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TFSE-MTK W vs Vasas Csata W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 77-61
Projected total 138.1
Scheduled
Position#8
Record2-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game69.0
TFSE-MTK W
Hungary
Vs
93%
■ TFSE 93%■ VASA 7%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.8/10
Above normal
6.1/10
Above normal
Vasas Csata W
Hungary
Position#10
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game53.2
Allowed / game80.8
HungaryNB I A WRound 8· Dr. Jeno Koltai Sports Center
Women2026-27
Meetings · TFSE-MTK W v Vasas Csata W
21 Nov 2026
TFSE v VASA
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
TFSE83
VASA56
06 Apr 2025
TFSE87
VASA59
12 Jan 2025
TFSE84
VASA65
27 Apr 2024
TFSE84
VASA89
20 Apr 2024
TFSE62
VASA71
27 Jan 2024
TFSE62
VASA48
04 Mar 2023
TFSE94
VASA78
05 Mar 2022
TFSE74
VASA82
10 Feb 2021
TFSE87
VASA75
07 Dec 2019
TFSE81
VASA60
Sections
Game preview & prediction
TFSE-MTK W host Vasas Csata W in the NB I A W. Pythia makes TFSE-MTK W the favourite at 93% and projects 77-61, about 138 points in all. Overtime chance: 2%. TFSE-MTK W are 2-4 this season (69.5 scored, 69.0 allowed a game), form WLWLL; Vasas Csata W are 0-6 this season (53.2 scored, 80.8 allowed a game), form LLLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TFSE-MTK W win
92.7%fair 1.08
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vasas Csata W win
7.3%fair 13.63
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TFSE-MTK WHungaryLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
NKA Pecs W
#1
L
51-82
51
82
-31
42avg 62
A18/04
NB I A W
NKA Pecs W
#1
L
38-75
38
75
-37
24avg 62
H22/04
NB I A W
Sopron W
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 62
A02/05
NB I A W
Sopron W
#3
L
52-73
52
73
-21
41avg 62
H06/05
NB I A W
Cegledi W
#6
L
67-70
67
70
-3
52avg 62
H03/10
NB I A W
Szigetszentmiklos W
#11
W
114-51
114
51
+63
112avg 62
H07/10
NB I A W
UNI Gyor W
#5
L
57-75
57
75
-18
46avg 62
H10/10
NB I A W
Ujbuda BEAC W
#9
W
67-59
67
59
+8
58avg 62
A17/10
NB I A W
Csata TKK W
#3
L
59-71
59
71
-12
55avg 62
H24/10
NB I A W
Szekszard W
#4
L
53-88
53
88
-35
41avg 62
A31/10
NB I A W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
16-19
18-19
7-26
15-17
16-27
3-20
4-11
25-21
20-19
14-24
12-19
8-22
18-20
12-19
14-12
14-19
16-24
23-15
14-12
18-9
35-13
30-17
31-12
21-23
14-25
4-21
18-6
21-15
14-17
18-17
14-10
21-13
10-23
13-15
15-20
14-27
10-20
16-19
13-22
135.6Avg total
62.9Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)69.569.0138.5+0.533%
Season at home (4)74.266.8141.0+7.525%
Season away (2)60.073.5133.5-13.550%
Last 10 (10)62.972.7135.6-9.820%
Last 5 (5)70.068.8138.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)61.677.9139.5-16.419%
vs Similar (3)68.370.0138.3-1.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.463.0144.4+18.491%
This opponent (Vasas Csata W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vasas Csata WHungaryLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Csata TKK W
#6
L
44-68
44
68
-24
35avg 51
A17/04
NB I A W
Csata TKK W
#6
L
59-73
59
73
-14
53avg 51
H22/04
NB I A W
Szekszard W
#4
L
56-78
56
78
-22
50avg 51
A29/04
NB I A W
Szekszard W
#4
L
68-74
68
74
-6
60avg 51
H02/05
NB I A W
DVTK W
#2
L
40-84
40
84
-44
15avg 51
H26/09
NB I A W
NKA Pecs W
#7
L
47-94
47
94
-47
35avg 51
A02/10
NB I A W
Csata TKK W
#3
L
63-90
63
90
-27
48avg 51
H07/10
NB I A W
Ujbuda BEAC W
#9
L
62-88
62
88
-26
56avg 51
A10/10
NB I A W
Cegledi W
#6
L
55-69
55
69
-14
43avg 51
H17/10
NB I A W
Sopron W
#1
L
52-60
52
60
-8
47avg 51
H01/11
NB I A W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
10-13
13-18
7-15
17-18
9-15
20-20
13-20
12-28
16-16
18-20
10-14
17-12
15-20
11-18
25-24
9-14
10-23
6-25
15-22
13-28
6-27
17-17
11-22
15-21
20-24
16-26
12-19
17-22
19-17
12-26
14-23
7-16
9-15
18-25
21-13
20-12
8-19
14-19
10-10
132.4Avg total
54.6Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)53.280.8134.0-27.70%
Season at home (4)52.575.8128.2-23.20%
