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Thang Long Warriors vs Saigon Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 79-89
20-18 22-23 11-21 26-27
Position#4
Record11-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Position#1
Record14-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game81.2
VietnamVBAVBA - Semi-finals· Tay Ho District Gymnasium
Other2023Neutral venue
Meetings · Thang Long Warriors v Saigon Heat
07 Sep 2023
THAN79
SAIG89
27 Aug 2023
THAN82
SAIG68
16 Jul 2022
THAN61
SAIG70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Thang Long Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saigon Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Thang Long WarriorsVietnamLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Hanoi Buffaloes
#2
L
78-82
78
82
-4
76avg 78
H16/07
VBA
Da Nang Dragons
#7
W
91-82
91
82
+9
81avg 78
H22/07
VBA
Ho Chi Minh City Wings
#6
W
87-72
87
72
+15
84avg 78
H25/07
VBA
Can Tho Catfish
#5
W
94-86
94
86
+8
85avg 78
H01/08
VBA
Nhatrang Dolphins
#3
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
H05/08
VBA
Hanoi Buffaloes
#2
W
95-90
95
90
+5
93avg 78
A08/08
VBA
Ho Chi Minh City Wings
#6
L
89-95 OT
89
95
-6
no box
A13/08
VBA
Saigon Heat
#1
L
70-90
70
90
-20
54avg 78
A19/08
VBA
Saigon Heat
#1
W
82-68
82
68
+14
80avg 78
H27/08
VBA
Can Tho Catfish
#5
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
no box
A01/09
VBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
14-29
23-15
18-18
23-22
19-14
25-26
24-20
28-20
19-24
12-12
28-16
30-16
23-19
19-32
22-19
18-26
24-16
24-23
20-18
22-18
25-25
20-30
28-17
21-24
19-27
25-13
16-17
15-25
17-28
21-21
17-16
19-18
23-14
17-23
23-13
24-25
19-25
24-18
21-20
172.1Avg total
87.5Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)87.185.2172.3+1.861%
Season at home (9)85.480.7166.1+4.867%
Season away (9)88.789.8178.4-1.156%
Last 10 (10)87.584.6172.1+2.970%
Last 5 (5)87.888.2176.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.882.9158.6-7.125%
vs Similar (14)84.981.8166.6+3.164%
vs Weaker (8)85.179.8164.9+5.462%
This opponent (Saigon Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Saigon HeatVietnamLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Nhatrang Dolphins
#3
W
94-90
94
90
+4
84avg 82
H19/07
VBA
Da Nang Dragons
#7
W
86-76
86
76
+10
80avg 82
A30/07
VBA
Can Tho Catfish
#5
W
111-70
111
70
+41
96avg 82
H04/08
VBA
Nhatrang Dolphins
#3
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
no box
A11/08
VBA
Ho Chi Minh City Wings
#6
W
80-78
80
78
+2
66avg 82
A16/08
VBA
Thang Long Warriors
#4
W
90-70
90
70
+20
87avg 82
H19/08
VBA
Hanoi Buffaloes
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
76avg 82
A22/08
VBA
Thang Long Warriors
#4
L
68-82
68
82
-14
51avg 82
A27/08
VBA
Da Nang Dragons
#7
W
86-82
86
82
+4
84avg 82
H30/08
VBA
Ho Chi Minh City Wings
#6
W
98-91
98
91
+7
93avg 82
H03/09
VBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
21-25
25-18
23-26
33-18
13-20
22-16
18-22
36-23
19-16
33-19
23-12
19-23
26-23
21-19
17-18
18-19
25-6
17-22
20-31
25-15
28-17
21-21
16-17
26-20
24-23
19-18
10-20
18-19
14-23
23-17
13-23
26-12
28-27
10-32
22-11
22-16
30-20
20-26
26-29
170.6Avg total
88.7Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)87.781.2168.9+6.478%
Season at home (9)92.482.3174.8+10.189%
Season away (9)82.980.1163.0+2.867%
Last 10 (10)88.781.9170.6+6.870%
Last 5 (5)84.281.2165.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)86.885.3172.2+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)84.175.5159.6+8.588%
This opponent (Thang Long Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
Thang Long WarriorsSaigon Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Thang Long WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hanoi Buffaloes
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H16/07
VBA
Da Nang Dragons
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H22/07
VBA
Ho Chi Minh City Wings
#6
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H25/07
VBA
Can Tho Catfish
#5
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H01/08
VBA
Nhatrang Dolphins
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H05/08
VBA
Hanoi Buffaloes
#2
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A08/08
VBA
Ho Chi Minh City Wings
#6
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A13/08
VBA
Saigon Heat
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A19/08
VBA
Saigon Heat
#1
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H27/08
VBA
Can Tho Catfish
#5
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A01/09
VBA
86.0Avg total
42.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.283.2-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.139.781.7+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)39.944.884.7-4.940%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.586.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.845.886.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.243.480.6-6.125%-
vs Similar (14)41.942.684.6-0.750%-
