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Tennessee State vs UNC Asheville Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-92
37-41 37-51
Position#188
Record3-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#86
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game84.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UNC Asheville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#346
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H07/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A08/03
NCAA
Fisk
#487
W
96-66
96
66
+30
H05/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
79-87 OT
79
87
-8
A09/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A10/11
NCAA
Howard
#302
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
H14/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H17/11
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#670
W
110-33
110
33
+77
H20/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A26/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
85-97
85
97
-12
A26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-33
48-31
30-30
29-31
48-31
48-35
32-30
38-40
28-43
38-38
41-42
34-33
38-36
43-35
59-15
51-18
37-31
41-54
40-46
45-51
154.9Avg total
81.6Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.976.0160.9+8.938%
Season at home (4)92.864.5157.2+28.275%
Season away (4)77.087.5164.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)81.673.3154.9+8.340%
Last 5 (5)87.674.8162.4+12.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.078.7140.7-16.70%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.177.9151.0-4.838%
vs Weaker (14)80.765.5146.2+15.271%
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNC AshevilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gardner Webb
#195
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H24/02
NCAA
Radford
#220
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A02/03
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H08/03
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#195
W
83-72 OT
83
72
+11
H09/03
NCAA
Longwood
#129
L
59-85
59
85
-26
H10/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
54-110
54
110
-56
A05/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A10/11
NCAA
North Florida
#228
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A19/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A23/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
L
83-92 OT
83
92
-9
A24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-30
37-48
43-32
28-30
29-20
31-35
31-34
40-37
24-42
35-43
29-50
25-60
34-42
42-40
39-37
50-38
30-27
42-37
30-38
41-33
149.9Avg total
72.4Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.884.6159.4-9.840%
Season at homeno games
Season away (5)74.884.6159.4-9.840%
Last 10 (10)72.477.5149.9-5.150%
Last 5 (5)74.884.6159.4-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.878.8154.5-3.050%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.878.8151.6-5.954%
vs Weaker (13)78.869.9148.8+8.977%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: -3.0-3.0
Tennessee StateUNC Asheville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#346
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A08/03
NCAA
Fisk
#487
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H05/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A09/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A10/11
NCAA
Howard
#302
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H14/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H17/11
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#670
W
59-15
59
15
+44
H20/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A26/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A26/11
NCAA
72.0Avg total
38.3Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.334.970.2+0.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.234.572.7+3.740%-
Last 30 away (15)32.435.367.7-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)38.333.772.0+4.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.034.077.0+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.339.770.0-9.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.536.269.8-2.731%-
vs Weaker (14)38.032.670.6+5.457%-
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNC AshevilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gardner Webb
#195
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H24/02
NCAA
Radford
#220
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A02/03
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
29-20
29
20
+9
H08/03
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#195
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H09/03
NCAA
Longwood
#129
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H10/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A05/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A10/11
NCAA
North Florida
#228
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A19/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A23/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A24/11
NCAA
68.1Avg total
32.9Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.734.771.4+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.633.170.7+4.569%-
Last 30 away (17)36.035.971.9+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)32.935.268.1-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.438.871.2-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.534.071.5+3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.537.072.5-1.554%-
vs Weaker (13)37.732.570.2+5.269%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tennessee State wins
0
UNC Asheville wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/24ABryant University85-97
26/11/24AChattanooga Mocs78-85
20/11/24HEWU Phantoms110-33
17/11/24HAlabama A&M Bulldogs81-71
14/11/24HHoward84-88 OT
10/11/24AWyoming66-81
09/11/24AColorado State79-87 OT
05/11/24HFisk96-66
08/03/24AWestern Illinois59-61
07/03/24HSouthern Indiana78-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24ACentral Arkansas83-92 OT
23/11/24ASoutheast Missouri State72-64
19/11/24ANorth Florida89-75
10/11/24AOhio76-82
05/11/24AAlabama54-110
10/03/24HLongwood59-85
09/03/24HGardner Webb83-72 OT
08/03/24HCharleston Southern60-55
02/03/24ARadford71-62
24/02/24HGardner Webb77-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL38%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game84.992.877.0
Allowed / game76.064.587.5
Point differential+8.9+28.2-10.5
Avg total160.9157.2164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%25%25%
UNC Asheville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
Home--
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games5-5
Win %40%-40%
Points / game74.8-74.8
Allowed / game84.6-84.6
Point differential-9.8--9.8
Avg total159.4-159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%-20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%-20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville95456%73.267.9+5.3
2 Western Illinois84450%65.969.6-3.8
3 UALR84450%68.172.1-4.0
4 Tennessee Tech84450%73.578.2-4.8
5 Southeast Missouri State73443%76.071.7+4.3
6 Southern Indiana73443%76.379.1-2.9
7 Morehead State73443%65.072.1-7.1
8 Tennessee State83538%84.976.0+8.9
9 Lindenwood72529%69.372.0-2.7
10 UT Martin72529%68.171.6-3.4
11 Eastern Illinois72529%67.378.3-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point98189%76.464.6+11.9
2 Longwood97278%77.768.7+9.0
3 Radford86275%75.470.2+5.1
4 Winthrop96367%84.070.7+13.3
5 Presbyterian95456%75.668.3+7.2
6 Gardner Webb84450%72.075.0-3.0
7 UNC Asheville52340%74.884.6-9.8
8 Charleston Southern92722%71.979.0-7.1
9 USC Upstate102820%78.186.5-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee State373774
UNC Asheville415192
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