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UMass vs Yale Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 80-83 (OT)
45-40 30-35 5-8
Position#287
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game60.2
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Yale 🏆
USA
Position#14
Record5-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game56.5
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Yale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#21
W
101-96 OT
101
96
+5
A13/03
NIT
Seton Hall
#15
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A17/03
NIT
Drexel
#6
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A20/03
NIT
Stanford
#1
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A27/03
NIT
Stony Brook
#10
L
58-71
58
71
-13
H20/03
NIT
Virginia
#43
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H23/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#212
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A24/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#104
L
57-82
57
82
-25
A29/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#146
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H05/12
NCAA
Harvard
#34
L
55-89
55
89
-34
A07/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-31
0-0
31-41
0-0
36-30
0-0
41-37
0-0
31-41
0-0
41-29
0-0
33-36
0-0
31-38
0-0
25-38
0-0
33-33
0-0
24-29
0-0
22-29
0-0
38-37
0-0
25-41
0-0
27-34
0-0
30-48
0-0
35-39
0-0
45-45
0-0
24-41
0-0
31-48
144.2Avg total
67.3Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)60.278.2138.4-18.00%
Season at home (2)63.071.0134.0-8.00%
Season away (3)58.383.0141.3-24.70%
Last 10 (10)67.376.9144.2-9.630%
Last 5 (5)60.278.2138.4-18.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)62.476.4138.9-14.014%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)77.067.0144.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Yale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
YaleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holy Cross
#12
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A22/03
CIT
Columbia
#5
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A26/03
CIT
VMI
#4
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A01/04
CIT
Murray State
#1
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A04/04
CIT
Penn State
#113
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A23/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#292
W
73-51
73
51
+22
A25/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#256
W
81-61
81
61
+20
A26/11
NCAA
Vermont
#17
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H01/12
NCAA
Albany
#247
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A05/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#309
W
78-65
78
65
+13
A08/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-34
0-0
40-32
0-0
25-34
0-0
47-35
0-0
37-27
0-0
38-35
0-0
26-27
0-0
31-38
0-0
31-21
0-0
25-37
0-0
42-27
0-0
31-24
0-0
43-23
0-0
38-38
0-0
29-25
0-0
36-27
0-0
28-29
0-0
33-23
0-0
41-32
0-0
37-33
129.0Avg total
68.9Scored
60.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)69.056.5125.5+12.583%
Season at home (1)65.052.0117.0+13.0100%
Season away (5)69.857.4127.2+12.480%
Last 10 (10)68.960.1129.0+8.880%
Last 5 (5)71.656.2127.8+15.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.065.0122.0-8.00%
vs Similar (4)70.862.2133.0+8.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)69.857.4127.2+12.480%
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -4.2-4.21st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: -5.9-5.92nd half: +3.4+3.4
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -4.2-4.21st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: -5.9-5.92nd half: +3.4+3.4
UMassYale
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#21
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A13/03
NIT
Seton Hall
#15
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A17/03
NIT
Drexel
#6
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A20/03
NIT
Stanford
#1
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A27/03
NIT
Stony Brook
#10
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H20/03
NIT
Virginia
#43
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H23/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#212
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A24/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#104
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A29/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#146
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H05/12
NCAA
Harvard
#34
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A07/12
NCAA
67.0Avg total
31.4Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)31.435.667.0-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (3)28.035.363.3-7.30%-
Last 30 away (7)32.935.768.6-2.943%-
Last 10 (10)31.435.667.0-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)29.636.065.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.336.767.0-6.414%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)36.030.066.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Yale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
YaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holy Cross
#12
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A22/03
CIT
Columbia
#5
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A26/03
CIT
VMI
#4
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A01/04
CIT
Murray State
#1
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A04/04
CIT
Penn State
#113
W
31-21
31
21
+10
A23/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#292
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A25/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#256
W
43-23
43
23
+20
A26/11
NCAA
Vermont
#17
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H01/12
NCAA
Albany
#247
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A05/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#309
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A08/12
NCAA
61.2Avg total
33.3Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)33.728.161.8+5.658%-
Last 30 at home (2)30.528.559.0+2.050%-
Last 30 away (10)34.328.062.3+6.360%-
Last 10 (10)33.327.961.2+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)36.627.263.8+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)26.027.053.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (4)30.530.060.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)37.026.463.4+10.680%-
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMass wins
0
Yale wins
No previous meetings.
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/19AHarvard55-89
05/12/19HSouth Carolina80-84
29/11/19ARutgers57-82
24/11/19ASt. John's (N.Y.)63-78
23/11/19HVirginia46-58
20/03/13HStony Brook58-71
27/03/12AStanford64-74
20/03/12ADrexel72-70
17/03/12ASeton Hall77-67
13/03/12AMississippi St.101-96 OT
Yalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/19ALehigh78-65
05/12/19AAlbany61-52
01/12/19HVermont65-52
26/11/19ABucknell81-61
25/11/19AWestern Michigan73-51
23/11/19APenn State56-58
04/04/14AMurray State57-65
01/04/14AVMI75-62
26/03/14AColumbia72-69
22/03/14AHoly Cross71-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game60.263.058.3
Allowed / game78.271.083.0
Point differential-18.0-8.0-24.7
Avg total138.4134.0141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Yale
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeW100%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %83%100%80%
Points / game69.065.069.8
Allowed / game56.552.057.4
Point differential+12.5+13.0+12.4
Avg total125.5117.0127.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toledo54180%77.861.0+16.8
2 Ohio54180%80.665.8+14.8
3 Akron54180%75.863.8+12.0
4 Eastern Michigan54180%63.261.2+2.0
5 Bowling Green54180%74.874.0+0.8
6 Kent State43175%75.560.0+15.5
7 Buffalo64267%76.277.0-0.8
8 Ball State42250%80.565.5+15.0
9 Central Michigan63350%77.575.7+1.8
10 Northern Illinois42250%62.060.2+1.8
11 Western Michigan51420%59.467.6-8.2
12 Miami (Ohio)51420%69.077.8-8.8
13 UMass5050%60.278.2-18.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ivy League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Yale65183%69.056.5+12.5
2 Harvard53260%73.667.4+6.2
3 Penn53260%79.078.6+0.4
4 Brown62433%69.071.7-2.7
5 Columbia62433%68.073.7-5.7
6 Princeton41325%73.573.2+0.2
7 Cornell3030%62.067.3-5.3
8 Dartmouth3030%64.374.0-9.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
UMass4530580
Yale4035883
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