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Texas vs Gardner Webb Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Projected 95-63
Projected total 158.0
Final 98-50
54-20 44-30
Position#13
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game59.0
Texas 🏆
USA
Vs
99%
■ TEXA 99%■ GARD 1%
Pythia win probability
Position#420
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game46.0
Allowed / game86.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Texas faces Gardner Webb on 5 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Texas the clear favourite, rating them 99% to win because of their 1-0 record, 109.0 points per game and 59.0 allowed per game, the best in the competition, while Gardner Webb sits 0-1 with 46.0 points per game and 86.0 allowed per game. Texas has won 1 of 1 games overall, 1-0 at home, and has a 4-1 record in the last five games, including a 109-59 victory over Chicago State at home on 2 November 2026; Gardner Webb is 0-1 overall, 0-1 on the road, and 1-4 in the last five games, with a 65-64 win over USC Upstate on 4 March 2026. The teams have not met before, so no head-to-head history is available. Pythia projects a 95-63 score, a 158.0 total, and gives Texas a 99% chance to win, while Gardner Webb has 1%. The home line is 153.5, with a 61% probability of the over, and the game is not expected to go into overtime. The projected score of 95-63 reflects Texas's dominant offensive output and Gardner Webb's defensive struggles.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas winWon
99.5%fair 1.01
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gardner Webb winLost
0.5%fair 188.14
Best odds100.00
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 04 Nov 06:58 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TexasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H26/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
85-105
85
105
-20
A05/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
H08/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H11/03
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A18/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A19/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A21/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A26/03
NCAA
Chicago State
#267
W
109-59
109
59
+50
H03/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-36
32-48
29-30
47-40
34-56
51-49
40-36
37-41
30-41
36-35
30-29
38-37
46-37
33-34
35-33
39-35
35-39
42-40
56-30
53-29
155.6Avg total
79.0Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)109.059.0168.0+50.0100%
Season at home (1)109.059.0168.0+50.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.076.6155.6+2.450%
Last 5 (5)81.468.6150.0+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.073.2146.2-0.240%
vs Similar (17)81.181.5162.5-0.453%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.071.5161.5+18.575%
This opponent (Gardner Webb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gardner WebbUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Presbyterian
#263
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A07/02
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
85-103
85
103
-18
H13/02
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
87-112
87
112
-25
H14/02
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A17/02
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A20/02
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H27/02
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A28/02
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A05/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A06/03
NCAA
Uconn
#200
L
46-86
46
86
-40
A03/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-31
26-37
35-55
50-48
37-48
50-64
28-40
38-35
34-48
36-34
37-34
34-43
24-31
37-40
29-30
36-34
27-43
32-38
24-43
22-43
149.1Avg total
67.2Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)46.086.0132.0-40.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)46.086.0132.0-40.00%
Last 10 (10)67.281.9149.1-14.710%
Last 5 (5)60.475.8136.2-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)65.386.0151.2-20.77%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)105.065.0170.0+40.0100%
This opponent (Texas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 148.5Actual: Under 148.5
Over 148.5
72.3%
@ 1.45+8.2pp
Under 148.5
27.7%
@ 2.60-8.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.44
Under
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.57
Over/Under 153.5 · main lineActual: Under 153.5
Over 153.5
61.0%
@ 1.90+10.0pp
Under 153.5
39.0%
@ 1.95-10.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.87
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.82
WilliamHill
1.80
Under
Betano
1.95
WilliamHill
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.90
SBO
1.87
Over/Under 158.5Actual: Under 158.5
Over 158.5
48.7%
@ 2.60+11.2pp
Under 158.5
51.3%
@ 1.65-11.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.35
Under
Marathon Be
1.65
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.45

📊 3. Team Totals

Texas total 92Actual: Texas over 92
Over 92
63.5%
Under 92
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Texas total 96 · main lineActual: Texas over 96
Over 96
46.9%
@ 1.85-3.1pp
Under 96
53.1%
@ 1.85+3.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Texas total 99.5Actual: Texas under 99.5
Over 99.5
33.5%
@ 2.55-13.9pp
Under 99.5
66.5%
@ 1.79+13.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
1.99
Under
Pinnacle
1.79
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
Gardner Webb total 53Actual: Gardner Webb under 53
Over 53
84.4%
Under 53
