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Texas vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 82-78
37-41 45-37
Position#168
Record15-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game68.9
Texas 🏆
USA
vs
Position#71
Record17-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game76.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Texas v Kentucky
30 Jan 2027
TEXA v KENT
upcoming
15 Feb 2025
TEXA82
KENT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TexasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#23
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H11/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A16/01
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
60-84
60
84
-24
A18/01
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H22/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A25/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A30/01
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
89-58
89
58
+31
A01/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H06/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A08/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
80-103
80
103
-23
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-33
39-41
43-27
34-46
30-37
30-47
32-25
29-28
25-43
45-26
38-34
31-38
31-25
58-33
24-35
46-43
39-35
39-51
31-49
49-54
147.4Avg total
72.4Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.668.9147.5+9.660%
Season at home (15)83.966.9150.9+17.067%
Season away (10)70.571.9142.4-1.450%
Last 10 (10)72.475.0147.4-2.640%
Last 5 (5)77.279.4156.6-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)66.272.0138.2-5.820%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.975.1150.1-0.247%
vs Weaker (10)87.659.3146.9+28.390%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#120
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A08/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A12/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H15/01
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
97-102
97
102
-5
H18/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A25/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A29/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
79-89
79
89
-10
H02/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A05/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H08/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-47
35-35
49-44
46-46
35-32
46-37
45-47
52-55
27-41
42-33
30-33
48-40
45-46
34-43
31-54
53-44
33-19
47-38
33-26
42-38
160.5Avg total
80.7Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)86.276.0162.3+10.271%
Season at home (16)90.173.6163.7+16.681%
Season away (8)78.581.0159.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)80.779.8160.5+0.950%
Last 5 (5)79.276.2155.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)91.087.0178.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.980.7161.6+0.250%
vs Weaker (13)92.873.8166.7+19.085%
This opponent (Texas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +3.6+3.6
TexasKentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TexasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#23
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H11/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A16/01
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A18/01
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H22/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A25/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A30/01
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A01/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H06/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H12/02
NCAA
66.7Avg total
32.4Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.431.167.5+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.129.467.4+8.772%-
Last 30 away (12)33.833.867.6+0.158%-
Last 10 (10)32.434.366.7-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)32.635.668.2-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)27.832.460.2-4.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.533.769.1+1.860%-
vs Weaker (10)42.026.768.7+15.3100%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#120
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A08/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A12/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H15/01
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H18/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A25/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A29/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H02/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A05/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
33-19
33
19
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H12/02
NCAA
75.1Avg total
36.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.677.4+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (20)42.735.278.0+7.575%-
Last 30 away (10)34.042.476.4-8.420%-
Last 10 (10)36.238.975.1-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.435.670.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.046.087.0-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.538.675.1-2.143%-
vs Weaker (13)43.134.677.7+8.577%-
This opponent (Texas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Texas wins
0
Kentucky wins
No previous meetings.
Texaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25HAlabama80-103
08/02/25AVanderbilt78-86
06/02/25HArkansas70-78
01/02/25ALSU89-58
30/01/25AOle Miss69-72
25/01/25ATexas A&M70-69
22/01/25HMissouri61-53
18/01/25AFlorida60-84
16/01/25AOklahoma77-73
11/01/25HTennessee70-74
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25HTennessee75-64
08/02/25HSouth Carolina80-57
05/02/25AOle Miss84-98
02/02/25HArkansas79-89
29/01/25ATennessee78-73
25/01/25AVanderbilt69-74
18/01/25HAlabama97-102
15/01/25HTexas A&M81-69
12/01/25AMississippi St.95-90
08/01/25AGeorgia69-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL60%
HomeLLWLL67%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game78.683.970.5
Allowed / game68.966.971.9
Point differential+9.6+17.0-1.4
Avg total147.5150.9142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%53%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kentucky
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW71%
HomeWLLWW81%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %71%81%50%
Points / game86.290.178.5
Allowed / game76.073.681.0
Point differential+10.2+16.6-2.5
Avg total162.3163.7159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%69%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)0% (1)67% (6)
Overtime %4%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn2523292%85.168.4+16.7
2 Florida2421388%83.666.5+17.1
3 Alabama2521484%90.379.1+11.2
4 Tennessee2621581%74.660.5+14.1
5 Texas A&M2520580%74.565.4+9.2
6 Missouri2519676%82.669.0+13.6
7 Ole Miss2619773%77.868.9+8.9
8 Mississippi St.2518772%79.371.7+7.6
9 Kentucky2417771%86.276.0+10.2
10 Vanderbilt2517868%80.472.6+7.8
11 Oklahoma2516964%77.772.5+5.2
12 Georgia26161062%75.068.2+6.8
13 Texas25151060%78.668.9+9.6
14 Arkansas25151060%76.168.9+7.2
15 LSU25131252%76.472.4+4.0
16 South Carolina24101442%69.869.8+0.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas374582
Kentucky413778
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