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Ulm vs Monaco Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 65-75
15-24 17-22 11-13 22-16
Position#10
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Monaco 🏆
Position#8
Record1-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game67.0
EuropeEurocupRound 3
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#7
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A20/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H22/04
BBL
Bremerhaven
#16
W
89-82
89
82
+7
A27/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
70-87
70
87
-17
H29/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
73-102
73
102
-29
A01/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H28/09
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A02/10
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#4
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A06/10
German Cup
Galatasaray
#20
W
103-92 OT
103
92
+11
H10/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#2
L
99-103 OT
99
103
-4
A13/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
14-26
21-21
17-19
16-19
19-17
29-19
20-22
27-21
20-18
18-21
24-22
20-25
10-19
18-20
22-23
24-25
18-26
15-22
16-29
19-27
19-19
19-16
20-21
21-28
22-18
16-16
14-26
17-16
25-18
16-21
16-23
19-25
27-18
6-23
26-12
20-24
21-22
19-19
17-12
169.7Avg total
81.7Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.090.0178.0-2.050%
Season at home (1)103.092.0195.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)73.088.0161.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)81.788.0169.7-6.330%
Last 5 (5)85.288.8174.0-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)79.888.7168.5-8.920%
vs Similar ◀ (6)78.784.7163.3-6.017%
vs Weaker (8)85.280.1165.4+5.175%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A18/06
LNB
Le Mans
#3
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A20/06
LNB
Le Mans
#3
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H24/06
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H23/09
LNB
Elan Bearnais
#5
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A27/09
LNB
Boulazac
#10
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A29/09
LNB
Brescia
#19
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A03/10
Eurocup
Nanterre
#4
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H07/10
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H10/10
Eurocup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A13/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-10
12-29
22-18
15-27
19-19
21-17
20-15
18-18
28-17
11-18
17-20
18-21
16-13
15-15
18-22
14-16
19-24
18-11
18-16
15-17
7-22
16-15
21-14
17-26
24-14
19-22
22-17
15-15
15-22
22-15
23-18
15-8
6-17
18-12
20-8
19-29
23-17
10-21
19-13
13-23
141.2Avg total
70.1Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.567.0138.5+4.550%
Season at home (1)63.066.0129.0-3.00%
Season away (1)80.068.0148.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)70.171.1141.2-1.040%
Last 5 (5)68.869.6138.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.072.4148.4+3.650%
vs Weaker (20)84.378.5162.8+5.865%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -4.1-4.1
UlmMonaco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A20/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H22/04
BBL
Bremerhaven
#16
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A27/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H29/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A01/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H28/09
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A02/10
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#4
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A06/10
German Cup
Galatasaray
#20
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H10/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A13/10
BBL
83.4Avg total
40.1Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.042.381.3-3.430%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.342.280.5-3.929%-
Last 30 away (16)39.642.482.0-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)40.143.383.4-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.085.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.242.779.9-5.513%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.245.581.7-9.30%-
vs Weaker (8)44.040.484.4+3.675%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A18/06
LNB
Le Mans
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A20/06
LNB
Le Mans
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H24/06
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H23/09
LNB
Elan Bearnais
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A27/09
LNB
Boulazac
#10
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A29/09
LNB
Brescia
#19
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A03/10
Eurocup
Nanterre
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H07/10
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H10/10
Eurocup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A13/10
LNB
69.2Avg total
34.2Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.779.8+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.938.579.4+2.567%-
Last 30 away (15)41.239.080.2+2.253%-
Last 10 (10)34.235.069.2-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)32.035.467.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.136.373.4+0.850%-
vs Weaker (20)43.040.083.0+3.165%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.015.0
37.5%
51.9%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.0
34.8%
36.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.017.0
89.5%
74.9%17.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 57.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀71%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 71% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers10.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.0 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.520.5
61.2%
51.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.03.5
26.9%
36.6%10.5
🏀 Free throws9.06.0
66.7%
74.9%6.0
They take 46.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 13.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/2 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LWLLLLLWWL
Monaco
LLWWLWLLWL
#10
League position
#8
-22.7
Net rating
+7.7
94.6
Offensive rating
110.1
117.3
Defensive rating
102.5
42.9%
Effective FG%
55.4%
61.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
17.3%
Turnover %
13.3%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.19
34.8%
3-point %
26.9%
82.6%
Assist %
45.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 110.1Defence117.3 · 102.5Shooting42.9% · 55.4%3-point %34.8% · 26.9%Ball care17.3% · 13.3%Off. rebounds26.5% · 24.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Ulm   ■ Monaco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ulm wins
0
Monaco wins
No previous meetings.
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/18AOldenburg99-103 OT
10/10/18HGalatasaray103-92 OT
06/10/18AFrankfurt74-78
02/10/18ACrvena zvezda73-88
28/09/18HBayern77-83
01/05/18AAlba Berlin73-102
29/04/18HOldenburg70-87
27/04/18ABremerhaven89-82
22/04/18HLudwigsburg84-77
20/04/18ABayreuth75-88
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/18AGravelines-Dunkerque65-74
10/10/18HCrvena zvezda63-66
07/10/18HNanterre75-63
03/10/18ABrescia80-68
29/09/18ABoulazac61-77
27/09/18AElan Bearnais70-68
23/09/18HLyon-Villeurbanne63-66
24/06/18HLe Mans74-76
20/06/18ALe Mans78-69
18/06/18ALe Mans72-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game88.0103.073.0
Allowed / game90.092.088.0
Point differential-2.0+11.0-15.0
Avg total178.0195.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%100%0%
Monaco
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game71.563.080.0
Allowed / game67.066.068.0
Point differential+4.5-3.0+12.0
Avg total138.5129.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan220100%91.573.5+18.0
2 Valencia220100%78.064.5+13.5
3 Lokomotiv Kuban220100%81.068.5+12.5
4 Crvena zvezda330100%79.771.7+8.0
5 Galatasaray32167%86.784.0+2.7
6 Unicaja21150%81.572.0+9.5
7 Alba Berlin21150%90.083.0+7.0
8 Monaco21150%71.567.0+4.5
9 Zenit Petersburg21150%86.584.5+2.0
10 Tofas21150%93.593.0+0.5
11 Partizan21150%81.082.0-1.0
12 Limoges21150%73.075.0-2.0
13 Ulm21150%88.090.0-2.0
14 Rytas21150%76.579.0-2.5
15 Trento21150%71.574.0-2.5
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne21150%68.572.5-4.0
17 Cedevita21150%71.577.5-6.0
18 Mornar Bar21150%79.088.5-9.5
19 Frankfurt21150%76.088.0-12.0
20 MoraBanc Andorra31233%87.386.7+0.7
21 Torino2020%82.586.0-3.5
22 Turk Telekom2020%73.581.5-8.0
23 Gdynia2020%76.088.0-12.0
24 Brescia3030%78.391.3-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm1517112265
Monaco2422131675
← all games of the day
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