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TTU Kalev II vs Valga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jan 2012
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-63
26-20 19-15 20-13 24-15
Position#5
Record6-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#8
Record2-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game80.8
EstoniaKorvpalli Meistriliiga
Other2011-12
Meetings · TTU Kalev II v Valga
07 Jan 2012
TTU 89
VALG63
20 Oct 2011
TTU 69
VALG71
20 Mar 2011
TTU 76
VALG88
12 Nov 2010
TTU 80
VALG93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TTU Kalev II winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TTU Kalev IIEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#7
W
89-65
89
65
+24
A22/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
98-106 OT
98
106
-8
A05/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valga
#8
W
81-66
81
66
+15
A15/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
79-96
79
96
-17
H18/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#6
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H23/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rakvere Tarvas
#3
L
58-98
58
98
-40
A02/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#7
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H04/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
61-93
61
93
-32
H05/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#6
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A14/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
W
76-52
76
52
+24
H16/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
28-10
25-22
20-19
18-15
18-20
32-21
14-26
20-10
14-11
25-19
22-26
24-29
18-20
25-20
12-27
24-19
25-10
21-25
23-25
11-24
21-29
10-22
16-23
19-23
17-22
15-25
28-18
24-28
13-18
18-21
6-26
20-18
19-17
27-21
24-25
16-11
18-17
19-8
23-16
162.8Avg total
80.4Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.083.2161.2-5.243%
Season at home (7)77.380.0157.3-2.743%
Season away (7)78.786.4165.1-7.743%
Last 10 (10)80.482.4162.8-2.050%
Last 5 (5)72.882.4155.2-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)72.688.4161.0-15.921%
vs Similar (8)83.984.0167.9-0.138%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.072.9153.9+8.162%
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValgaEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#6
L
76-88
76
88
-12
H01/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rakvere Tarvas
#3
L
64-100
64
100
-36
A04/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#6
L
62-88
62
88
-26
A09/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
61-78
61
78
-17
H11/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
TTU Kalev II
#5
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H15/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
58-63
58
63
-5
H22/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
48-67
48
67
-19
A29/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#7
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H06/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
58-89
58
89
-31
A15/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
62-96
62
96
-34
A17/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
26-29
10-25
22-18
13-30
14-23
21-17
16-30
14-11
15-25
15-29
18-23
16-17
12-13
15-26
18-22
10-20
11-14
19-25
26-22
18-23
17-15
14-8
9-17
11-20
12-18
7-18
18-11
21-15
20-22
20-20
26-12
19-19
10-17
20-27
9-26
9-25
22-20
16-26
15-25
146.1Avg total
64.2Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)64.080.8144.8-16.814%
Season at home (7)67.479.3146.7-11.914%
Season away (7)60.682.3142.9-21.714%
Last 10 (10)64.281.9146.1-17.710%
Last 5 (5)62.676.8139.4-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)65.484.5149.9-19.16%
vs Similar (10)79.379.8159.1-0.550%
vs Weaker (3)84.776.0160.7+8.7100%
This opponent (TTU Kalev II) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -2.9-2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -2.9-2.9
TTU Kalev IIValga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TTU Kalev IILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#7
W
44-24
44
24
+20
A22/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A05/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valga
#8
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A15/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H18/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#6
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H23/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rakvere Tarvas
#3
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A02/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H04/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H05/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A14/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H16/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
74.8Avg total
38.3Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.478.8-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.839.978.7-1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)38.140.979.0-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)38.336.574.8+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)35.641.477.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.245.782.9-8.521%-
vs Similar (8)40.835.976.6+4.975%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.235.673.9+2.650%-
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H01/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rakvere Tarvas
#3
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A04/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#6
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A09/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H11/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
TTU Kalev II
#5
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H15/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H22/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A29/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H06/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A15/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A17/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
70.0Avg total
30.8Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.239.675.8-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.738.875.5-2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)35.740.576.1-4.833%-
Last 10 (10)30.839.270.0-8.410%-
Last 5 (5)31.838.870.6-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)31.439.971.2-8.518%-
vs Similar (10)41.340.882.1+0.560%-
vs Weaker (3)46.334.380.7+12.0100%-
This opponent (TTU Kalev II) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
TTU Kalev II wins
5
Valga wins
DateGameScore
15/11/11Valga v TTU Kalev II66-81
20/10/11TTU Kalev II v Valga69-71
20/03/11TTU Kalev II v Valga76-88
21/01/11Valga v TTU Kalev II74-68
10/12/10Valga v TTU Kalev II72-65
12/11/10TTU Kalev II v Valga80-93
TTU Kalev IIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/11HRapla76-52
14/12/11ATallinna Kalev90-81
05/12/11HBC Kalev/Cramo61-93
04/12/11HParnu79-88
02/12/11ARakvere Tarvas58-98
23/11/11HTallinna Kalev93-79
18/11/11HTartu Ulikool79-96
15/11/11AValga81-66
05/11/11ARapla98-106 OT
22/10/11AParnu89-65
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/11ARapla62-96
15/12/11ATartu Ulikool58-89
06/12/11HParnu87-69
29/11/11ABC Kalev/Cramo48-67
22/11/11HRapla58-63
15/11/11HTTU Kalev II66-81
11/11/11HTartu Ulikool61-78
09/11/11ATallinna Kalev62-88
04/11/11ARakvere Tarvas64-100
01/11/11HTallinna Kalev76-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TTU Kalev II
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2011-12
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW43%
HomeLWLLW43%
AwayWLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%43%43%
Points / game78.077.378.7
Allowed / game83.280.086.4
Point differential-5.2-2.7-7.7
Avg total161.2157.3165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %7%0%14%
Valga
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2011-12
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLLLLW14%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %14%14%14%
Points / game64.067.460.6
Allowed / game80.879.382.3
Point differential-16.8-11.9-21.7
Avg total144.8146.7142.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tartu Ulikool1312192%91.273.2+18.0
2 BC Kalev/Cramo1110191%81.963.5+18.4
3 Rakvere Tarvas1410471%86.074.8+11.2
4 Rapla158753%75.573.0+2.5
5 TTU Kalev II146843%78.083.2-5.2
6 Tallinna Kalev1551033%75.782.3-6.6
7 Parnu1421214%72.288.1-15.9
8 Valga1421214%64.080.8-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
TTU Kalev II2619202489
Valga2015131563
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