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UCLA vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 74-76
40-32 34-44
Position#66
Record10-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game56.8
vs
Position#111
Record6-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game79.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UCLA v North Carolina
21 Dec 2024
UCLA74
NORT76
25 Mar 2022
UCLA66
NORT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCLA winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCLAUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#25
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H09/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
71-40
71
40
+31
H12/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#311
W
85-45
85
45
+40
H16/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H21/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
80-47
80
47
+33
H23/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
88-43
88
43
+45
H27/11
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H04/12
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A08/12
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A14/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
111-75
111
75
+36
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-41
34-31
39-22
32-18
44-16
41-29
41-27
43-43
39-25
41-22
43-20
45-23
29-24
40-34
33-34
40-37
30-28
27-26
53-36
58-39
135.7Avg total
78.2Scored
57.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.856.8135.6+22.091%
Season at home (9)81.955.6137.4+26.389%
Season away (2)65.062.5127.5+2.5100%
Last 10 (10)78.257.5135.7+20.790%
Last 5 (5)79.660.2139.8+19.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)63.077.0140.0-14.017%
vs Similar ◀ (12)66.866.2133.1+0.658%
vs Weaker (12)78.255.1133.2+23.1100%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#114
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A09/11
NCAA
American University
#102
W
107-55
107
55
+52
H16/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
87-69
87
69
+18
A23/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
W
92-90
92
90
+2
H26/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H27/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
H28/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
79-94
79
94
-15
H05/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H07/12
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
93-67
93
67
+26
H14/12
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-53
51-39
43-34
64-21
41-34
46-35
33-51
59-39
32-40
40-45
34-43
48-39
34-43
45-51
31-30
37-35
42-25
51-42
34-46
50-44
166.3Avg total
86.2Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.579.7166.3+6.855%
Season at home (8)86.578.2164.8+8.262%
Season away (3)86.783.7170.3+3.033%
Last 10 (10)86.280.1166.3+6.150%
Last 5 (5)83.082.0165.0+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.389.7172.0-7.30%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.781.4167.1+4.267%
vs Weaker (18)81.368.6149.9+12.778%
This opponent (UCLA) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.8+10.81st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: +9.9+9.92nd half: +10.1+10.1
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.8+10.81st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: +9.9+9.92nd half: +10.1+10.1
UCLANorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UCLALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#25
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H09/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H12/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#311
W
44-16
44
16
+28
H16/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H21/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H23/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H27/11
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H04/12
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/12
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A14/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H18/12
NCAA
65.4Avg total
38.1Scored
27.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.330.164.3+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.528.864.3+6.768%-
Last 30 away (11)32.232.364.5-0.155%-
Last 10 (10)38.127.365.4+10.880%-
Last 5 (5)37.628.466.0+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.234.766.8-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.431.864.2+0.750%-
vs Weaker (12)37.226.163.2+11.183%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#114
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A09/11
NCAA
American University
#102
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A23/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H26/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H27/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H28/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H05/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H07/12
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H14/12
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A18/12
NCAA
76.1Avg total
36.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.836.975.7+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (21)39.536.576.0+3.062%-
Last 30 away (9)37.137.975.0-0.833%-
Last 10 (10)36.239.976.1-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.037.472.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.343.076.3-9.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.140.880.9-0.744%-
vs Weaker (18)39.134.073.1+5.167%-
This opponent (UCLA) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UCLA wins
2
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
26/03/22UCLA v North Carolina66-73
21/12/19North Carolina v UCLA74-64
UCLAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HPrairie View A&M111-75
14/12/24AArizona57-54
08/12/24AOregon73-71
04/12/24HWashington69-58
27/11/24HSouthern Utah88-43
23/11/24HCS Fullerton80-47
21/11/24HIdaho State84-70
16/11/24HLehigh85-45
12/11/24HBoston University71-40
09/11/24HNew Mexico64-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24AFlorida84-90
14/12/24HLa Salle93-67
07/12/24HGeorgia Tech68-65
05/12/24HAlabama79-94
28/11/24HMichigan State91-94 OT
27/11/24HAuburn72-85
26/11/24HDayton92-90
23/11/24AHawaii87-69
16/11/24HAmerican University107-55
09/11/24AKansas89-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCLA
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %91%89%100%
Points / game78.881.965.0
Allowed / game56.855.662.5
Point differential+22.0+26.3+2.5
Avg total135.6137.4127.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%89%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Carolina
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL55%
HomeLLLWW62%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %55%62%33%
Points / game86.586.586.7
Allowed / game79.778.283.7
Point differential+6.8+8.2+3.0
Avg total166.3164.8170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %9%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA1110191%78.856.8+22.0
2 Oregon1110191%79.067.5+11.5
3 Maryland1210283%87.860.7+27.1
4 Penn State1210283%88.467.1+21.3
5 Michigan State1210283%82.267.5+14.7
6 Nebraska97278%80.070.3+9.7
7 Wisconsin129375%81.972.4+9.5
8 Indiana129375%78.870.1+8.8
9 Iowa118373%87.273.3+13.9
10 Michigan118373%81.067.6+13.4
11 Northwestern118373%72.864.2+8.6
12 Purdue118373%77.270.4+6.8
13 Illinois107370%84.064.6+19.4
14 Washington107370%72.769.7+3.0
15 USC128467%75.969.8+6.1
16 Ohio State117464%80.769.1+11.6
17 Rutgers127558%78.875.2+3.6
18 Minnesota127558%66.163.5+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1210283%78.958.5+20.4
2 SMU Mustangs1210283%86.269.8+16.4
3 Pittsburgh1210283%84.067.9+16.1
4 Stanford119282%79.669.4+10.3
5 Clemson1310377%77.966.5+11.5
6 Florida State139469%78.269.2+9.1
7 Wake Forest139469%67.564.9+2.6
8 NC State117464%73.166.0+7.1
9 California117464%81.576.3+5.3
10 Louisville127558%78.071.3+6.7
11 Boston College127558%70.871.8-1.1
12 North Carolina116555%86.579.7+6.8
13 Notre Dame116555%74.570.0+4.5
14 Virginia116555%61.560.5+0.9
15 Syracuse115645%77.580.2-2.6
16 Georgia Tech125742%74.875.1-0.3
17 Virginia Tech125742%70.471.3-0.9
18 Miami (FL)124833%78.774.0+4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UCLA403474
North Carolina324476
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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