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UC Riverside vs St. Thomas (Minn.) Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 81-79 (OT)
26-36 47-37 8-6
Position#98
Record8-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#57
Record10-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game72.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Riverside winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Thomas (Minn.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC RiversideUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Sierra
#460
W
79-51
79
51
+28
H15/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
54-96
54
96
-42
A20/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
A23/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
W
69-52
69
52
+17
H24/11
NCAA
Idaho
#271
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A30/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A06/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H08/12
NCAA
St. Francis (ILL)
#424
W
78-55
78
55
+23
H15/12
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H19/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-20
43-31
21-43
33-53
27-26
38-39
35-29
34-23
27-39
41-41
31-35
37-29
37-39
38-29
46-18
32-37
41-53
42-27
29-31
24-35
139.1Avg total
70.4Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.571.8143.3-0.262%
Season at home (5)76.861.2138.0+15.6100%
Season away (8)68.278.4146.6-10.138%
Last 10 (10)70.468.7139.1+1.770%
Last 5 (5)71.466.6138.0+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)70.277.2147.4-7.030%
vs Similar (15)70.971.9142.7-1.060%
vs Weaker (4)76.862.2139.0+14.5100%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#285
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A18/11
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H22/11
NCAA
Portland State
#129
W
91-65
91
65
+26
A23/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A24/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
98-76
98
76
+22
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A05/12
NCAA
Montana
#53
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H07/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H14/12
NCAA
Crown College
#535
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H15/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
93-68
93
68
+25
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-39
37-42
33-43
40-38
53-21
38-44
22-32
43-37
47-25
51-51
47-32
40-43
40-39
48-42
36-34
41-37
53-29
47-32
46-20
47-48
156.6Avg total
83.8Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.572.1157.6+13.471%
Season at home (7)90.670.7161.3+19.986%
Season away (7)80.473.4153.9+7.057%
Last 10 (10)83.872.8156.6+11.070%
Last 5 (5)89.071.2160.2+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)73.972.4146.3+1.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)77.871.3149.1+6.565%
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +9.2+9.22nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +1.8+1.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +9.2+9.22nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +1.8+1.8
UC RiversideSt. Thomas (Minn.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC RiversideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Sierra
#460
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H15/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A20/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A23/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H24/11
NCAA
Idaho
#271
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A30/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A06/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H08/12
NCAA
St. Francis (ILL)
#424
W
46-18
46
18
+28
H15/12
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H19/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A21/12
NCAA
66.3Avg total
33.0Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.533.967.4-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.432.266.5+2.246%-
Last 30 away (17)32.835.368.1-2.541%-
Last 10 (10)33.033.366.3-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.272.0+1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)30.735.566.2-4.830%-
vs Similar (15)33.935.269.1-1.340%-
vs Weaker (4)35.529.264.8+6.275%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#285
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A18/11
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H22/11
NCAA
Portland State
#129
W
53-21
53
21
+32
A23/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A24/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A05/12
NCAA
Montana
#53
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H07/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H14/12
NCAA
Crown College
#535
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H15/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
46-20
46
20
+26
A21/12
NCAA
72.0Avg total
40.6Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.431.870.2+6.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.632.573.1+8.167%-
Last 30 away (15)36.131.267.3+4.953%-
Last 10 (10)40.631.472.0+9.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.430.875.2+13.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)35.632.468.0+3.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)37.632.169.8+5.560%-
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UC Riverside wins
0
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24AUNLV53-66
19/12/24HMontana State83-80
15/12/24HSt. Francis (ILL)78-55
08/12/24HCS Fullerton75-68
06/12/24ACS Northridge68-64
30/11/24AIdaho68-80
24/11/24HAlcorn State69-52
23/11/24AColorado State77-75 OT
20/11/24ASanta Clara54-96
15/11/24HLa Sierra79-51
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24ABowling Green93-68
15/12/24HCrown College100-61
14/12/24HWestern Michigan77-71
07/12/24HMontana88-81
05/12/24ANorthern Colorado87-75
03/12/24HChicago State98-76
24/11/24AWisc. Milwaukee65-69
23/11/24APortland State91-65
22/11/24HWofford73-81
18/11/24AArizona State66-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Riverside
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %62%100%38%
Points / game71.576.868.2
Allowed / game71.861.278.4
Point differential-0.2+15.6-10.1
Avg total143.3138.0146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %8%0%12%
St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%86%57%
Points / game85.590.680.4
Allowed / game72.170.773.4
Point differential+13.4+19.9+7.0
Avg total157.6161.3153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%57%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego1412286%80.562.6+17.9
2 UC Irvine1210283%73.263.1+10.1
3 CS Northridge139469%81.470.2+11.2
4 Hawaii128467%73.269.2+4.0
5 UC Santa Barbara138562%76.264.9+11.3
6 UC Davis138562%71.570.9+0.6
7 UC Riverside138562%71.571.8-0.2
8 CSU Bakersfield146843%73.970.6+3.3
9 Cal Poly146843%83.985.7-1.8
10 Long Beach State146843%67.370.1-2.8
11 CS Fullerton145936%63.870.4-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota St1511473%80.770.2+10.5
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)1410471%85.572.1+13.4
3 South Dakota St.159660%77.971.1+6.8
4 South Dakota Coyotes159660%86.680.0+6.6
5 UMKC158753%77.265.1+12.1
6 North Dakota156940%75.175.3-0.2
7 Denver156940%75.779.0-3.3
8 Nebraska O.156940%70.173.9-3.8
9 Oral Roberts123925%72.576.3-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
UC Riverside2647881
St. Thomas (Minn.)3637679
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