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Telavi vs Kutaisi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 89-80
20-18 27-22 16-20 26-20
Position#5
Record2-2
FormLLWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game82.5
Telavi 🏆
Georgia
Vs
50%
50%
■ TELA 50%■ KUT 50%
Pythia win probability
Projected 82-82
Projected total 164.8
Kutaisi
Georgia
Position#10
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game83.2
GeorgiaSuperleagueRound 5· Dighomi Sports Complex
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Telavi host Kutaisi in the Superleague. Pythia makes Telavi the favourite at 50% and projects 82-82, about 165 points in all (over 163.5: 52%). On the market's main spread (Telavi -1.5) Pythia gives Telavi 47% to cover. Overtime chance: 5%. Telavi are 2-2 this season (84.5 scored, 82.5 allowed a game), form LLWW; Kutaisi are 1-3 this season (78.5 scored, 83.2 allowed a game), form LLLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Telavi winWon
50.0%fair 2.00
Best odds1.79
Implied52.1%
Edge-2.1pp
Kutaisi winLost
50.0%fair 2.00
Best odds2.00
Implied47.9%
Edge+2.1pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TelaviGeorgiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelavi
Date
Competition
Orbi
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
53avg 71
H04/10
Superleague
Rustavi
#3
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
84avg 71
A09/10
Superleague
Margveti
#9
W
75-67
75
67
+8
68avg 71
H18/10
Superleague
Black Fortress
#11
W
88-79
88
79
+9
81avg 71
A24/10
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
21-24
13-21
23-24
24-21
14-24
25-27
25-16
12-23
22-15
24-18
17-11
26-19
19-17
17-22
26-21
167.0Avg total
84.5Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.582.5167.0+2.050%
Season at home (2)78.077.0155.0+1.050%
Season away (2)91.088.0179.0+3.050%
Last 10 (4)84.582.5167.0+2.050%
Last 5 (4)84.582.5167.0+2.050%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.592.0179.5-4.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)81.573.0154.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Kutaisi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KutaisiGeorgiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKutaisi
Date
Competition
VSA
#6
W
92-78
92
78
+14
94avg 78
A29/04
Superleague
Batumi
#1
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 78
A08/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
74avg 78
A10/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
79-96
79
96
-17
70avg 78
H13/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
58avg 78
H15/05
Superleague
Orbi
#5
L
80-86
80
86
-6
73avg 78
H22/05
Superleague
Batumi
#4
L
77-80
77
80
-3
66avg 78
A02/10
Superleague
CIU
#1
L
65-97
65
97
-32
46avg 78
A09/10
Superleague
Iverioni
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
58avg 78
A16/10
Superleague
TSU
#6
W
98-81
98
81
+17
100avg 78
H25/10
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-16
19-23
22-27
17-12
20-24
17-19
19-14
20-13
11-20
14-14
29-25
28-31
22-25
21-23
18-20
18-28
26-13
23-21
10-27
11-22
25-28
21-15
16-19
18-24
14-26
26-13
18-16
19-25
23-20
16-19
12-31
14-27
14-23
27-12
14-15
19-25
20-26
23-18
29-16
26-21
162.9Avg total
79.3Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.583.2161.8-4.825%
Season at home (1)98.081.0179.0+17.0100%
Season away (3)72.084.0156.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)79.383.6162.9-4.330%
Last 5 (5)78.883.8162.6-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)70.291.8162.0-21.717%
vs Similar (10)80.082.4162.4-2.440%
vs Weaker (14)92.683.1175.8+9.579%
This opponent (Telavi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 158.5Actual: Over 158.5
Over 158.5
64.1%
Under 158.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 163.5 · main lineActual: Over 163.5
Over 163.5
52.3%
@ 1.88+2.6pp
Under 163.5
47.7%
@ 1.86-2.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
SBO
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.83
SBO
1.83
Betano
1.82
Over/Under 168.5Actual: Over 168.5
Over 168.5
40.4%
Under 168.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Telavi total 78.5Actual: Telavi over 78.5
Over 78.5
64.5%
Under 78.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi total 82.5 · main lineActual: Telavi over 82.5
Over 82.5
49.4%
@ 1.85-0.3pp
Under 82.5
50.6%
@ 1.83+0.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
Telavi total 86.5Actual: Telavi over 86.5
Over 86.5
34.4%
Under 86.5
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kutaisi total 77.5Actual: Kutaisi over 77.5
Over 77.5
68.0%
Under 77.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kutaisi total 81.5 · main lineActual: Kutaisi under 81.5
Over 81.5
53.2%
@ 1.85+3.6pp
Under 81.5
46.8%
@ 1.83-3.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
Kutaisi total 85.5Actual: Kutaisi under 85.5
Over 85.5
38.0%
Under 85.5
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Telavi -4.5Actual: Telavi -4.5
TELA -4.5
35.9%
KUT +4.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
TELA
No market prices yet.
KUT
No market prices yet.
Spread Telavi -1.5 · main lineActual: Telavi -1.5
TELA -1.5
47.1%
@ 1.87-2.9pp
KUT +1.5
52.9%
@ 1.87+2.9pp
Best 5 market prices
TELA
Pinnacle
1.87
SBO
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.83
Betfair
1.83
KUT
Pinnacle
1.87
SBO
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Betano
1.80
Spread Telavi +1.5Actual: Telavi +1.5
TELA +1.5
52.9%
@ 1.68-2.5pp
KUT -1.5
47.1%
@ 2.08+2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
TELA
Pinnacle
1.68
KUT
Pinnacle
2.08

