Temple faces the Richmond Spiders on 8 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model designating Temple as the clear favourite at 83% versus 17% for Richmond, a reflection of Temple's 1-0 record, 68.0 points per game and 56.0 allowed per game, and Richmond's undefeated 2-0 record, 103.5 points per game and 61.5 allowed per game. Temple's lone game was a 68-56 home victory, while Richmond's two wins came 107-46 and 100-77 at home, with a recent loss to Loyola Chicago 67-75. In the only prior meeting, Richmond won 61-49 on 22 November 2022. The Pythia projection is 80-69 for Temple, 149 total points, with a 2.0-point home line and an 86% chance of Temple covering; the over/under line is 152.0 with a 42% probability of the over, and a 3% chance of overtime.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Temple winLost
82.6%fair 1.21
Best odds2.10
Implied47.9%
Edge+34.7pp
Richmond Spiders winWon
17.4%fair 5.74
Best odds1.85
Implied52.1%
Edge-34.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 07 Nov 07:12 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Temple) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 147.5Actual: Under 147.5
Over 147.5
53.3%
@ 1.50-9.2pp
Under 147.5
46.7%
@ 2.55+9.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.40
Over/Under 152.5 · main lineActual: Under 152.5
Over 152.5
41.1%
@ 1.93-9.4pp
Under 152.5
58.9%
@ 1.93+9.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.93
SBO
1.92
Betano
1.90
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.86
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
Betano
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 157.5Actual: Under 157.5
Over 157.5
29.9%
@ 2.60-6.8pp
Under 157.5
70.1%
@ 1.47+6.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45
📊 3. Team Totals
Temple total 70.5Actual: Temple under 70.5
Over 70.5
no forecast
@ 1.33
Under 70.5
no forecast
@ 3.20
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Betano
2.85
Temple total 75 · main lineActual: Temple under 75
Over 75
69.4%
@ 1.87+19.6pp
Under 75
30.6%
@ 1.85-19.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Temple total 79Actual: Temple under 79
Over 79
53.6%
Under 79
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Richmond Spiders total 73Actual: Richmond Spiders over 73
Over 73
34.4%
Under 73
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Richmond Spiders total 77 · main lineActual: Richmond Spiders over 77
Over 77
21.2%
@ 1.87-28.5pp
Under 77
78.8%
@ 1.85+28.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Richmond Spiders total 80.5Actual: Richmond Spiders under 80.5
Over 80.5
no forecast
@ 2.80
Under 80.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.80
Betano
2.47
Under
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.38
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Temple -1.5Actual: Richmond Spiders +1.5
TEMP -1.5
80.7%
@ 2.30+36.3pp
RICH +1.5
19.3%
@ 1.72-36.3pp
Best 5 market prices
TEMP
1xBet
2.30
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.16
Bet365
2.05
RICH
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathon Be
1.69
Bet365
1.66
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.55
Spread Temple +1.5 · main lineActual: Richmond Spiders -1.5
TEMP +1.5
84.2%
@ 1.96+34.1pp
RICH -1.5
15.8%
@ 1.93-34.1pp
Best 5 market prices
TEMP
SBO
1.96
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.92
Bet365
1.88
Marathon Be
1.84
RICH
Bet365
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.89
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Spread Temple +4.5Actual: Richmond Spiders -4.5
TEMP +4.5
89.7%
@ 1.55+29.5pp
RICH -4.5
10.3%
@ 2.40-29.5pp
Best 5 market prices
TEMP
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.54
RICH
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.27
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
TempleRichmond Spiders
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Temple -2.5
77.5%
2.35
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.35
Bet365
2.20
-
-
+38.2pp
Lost
Temple -3.5
74.9%
2.50
Betano
2.55
Bet365
2.45
-
-
-
+37.9pp
Lost
Temple -4
74.1%
2.55
Bet365
2.55
-
-
-
-
+37.8pp
Lost
Temple (regulation)
80.5%
2.12
1xBet
2.16
Betano
2.15
Marathon Bet
2.06
-
-
+37.7pp
Lost
Temple -2
80.0%
2.21
Pinnacle
2.26
Bet365
2.15
-
-
-
+37.7pp
Lost
Temple -3
76.9%
2.35
Bet365
2.35
-
-
-
-
+37.6pp
Lost
Temple -4.5
71.7%
2.70
Betano
2.80
Bet365
2.60
-
-
-
+37.5pp
Lost
Temple -5
70.7%
2.75
Bet365
2.75
-
-
-
-
+37.3pp
Lost
Temple -1
82.2%
2.04
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
2.04
Marathon Bet
1.97
-
-
+36.6pp
Lost
Temple -1.5
80.7%
2.19
1xBet
2.30
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.16
Bet365
2.05
-
+36.3pp
Lost
Temple +1
83.9%
1.92
Pinnacle
1.97
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Bet
1.89
-
-
+35.4pp
Lost
Temple win
82.6%
2.02
Betano
2.10
SBO
2.04
Bet365
2.02
Pinnacle
2.01
1xBet
2.00
+34.7pp
Lost
Temple +1.5
84.2%
1.88
SBO
1.96
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.92
Bet365
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.84
+34.1pp
Lost
Temple 0
82.6%
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.91
-
-
-
-
+33.8pp
Lost
Temple +2
86.2%
1.80
SBO
1.87
Pinnacle
1.82
Marathon Bet
1.77
Bet365
1.74
-
+33.4pp
Lost
Temple +2.5
86.5%
1.75
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.80
SBO
1.78
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.71
+31.6pp
Lost
Temple +3
87.9%
1.66
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.64