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gardner Webb total 57 · main lineActual: Gardner Webb under 57
Over 57
72.5%
@ 1.85+22.5pp
Under 57
27.5%
@ 1.85-22.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Gardner Webb total 61Actual: Gardner Webb under 61
Over 61
57.1%
Under 61
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Texas -41.5Actual: Texas -41.5
TEXA -41.5
no forecast
@ 2.20
GARD +41.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
Best 5 market prices
TEXA
Bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
GARD
Betano
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.78
Spread Texas -38.5 · main lineActual: Texas -38.5
TEXA -38.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
GARD +38.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
Best 5 market prices
TEXA
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.87
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.78
GARD
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.87
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Spread Texas -35.5Actual: Texas -35.5
TEXA -35.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
GARD +35.5
no forecast
@ 2.32
Best 5 market prices
TEXA
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.53
GARD
Betano
2.32
Bet365
2.20

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -9.2-9.22nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -5.5-5.5
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -9.2-9.22nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -5.5-5.5
TexasGardner Webb
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TexasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H26/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A05/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H08/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H11/03
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A18/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A19/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A21/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A26/03
NCAA
Chicago State
#267
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H03/11
NCAA
74.1Avg total
37.4Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 74
Last 30 (30)37.736.774.4+1.157%50%
Last 30 at home (16)39.434.874.2+4.669%44%
Last 30 away (14)35.938.874.6-2.943%57%
Last 10 (10)37.436.774.1+0.760%50%
Last 5 (5)40.433.674.0+6.880%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.037.674.6-0.660%60%
vs Similar (17)36.438.074.4-1.647%59%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.033.274.2+7.875%25%
This opponent (Gardner Webb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gardner WebbLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Presbyterian
#263
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A07/02
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H13/02
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H14/02
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A17/02
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A20/02
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H27/02
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A28/02
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A05/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A06/03
NCAA
Uconn
#200
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A03/11
NCAA
71.4Avg total
31.1Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 74
Last 30 (30)31.141.272.2-10.123%37%
Last 30 at home (14)34.038.172.1-4.136%43%
Last 30 away (16)28.543.872.3-15.312%31%
Last 10 (10)31.140.371.4-9.220%30%
Last 5 (5)28.236.264.4-8.020%0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)30.842.172.9-11.418%39%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)39.032.071.0+7.0100%0%
This opponent (Texas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread Texas -24.5 · main lineActual: Texas -24.5
TEXA -24.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
GARD +24.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 74 · main linePush
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Texas 1st half total 47.5 · main lineActual: Texas over 47.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Gardner Webb 1st half total 24.5 · main lineActual: Gardner Webb under 24.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 72.5Actual: Over 72.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Over/Under 75.5Actual: Under 75.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.32
Under
no forecast
@ 1.52
1st half Spread Texas -25.5Actual: Texas -25.5
TEXA -25.5
no forecast
@ 2.45
GARD +25.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Texas -23.5Actual: Texas -23.5
TEXA -23.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
GARD +23.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Spread Texas -26.5Actual: Texas -26.5
TEXA -26.5
no forecast
@ 2.72
GARD +26.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
1st half Spread Texas -22.5Actual: Texas -22.5
TEXA -22.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
GARD +22.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Over/Under 70.5Actual: Over 70.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.60
Under
no forecast
@ 2.62
1st half Spread Texas -21.5Actual: Texas -21.5
TEXA -21.5
no forecast
@ 1.72
GARD +21.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Over/Under 68.5Actual: Over 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under
no forecast
@ 2.62
1st half Over/Under 79.5Actual: Under 79.5
Over
no forecast
@ 3.20
Under
no forecast
@ 1.30
1st half Spread Texas -20.5Actual: Texas -20.5
TEXA -20.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
GARD +20.5
no forecast
@ 2.62
