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UC Davis W vs William Jessup W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 75-60
Projected total 135.1
Final 82-42
18-11 10-8 27-7 27-16
Position#186
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
UC Davis W 🏆
USA
Vs
90%
■ UC D 90%■ WILL 10%
Pythia win probability
William Jessup W
USA
Position#436
Record-
FormLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA Women
Women2026-27
Meetings · UC Davis W v William Jessup W
02 Nov 2026
UC D82
WILL42
03 Nov 2025
UC D72
WILL35
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
UC Davis W host William Jessup W in the NCAA Women. Pythia makes UC Davis W the favourite at 90% and projects 75-60, about 135 points in all. Overtime chance: 2%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Davis W winWon
90.2%fair 1.11
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
William Jessup W winLost
9.8%fair 10.22
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC Davis WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego Tritons W
#66
W
88-80 OT
88
80
+8
H13/02
NCAA Women
Long Beach State W
#357
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A14/02
NCAA Women
CS Fullerton W
#163
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H20/02
NCAA Women
UC Riverside W
#286
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H21/02
NCAA Women
Hawaii W
#118
L
46-67
46
67
-21
A27/02
NCAA Women
Long Beach State W
#357
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H06/03
NCAA Women
UC Irvine Anteaters W
#37
L
58-70
58
70
-12
H07/03
NCAA Women
UC Riverside W
#286
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H12/03
NCAA Women
UC San Diego Tritons W
#66
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A13/03
NCAA Women
Pepperdine W
#131
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A20/03
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-13
11-18
20-19
12-7
15-17
16-18
24-9
22-22
16-11
16-17
19-24
19-12
13-11
12-14
18-11
22-20
9-11
11-19
13-12
13-25
18-13
14-16
11-18
16-9
20-19
11-21
12-20
15-10
19-9
11-15
15-15
25-20
17-22
18-20
18-17
26-25
21-19
15-20
18-13
14-19
135.3Avg total
68.0Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)68.067.3135.3+0.760%
Last 5 (5)66.868.0134.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)57.375.3132.7-18.00%
vs Similar (14)64.166.8130.9-2.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)73.259.9133.1+13.2100%
This opponent (William Jessup W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
William Jessup WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara W
#242
L
41-67
41
67
-26
A20/11
NCAA Women
UC Davis W
#95
L
35-72
35
72
-37
A04/11
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
8-9
8-25
12-10
11-19
9-20
8-18
7-15
107.5Avg total
38.0Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (2)38.069.5107.5-31.50%
Last 5 (2)38.069.5107.5-31.50%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UC Davis W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 126Actual: Under 126
Over 126
71.6%
Under 126
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 131Actual: Under 131
Over 131
60.0%
Under 131
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 136Actual: Under 136
Over 136
47.4%
Under 136
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

UC Davis W total 66.5Actual: UC Davis W over 66.5
Over 66.5
80.5%
Under 66.5
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UC Davis W total 70.5Actual: UC Davis W over 70.5
Over 70.5
67.6%
Under 70.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UC Davis W total 74.5Actual: UC Davis W over 74.5
Over 74.5
52.0%
Under 74.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
William Jessup W total 56.5Actual: William Jessup W under 56.5
Over 56.5
63.6%
Under 56.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
William Jessup W total 60.5Actual: William Jessup W under 60.5
Over 60.5
48.0%
Under 60.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
William Jessup W total 64.5Actual: William Jessup W under 64.5
Over 64.5
32.7%
Under 64.5
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread UC Davis W -3Actual: UC Davis W -3
UC D -3
86.5%
WILL +3
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
UC D
No market prices yet.
WILL
No market prices yet.
Spread UC Davis W 0Actual: UC Davis W 0
UC D 0
90.2%
WILL 0
9.8%
Best 5 market prices
UC D
No market prices yet.
WILL
No market prices yet.
Spread UC Davis W +3Actual: UC Davis W +3
UC D +3
93.5%
WILL -3
6.5%
Best 5 market prices
UC D
No market prices yet.
