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Terceira vs Vitoria Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 16:00
Postponed
Position#14
Record0-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game102.7
vs
Position#5
Record14-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game78.5
PortugalLPBRound 23
Other2019-20
Meetings · Terceira v Vitoria
14 Mar 2020
TERC v VITO
upcoming
24 Nov 2018
TERC71
VITO76
29 Oct 2017
TERC90
VITO82
18 Dec 2011
TERC67
VITO83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Terceira win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vitoria win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TerceiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#1
L
57-114
57
114
-57
A28/12
LPB
Illiabum
#12
L
74-125
74
125
-51
H04/01
LPB
CAB Madeira
#7
L
74-100
74
100
-26
H11/01
LPB
Galitos
#6
L
94-96
94
96
-2
A25/01
LPB
Ovarense
#9
L
79-111
79
111
-32
H01/02
LPB
Maia
#13
L
68-114
68
114
-46
A08/02
LPB
Esgueira
#5
L
55-101
55
101
-46
A09/02
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#2
L
69-131
69
131
-62
H15/02
LPB
Lusitania
#10
L
71-96
71
96
-25
A29/02
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
80-112
80
112
-32
H07/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-43
15-19
13-36
22-16
17-29
18-33
26-28
13-35
27-14
18-31
16-28
13-27
26-18
22-22
23-24
23-32
22-31
19-31
12-23
26-26
16-28
8-25
24-33
20-28
22-29
13-24
12-20
8-28
19-35
14-29
20-31
16-36
16-20
19-23
20-27
16-26
20-29
13-23
24-27
23-33
182.1Avg total
72.1Scored
110.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)71.4102.7174.0-31.30%
Season at home (11)74.2108.5182.7-34.40%
Season away (11)68.596.8165.4-28.30%
Last 10 (10)72.1110.0182.1-37.90%
Last 5 (5)68.6110.8179.4-42.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)71.8100.2172.1-28.40%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#10
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A04/01
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H11/01
LPB
CAB Madeira
#7
W
94-82
94
82
+12
A25/01
LPB
Barreirense
#11
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A01/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H08/02
LPB
Maia
#15
W
100-69
100
69
+31
A09/02
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#3
L
86-99
86
99
-13
A15/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
89-102
89
102
-13
H29/02
LPB
Esgueira
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H04/03
Taca de Portugal
Illiabum
#12
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A07/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
24-26
30-20
20-15
21-18
30-25
15-16
19-13
15-21
28-20
27-17
24-24
16-19
20-15
18-21
19-17
18-22
22-16
25-22
20-19
16-22
31-15
21-11
32-21
27-18
22-24
20-34
17-23
18-33
28-21
20-26
23-22
15-23
20-18
26-24
28-16
22-12
18-26
19-14
18-12
166.9Avg total
87.0Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.678.5160.1+3.264%
Season at home (13)83.678.2161.8+5.569%
Season away (9)78.878.9157.7-0.156%
Last 10 (10)87.079.9166.9+7.180%
Last 5 (5)88.283.0171.2+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.387.8169.1-6.422%
vs Similar (8)78.176.9155.0+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.373.8156.2+8.583%
This opponent (Terceira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: -8.4-8.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -10.1-10.1Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -8.7-8.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -10.7-10.7Q4: +3.8+3.8
TerceiraVitoria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TerceiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#1
L
22-62
22
62
-40
A28/12
LPB
Illiabum
#12
L
35-62
35
62
-27
H04/01
LPB
CAB Madeira
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H11/01
LPB
Galitos
#6
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A25/01
LPB
Ovarense
#9
L
41-62
41
62
-21
H01/02
LPB
Maia
#13
L
24-53
24
53
-29
A08/02
LPB
Esgueira
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A09/02
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#2
L
33-64
33
64
-31
H15/02
LPB
Lusitania
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A29/02
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H07/03
LPB
88.7Avg total
35.1Scored
53.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.848.583.3-13.713%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.850.987.7-14.114%-
Last 30 away (16)33.146.479.5-13.212%-
Last 10 (10)35.153.688.7-18.510%-
Last 5 (5)32.053.085.0-21.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)34.848.383.2-13.514%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A04/01
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H11/01
LPB
CAB Madeira
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A25/01
LPB
Barreirense
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A01/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H08/02
LPB
Maia
#15
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A09/02
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A15/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H29/02
LPB
Esgueira
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H04/03
Taca de Portugal
Illiabum
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A07/03
LPB
84.1Avg total
42.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.380.0+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.939.980.9+1.050%-
Last 30 away (14)40.438.678.9+1.871%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.284.1+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.442.485.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.642.982.4-3.333%-
vs Similar (8)42.237.179.4+5.175%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.938.278.2+1.767%-
This opponent (Terceira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Terceira wins
4
Vitoria wins
DateGameScore
01/12/19Vitoria v Terceira98-74
01/03/19Vitoria v Terceira67-82
24/11/18Terceira v Vitoria71-76
05/03/18Vitoria v Terceira92-98
29/10/17Terceira v Vitoria90-82
07/04/12Vitoria v Terceira95-72
18/12/11Terceira v Vitoria67-83
Terceiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HEsgueira80-112
29/02/20ALusitania71-96
15/02/20HBenfica69-131
09/02/20AEsgueira55-101
08/02/20AMaia68-114
01/02/20HOvarense79-111
25/01/20AGalitos94-96
11/01/20HCAB Madeira74-100
04/01/20HIlliabum74-125
28/12/19ASporting CP57-114
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20AIlliabum77-64
04/03/20HEsgueira89-81
29/02/20HSporting CP89-102
15/02/20AFC Porto86-99
09/02/20AMaia100-69
08/02/20HOliveirense85-79
01/02/20ABarreirense73-72
25/01/20ACAB Madeira94-82
11/01/20HEsgueira85-72
04/01/20ALusitania92-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Terceira
LPB 2019-20
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.474.268.5
Allowed / game102.7108.596.8
Point differential-31.3-34.4-28.3
Avg total174.0182.7165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Vitoria
LPB 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW64%
HomeWLWWL69%
AwayWWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %64%69%56%
Points / game81.683.678.8
Allowed / game78.578.278.9
Point differential+3.2+5.5-0.1
Avg total160.1161.8157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%31%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sporting CP2221195%93.470.2+23.2
2 Benfica2220291%89.871.0+18.8
3 FC Porto2218482%86.675.0+11.7
4 Oliveirense2214864%83.975.6+8.3
5 Vitoria2214864%81.678.5+3.2
6 Galitos22111150%82.882.0+0.8
7 CAB Madeira22101245%79.283.1-4.0
8 Esgueira2291341%79.276.7+2.5
9 Ovarense2291341%77.281.2-4.0
10 Lusitania2291341%78.684.0-5.4
11 Barreirense2271532%75.585.5-10.0
12 Illiabum2261627%75.779.9-4.2
13 Maia2261627%77.487.1-9.7
14 Terceira220220%71.4102.7-31.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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