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Triglav W vs Ilirija W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 70-64
Projected total 134.7
Scheduled
Position#2
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game50.5
Triglav W
Slovenia
Vs
71%
29%
■ TRIG 71%■ ILIR 29%
Pythia win probability
Ilirija W
Slovenia
Position#3
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game67.2
Slovenia1 SKL WRound 7· Sportna dvorana Planina
Women2026-27
Meetings · Triglav W v Ilirija W
06 Mar 2027
TRIG v ILIR
upcoming
21 Nov 2026
TRIG v ILIR
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
TRIG46
ILIR56
27 Mar 2026
TRIG73
ILIR53
28 Jan 2026
TRIG75
ILIR50
12 Apr 2025
TRIG61
ILIR45
05 Apr 2025
TRIG54
ILIR61
14 Dec 2024
TRIG70
ILIR74
13 Apr 2024
TRIG60
ILIR50
06 Apr 2024
TRIG57
ILIR62
25 Nov 2023
TRIG67
ILIR63
21 Apr 2023
TRIG70
ILIR54
21 Jan 2023
TRIG59
ILIR52
15 Oct 2022
TRIG49
ILIR71
30 Mar 2022
TRIG91
ILIR54
08 Jan 2022
TRIG80
ILIR35
09 Jan 2021
TRIG78
ILIR62
28 Oct 2020
TRIG76
ILIR52
09 Nov 2019
TRIG96
ILIR50
09 Apr 2019
TRIG95
ILIR44
25 Jan 2019
TRIG81
ILIR60
24 Nov 2018
TRIG73
ILIR46
03 May 2018
TRIG95
ILIR47
25 Apr 2018
TRIG91
ILIR56
27 Oct 2017
TRIG92
ILIR55
15 Apr 2017
TRIG72
ILIR51
08 Apr 2017
TRIG67
ILIR48
08 Oct 2016
TRIG73
ILIR45
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Triglav W host Ilirija W in the 1 SKL W. Pythia makes Triglav W the favourite at 71% and projects 70-64, about 135 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Triglav W are 4-0 this season (66.5 scored, 50.5 allowed a game), form LWWWW; Ilirija W are 2-3 this season (65.0 scored, 67.2 allowed a game), form LLWWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Triglav W win
70.6%fair 1.42
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ilirija W win
29.4%fair 3.40
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Triglav WSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Jezica W
#5
W
79-60
79
60
+19
86avg 60
A28/02
1 SKL W
Maribor W
#4
L
58-73
58
73
-15
57avg 60
A14/03
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
72-62
72
62
+10
68avg 60
A20/03
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#2
W
73-53
73
53
+20
66avg 60
H27/03
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#2
L
46-56
46
56
-10
36avg 60
H01/04
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#2
L
65-76
65
76
-11
59avg 60
A04/04
1 SKL W
Maribor W
#4
W
47-42
47
42
+5
39avg 60
A03/10
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#3
W
73-61
73
61
+12
70avg 60
A10/10
1 SKL W
Jezica W
#5
W
76-53
76
53
+23
79avg 60
H14/10
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
70-46
70
46
+24
no box
H05/11
1 SKL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
17-19
18-23
26-6
14-19
19-22
21-13
4-19
17-14
23-13
18-14
14-21
14-19
17-9
21-10
21-15
14-7
11-21
11-11
10-17
14-14
20-24
18-16
13-22
18-5
8-14
12-11
9-12
27-15
19-11
13-15
14-20
21-10
21-17
24-14
10-12
22-13
20-11
11-12
17-10
124.1Avg total
65.9Scored
58.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.550.5117.0+16.0100%
Season at home (2)73.049.5122.5+23.5100%
Season away (2)60.051.5111.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)65.958.2124.1+7.770%
Last 5 (5)66.255.6121.8+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)54.972.9127.7-18.00%
vs Similar (6)61.861.2123.0+0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)69.957.3127.2+12.688%
This opponent (Ilirija W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ilirija WSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Triglav W
#3
W
76-65
76
65
+11
68avg 60
H04/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
58-71
58
71
-13
55avg 60
A08/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
60-88
60
88
-28
51avg 60
H11/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
W
51-48
51
48
+3
50avg 60
A14/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
55-72
55
72
-17
46avg 60
H18/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
50-72
50
72
-22
42avg 60
A03/10
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#2
L
61-73
61
73
-12
53avg 60
H10/10
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
87-57
87
57
+30
79avg 60
A14/10
1 SKL W
Maribor W
#4
W
68-59
68
59
+9
61avg 60
H31/10
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
59-75
59
75
-16
no box
H06/11
1 SKL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
24-20
16-18
22-13
11-17
11-23
15-16
21-15
13-27
18-24
12-20
17-17
12-10
16-11
12-18
11-9
23-18
19-18
11-24
2-12
16-19
9-12
15-17
10-24
15-27
11-19
15-13
20-14
14-24
23-14
18-8
32-11
18-15
18-13
15-12
17-19
11-23
16-17
17-21
15-14
130.5Avg total
62.5Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)65.067.2132.2-2.240%
Season at home (3)62.769.0131.7-6.333%
Season away (2)68.564.5133.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)62.568.0130.5-5.540%
Last 5 (5)65.067.2132.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)60.077.6137.6-17.69%
vs Similar (11)64.762.7127.5+2.073%
vs Weaker (8)73.157.2130.4+15.988%
This opponent (Triglav W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 126.5
Over 126.5
68.9%
Under 126.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 131.5
Over 131.5
57.3%
Under 131.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 136.5
Over 136.5
45.2%
Under 136.5
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Triglav W total 62.5
Over 62.5
78.4%
Under 62.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav W total 66.5
Over 66.5
65.2%
Under 66.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav W total 70.5
Over 70.5
49.7%
Under 70.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilirija W total 61
Over 61
62.8%
Under 61
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilirija W total 65
Over 65
46.8%
Under 65
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilirija W total 69
Over 69
31.5%
Under 69
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Triglav W -3
TRIG -3
62.7%
ILIR +3
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
TRIG
No market prices yet.