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -3.8-3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -3.8-3.8
TelaviKutaisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TelaviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orbi
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H04/10
Superleague
Rustavi
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A09/10
Superleague
Margveti
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H18/10
Superleague
Black Fortress
#11
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A24/10
Superleague
80.8Avg total
40.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 81.5
Last 30 (4)40.540.280.8+0.250%50%
Last 30 at home (2)39.540.079.5-0.550%50%
Last 30 away (2)41.540.582.0+1.050%50%
Last 10 (4)40.540.280.8+0.250%50%
Last 5 (4)40.540.280.8+0.250%50%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)41.543.585.0-2.050%100%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)39.537.076.5+2.550%0%
This opponent (Kutaisi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KutaisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VSA
#6
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A29/04
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A08/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A10/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H13/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H15/05
Superleague
Orbi
#5
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H22/05
Superleague
Batumi
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A02/10
Superleague
CIU
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A09/10
Superleague
Iverioni
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A16/10
Superleague
TSU
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/10
Superleague
81.4Avg total
41.6Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 81.5
Last 30 (30)42.242.084.2+0.347%57%
Last 30 at home (15)44.541.886.3+2.747%67%
Last 30 away (15)39.942.182.1-2.247%47%
Last 10 (10)41.639.881.4+1.850%50%
Last 5 (5)41.840.081.8+1.860%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.345.279.5-10.833%33%
vs Similar (10)41.040.981.9+0.140%60%
vs Weaker (14)46.541.487.9+5.157%64%
This opponent (Telavi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Telavi win
TELA win
no forecast
@ 1.80
KUT win
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Spread Telavi -0.5 · main lineActual: Telavi -0.5
TELA -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
KUT +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 81.5 · main lineActual: Over 81.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 2.00
Telavi 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Telavi over 40.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Kutaisi 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Kutaisi under 40.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half: TELA + total 81.5
TELA & over
no forecast
@ 3.50
TELA & under
no forecast
@ 3.55
1st half: Draw + total 81.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Telavi (regulation)
TELA
no forecast
@ 1.83
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
KUT
no forecast
@ 2.02

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
TELA win + total 163.5
🔒 Pro
KUT win + total 163.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: TELA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: KUT leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Overtime: no94.5%1.03
Betano
1.03		----+3.5pp-
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Telavitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Telavi: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.5 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.2
51.2%
48.5%42.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.5
30.1%
30.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.813.2
67.1%
63.2%13.2
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kutaisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kutaisi: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.116.8
44.1%
48.5%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.3
31.5%
30.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.517.0
72.3%
63.2%17.0
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Telavi
WWLL
Kutaisi
WLLLLLLLWW
#5
League position
#10
+7.5
Net rating
-5.3
90.7
Offensive rating
84.9
83.2
Defensive rating
90.2
48.7%
Effective FG%
45.5%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
13.5%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.1%
3-point %
31.5%
58.0%
Assist %
67.0%
50%
Form (last 4/10)
30%

Profile

Offence90.7 · 84.9Defence83.2 · 90.2Shooting48.7% · 45.5%3-point %30.1% · 31.5%Ball care13.5% · 15.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 4/10)50% · 30%
■ Telavi   ■ Kutaisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Telavi wins
0
Kutaisi wins
No previous meetings.
Telavilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ABlack Fortress88-79
18/10/26HMargveti75-67
09/10/26ARustavi94-97 OT
04/10/26HOrbi81-87
Kutaisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HTSU98-81
16/10/26AIverioni74-75
09/10/26ACIU65-97
02/10/26ABatumi77-80
22/05/26HOrbi80-86
15/05/26HBatumi70-83
13/05/26HBatumi79-96
10/05/26ABatumi82-90
08/05/26ABatumi76-70
29/04/26AVSA92-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Telavi
Superleague 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game84.578.091.0
Allowed / game82.577.088.0
Point differential+2.0+1.0+3.0
Avg total167.0155.0179.0
Over 163.575%50%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Kutaisi
Superleague 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game78.598.072.0
Allowed / game83.281.084.0
Point differential-4.8+17.0-12.0
Avg total161.8179.0156.0
Over 163.525%100%0%
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CIU440100%93.272.0+21.2
2 Orbi43175%84.883.0+1.8
3 Rustavi43175%87.887.5+0.2
4 Batumi32167%75.375.7-0.3
5 TSU53260%85.084.0+1.0
6 Telavi42250%84.582.5+2.0
7 Iverioni42250%77.078.2-1.2
8 Akhaltsikhe42250%75.079.5-4.5
9 Kutaisi41325%78.583.2-4.8
10 Margveti51420%77.681.0-3.4
11 Black Fortress5050%79.288.4-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Telavi2027162689
Kutaisi1822202080
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