Season away (2)54.591.0145.5-36.50%
Last 10 (10)54.677.8132.4-23.20%
Last 5 (5)55.880.2136.0-24.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)56.579.5136.0-23.10%
vs Similar (4)67.259.8127.0+7.575%
vs Weaker (6)75.856.3132.2+19.5100%
This opponent (TFSE-MTK W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 138
Over 138
50.1%
Under 138
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 143
Over 143
37.6%
Under 143
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 148
Over 148
26.4%
Under 148
73.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

TFSE-MTK W total 69.5
Over 69.5
79.0%
Under 69.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TFSE-MTK W total 73.5
Over 73.5
65.7%
Under 73.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TFSE-MTK W total 77.5
Over 77.5
49.9%
Under 77.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas Csata W total 65.5
Over 65.5
31.1%
Under 65.5
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas Csata W total 69.5
Over 69.5
18.8%
Under 69.5
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas Csata W total 73.5
Over 73.5
10.2%
Under 73.5
89.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread TFSE-MTK W -3
TFSE -3
89.7%
VASA +3
10.3%
Best 5 market prices
TFSE
No market prices yet.
VASA
No market prices yet.
Spread TFSE-MTK W 0
TFSE 0
92.7%
VASA 0
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
TFSE
No market prices yet.
VASA
No market prices yet.
Spread TFSE-MTK W +3
TFSE +3
95.2%
VASA -3
4.8%
Best 5 market prices
TFSE
No market prices yet.
VASA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -6.9-6.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -4.4-4.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -6.9-6.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -4.4-4.4
TFSE-MTK WVasas Csata W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TFSE-MTK WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NKA Pecs W
#1
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A18/04
NB I A W
NKA Pecs W
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H22/04
NB I A W
Sopron W
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A02/05
NB I A W
Sopron W
#3
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H06/05
NB I A W
Cegledi W
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H03/10
NB I A W
Szigetszentmiklos W
#11
W
53-22
53
22
+31
H07/10
NB I A W
UNI Gyor W
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H10/10
NB I A W
Ujbuda BEAC W
#9
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A17/10
NB I A W
Csata TKK W
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H24/10
NB I A W
Szekszard W
#4
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A31/10
NB I A W
72.7Avg total
33.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.036.373.3+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.134.871.8+2.344%-
Last 30 away (14)37.038.175.1-1.157%-
Last 10 (10)33.639.172.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.637.072.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)33.639.072.6-5.438%-
vs Similar (3)37.743.781.3-6.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.830.472.2+11.573%-
This opponent (Vasas Csata W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vasas Csata WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Csata TKK W
#6
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A17/04
NB I A W
Csata TKK W
#6
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H22/04
NB I A W
Szekszard W
#4
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A29/04
NB I A W
Szekszard W
#4
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H02/05
NB I A W
DVTK W
#2
L
19-37
19
37
-18
H26/09
NB I A W
NKA Pecs W
#7
L
19-55
19
55
-36
A02/10
NB I A W
Csata TKK W
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H07/10
NB I A W
Ujbuda BEAC W
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A10/10
NB I A W
Cegledi W
#6
L
16-31
16
31
-15
H17/10
NB I A W
Sopron W
#1