WILL
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-17-8+0+8+17Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -9.0-9.0Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -13.5-13.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -3.0-3.0
-17-8+0+8+17Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -9.0-9.0Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -13.5-13.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -3.0-3.0
UC Davis WWilliam Jessup W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UC Davis WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego Tritons W
#66
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H13/02
NCAA Women
Long Beach State W
#357
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A14/02
NCAA Women
CS Fullerton W
#163
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H20/02
NCAA Women
UC Riverside W
#286
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H21/02
NCAA Women
Hawaii W
#118
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A27/02
NCAA Women
Long Beach State W
#357
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H06/03
NCAA Women
UC Irvine Anteaters W
#37
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H07/03
NCAA Women
UC Riverside W
#286
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H12/03
NCAA Women
UC San Diego Tritons W
#66
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A13/03
NCAA Women
Pepperdine W
#131
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A20/03
NCAA Women
62.0Avg total
29.7Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.430.662.0+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.327.559.9+4.860%-
Last 30 away (15)30.533.664.1-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)29.732.362.0-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)32.834.867.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)26.743.770.3-17.00%-
vs Similar (14)28.332.060.3-3.721%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)35.826.061.8+9.885%-
This opponent (William Jessup W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
William Jessup WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara W
#242
L
21-32
21
32
-11
A20/11
NCAA Women
UC Davis W
#95
L
20-39
20
39
-19
A04/11
NCAA Women
56.0Avg total
20.5Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)20.535.556.0-15.00%-
Last 30 at homeno games
Last 30 away (2)20.535.556.0-15.00%-
Last 10 (2)20.535.556.0-15.00%-
Last 5 (2)20.535.556.0-15.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UC Davis W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UC Davis W wins
0
William Jessup W wins
DateGameScore
04/11/25UC Davis W v William Jessup W72-35
UC Davis Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/26APepperdine W68-71
13/03/26AUC San Diego Tritons W79-84
12/03/26HUC Riverside W70-59
07/03/26HUC Irvine Anteaters W58-70
06/03/26HLong Beach State W59-56
27/02/26AHawaii W46-67
21/02/26HUC Riverside W65-56
20/02/26HCS Fullerton W70-64
14/02/26ALong Beach State W77-66
13/02/26HUC San Diego Tritons W88-80 OT
William Jessup Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/25AUC Davis W35-72
20/11/24ASanta Clara W41-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Davis W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
William Jessup W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Losses (last 2)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMKC W110100%120.040.0+80.0
2 Yale Bulldogs W110100%111.038.0+73.0
3 Youngstown State W110100%99.026.0+73.0
4 Louisville W110100%119.047.0+72.0
5 Oakland W110100%104.032.0+72.0
