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UCF Knights vs Ole Miss Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 68-70
30-37 38-33
Position#180
Record6-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game67.4
vs
Position#109
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game66.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCF Knights winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ole Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#29
W
67-49
67
49
+18
A15/03
NIT
Oregon
#5
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A19/03
NIT
Florida International
#318
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H07/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A11/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
W
72-44
72
44
+28
H17/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A20/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
74-71 OT
74
71
+3
H21/11
NCAA
Stetson
#97
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H26/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H02/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
W
94-52
94
52
+42
H07/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
35-26
0-0
32-23
0-0
24-33
0-0
30-35
0-0
43-21
0-0
42-41
0-0
27-41
0-0
45-47
0-0
31-18
0-0
41-26
0-0
32-30
0-0
51-50
0-0
22-26
0-0
37-33
0-0
36-30
0-0
46-55
0-0
39-23
0-0
33-34
0-0
48-18
0-0
46-34
141.1Avg total
75.5Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.267.4146.6+11.975%
Season at home (6)79.861.8141.7+18.083%
Season away (2)77.584.0161.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)75.565.6141.1+9.970%
Last 5 (5)81.069.0150.0+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.373.7137.0-10.30%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.674.2147.8-0.646%
vs Weaker (13)76.661.7138.3+14.969%
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ole MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#308
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A09/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
55-70
55
70
-15
A09/03
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H07/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H11/11
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H15/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H18/11
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A22/11
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
72-52
72
52
+20
H29/11
NCAA
Memphis
#57
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H02/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#274
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-29
37-32
33-39
22-31
35-30
34-29
34-32
41-32
34-31
36-38
31-33
39-34
38-33
39-43
35-27
37-25
30-37
50-40
39-34
38-34
137.5Avg total
71.2Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.866.5140.2+7.2100%
Season at home (7)73.365.1138.4+8.1100%
Season away (1)77.076.0153.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)71.266.3137.5+4.990%
Last 5 (5)75.268.0143.2+7.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)65.474.1139.4-8.77%
vs Similar ◀ (12)71.668.8140.4+2.867%
vs Weaker (4)67.063.0130.0+4.075%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.1+7.11st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +3.5+3.5
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.1+7.11st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +3.5+3.5
UCF KnightsOle Miss
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#29
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A15/03
NIT
Oregon
#5
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A19/03
NIT
Florida International
#318
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H07/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A11/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
W
31-18
31
18
+13
H17/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A20/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
L
22-26
22
26
-4
H21/11
NCAA
Stetson
#97
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H26/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H02/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
W
48-18
48
18
+30
H07/12
NCAA
60.3Avg total
33.7Scored
26.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.331.063.3+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.829.465.2+6.462%-
Last 30 away (14)28.432.861.1-4.421%-
Last 10 (10)33.726.660.3+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)35.425.460.8+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.736.766.3-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)30.233.563.6-3.338%-
vs Weaker (13)34.927.662.5+7.354%-
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ole MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#308
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A09/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A09/03
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H07/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H11/11
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H15/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H18/11
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A22/11
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H29/11
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H02/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#274
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H06/12
NCAA
66.4Avg total
33.9Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.533.566.0-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.132.766.8+1.465%-
Last 30 away (13)30.534.565.1-4.031%-
Last 10 (10)33.932.566.4+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)34.632.867.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.635.767.4-4.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.432.565.9+0.958%-
vs Weaker (4)33.028.861.8+4.2100%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UCF Knights wins
0
Ole Miss wins
DateGameScore
15/12/22Ole Miss v UCF Knights61-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/23HJacksonville Dolphins94-52
02/12/23HLipscomb72-57
26/11/23HStetson82-85
21/11/23HCharlotte74-71 OT
20/11/23ASouth Dakota St.83-80
17/11/23HCS Fullerton72-44
11/11/23AMiami (FL)72-88
07/11/23HFlorida International85-62
19/03/23AOregon54-68
15/03/23AFlorida67-49
Ole Misslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23HMount St. Mary's77-68
02/12/23HMemphis80-77
29/11/23HNC State72-52
22/11/23ATemple77-76
18/11/23HSam Houston St.70-67
15/11/23HDetroit70-69
11/11/23HEast. Washington75-64
07/11/23HAlabama State69-59
09/03/23ATennessee55-70
09/03/23ASouth Carolina67-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCF Knights
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %75%83%50%
Points / game79.279.877.5
Allowed / game67.461.884.0
Point differential+11.9+18.0-6.5
Avg total146.6141.7161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%17%0%
Ole Miss
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game73.873.377.0
Allowed / game66.565.176.0
Point differential+7.2+8.1+1.0
Avg total140.2138.4153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona880100%94.063.9+30.1
2 Houston10100100%76.449.7+26.7
3 Baylor990100%91.167.6+23.6
4 Kansas109190%79.965.1+14.8
5 Brigham Young98189%89.360.6+28.8
6 TCU87188%88.567.1+21.4
7 Cincinnati87188%86.267.4+18.9
8 Iowa State108280%86.059.2+26.8
9 Kansas State108280%80.972.5+8.4
10 Colorado97278%84.468.9+15.6
11 Utah Utes97278%80.772.0+8.7
12 UCF Knights86275%79.267.4+11.9
13 Texas Tech86275%74.865.6+9.1
14 Arizona State96367%70.169.0+1.1
15 West Virginia94544%64.265.8-1.6
16 Oklahoma State83538%74.168.5+5.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma990100%84.862.9+21.9
2 Ole Miss880100%73.866.5+7.2
3 South Carolina98189%74.764.9+9.8
4 Kentucky97278%90.672.4+18.1
5 Mississippi St.97278%75.462.0+13.4
6 Texas97278%79.066.3+12.7
7 Texas A&M97278%76.867.7+9.1
8 Auburn86275%81.866.8+15.0
9 Missouri107370%74.367.8+6.5
10 Alabama96367%93.276.8+16.4
11 Tennessee96367%78.668.2+10.3
12 Florida96367%83.773.7+10.0
13 Georgia96367%72.169.9+2.2
14 Arkansas106460%81.276.4+4.8
15 LSU95456%72.969.3+3.6
16 Vanderbilt94544%70.072.7-2.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UCF Knights303868
Ole Miss373370
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