-
-
-
+30.8pp
Lost
Temple +4.5
89.7%
1.54
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.54
-
-
-
+29.5pp
Lost
Temple +4
89.5%
1.57
Pinnacle
1.59
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
+29.4pp
Lost
Temple +3.5
88.0%
1.65
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.63
Bet365
1.60
-
+29.3pp
Lost
Richmond Spiders under 74.5
70.3%
2.20
Betano
2.20
-
-
-
-
+29.3pp
Lost
Richmond Spiders under 77
78.8%
1.84
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
-
-
-
+28.5pp
Lost
Temple +5
91.0%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+28.0pp
Lost
Temple +5.5
91.1%
1.46
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
+27.5pp
Lost
Temple +6.5
92.4%
1.40
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+26.3pp
Lost
Temple +6
92.3%
1.41
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
-
+26.2pp
Lost
Richmond Spiders under 77.5
79.3%
1.76
Pinnacle
1.77
Betano
1.75
-
-
-
+26.2pp
Lost
Richmond Spiders under 75.5
73.5%
1.96
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
1.99
1xBet
1.90
Bet365
1.86
-
+26.2pp
Lost
Richmond Spiders under 76.5
76.5%
1.88
BetVictor
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.83
+26.1pp
Lost
Richmond Spiders under 76
75.8%
1.84
Marathon Bet
1.84
-
-
-
-
+25.5pp
Lost
Temple +7
93.4%
1.36
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
-
+25.0pp
Lost
Temple +7.5
93.5%
1.34
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+24.3pp
Lost
Richmond Spiders under 78.5
81.9%
1.57
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.54
-
-
-
+23.5pp
Lost
Temple +8
94.4%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+23.1pp
Lost
Temple +8.5
94.5%
1.29
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
+22.6pp
Lost
Temple +9
95.2%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+21.2pp
Lost
Temple +9.5
95.3%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
-
-
-
+20.7pp
Lost
Temple +11.5
96.6%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
+17.7pp
Lost
Temple over 74.5
70.5%
1.78
1xBet
1.84
Pinnacle
1.77
Betano
1.72
-
-
+17.3pp
Lost
Temple over 73.5
73.8%
1.55
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.53
-
-
-
+14.5pp
Lost
Temple +16.5
98.5%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+11.9pp
Lost
Temple +21.5
99.4%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+9.1pp
Lost
Overtime: no
96.6%
1.04
WilliamHill
1.06
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
+6.9pp
-
Under 157.5
70.1%
1.46
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
+6.8pp
Won
Under 158.5
72.2%
1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+6.7pp
Won
Under 159
73.7%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+6.7pp
Won
Under 158
71.6%
1.43
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
-
+6.7pp
Won
Under 159.5
74.2%
1.36
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+6.1pp
Won
Under 160
75.6%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+5.7pp
Won
Under 160.5
76.1%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+5.1pp
Won
Under 162.5
79.7%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+4.4pp
Won
Under 177.5
95.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.1pp
Won
Under 176.5
95.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Under 172.5
92.2%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Under 167.5
87.0%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+3.2pp
Won
Under 161.5
77.9%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
Under 171.5
91.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+2.3pp
Won
Under 166.5
85.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+1.9pp
Won
Temple under 94.5
92.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.1pp
Won
Over 126.5
91.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.6pp
Won
Temple under 92.5
89.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-1.4pp
Won
Over 127.5
90.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.6pp
Won
Over 131.5
85.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-3.6pp
Won
Temple under 90.5
85.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-3.9pp
Won
Over 132.5
84.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-5.1pp
Lost
Richmond Spiders +23.5
86.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-5.3pp
Won
Temple under 88.5
80.8%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-6.7pp
Won
Over 136.5
77.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-6.7pp
Lost
Richmond Spiders over 58.5
85.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-7.0pp
Won
Over 137.5
75.8%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-8.6pp
Lost
Richmond Spiders over 59.5
82.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-9.4pp
Won
Temple under 86.5
74.8%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-9.6pp
Won
Temple under 85.5
71.5%
1.13
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-10.4pp
Won
Richmond Spiders over 60.5
80.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-10.6pp
Won
Richmond Spiders over 61.5
77.3%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-13.2pp
Won
Richmond Spiders +18.5
75.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-13.6pp
Won
Richmond Spiders over 62.5
74.2%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-14.8pp
Won
Richmond Spiders over 63.5
70.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-17.9pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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