vs Weaker (8)43.040.483.4+2.675%-
This opponent (Saigon Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Saigon HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nhatrang Dolphins
#3
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H19/07
VBA
Da Nang Dragons
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A30/07
VBA
Can Tho Catfish
#5
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H04/08
VBA
Nhatrang Dolphins
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A11/08
VBA
Ho Chi Minh City Wings
#6
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A16/08
VBA
Thang Long Warriors
#4
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H19/08
VBA
Hanoi Buffaloes
#2
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A22/08
VBA
Thang Long Warriors
#4
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A27/08
VBA
Da Nang Dragons
#7
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H30/08
VBA
Ho Chi Minh City Wings
#6
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H03/09
VBA
86.2Avg total
47.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.536.579.9+7.080%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.136.781.8+8.387%-
Last 30 away (15)41.936.278.1+5.773%-
Last 10 (10)47.638.686.2+9.070%-
Last 5 (5)48.238.486.6+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)45.539.084.5+6.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.035.878.8+7.183%-
This opponent (Thang Long Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Thang Long Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thang Long Warriors: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
54%
31%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.924.2
49.5%
49.4%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.4
30.2%
29.8%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.813.6
65.4%
64.9%13.6
They take 73.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Saigon Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saigon Heat: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
54%
31%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.9
52.9%
49.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.511.1
32.2%
29.8%33.3
🏀 Free throws15.611.0
70.5%
64.9%11.0
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Thang Long Warriors
WWLLWWWWWL
Saigon Heat
WWLLWWLWWW
#4
League position
#1
+3.2
Net rating
+9.9
102.6
Offensive rating
108.2
99.4
Defensive rating
98.3
48.1%
Effective FG%
50.7%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
21.3%
Turnover %
17.7%
41.4%
Off. rebound %
36.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.21
30.2%
3-point %
32.2%
59.8%
Assist %
62.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 108.2Defence99.4 · 98.3Shooting48.1% · 50.7%3-point %30.2% · 32.2%Ball care21.3% · 17.7%Off. rebounds41.4% · 36.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Thang Long Warriors   ■ Saigon Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Thang Long Warriors wins
4
Saigon Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/09/23ACan Tho Catfish103-98 OT
27/08/23HSaigon Heat82-68
19/08/23ASaigon Heat70-90
13/08/23AHo Chi Minh City Wings89-95 OT
08/08/23AHanoi Buffaloes95-90
05/08/23HNhatrang Dolphins86-83
01/08/23HCan Tho Catfish94-86
25/07/23HHo Chi Minh City Wings87-72
22/07/23HDa Nang Dragons91-82
16/07/23HHanoi Buffaloes78-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/09/23HHo Chi Minh City Wings98-91
30/08/23HDa Nang Dragons86-82
27/08/23AThang Long Warriors68-82
22/08/23AHanoi Buffaloes79-81
19/08/23HThang Long Warriors90-70
16/08/23AHo Chi Minh City Wings80-78
11/08/23ANhatrang Dolphins95-99 OT
04/08/23HCan Tho Catfish111-70
30/07/23ADa Nang Dragons86-76
19/07/23HNhatrang Dolphins94-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Thang Long Warriors
VBA 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW61%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayWWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%67%56%
Points / game87.185.488.7
Allowed / game85.280.789.8
Point differential+1.8+4.8-1.1
Avg total172.3166.1178.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%22%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)40% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %11%0%22%
Saigon Heat
VBA 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW78%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %78%89%67%
Points / game87.792.482.9
Allowed / game81.282.380.1
Point differential+6.4+10.1+2.8
Avg total168.9174.8163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Saigon Heat1814478%87.781.2+6.4
2 Hanoi Buffaloes1813572%85.880.4+5.4
3 Nhatrang Dolphins1812667%87.381.8+5.4
4 Thang Long Warriors1811761%87.185.2+1.8
5 Can Tho Catfish1861233%82.486.0-3.6
6 Ho Chi Minh City Wings1861233%82.486.4-4.0
7 Da Nang Dragons181176%82.794.3-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Thang Long Warriors2022112679
Saigon Heat1823212789
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