ILIR
No market prices yet.
Spread Triglav W 0
TRIG 0
70.6%
ILIR 0
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
TRIG
No market prices yet.
ILIR
No market prices yet.
Spread Triglav W +3
TRIG +3
78.1%
ILIR -3
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
TRIG
No market prices yet.
ILIR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
Triglav WIlirija W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Triglav WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jezica W
#5
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A28/02
1 SKL W
Maribor W
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A14/03
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A20/03
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#2
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H27/03
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#2
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H01/04
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A04/04
1 SKL W
Maribor W
#4
W
26-19
26
19
+7
A03/10
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#3
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A10/10
1 SKL W
Jezica W
#5
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H14/10
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H05/11
1 SKL W
64.3Avg total
35.4Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.730.263.9+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.128.362.5+5.873%-
Last 30 away (15)33.332.065.3+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)35.428.964.3+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)38.026.864.8+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.435.767.1-4.329%-
vs Similar (6)29.529.759.2-0.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)36.228.164.2+8.182%-
This opponent (Ilirija W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ilirija WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Triglav W
#3
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A08/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H11/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
W
28-21
28
21
+7
A14/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H18/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A03/10
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#2
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H10/10
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A14/10
1 SKL W
Maribor W
#4
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H31/10
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H06/11
1 SKL W
67.7Avg total
31.2Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.633.665.2-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.833.866.6-1.156%-
Last 30 away (14)30.433.363.6-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)31.236.567.7-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)30.236.666.8-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)31.040.571.5-9.527%-
vs Similar (11)31.329.861.1+1.564%-
vs Weaker (8)33.029.162.1+3.950%-
This opponent (Triglav W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triglav Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Triglav W: 65.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 59.2 points a game
55%
28%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.0
49.1%
46.7%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.0
30.5%
27.1%18.0
🏀 Free throws16.713.5
80.8%
69.5%13.5
They take 54.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ilirija Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ilirija W: 62.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 59.2 points a game
55%
28%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.415.8
44.6%
46.7%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.1
30.3%
27.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws13.19.3
71.0%
69.5%9.3
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Triglav W
WWWWLLWWLW
Ilirija W
LWWLLLWLLW
#2
League position
#3
+14.4
Net rating
-3.5
84.0
Offensive rating
75.0
69.7
Defensive rating
78.5
47.9%
Effective FG%
45.0%
43.0%
Opp. effective FG%
43.6%
21.8%
Turnover %
22.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
30.5%
3-point %
30.3%
74.8%
Assist %
64.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence84.0 · 75.0Defence69.7 · 78.5Shooting47.9% · 45.0%3-point %30.5% · 30.3%Ball care21.8% · 22.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Triglav W   ■ Ilirija W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Triglav W wins
5
Ilirija W wins
DateGameScore
10/10/26Ilirija W v Triglav W61-73
04/04/26Ilirija W v Triglav W76-65
01/04/26Triglav W v Ilirija W46-56
27/03/26Triglav W v Ilirija W73-53
11/02/26Ilirija W v Triglav W60-55
28/01/26Triglav W v Ilirija W75-50
31/10/25Ilirija W v Triglav W72-57
12/04/25Triglav W v Ilirija W61-45
09/04/25Ilirija W v Triglav W48-73
05/04/25Triglav W v Ilirija W54-61
Triglav Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26HDomel Skofja Loka W70-46
14/10/26HJezica W76-53
10/10/26AIlirija W73-61
03/10/26AMaribor W47-42
04/04/26AIlirija W65-76
01/04/26HIlirija W46-56
27/03/26HIlirija W73-53
20/03/26ADomel Skofja Loka W72-62
14/03/26AMaribor W58-73
28/02/26AJezica W79-60
Ilirija Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HCinkarna Celje W59-75
31/10/26HMaribor W68-59
14/10/26ADomel Skofja Loka W87-57
10/10/26HTriglav W61-73
03/10/26ACinkarna Celje W50-72
18/04/26HCinkarna Celje W55-72
14/04/26ACinkarna Celje W51-48
11/04/26HCinkarna Celje W60-88
08/04/26ACinkarna Celje W58-71
04/04/26HTriglav W76-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Triglav W
1 SKL W 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game66.573.060.0
Allowed / game50.549.551.5
Point differential+16.0+23.5+8.5
Avg total117.0122.5111.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ilirija W
1 SKL W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game65.062.768.5
Allowed / game67.269.064.5
Point differential-2.2-6.3+4.0
Avg total132.2131.7133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cinkarna Celje W550100%75.048.4+26.6
2 Triglav W440100%66.550.5+16.0
3 Ilirija W52340%65.067.2-2.2
4 Maribor W52340%51.454.6-3.2
5 Jezica W52340%57.662.4-4.8
6 Domel Skofja Loka W6060%50.574.8-24.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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