6 South Carolina State W110100%112.042.0+70.0
7 Lamar W110100%104.035.0+69.0
8 Longwood W110100%96.027.0+69.0
9 Utah Tech W110100%107.039.0+68.0
10 UTRGV W110100%114.047.0+67.0
11 UConn W110100%100.035.0+65.0
12 Western Carolina W110100%96.031.0+65.0
13 Detroit Titans W110100%94.030.0+64.0
14 UMBC Retrievers W110100%92.029.0+63.0
15 George Washington W110100%84.023.0+61.0
16 Samford Bulldogs W110100%102.042.0+60.0
17 New Haven Chargers W110100%103.044.0+59.0
18 Vanderbilt W110100%112.053.0+59.0
19 Vermont W110100%96.037.0+59.0
20 St. John's (N.Y.) W110100%95.037.0+58.0
21 Central Arkansas W110100%97.040.0+57.0
22 Morgan State W110100%103.047.0+56.0
23 Tulane Green Wave W110100%92.038.0+54.0
24 Army W110100%81.028.0+53.0
25 North Texas W110100%101.048.0+53.0
26 Bryant University W110100%75.025.0+50.0
27 Charleston W110100%92.043.0+49.0
28 Ohio State W110100%81.034.0+47.0
29 Tennessee Volunteers W110100%109.062.0+47.0
30 New Hampshire Wildcats W110100%87.041.0+46.0
31 Virginia Tech W110100%85.039.0+46.0
32 Montana State W110100%82.038.0+44.0
33 Kentucky W110100%85.042.0+43.0
34 Oklahoma State W110100%81.039.0+42.0
35 Ole Miss W110100%80.038.0+42.0
36 Virginia Cavaliers W110100%87.045.0+42.0
37 Chattanooga Mocs W110100%85.044.0+41.0
38 East Texas A&M Lions W110100%81.040.0+41.0
39 William & Mary W110100%89.048.0+41.0
40 Georgia W110100%92.053.0+39.0
41 Butler W110100%108.071.0+37.0
42 Quinnipiac Bobcats W110100%82.045.0+37.0
43 Boise State W110100%84.048.0+36.0
44 Jacksonville St. W110100%75.039.0+36.0
45 Northern Kentucky Norse W110100%84.049.0+35.0
46 Stony Brook W110100%73.039.0+34.0
47 Oregon W110100%87.054.0+33.0
48 USC Trojans W110100%100.068.0+32.0
49 Florida State W110100%81.051.0+30.0
50 Fordham W110100%70.040.0+30.0
51 Kennesaw State W110100%72.042.0+30.0
52 NC State W110100%80.050.0+30.0
53 Nebraska Cornhuskers W110100%81.054.0+27.0
54 South Florida W110100%80.054.0+26.0
55 Southern Mississippi W110100%85.059.0+26.0
56 Idaho Vandals W110100%71.047.0+24.0
57 Notre Dame W110100%99.075.0+24.0
58 UMass Lowell W110100%77.053.0+24.0
59 Florida Gators W110100%83.060.0+23.0
60 Monmouth W110100%63.040.0+23.0
61 Iona W110100%76.054.0+22.0
62 Clemson W110100%68.047.0+21.0
63 Minnesota W110100%82.062.0+20.0
64 UCLA W110100%73.053.0+20.0
65 Utah State W110100%61.045.0+16.0
66 Washington W110100%79.063.0+16.0
67 Austin Peay W110100%62.047.0+15.0
68 Drexel W110100%62.047.0+15.0
69 Georgia Tech W110100%80.065.0+15.0
70 Stanford Cardinal W110100%84.069.0+15.0
71 Coastal Carolina W110100%68.054.0+14.0
72 Appalachian State W110100%74.062.0+12.0
73 Mcneese State W110100%65.053.0+12.0
74 Oklahoma Sooners W110100%91.079.0+12.0
75 Coppin State W110100%80.069.0+11.0
76 Siena W110100%82.071.0+11.0
77 Winthrop W110100%57.046.0+11.0
78 Ball State W110100%84.074.0+10.0
79 Holy Cross W110100%64.054.0+10.0
80 Houston Cougars W110100%73.065.0+8.0
81 South Carolina W110100%101.093.0+8.0
82 Dartmouth W110100%56.049.0+7.0
83 Wake Forest W110100%65.058.0+7.0
84 Columbia W110100%71.065.0+6.0
85 Talladega W110100%59.053.0+6.0
86 NJIT W110100%50.045.0+5.0
87 Marshall Thundering W110100%74.070.0+4.0
88 Old Dominion W110100%62.058.0+4.0
89 Buffalo W110100%82.081.0+1.0
90 Cleveland State W110100%62.061.0+1.0
91 Seattle U Redhawks W110100%63.062.0+1.0
92 South Alabama W110100%75.074.0+1.0
93 Virginia State W110100%63.062.0+1.0
94 Akron W1010%74.075.0-1.0
95 Georgia State W1010%81.082.0-1.0
96 New Mexico W1010%62.063.0-1.0
97 Norfolk State W1010%62.063.0-1.0
98 Penn State W1010%61.062.0-1.0
99 Central Michigan W1010%58.062.0-4.0
