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UMBC Retrievers vs Sacred Heart Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-80
44-35 41-45
Position#312
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#202
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game72.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacred Heart winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#353
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H09/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#145
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Albany
#346
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A16/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#211
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A18/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#31
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H22/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
W
70-67 OT
70
67
+3
A01/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H05/03
NCAA
Louisville
#348
L
93-94
93
94
-1
A07/11
NCAA
Marist
#143
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H11/11
NCAA
Penn State-York
#416
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-39
44-24
40-33
36-40
35-37
39-44
30-34
36-41
32-47
38-28
23-24
39-38
30-28
35-39
48-40
45-54
22-36
37-29
32-24
52-41
145.4Avg total
72.9Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.774.7153.3+4.033%
Season at home (2)71.565.0136.5+6.550%
Season away (1)93.094.0187.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)72.972.5145.4+0.440%
Last 5 (5)74.271.6145.8+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.674.6144.1-5.022%
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.871.7145.5+2.267%
vs Weaker (14)77.871.4149.1+6.464%
This opponent (Sacred Heart) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacred HeartUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Francis (PA)
#275
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
A09/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
H17/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
L
55-67
55
67
-12
H18/02
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#234
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H24/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#326
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A25/02
NCAA
Wagner
#167
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H02/03
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
L
60-71
60
71
-11
A04/03
NCAA
Bronxville
#587
W
95-51
95
51
+44
H07/11
NCAA
Iona
#218
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A11/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#328
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-29
32-41
43-29
36-50
27-34
28-33
29-47
34-23
29-34
40-33
25-20
42-35
28-33
32-38
45-28
50-23
40-39
41-49
39-31
45-46
145.4Avg total
74.4Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.772.0158.7+14.767%
Season at home (1)95.051.0146.0+44.0100%
Season away (2)82.582.5165.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)74.471.0145.4+3.450%
Last 5 (5)77.468.4145.8+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.580.5143.0-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)69.170.0139.1-0.945%
vs Weaker (6)74.069.8143.8+4.267%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +0.9+0.9
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +0.9+0.9
UMBC RetrieversSacred Heart
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#353
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H09/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#145
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Albany
#346
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A16/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#211
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A18/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#31
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H22/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
L
23-24
23
24
-1
A01/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A07/11
NCAA
Marist
#143
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H11/11
NCAA
Penn State-York
#416
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H14/11
NCAA
66.2Avg total
32.0Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.133.869.9+2.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.133.171.2+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)34.134.568.7-0.427%-
Last 10 (10)32.034.266.2-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)31.030.461.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.936.067.9-4.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.332.770.0+4.750%-
vs Weaker (14)38.633.672.2+5.150%-
This opponent (Sacred Heart) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacred HeartLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Francis (PA)
#275
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A09/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H17/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H18/02
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#234
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H24/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#326
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A25/02
NCAA
Wagner
#167
W
25-20
25
20
+5
H02/03
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A04/03
NCAA
Bronxville
#587
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H07/11
NCAA
Iona
#218
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#328
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A15/11
NCAA
66.7Avg total
34.3Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.232.264.4-0.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.630.963.5+1.671%-
Last 30 away (16)31.933.465.2-1.538%-
Last 10 (10)34.332.466.7+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)35.430.265.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)26.534.060.5-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)30.433.263.6-2.940%-
vs Weaker (6)37.729.367.0+8.3100%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMBC Retrievers wins
0
Sacred Heart wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/23HPenn State-York84-65
11/11/23HMarist59-65
07/11/23ALouisville93-94
05/03/23HBinghamton65-67
01/03/23ABinghamton70-67 OT
22/02/23HUMass Lowell70-75
18/02/23ANew Hampshire66-75
16/02/23AAlbany74-81
11/02/23HBryant University76-73
09/02/23HNJIT72-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23AHoly Cross84-77
11/11/23AIona81-88
07/11/23HBronxville95-51
04/03/23AMerrimack Warriors60-71
02/03/23HWagner67-55
25/02/23ACentral Connecticut State69-67
24/02/23HSt. Francis Brooklyn63-70
18/02/23HMerrimack Warriors55-67
17/02/23HFairleigh Dickinson94-86 OT
09/02/23ASt. Francis (PA)76-78 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game78.771.593.0
Allowed / game74.765.094.0
Point differential+4.0+6.5-1.0
Avg total153.3136.5187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sacred Heart
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game86.795.082.5
Allowed / game72.051.082.5
Point differential+14.7+44.0+0.0
Avg total158.7146.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vermont330100%77.353.3+24.0
2 UMass Lowell43175%80.060.2+19.8
3 New Hampshire32167%89.761.7+28.0
4 Maine Black Bears42250%76.566.0+10.5
5 Binghamton42250%72.067.0+5.0
6 UMBC Retrievers31233%78.774.7+4.0
7 Albany31233%73.387.7-14.3
8 Bryant University41325%83.875.2+8.5
9 NJIT3030%60.387.7-27.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marist220100%68.057.0+11.0
2 Quinnipiac32167%90.373.3+17.0
3 Sacred Heart32167%86.772.0+14.7
4 Manhattan32167%67.075.0-8.0
5 Iona21150%78.576.0+2.5
6 Mount St. Mary's21150%63.564.0-0.5
7 Merrimack Warriors42250%67.870.0-2.2
8 Fairfield31233%80.775.7+5.0
9 St. Peters31233%68.063.0+5.0
10 Rider31233%76.075.3+0.7
11 Canisius31233%69.375.7-6.3
12 Siena31233%59.779.7-20.0
13 Niagara3030%66.778.3-11.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMBC Retrievers444185
Sacred Heart354580
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