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UMBC Retrievers vs Central Connecticut State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-76
34-35 44-41
Position#153
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game77.8
UMBC Retrievers 🏆
USA
vs
Central Connecticut State
USA
Position#326
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.2
Allowed / game78.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Connecticut State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hartford
#279
W
92-85
92
85
+7
A24/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#347
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H26/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#261
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H02/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
W
93-85 OT
93
85
+8
H06/03
NCAA
Hartford
#279
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H10/03
NCAA
Vermont
#10
L
43-82
43
82
-39
A12/03
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
67-89
67
89
-22
A08/11
NCAA
Penn State-York
#458
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H11/11
NCAA
Princeton
#52
L
64-94
64
94
-30
H14/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-37
53-48
52-28
41-51
46-37
32-31
44-38
34-40
33-33
47-27
20-37
23-45
32-45
35-44
40-24
52-41
27-41
37-53
23-24
48-39
154.3Avg total
77.3Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.577.8151.2-4.250%
Season at home (3)75.774.0149.7+1.767%
Season away (1)67.089.0156.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)77.377.0154.3+0.370%
Last 5 (5)67.478.6146.0-11.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)62.487.4149.8-25.00%
vs Similar (15)72.773.3145.9-0.653%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)75.965.8141.7+10.178%
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Connecticut StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bryant University
#74
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A18/02
NCAA
Wagner
#33
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A19/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#318
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H25/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#214
L
46-65
46
65
-19
H26/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#359
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A01/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#74
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A03/03
NCAA
UMass
#224
L
67-94
67
94
-27
A08/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#124
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H13/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
L
74-91
74
91
-17
A16/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-36
33-39
26-32
42-46
31-37
32-42
18-34
28-31
27-34
40-32
29-34
30-39
33-41
34-53
33-26
37-46
36-40
38-51
17-31
33-24
137.3Avg total
62.5Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)65.278.0143.2-12.80%
Season at home (2)60.063.5123.5-3.50%
Season away (2)70.592.5163.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)62.574.8137.3-12.310%
Last 5 (5)64.077.0141.0-13.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)62.271.4133.7-9.220%
vs Similar (5)66.074.4140.4-8.440%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -6.7-6.72nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -5.6-5.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -6.7-6.72nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -5.6-5.6
UMBC RetrieversCentral Connecticut State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hartford
#279
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A24/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#347
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H26/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#261
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H02/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H06/03
NCAA
Hartford
#279
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H10/03
NCAA
Vermont
#10
L
20-37
20
37
-17
A12/03
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A08/11
NCAA
Penn State-York
#458
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H11/11
NCAA
Princeton
#52
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H14/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H18/11
NCAA
70.0Avg total
35.6Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.234.269.4+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.132.970.0+4.250%-
Last 30 away (14)33.035.768.7-2.736%-
Last 10 (10)35.634.470.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)28.434.262.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.243.472.6-14.20%-
vs Similar (15)35.934.970.8+0.953%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)36.929.065.9+7.944%-
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Connecticut StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bryant University
#74
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A18/02
NCAA
Wagner
#33
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A19/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#318
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H25/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#214
L
18-34
18
34
-16
H26/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#359
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A01/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#74
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A03/03
NCAA
UMass
#224
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A08/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#124
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H13/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A16/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
17-31
17
31
-14
H19/11
NCAA
62.3Avg total
27.8Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)26.835.362.0-8.517%-
Last 30 at home (13)27.234.061.2-6.831%-
Last 30 away (17)26.436.262.6-9.86%-
Last 10 (10)27.834.562.3-6.710%-
Last 5 (5)29.634.464.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)26.935.262.1-8.220%-
vs Similar (5)26.035.861.8-9.80%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMBC Retrievers wins
0
Central Connecticut State wins
No previous meetings.
UMBC Retrieverslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/22HLafayette71-63
14/11/22HPrinceton64-94
11/11/22HPenn State-York92-65
08/11/22ATulane67-89
12/03/22AVermont43-82
10/03/22HHartford80-60
06/03/22HUMass Lowell93-85 OT
02/03/22HBinghamton78-68
26/02/22HMaine Black Bears93-79
24/02/22AHartford92-85
Central Connecticut Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22HLafayette50-55
16/11/22ASt. John's (N.Y.)74-91
13/11/22HQuinnipiac70-72
08/11/22AUMass67-94
03/03/22ABryant University59-73
01/03/22AFairleigh Dickinson67-66
26/02/22HMount St. Mary's46-65
25/02/22HSt. Francis (PA)63-79
19/02/22AWagner68-78
18/02/22ABryant University61-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game73.575.767.0
Allowed / game77.874.089.0
Point differential-4.2+1.7-22.0
Avg total151.2149.7156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Central Connecticut State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game65.260.070.5
Allowed / game78.063.592.5
Point differential-12.8-3.5-22.0
Avg total143.2123.5163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell54180%91.462.4+29.0
2 Bryant University43175%100.269.8+30.5
3 Maine Black Bears43175%79.564.5+15.0
4 New Hampshire32167%74.365.7+8.7
5 Binghamton42250%69.270.5-1.2
6 UMBC Retrievers42250%73.577.8-4.2
7 Albany52340%72.872.6+0.2
8 Vermont51420%65.073.6-8.6
9 NJIT4040%54.866.0-11.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wagner43175%73.863.5+10.2
2 Fairleigh Dickinson52340%85.281.2+4.0
3 Stonehill52340%77.688.6-11.0
4 Chicago State52340%65.877.6-11.8
5 LIU Sharks31233%72.378.0-5.7
6 St. Francis (PA)61517%65.573.5-8.0
7 Central Connecticut State4040%65.278.0-12.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMBC Retrievers344478
Central Connecticut State354176
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