179.9-13.8
8 Targu Mures W131128%56.082.8-26.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Targu Mures W1718101156
Arad W1913311881
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