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H01/11
NB I A W
64.5Avg total
26.3Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.137.868.9-6.623%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.036.267.2-5.224%-
Last 30 away (13)31.339.871.1-8.523%-
Last 10 (10)26.338.264.5-11.90%-
Last 5 (5)26.840.267.0-13.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)29.141.670.7-12.60%-
vs Similar (4)30.528.559.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker (6)38.531.069.5+7.583%-
This opponent (TFSE-MTK W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
TFSE-MTK Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

TFSE-MTK W: 62.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.815.4
43.0%
46.4%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.6
30.5%
29.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws15.08.7
58.0%
67.9%8.7
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vasas Csata Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasas Csata W: 54.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.413.7
36.6%
46.4%27.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.44.1
25.0%
29.4%12.3
🏀 Free throws21.114.6
69.2%
67.9%14.6
They take 53.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
TFSE-MTK W
LLWLWLLLLL
Vasas Csata W
LLLLLLLLLL
#8
League position
#10
-12.2
Net rating
-26.8
72.8
Offensive rating
62.7
84.9
Defensive rating
89.4
44.2%
Effective FG%
36.9%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
19.7%
Turnover %
25.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.39
30.5%
3-point %
25.0%
73.9%
Assist %
66.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence72.8 · 62.7Defence84.9 · 89.4Shooting44.2% · 36.9%3-point %30.5% · 25.0%Ball care19.7% · 25.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)20% · 0%
■ TFSE-MTK W   ■ Vasas Csata W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
TFSE-MTK W wins
3
Vasas Csata W wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26TFSE-MTK W v Vasas Csata W83-56
04/10/25Vasas Csata W v TFSE-MTK W61-87
09/04/25Vasas Csata W v TFSE-MTK W51-69
06/04/25TFSE-MTK W v Vasas Csata W87-59
12/01/25TFSE-MTK W v Vasas Csata W84-65
05/01/25Vasas Csata W v TFSE-MTK W35-59
12/10/24Vasas Csata W v TFSE-MTK W69-56
27/04/24TFSE-MTK W v Vasas Csata W84-89 OT
24/04/24Vasas Csata W v TFSE-MTK W64-77
20/04/24TFSE-MTK W v Vasas Csata W62-71
TFSE-MTK Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ASzekszard W53-88
24/10/26HCsata TKK W59-71
17/10/26AUjbuda BEAC W67-59
10/10/26HUNI Gyor W57-75
07/10/26HSzigetszentmiklos W114-51
03/10/26HCegledi W67-70
06/05/26HSopron W52-73
02/05/26ASopron W71-83
22/04/26HNKA Pecs W38-75
18/04/26ANKA Pecs W51-82
Vasas Csata Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HSopron W52-60
17/10/26HCegledi W55-69
10/10/26AUjbuda BEAC W62-88
07/10/26HCsata TKK W63-90
02/10/26ANKA Pecs W47-94
26/09/26HDVTK W40-84
02/05/26HSzekszard W68-74
29/04/26ASzekszard W56-78
22/04/26HCsata TKK W59-73
17/04/26ACsata TKK W44-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TFSE-MTK W
NB I A W 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%25%50%
Points / game69.574.260.0
Allowed / game69.066.873.5
Point differential+0.5+7.5-13.5
Avg total138.5141.0133.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vasas Csata W
NB I A W 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game53.252.554.5
Allowed / game80.875.891.0
Point differential-27.7-23.2-36.5
Avg total134.0128.2145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sopron W660100%88.060.5+27.5
2 DVTK W660100%77.552.2+25.3
3 Csata TKK W75271%74.763.7+11.0
4 Szekszard W64267%80.567.8+12.7
5 UNI Gyor W64267%67.865.8+2.0
6 Cegledi W74357%69.071.4-2.4
7 NKA Pecs W62433%68.365.5+2.8
8 TFSE-MTK W62433%69.569.0+0.5
9 Ujbuda BEAC W72529%72.980.0-7.1
10 Vasas Csata W6060%53.280.8-27.7
11 Szigetszentmiklos W7070%57.395.7-38.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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