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Trefl Sopot II vs Bydgoszcz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 93-91
22-35 25-25 24-15 22-16
Position#18
Record3-1
FormWWWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#2
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game71.8
Poland1 LigaRound 5· Hala Stulecia Sopotu
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trefl Sopot II winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bydgoszcz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Trefl Sopot IIPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormII
Date
Competition
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
93-78
93
78
+15
54avg 74
A29/09
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
93-76
93
76
+17
90avg 74
H04/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
84-82
84
82
+2
81avg 74
A09/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
82-92
82
92
-10
72avg 74
H12/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-26
19-22
20-15
21-15
20-14
24-17
22-15
27-30
12-17
20-20
30-19
22-26
20-27
20-22
18-24
24-19
170.0Avg total
88.0Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.082.0170.0+6.075%
Season at home (2)87.584.0171.5+3.550%
Season away (2)88.580.0168.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (4)88.082.0170.0+6.075%
Last 5 (4)88.082.0170.0+6.075%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)84.082.0166.0+2.0100%
vs Similar (3)89.382.0171.3+7.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBydgoszcz
Date
Competition
GKS Tychy
#9
W
95-80
95
80
+15
86avg 74
A12/05
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
W
91-62
91
62
+29
90avg 74
H15/05
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
W
68-65
68
65
+3
59avg 74
A18/05
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
65-77
65
77
-12
52avg 74
A19/05
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
74-86
74
86
-12
68avg 74
H25/05
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
67-76
67
76
-9
64avg 74
H26/05
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
85-49
85
49
+36
83avg 74
A29/09
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
58-86
58
86
-28
44avg 74
A01/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
69-74
69
74
-5
60avg 74
H09/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
86avg 74
H16/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
27-25
23-12
20-21
23-12
31-22
22-18
15-10
19-15
12-16
20-16
17-18
18-19
19-24
13-13
15-21
18-17
15-23
13-23
28-23
18-15
19-22
20-26
10-13
25-12
22-10
18-22
20-5
15-21
8-24
14-21
21-20
20-18
12-10
19-21
18-25
22-13
21-26
18-20
26-19
149.2Avg total
75.9Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.871.8146.5+3.050%
Season at home (2)78.076.0154.0+2.050%
Season away (2)71.567.5139.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)75.973.3149.2+2.650%
Last 5 (5)73.272.6145.8+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.475.8147.2-4.440%
vs Similar (9)77.372.7150.0+4.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)78.674.9153.4+3.756%
This opponent (Trefl Sopot II) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.5+1.5
Trefl Sopot IIBydgoszcz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Trefl Sopot IILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A29/09
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H04/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A09/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H12/10
1 Liga
83.2Avg total
42.0Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)42.041.283.2+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (2)42.040.082.0+2.050%-
Last 30 away (2)42.042.584.5-0.550%-
Last 10 (4)42.041.283.2+0.850%-
Last 5 (4)42.041.283.2+0.850%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)32.037.069.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (3)45.342.788.0+2.767%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKS Tychy
#9
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A12/05
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H15/05
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A18/05
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A19/05
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H25/05
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H26/05
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
47-22
47
22
+25
A29/09
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A01/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H09/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H16/10
1 Liga
75.5Avg total
38.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.376.5+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.835.875.6+3.965%-
Last 30 away (13)38.439.277.6-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)38.936.675.5+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.434.270.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.437.072.4-1.620%-
vs Similar (9)39.837.477.2+2.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.037.377.3+2.762%-
This opponent (Trefl Sopot II) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trefl Sopot IItheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trefl Sopot II: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.020.5
48.8%
51.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.8
36.8%
32.5%29.2
🏀 Free throws25.516.8
65.7%
70.2%16.8
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bydgoszcztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bydgoszcz: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.115.6
44.4%
51.0%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.0
35.0%
32.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.416.7
68.4%
70.2%16.7
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trefl Sopot II
LWWW
Bydgoszcz
WLLWLLLWWW
#18
League position
#2
+7.1
Net rating
+2.8
112.0
Offensive rating
101.2
104.9
Defensive rating
98.4
51.3%
Effective FG%
47.9%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.6%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.40
36.8%
3-point %
35.0%
62.0%
Assist %
72.4%
75%
Form (last 4/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 101.2Defence104.9 · 98.4Shooting51.3% · 47.9%3-point %36.8% · 35.0%Ball care16.7% · 16.6%Off. rebounds35.1% · 25.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.40Form (last 4/10)75% · 50%
■ Trefl Sopot II   ■ Bydgoszcz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trefl Sopot II wins
0
Bydgoszcz wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HR. Rzeszow82-92
09/10/24AStarogard Gdanski84-82
04/10/24HSlask Wroclaw II93-76
29/09/24AMKKS Koszalin93-78
Bydgoszczlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/24HPolonia Warszawa87-78
09/10/24HGKS Tychy69-74
01/10/24ALancut58-86
29/09/24AR. Rzeszow85-49
26/05/24HGornik Walbrzych67-76
25/05/24HGornik Walbrzych74-86
19/05/24AGornik Walbrzych65-77
18/05/24AGornik Walbrzych68-65
15/05/24HGKS Tychy91-62
12/05/24AGKS Tychy95-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trefl Sopot II
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game88.087.588.5
Allowed / game82.084.080.0
Point differential+6.0+3.5+8.5
Avg total170.0171.5168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bydgoszcz
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game74.878.071.5
Allowed / game71.876.067.5
Point differential+3.0+2.0+4.0
Avg total146.5154.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Poli. Opolska54180%88.280.6+7.6
2 Lancut54180%85.078.0+7.0
3 Krosno54180%81.475.0+6.4
4 Trefl Sopot II43175%88.082.0+6.0
5 Poznan53260%86.278.6+7.6
6 Pelplin53260%79.477.8+1.6
7 Inowroclaw53260%81.881.0+0.8
8 R. Rzeszow53260%82.886.2-3.4
9 LKS Lodz42250%82.577.2+5.2
10 Bydgoszcz42250%74.871.8+3.0
11 Polonia Warszawa42250%80.879.2+1.5
12 HydroTruck Radom52340%77.277.0+0.2
13 GKS Tychy52340%78.881.2-2.4
14 Starogard Gdanski52340%75.478.0-2.6
15 Kotwica Kolobrzeg52340%75.279.0-3.8
16 WKK Wroclaw51420%78.882.4-3.6
17 Slask Wroclaw II4040%73.290.0-16.8
18 MKKS Koszalin4040%73.291.5-18.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trefl Sopot II2225242293
Bydgoszcz3525151691
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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