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Turkey W vs Iceland W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-76
22-15 16-18 26-23 19-20
Position#5
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game52.2
Turkey W 🏆
vs
Iceland W
Position#29
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game76.2
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 5· Sehit Polis Recep Topaloglu Spor Salonu
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Turkey W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iceland W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Turkey WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Slovenia W
#24
W
80-74
80
74
+6
no box
H27/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#9
L
72-76
72
76
-4
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Albania W
#38
W
98-48
98
48
+50
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
63-71
63
71
-8
no box
H15/06
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#15
W
69-68
69
68
+1
no box
A16/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
H18/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#10
W
75-40
75
40
+35
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#29
W
72-65
72
65
+7
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#30
W
101-54
101
54
+47
110avg 86
H07/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#10
W
65-50
65
50
+15
62avg 86
A10/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
17-19
19-20
18-17
17-17
17-20
22-27
16-12
26-16
28-12
24-16
20-4
22-21
11-16
19-21
11-13
13-18
13-16
16-17
27-17
15-21
16-19
14-18
21-22
19-8
24-12
10-6
22-14
20-17
19-9
18-24
15-15
25-16
33-15
20-10
23-13
19-9
13-9
19-20
14-12
138.7Avg total
76.1Scored
62.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.252.2130.5+26.0100%
Season at home (2)88.047.0135.0+41.0100%
Season away (2)68.557.5126.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.162.6138.7+13.570%
Last 5 (5)75.857.8133.6+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)57.866.5124.2-8.812%
vs Similar (8)65.661.2126.9+4.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)79.956.4136.3+23.486%
This opponent (Iceland W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Iceland WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Romania W
#31
L
59-65
59
65
-6
no box
A11/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#15
L
58-115
58
115
-57
no box
H14/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
54-120
54
120
-66
no box
A24/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#31
W
68-58
68
58
+10
no box
H27/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#15
L
49-89
49
89
-40
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
34-88
34
88
-54
no box
H12/02
European Championship Women
Romania W
#30
L
70-82
70
82
-12
no box
A09/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
65-72
65
72
-7
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#10
L
70-78
70
78
-8
46avg 58
H07/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#30
W
77-73
77
73
+4
70avg 58
H10/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
11-10
21-19
13-20
20-28
17-31
13-25
8-31
8-32
8-27
25-32
13-29
15-15
12-17
19-18
22-8
16-22
13-27
8-22
12-18
10-18
10-28
6-24
8-18
19-29
19-16
16-20
16-17
17-20
9-19
24-18
15-15
24-16
11-24
18-15
17-23
22-25
22-12
11-14
22-22
144.4Avg total
60.4Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.576.2146.8-5.825%
Season at home (3)70.774.3145.0-3.733%
Season away (1)70.082.0152.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)60.484.0144.4-23.620%
Last 5 (5)63.278.6141.8-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)58.185.4143.5-27.26%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (8)72.156.2128.4+15.988%
This opponent (Turkey W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -7.9-7.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -5.5-5.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -7.9-7.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -5.5-5.5
Turkey WIceland W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Turkey WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia W
#24
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H27/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#9
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A09/02
European Championship Women
Albania W
#38
W
54-28
54
28
+26
A12/02
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H15/06
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#15
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A16/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H18/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#10
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H09/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#29
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A12/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#30
W
58-31
58
31
+27
H07/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#10
W
32-18
32
18
+14
A10/11
European Championship Women
70.1Avg total
39.3Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.028.563.5+6.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.129.165.2+7.053%-
Last 30 away (13)33.527.761.2+5.854%-
Last 10 (10)39.330.870.1+8.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.627.067.6+13.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)27.532.960.4-5.412%-
