Tizona Burgos will host Gran Canaria on 13 November 2026 in the Primera FEB, with Gran Canaria the clear favourite as the model rates them 91% to win, a reflection of their 5-2 record and 89.1 points per game against only 75.6 allowed. Tizona Burgos has struggled, 2-5 overall with 85.7 points scored and 91.9 allowed, and a 0-3 home record, 90.3 points per game and 98.0 allowed; their last five games were 2-3, including a 79-89 home loss to Alicante and a 95-94 away win over Palmer Basket. Gran Canaria, 5-2 overall, averages 89.1 points and 75.6 allowed, and has gone 3-2 in their last five, highlighted by an 87-66 home win over Gipuzkoa and a 99-65 away victory over Córdoba. The Pythia model projects a 81-96 score and a 176.5 total, with a 12.5-point home line and a 40% chance of the home team covering, while the 174.5 total has a 54% over probability and a 2% chance of overtime. Gran Canaria's recent road win over Estudiantes on 1 November shows their resilience on the road.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 85.7 | 91.9 | 177.6 | -6.1 | 29% |
| Season at home (3) | 90.3 | 98.0 | 188.3 | -7.7 | 0% |
| Season away (4) | 82.2 | 87.2 | 169.5 | -5.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 88.6 | 89.6 | 178.2 | -1.0 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.4 | 89.6 | 177.0 | -2.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (15) | 80.3 | 92.7 | 173.0 | -12.5 | 20% |
| vs Similar (10) | 85.2 | 87.8 | 173.0 | -2.6 | 30% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 88.6 | 79.4 | 168.0 | +9.2 | 60% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 89.1 | 75.6 | 164.7 | +13.6 | 71% |
| Season at home (3) | 97.3 | 70.0 | 167.3 | +27.3 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 83.0 | 79.8 | 162.8 | +3.2 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 85.7 | 79.6 | 165.3 | +6.1 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.4 | 78.4 | 165.8 | +9.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 83.8 | 91.7 | 175.4 | -7.9 | 22% |
| vs Similar (12) | 81.1 | 87.4 | 168.5 | -6.3 | 17% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 89.2 | 72.4 | 161.7 | +16.8 | 89% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.9 | 44.6 | 86.5 | -2.6 | 37% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 44.7 | 44.1 | 88.9 | +0.6 | 36% | 50% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 39.5 | 44.9 | 84.4 | -5.4 | 38% | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.1 | 44.5 | 89.6 | +0.6 | 60% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.2 | 44.6 | 86.8 | -2.4 | 60% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (15) | 39.7 | 46.6 | 86.3 | -6.9 | 27% | 60% |
| vs Similar (10) | 43.4 | 44.3 | 87.7 | -0.9 | 30% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 45.6 | 39.0 | 84.6 | +6.6 | 80% | 20% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.0 | 40.5 | 80.5 | -0.4 | 43% | 23% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 42.8 | 40.8 | 83.6 | +2.0 | 57% | 36% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 37.6 | 40.2 | 77.8 | -2.6 | 31% | 12% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.6 | 39.1 | 80.7 | +2.5 | 60% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 47.2 | 36.6 | 83.8 | +10.6 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 37.7 | 42.2 | 79.9 | -4.6 | 22% | 11% |
| vs Similar (12) | 39.0 | 42.3 | 81.3 | -3.3 | 33% | 33% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 43.8 | 36.2 | 80.0 | +7.6 | 78% | 22% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tizona Burgos under 87.5 | 79.7% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +11.0pp | Won |
| Tizona Burgos under 86.5 | 76.9% | 1.36 | 1.38 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +10.6pp | Won |
| Tizona Burgos under 85.5 | 73.8% | 1.41 | 1.42 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +10.3pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria (regulation) | 88.7% | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | +9.8pp | Won |
| Tizona Burgos under 88.5 | 82.3% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +9.5pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria -7.5 | 74.4% | 1.39 | 1.43 | 1.42 | 1.33 | - | - | +9.4pp | Won |
| Tizona Burgos under 84.5 | 70.6% | 1.50 | 1.52 | 1.50 | 1.47 | - | - | +9.4pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria -9 | 70.4% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +9.2pp | Won |
| Tizona Burgos under 91.5 | 88.6% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +9.1pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria -5.5 | 79.9% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Won |
| Tizona Burgos under 90.5 | 86.7% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria -8.5 | 71.3% | 1.46 | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.40 | - | - | +8.8pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria over 82.5 | 87.6% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Tizona Burgos under 92.5 | 90.3% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria -6.5 | 77.2% | 1.29 | 1.35 | 1.24 | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria -2.5 | 86.6% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria over 84.5 | 83.0% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +7.7pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria over 80.5 | 91.2% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria over 86.5 | 77.5% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria over 76.5 | 95.9% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Tizona Burgos under 94.5 | 93.0% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria over 74.5 | 97.4% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria over 72.5 | 98.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria over 78.5 | 93.9% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria +7.5 | 96.6% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria over 73.5 | 97.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria over 75.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Under 182.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Lost |