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Texas (regulation)
TEXA
no forecast
Draw
no forecast
@ 41.00
GARD
no forecast
@ 13.00

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
TEXA win + total 153.5
🔒 Pro
GARD win + total 153.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: TEXA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: GARD leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: blowout (21+ points)
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Gardner Webb over 5675.8%1.86
Marathon Bet
1.86
----+26.1ppLost
Gardner Webb over 56.573.4%1.88
Pinnacle
1.97
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.83
-+25.4ppLost
Gardner Webb over 55.576.6%1.67
Pinnacle
1.82
Betano
1.52
---+24.7ppLost
Gardner Webb over 5772.5%1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
---+22.5ppLost
Gardner Webb over 53.582.3%1.43
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.35
---+17.5ppLost
Gardner Webb over 54.579.6%1.44
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.42
---+15.7ppLost
Over 14971.7%1.50
Bet365
1.50
----+9.2ppLost
Over 14873.8%1.43
Bet365
1.43
----+8.9ppPush
Over 14775.8%1.38
Bet365
1.38
----+8.9ppWon
Over 149.570.2%1.51
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50
---+8.8ppLost
Over 148.572.3%1.44
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.44
---+8.2ppLost
Over 147.574.4%1.39
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.38
---+7.8ppWon
Over 14677.8%1.33
Bet365
1.33
----+7.8ppWon
Over 146.576.3%1.35
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.35
---+7.7ppWon
Over 145.578.2%1.30
Bet365
1.30
----+6.8ppWon
Over 143.581.7%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+5.5ppWon
Texas over 76.597.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.2ppWon
Over 133.593.7%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+4.0ppWon
Over 128.596.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.9ppWon
Texas over 75.597.6%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.9ppWon
Over 138.588.8%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+3.8ppWon
Texas over 78.595.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.2ppWon
Texas over 79.594.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+2.9ppWon
Texas over 77.596.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+2.6ppWon
Texas over 80.593.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+2.4ppWon
Texas over 81.591.7%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+1.5ppWon
Texas over 82.590.1%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+1.1ppWon
Texas over 89.572.0%1.29
Bet365
1.29
----+0.1ppWon
Texas over 83.588.2%1.05
Bet365
1.05
-----0.5ppWon
Texas over 84.586.2%1.07
Bet365
1.07
-----1.0ppWon
Texas over 86.581.2%1.12
Bet365
1.12
-----1.9ppWon
Texas over 85.583.8%1.09
Bet365
1.09
-----2.3ppWon
Under 178.590.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01
-----2.8ppWon
Texas over 87.578.4%1.14
Bet365
1.14
-----3.0ppWon
Texas over 88.575.3%1.17
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.17
----3.8ppWon
Texas -18.588.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01
-----4.0ppWon
Under 173.583.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04
-----6.3ppWon
Gardner Webb under 72.583.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01
-----9.0ppWon
Texas -23.578.8%1.05
Bet365
1.05
-----9.9ppWon
Under 168.574.4%1.10
Bet365
1.10
-----10.6ppWon
Gardner Webb under 70.578.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02
-----12.3ppWon
Gardner Webb under 68.572.1%1.05
Bet365
1.05
-----16.6ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Texas wins
0
Gardner Webb wins
No previous meetings.
Texaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HChicago State109-59
26/03/26APurdue77-79
21/03/26AGonzaga74-68
19/03/26ABrigham Young79-71
18/03/26ANC State68-66
11/03/26HOle Miss66-76
08/03/26HOklahoma85-88 OT
05/03/26AArkansas85-105
28/02/26ATexas A&M76-70
26/02/26HFlorida71-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26AUconn46-86
06/03/26AHigh Point59-81
05/03/26AUSC Upstate65-64
28/02/26AUSC Upstate61-71
27/02/26HUNC Asheville71-77
20/02/26ARadford70-82
17/02/26ACharleston Southern66-75
14/02/26HHigh Point87-112
13/02/26HWinthrop85-103
07/02/26APresbyterian62-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game109.0109.0-
Allowed / game59.059.0-
Point differential+50.0+50.0-
Avg total168.0168.0-
Over 153.5100%100%-
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Gardner Webb
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game46.0-46.0
Allowed / game86.0-86.0
Point differential-40.0--40.0
Avg total132.0-132.0
Over 153.50%-0%
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Missouri110100%111.050.0+61.0
2 Texas110100%109.059.0+50.0
3 Arkansas110100%106.061.0+45.0
4 LSU110100%100.057.0+43.0
5 Ole Miss110100%99.058.0+41.0
6 Vanderbilt220100%83.549.0+34.5
7 Auburn110100%92.059.0+33.0
8 Tennessee110100%90.059.0+31.0
9 Texas A&M110100%97.066.0+31.0
10 Kentucky110100%85.057.0+28.0
11 Mississippi St.220100%94.066.0+28.0
12 South Carolina110100%81.055.0+26.0
13 Alabama110100%96.074.0+22.0
14 Georgia110100%78.062.0+16.0
15 Florida110100%77.067.0+10.0
16 Oklahoma1010%64.068.0-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point220100%67.553.0+14.5
2 Longwood21150%98.074.5+23.5
3 Charleston Southern21150%78.573.5+5.0
4 UNC Asheville21150%89.087.0+2.0
5 Winthrop1010%98.0103.0-5.0
6 Presbyterian1010%78.087.0-9.0
7 USC Upstate1010%70.083.0-13.0
8 Radford2020%66.080.0-14.0
9 Gardner Webb1010%46.086.0-40.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas544498
Gardner Webb203050
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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