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Treviglio vs Stella Azzurra Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 77-69
16-15 23-22 13-11 25-21
Position#6
Record9-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game67.1
vs
Position#18
Record1-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game84.6
ItalySerie A2Round 15
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviglio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stella Azzurra winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#4
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A23/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H30/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#24
W
85-53
85
53
+32
A06/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#10
W
75-57
75
57
+18
H13/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#25
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A20/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#15
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H27/11
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A04/12
Serie A2
Monferrato
#22
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H07/12
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H11/12
Serie A2
NPC Rieti
#28
W
78-55
78
55
+23
A18/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
11-22
16-12
14-18
18-19
17-37
23-13
25-19
21-16
26-9
21-13
17-15
21-7
25-12
12-14
17-24
25-21
16-9
19-17
18-19
15-18
19-12
13-10
23-24
8-18
19-12
13-24
14-13
26-18
26-23
22-15
23-12
21-11
12-8
16-17
15-25
15-14
21-12
22-11
20-18
138.9Avg total
74.2Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.467.1142.5+8.375%
Season at home (6)76.867.7144.5+9.283%
Season away (6)74.066.5140.5+7.567%
Last 10 (10)74.264.7138.9+9.570%
Last 5 (5)72.663.0135.6+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)74.975.9150.7-1.047%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)77.469.1146.5+8.367%
This opponent (Stella Azzurra) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stella AzzurraItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#15
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A22/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#22
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
H30/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#25
L
56-90
56
90
-34
A05/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#24
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H13/11
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
L
63-91
63
91
-28
A20/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#10
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H27/11
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
62-74
62
74
-12
H02/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
83-87 OT
83
87
-4
A07/12
Serie A2
Latina
#19
W
95-88
95
88
+7
A18/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
82-93
82
93
-11
H22/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
12-17
21-17
22-22
19-18
21-17
18-20
20-23
21-26
19-21
6-23
10-20
15-15
12-15
22-13
14-21
25-28
14-23
9-24
15-16
19-23
17-19
17-21
21-13
14-18
19-17
10-22
19-17
21-21
21-16
20-20
13-18
26-25
22-29
27-11
20-23
19-22
16-29
18-23
29-19
157.8Avg total
74.0Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.184.6158.7-10.58%
Season at home (6)76.882.0158.8-5.20%
Season away (6)71.387.2158.5-15.817%
Last 10 (10)74.083.8157.8-9.810%
Last 5 (5)79.283.6162.8-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)68.882.2151.0-13.40%
vs Similar (17)72.677.6150.2-4.929%
vs Weaker (2)86.060.5146.5+25.5100%
This opponent (Treviglio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
TreviglioStella Azzurra
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#4
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A23/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
35-56
35
56
-21
H30/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#24
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A06/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#10
W
46-19
46
19
+27
H13/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#25
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A20/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#15
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H27/11
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A04/12
Serie A2
Monferrato
#22
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H07/12
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
33-19
33
19
+14
H11/12
Serie A2
NPC Rieti
#28
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A18/12
Serie A2
69.3Avg total
37.9Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.736.373.9+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.134.570.6+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.338.077.3+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)37.931.469.3+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)36.429.265.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)35.639.775.3-4.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.732.972.6+6.973%-
This opponent (Stella Azzurra) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stella AzzurraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#15
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A22/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#22
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H30/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#25
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A05/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#24
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H13/11
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A20/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#10
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H27/11
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H02/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A07/12
Serie A2
Latina
#19
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A18/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H22/12
Serie A2
79.3Avg total
36.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.674.7-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.136.973.0-0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)36.140.676.6-4.521%-
Last 10 (10)36.942.479.3-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)38.843.882.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.541.574.9-8.09%-
vs Similar (17)36.737.674.3-0.947%-
vs Weaker (2)45.032.077.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Treviglio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Treviglio wins
0
Stella Azzurra wins
DateGameScore
09/10/22Stella Azzurra v Treviglio90-91 OT
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22ANPC Rieti78-55
11/12/22HCremona64-61
07/12/22HMonferrato97-68
04/12/22AAgrigento54-67
27/11/22HAssigeco Piacenza70-64
20/11/22AJuVi Cremona78-66
13/11/22HUrania Milano75-57
06/11/22ATrapani85-53
30/10/22HBasket Torino83-88
23/10/22ACantu58-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22HBasket Torino82-93
18/12/22ALatina95-88
07/12/22ACantu83-87 OT
02/12/22HCremona62-74
27/11/22HUrania Milano74-76
20/11/22AAgrigento63-91
13/11/22HTrapani63-64
05/11/22AJuVi Cremona56-90
30/10/22HMonferrato90-94 OT
22/10/22AAssigeco Piacenza72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviglio
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game75.476.874.0
Allowed / game67.167.766.5
Point differential+8.3+9.2+7.5
Avg total142.5144.5140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Stella Azzurra
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL8%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %8%0%17%
Points / game74.176.871.3
Allowed / game84.682.087.2
Point differential-10.5-5.2-15.8
Avg total158.7158.8158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %25%33%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baltur Cento440100%72.564.2+8.2
2 Cantu1312192%80.166.9+13.2
3 Pistoia1411379%75.162.4+12.7
4 Forli1411379%76.369.9+6.4
5 Cremona1310377%79.769.5+10.2
6 Treviglio129375%75.467.1+8.3
7 Cento107370%78.572.0+6.5
8 Basket Torino139469%82.378.1+4.2
9 Udine149564%76.872.8+4.0
10 Pallacanestro Nardo148657%81.480.3+1.1
11 Assigeco Piacenza137654%78.174.0+4.1
12 Agrigento137654%76.973.2+3.7
13 Cividale158753%68.769.7-1.0
14 Fortitudo Bologna147750%77.276.1+1.1
15 Ferrara147750%76.281.6-5.4
16 Latina136746%76.779.4-2.7
17 Urania Milano136746%74.278.2-4.0
18 Rimini146843%76.077.4-1.4
19 Monferrato135838%76.779.1-2.4
20 Chiusi145936%71.675.7-4.1
21 San Severo145936%70.176.0-5.9
22 Mantova1551033%73.577.7-4.3
23 JuVi Cremona134931%70.377.2-6.9
24 Trapani134931%61.573.0-11.5
25 NPC Rieti123925%63.870.2-6.3
26 Chieti Basket1431121%75.678.8-3.2
27 Ravenna1431121%75.281.9-6.7
28 Stella Azzurra121118%74.184.6-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviglio1623132577
Stella Azzurra1522112169
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