| Gran Canaria over 77.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria over 83.5 | 85.4% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria +2.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria +12.5 | 98.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria over 79.5 | 92.7% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Under 189.5 | 84.3% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria over 81.5 | 89.5% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 97.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.01 | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Under 184.5 | 76.0% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Lost |
| Gran Canaria win | 90.1% | 1.11 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.12 | 1.11 | 1.11 | +4.5pp | Won |
| Gran Canaria over 88.5 | 71.0% | 1.36 | 1.43 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Over 149.5 | 92.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Over 154.5 | 87.3% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Tizona Burgos over 66.5 | 89.4% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Won |
| Over 159.5 | 79.7% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +0.2pp | Won |
| Tizona Burgos over 68.5 | 85.3% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -0.8pp | Won |
| Tizona Burgos over 67.5 | 87.5% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -0.8pp | Won |
| Tizona Burgos over 70.5 | 80.3% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | -1.2pp | Won |
| Tizona Burgos +22.5 | 75.4% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -2.4pp | Won |
| Tizona Burgos over 69.5 | 82.9% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -3.2pp | Won |
| Tizona Burgos over 72.5 | 74.2% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -3.5pp | Won |
| Tizona Burgos over 71.5 | 77.4% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | -4.1pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.9 | 23.5 | 53.0% | 47.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.3 | 8.9 | 32.9% | 26.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.4 | 16.0 | 74.2% | 16.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.1 | 19.9 | 53.0% | 39.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.1 | 11.1 | 32.9% | 33.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.0 | 15.2 | 74.2% | 15.2 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | Gipuzkoa | 87-66 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Estudiantes | 80-102 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Cordoba | 99-65 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Albacete | 97-75 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Alicante | 74-84 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Fuenlabrada | 79-68 |
| 26/09/26 | H | Oviedo | 108-69 |
| 29/05/26 | A | Valencia | 81-105 |
| 23/05/26 | H | Manresa | 80-87 |
| 17/05/26 | A | Forca Lleida | 72-75 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLW | 29% |
| Home | LLL | 0% |
| Away | LLWW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 29% | 0% | 50% |
| Points / game | 85.7 | 90.3 | 82.2 |
| Allowed / game | 91.9 | 98.0 | 87.2 |
| Point differential | -6.1 | -7.7 | -5.0 |
| Avg total | 177.6 | 188.3 | 169.5 |
| Over 176 | 57% | 67% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (4) | 0% (1) | 67% (3) |
| Overtime % | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWLW | 71% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | WLWL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 71% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 89.1 | 97.3 | 83.0 |
| Allowed / game | 75.6 | 70.0 | 79.8 |
| Point differential | +13.6 | +27.3 | +3.2 |
| Avg total | 164.7 | 167.3 | 162.8 |
| Over 176 | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 71% | 100% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alicante | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 90.9 | 76.7 | +14.1 |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 88.1 | 74.6 | +13.6 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 82.0 | 72.4 | +9.6 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 89.1 | 75.6 | +13.6 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 81.3 | 78.1 | +3.1 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 85.0 | 83.1 | +1.9 | |
| 7 | Palmer Basket | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 87.4 | 86.4 | +1.0 |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 76.6 | 77.9 | -1.3 | |
| 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 80.9 | 84.4 | -3.6 | |
| 10 | Caja 87 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 75.9 | 76.4 | -0.6 |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 78.1 | 80.9 | -2.7 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 79.4 | 84.0 | -4.6 | |
| 13 | Cordoba | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 70.6 | 76.1 | -5.6 |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 85.7 | 91.9 | -6.1 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 77.3 | 90.3 | -13.0 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 77.6 | 81.3 | -3.7 | |
| 17 | Hestia Menorca | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 68.9 | 76.0 | -7.1 |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 79.7 | 88.3 | -8.6 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 19 | 25 | 21 | 83 | |
| 31 | 15 | 36 | 22 | 104 |
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