vs Similar (8)32.428.560.9+3.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.826.066.8+14.871%-
This opponent (Iceland W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Iceland WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Romania W
#31
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A11/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#15
L
37-59
37
59
-22
H14/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
16-59
16
59
-43
A24/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#31
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H27/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#15
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A09/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
20-46
20
46
-26
H12/02
European Championship Women
Romania W
#30
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A09/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H12/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H07/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#30
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H10/11
European Championship Women
72.9Avg total
29.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)30.339.069.2-8.725%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.437.569.9-5.231%-
Last 30 away (11)27.840.668.5-12.818%-
Last 10 (10)29.743.272.9-13.510%-
Last 5 (5)32.641.474.0-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)26.444.270.7-17.80%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (8)38.028.466.4+9.675%-
This opponent (Turkey W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Turkey Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turkey W: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.522.0
53.0%
45.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.86.3
30.1%
30.0%18.8
🏀 Free throws19.514.5
74.4%
72.4%14.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iceland Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iceland W: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.813.5
42.5%
45.4%27.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.09.8
30.5%
30.0%29.2
🏀 Free throws18.013.8
76.4%
72.4%13.8
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Turkey W
WWWWLWLWLW
Iceland W
WLLLLLWLLL
#5
League position
#29
+36.8
Net rating
-6.3
109.3
Offensive rating
92.2
72.5
Defensive rating
98.5
50.4%
Effective FG%
44.1%
36.6%
Opp. effective FG%
45.2%
19.6%
Turnover %
17.2%
41.0%
Off. rebound %
19.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.1%
3-point %
30.5%
71.7%
Assist %
66.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 92.2Defence72.5 · 98.5Shooting50.4% · 44.1%3-point %30.1% · 30.5%Ball care19.6% · 17.2%Off. rebounds41.0% · 19.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Turkey W   ■ Iceland W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Turkey W wins
0
Iceland W wins
DateGameScore
12/11/23Iceland W v Turkey W65-72
Turkey Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24ASlovakia W65-50
07/11/24HRomania W101-54
12/11/23AIceland W72-65
09/11/23HSlovakia W75-40
18/06/23HSlovakia W66-80
16/06/23AHungary W69-68
15/06/23HSerbia W63-71
12/02/23AAlbania W98-48
09/02/23APoland W72-76
27/11/22HSlovenia W80-74
Iceland Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24HRomania W77-73
07/11/24HSlovakia W70-78
12/11/23HTurkey W65-72
09/11/23ARomania W70-82
12/02/23HSpain W34-88
09/02/23AHungary W49-89
27/11/22HRomania W68-58
24/11/22ASpain W54-120
14/11/21HHungary W58-115
11/11/21ARomania W59-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Turkey W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.288.068.5
Allowed / game52.247.057.5
Point differential+26.0+41.0+11.0
Avg total130.5135.0126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iceland W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLLW33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game70.570.770.0
Allowed / game76.274.382.0
Point differential-5.8-3.7-12.0
Avg total146.8145.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W440100%86.850.0+36.8
2 Serbia W440100%83.847.5+36.2
3 Turkey W440100%78.252.2+26.0
4 Spain W440100%72.255.0+17.2
5 Sweden W440100%71.260.8+10.5
6 Belgium W43175%89.860.5+29.2
7 Lithuania W43175%88.065.8+22.2
8 Montenegro W43175%77.563.5+14.0
9 Germany W43175%72.863.5+9.2
10 Italy W43175%64.855.8+9.0
11 Luxembourg W43175%62.055.0+7.0
12 Portugal W43175%64.057.2+6.8
13 Slovenia W43175%71.865.5+6.2
14 Poland W42250%80.567.0+13.5
15 Great Britain W42250%70.058.5+11.5
16 Croatia W42250%74.871.2+3.5
17 Israel W42250%78.074.5+3.5
18 Greece W42250%68.566.5+2.0
19 Hungary W42250%68.066.0+2.0
20 Netherlands W42250%63.262.2+1.0
21 Switzerland W42250%62.261.8+0.5
22 Finland W42250%69.572.0-2.5
23 Latvia W42250%67.872.2-4.5
24 Slovakia W42250%65.271.8-6.5
25 Denmark W41325%67.567.5+0.0
26 Bulgaria W41325%70.876.5-5.8
27 Iceland W41325%70.576.2-5.8
28 Ukraine W41325%63.572.0-8.5
29 Romania W41325%71.585.2-13.8
30 Estonia W41325%54.076.0-22.0
31 Czech Republic W4040%55.275.5-20.2
32 Bosnia & Herzegovina W4040%62.083.5-21.5
33 Austria W4040%54.075.8-21.8
34 North Macedonia W4040%51.085.5-34.5
35 Ireland W4040%54.890.5-35.8
36 Azerbaijan W4040%47.0112.0-65.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Turkey W2216261983
Iceland W1518232076
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