Umea will host Sloga Uppsala on 6 November 2026 in the Basketligan, with the Pythia model designating Umea as the clear favourite at 78% versus 22% for Sloga Uppsala, a reflection of Umea's 1-7 record, 75.6 points scored and 86.5 allowed per game, and a 10th-place league position, compared with Sloga Uppsala's identical 1-7 record, 78.0 points scored and 93.8 allowed per game, and an 11th-place spot. Umea's home form is 0-3, 75.3 points and 89.0 allowed, while Sloga Uppsala's road record is 0-4, 74.2 points and 97.8 allowed; both teams have won only one of their last five games, with Umea's recent results including a 71-53 win away at Uppsala and a 93-96 loss at home to BC Lulea, and Sloga Uppsala's lone victory over Hogsbo 80-79 at home. In their three previous meetings Umea has won twice, most recently 97-80 on 7 February 2026. The model projects an 88-80 score for Umea, 168 total points, a -3.5 home line with a 70% chance of covering, a 166.0 total line with a 54% over probability, and a 4% chance of overtime. The next game will test whether Umea can convert its statistical edge into a decisive win.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 75.6 | 86.5 | 162.1 | -10.9 | 12% |
| Season at home (3) | 75.3 | 89.0 | 164.3 | -13.7 | 0% |
| Season away (5) | 75.8 | 85.0 | 160.8 | -9.2 | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 76.6 | 86.0 | 162.6 | -9.4 | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 79.4 | 82.6 | 162.0 | -3.2 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (23) | 79.6 | 93.9 | 173.4 | -14.3 | 9% |
| vs Similar ◀ (5) | 78.8 | 79.8 | 158.6 | -1.0 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 91.0 | 83.0 | 174.0 | +8.0 | 50% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 78.0 | 93.8 | 171.8 | -15.8 | 12% |
| Season at home (4) | 81.8 | 89.8 | 171.5 | -8.0 | 25% |
| Season away (4) | 74.2 | 97.8 | 172.0 | -23.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 76.6 | 95.4 | 172.0 | -18.8 | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.8 | 92.8 | 173.6 | -12.0 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (29) | 77.8 | 94.0 | 171.8 | -16.2 | 17% |
| vs Similar ◀ (1) | 76.0 | 89.0 | 165.0 | -13.0 | 0% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.9 | 45.2 | 85.1 | -5.3 | 30% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 40.9 | 44.9 | 85.8 | -4.1 | 36% | 64% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 39.1 | 45.4 | 84.4 | -6.3 | 25% | 69% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.1 | 43.3 | 83.4 | -3.2 | 30% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.8 | 42.0 | 81.8 | -2.2 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (23) | 39.8 | 46.0 | 85.9 | -6.2 | 22% | 70% |
| vs Similar ◀ (5) | 37.4 | 42.2 | 79.6 | -4.8 | 40% | 40% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 47.0 | 42.5 | 89.5 | +4.5 | 100% | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.8 | 44.6 | 83.4 | -5.8 | 37% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 38.3 | 43.9 | 82.2 | -5.7 | 40% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 39.3 | 45.3 | 84.5 | -6.0 | 33% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.0 | 44.6 | 83.6 | -5.6 | 50% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.2 | 43.4 | 83.6 | -3.2 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (29) | 38.3 | 44.7 | 83.0 | -6.3 | 34% | 48% |
| vs Similar ◀ (1) | 51.0 | 42.0 | 93.0 | +9.0 | 100% | 100% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umea +2 | 81.4% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +21.6pp | Lost |
| Umea win | 77.1% | 1.58 | 1.62 | 1.60 | 1.58 | 1.58 | 1.58 | +18.1pp | Lost |
| Umea -3 | 70.3% | 1.80 | 1.83 | 1.81 | 1.79 | 1.77 | - | +18.1pp | Lost |
| Umea (regulation) | 74.7% | 1.59 | 1.62 | 1.57 | 1.57 | - | - | +18.0pp | Lost |
| Umea -2 | 73.9% | 1.68 | 1.74 | 1.66 | 1.65 | - | - | +17.8pp | Lost |
| Umea +1 | 78.6% | 1.51 | 1.54 | 1.52 | 1.46 | - | - | +17.7pp | Lost |
| Umea +3.5 | 83.8% | 1.37 | 1.45 | 1.39 | 1.27 | - | - | +17.7pp | Lost |
| Umea -1 | 76.6% | 1.58 | 1.62 | 1.57 | 1.55 | - | - | +17.7pp | Lost |
| Umea -1.5 | 74.8% | 1.63 | 1.68 | 1.67 | 1.61 | 1.60 | 1.57 | +17.2pp | Lost |
| Umea +4.5 | 85.9% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +17.0pp | Lost |
| Umea -2.5 | 71.1% | 1.72 | 1.76 | 1.75 | 1.71 | 1.71 | 1.66 | +16.7pp | Lost |
| Umea +1.5 | 79.1% | 1.47 | 1.52 | 1.50 | 1.38 | - | - | +16.6pp | Lost |
| Umea +5.5 | 87.8% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +16.5pp | Won |
| Umea +2.5 | 81.9% | 1.39 | 1.45 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +16.5pp | Lost |
| Umea +8.5 | 92.2% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +16.0pp | Won |
| Umea +6.5 | 89.5% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +14.7pp | Won |
| Umea over 82.5 | 70.8% | 1.54 | 1.57 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +12.8pp | Won |
| Umea over 79.5 | 80.1% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +12.8pp | Won |
| Umea over 81.5 | 74.1% | 1.45 | 1.47 | 1.43 | - | - | - | +12.6pp | Won |
| Umea over 80.5 | 77.2% | 1.39 | 1.40 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +12.5pp | Won |
| Umea over 78.5 | 82.7% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +12.0pp | Won |
| Umea over 73.5 | 92.4% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +11.0pp | Won |
| Umea +13.5 | 96.5% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +10.9pp | Won |
| Umea +11.5 | 95.1% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +10.7pp | Won |
| Umea over 74.5 | 90.9% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +10.4pp | Won |
| Umea over 75.5 | 89.2% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +10.3pp | Won |