100 UMass W1010%70.074.0-4.0
101 Rider Broncs W1010%45.050.0-5.0
102 Alabama A&M W1010%53.059.0-6.0
103 Davidson W1010%65.071.0-6.0
104 Boston University W1010%49.056.0-7.0
105 South Carolina Upstate W1010%58.065.0-7.0
106 Hampton W1010%65.073.0-8.0
107 Maryland W1010%93.0101.0-8.0
108 Arkansas State W1010%74.084.0-10.0
109 Boston College W1010%54.064.0-10.0
110 Brown Bears W1010%71.082.0-11.0
111 Cheyney Wolves W1010%69.080.0-11.0
112 Newberry W1010%46.057.0-11.0
113 Eastern Michigan W1010%62.074.0-12.0
114 North Carolina W1010%79.091.0-12.0
115 Texas A&M-Kingsville W1010%53.065.0-12.0
116 Western Michigan W1010%54.068.0-14.0
117 Arizona Wildcats W1010%69.084.0-15.0
118 Campbell Fighting Camels W1010%47.062.0-15.0
119 Hofstra W1010%65.080.0-15.0
120 Marist W1010%47.062.0-15.0
121 UC San Diego Tritons W1010%63.079.0-16.0
122 Westminster UT W1010%45.061.0-16.0
123 Harvard Crimson W1010%62.082.0-20.0
124 Lehigh W1010%53.073.0-20.0
125 Radford W1010%47.068.0-21.0
126 Dominican Chargers W1010%54.076.0-22.0
127 Binghamton W1010%40.063.0-23.0
128 Bucknell W1010%60.083.0-23.0
129 St. Anselm Hawks W1010%53.077.0-24.0
130 St. Martin's W1010%47.071.0-24.0
131 Villanova W1010%75.099.0-24.0
132 Furman Paladins W1010%54.080.0-26.0
133 Mississippi Christian W1010%59.085.0-26.0
134 San Jose State W1010%54.081.0-27.0
135 Merrimack Warriors W1010%51.081.0-30.0
136 Niagara W1010%40.070.0-30.0
137 Shorter W1010%42.072.0-30.0
138 Wofford W1010%50.080.0-30.0
139 UNLV Lady Rebels W1010%68.0100.0-32.0
140 Hawaii W1010%54.087.0-33.0
141 Molloy W1010%39.073.0-34.0
142 Defiance College1010%49.084.0-35.0
143 Bushnell W1010%48.084.0-36.0
144 Oglethorpe W1010%39.075.0-36.0
145 St. Joseph's (Brooklyn) W1010%45.082.0-37.0
146 Tennessee Tech W1010%71.0108.0-37.0
147 West Georgia W1010%53.092.0-39.0
148 Chowan W1010%48.089.0-41.0
149 Oklahoma Christian W1010%40.081.0-41.0
150 Virginia-Wise W1010%44.085.0-41.0
151 Alcorn State W1010%38.080.0-42.0
152 Md.-East. Shore W1010%45.087.0-42.0
153 Southern Jaguars W1010%39.081.0-42.0
154 Morehead State W1010%42.085.0-43.0
155 Black Hills W1010%38.082.0-44.0
156 N. Carolina Central W1010%39.085.0-46.0
157 New England Pilgrims W1010%41.087.0-46.0
158 Duquesne W1010%62.0109.0-47.0
159 UIC W1010%34.081.0-47.0
160 Berry Vikings W1010%43.092.0-49.0
161 MIT Engineers W1010%25.075.0-50.0
162 Newman Jets W1010%48.0101.0-53.0
163 St. Thomas Aquinas W1010%28.081.0-53.0
164 Texas W1010%38.092.0-54.0
165 Washington Adventist W1010%47.0103.0-56.0
166 Hendrix College W1010%40.097.0-57.0
167 Lafayette W1010%37.095.0-58.0
168 Keene State W1010%37.096.0-59.0
169 Lipscomb Bisons W1010%53.0112.0-59.0
170 Mitchell W1010%44.0103.0-59.0
171 Montevallo Falcons W1010%42.0102.0-60.0
172 District of Columbia W1010%23.084.0-61.0
173 Stevenson W1010%29.092.0-63.0
174 Michigan-Dearborn W1010%30.094.0-64.0
175 Carolina University W1010%31.096.0-65.0
176 Cornell W1010%35.0100.0-65.0
177 Arlington Baptist Patriots W1010%47.0114.0-67.0
178 Life Pacific W1010%39.0107.0-68.0
179 Apprentice Builders W1010%27.096.0-69.0
180 Louisiana Christian W1010%35.0104.0-69.0
181 Trinity College of Jacksonville W1010%42.0112.0-70.0
182 Bellarmine W1010%47.0119.0-72.0
183 Cleary University W1010%32.0104.0-72.0
184 Elms College W1010%38.0111.0-73.0
185 Hiram W1010%26.099.0-73.0
186 Baker Wildcats W1010%40.0120.0-80.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 186 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
UC Davis W1810272782
William Jessup W11871642
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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