| Sloga Uppsala under 85.5 | 72.0% | 1.44 | 1.47 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +9.7pp | Lost |
| Sloga Uppsala under 86.5 | 75.1% | 1.37 | 1.40 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +9.6pp | Lost |
| Sloga Uppsala under 87.5 | 78.0% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +9.4pp | Lost |
| Umea +18.5 | 98.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +9.1pp | Won |
| Umea +16.5 | 97.8% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +8.8pp | Won |
| Umea over 72.5 | 93.7% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Won |
| Sloga Uppsala under 92.5 | 89.0% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Lost |
| Umea +21.5 | 99.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Umea +23.5 | 99.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 96.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | - |
| Over 141.5 | 94.4% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Under 191.5 | 92.3% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Lost |
| Over 151.5 | 83.5% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Over 146.5 | 90.0% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| Over 156.5 | 74.7% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| Under 186.5 | 87.3% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Lost |
| Under 181.5 | 80.2% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Lost |
| Sloga Uppsala +23.5 | 90.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Won |
| Under 176.5 | 71.0% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Lost |
| Sloga Uppsala over 69.5 | 83.7% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -1.9pp | Won |
| Sloga Uppsala +21.5 | 87.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -2.0pp | Won |
| Sloga Uppsala over 71.5 | 78.3% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -2.2pp | Won |
| Umea under 95.5 | 77.2% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -2.3pp | Won |
| Sloga Uppsala over 72.5 | 75.3% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -3.6pp | Won |
| Sloga Uppsala +18.5 | 81.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -4.7pp | Won |
| Umea under 94.5 | 74.1% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -5.4pp | Lost |
| Sloga Uppsala +16.5 | 76.5% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -8.6pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 43.6 | 23.1 | 52.7% | 46.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 21.6 | 5.2 | 33.9% | 15.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.4 | 14.5 | 74.1% | 14.5 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.0 | 17.9 | 52.7% | 35.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.8 | 7.8 | 33.9% | 23.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.9 | 17.4 | 74.1% | 17.4 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 | Umea v Sloga Uppsala | 97-80 |
| 06/12/25 | Umea v Sloga Uppsala | 85-86 |
| 06/10/25 | Sloga Uppsala v Umea | 72-82 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | Koping Stars | 77-90 |
| 27/10/26 | H | BC Lulea | 93-96 OT |
| 23/10/26 | A | Uppsala | 71-53 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Nassjo | 78-88 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Boras | 78-86 |
| 09/10/26 | H | Jamtland | 69-93 |
| 29/09/26 | H | Sodertalje | 64-78 |
| 25/09/26 | A | Norrkoping | 75-108 |
| 17/03/26 | H | Uppsala | 84-87 |
| 14/03/26 | A | Hogsbo | 77-81 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/26 | H | Hogsbo | 80-79 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Nassjo | 73-83 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Jamtland | 80-111 |
| 13/10/26 | H | Norrkoping | 90-97 |
| 09/10/26 | H | Koping Stars | 81-94 |
| 02/10/26 | A | BC Lulea | 77-108 |
| 27/09/26 | H | Uppsala | 76-89 |
| 25/09/26 | A | Sodertalje | 67-89 |
| 17/03/26 | A | Sodertalje | 51-93 |
| 13/03/26 | A | BC Lulea | 91-111 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLL | 12% |
| Home | LLL | 0% |
| Away | LLLWL | 20% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 3 | 5 |
| Win % | 12% | 0% | 20% |
| Points / game | 75.6 | 75.3 | 75.8 |
| Allowed / game | 86.5 | 89.0 | 85.0 |
| Point differential | -10.9 | -13.7 | -9.2 |
| Avg total | 162.1 | 164.3 | 160.8 |
| Over 166.75 | 38% | 33% | 40% |
| Win by 10+ | 12% | 0% | 20% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 12% | 33% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLW | 12% |
| Home | LLLW | 25% |
| Away | LLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 12% | 25% | 0% |
| Points / game | 78.0 | 81.8 | 74.2 |
| Allowed / game | 93.8 | 89.8 | 97.8 |
| Point differential | -15.8 | -8.0 | -23.5 |
| Avg total | 171.8 | 171.5 | 172.0 |
| Over 166.75 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 89.1 | 74.0 | +15.1 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 96.9 | 83.1 | +13.8 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 90.3 | 81.1 | +9.2 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 91.6 | 85.1 | +6.5 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 87.1 | 84.6 | +2.5 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 73.5 | 83.8 | -10.2 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 85.2 | 87.5 | -2.2 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 79.0 | 82.9 | -3.9 | |
| 9 | Hogsbo | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 82.6 | 89.6 | -7.0 |
| 10 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 75.6 | 86.5 | -10.9 | |
| 11 | Sloga Uppsala | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 78.0 | 93.8 | -15.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 21 | 23 | 15 | 95 | |
| Sloga Uppsala | 16 | 33 | 25 | 26 | 100 |
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